The 2009 Influenza Pandemic � an Independent Review of the UK Response to the 2009 Influenza Pandemic �
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The 2009 Pandemic Influenza The 2009 Influenza Pandemic � An independent review of the UK response to the 2009 influenza pandemic � Pandemic Flu Response Review Team Dame Deirdre Hine, DBE FFPH FRCP Cabinet Office 35 Great Smith Street July 2010 London SW1P 3BQ Publication date: July 2010 © Crown copyright 2010 An independent review by Dame Deirdre Hine You may re-use this document/publication (not including the Royal Arms and other departmental or agency logos) free of charge in any format or medium. You must re-use it accurately and not in a misleading context. The material must be acknowledged as Crown copyright and you must give the title of the source document/publication. Where we have identified any third party copyright material you will need to obtain permission from the copyright holders concerned. 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Ref: 400208/0710 H1N1 CASE ESTIMATES AND TIMELINE APRIL 2009 MAY 2009 JUNE 2009 JULY 2009 AUGUST 2009 SEPTEMBER 2009 OCTOBER 2009 NOVEMBER 2009 DECEMBER 2009 JANUARY 2010 FEBRUARY 2010 MARCH 2010 23 April: 1 May: 11 June: 2 July: 13 August: 10 September: 21 October: 19 November: 10 December: 7 January: 4 February: 18 March: Cases of H1N1 virus are First case of human-to-human WHO raises its pandemic alert Treatment phase begins Andy Burnham announces the The four health departments Vaccination programme begins: Phase two of vaccination programme Total UK deaths: 283 Total UK deaths: 308 Total UK deaths: 411 Total UK deaths: 457 confirmed in Mexico and the USA transmission in the UK is level to 6, the highest level identification of priority groups: release critical care strategies to front-line healthcare workers and begins: children over 6 months and 342 in England confirmed pregnant women, front-line health cope with the expected increases their patients who fall into at-risk under 5 years and social care workers, and in demand during the second categories 69 in Scotland 24 April: 14 May: 13 June: 6 July: everyone in at-risk groups (those wave of the pandemic 11 February: 28 in Wales WHO announces an outbreak of First laboratory-confirmed case Total number of UK cases reaches Total UK deaths: 10 who are at higher risk of serious 29 October: National Pandemic Flu Service human cases of H1N1 confirmed reported in Northern Ireland 1,000 illness or death should they Total UK deaths: 137 is stood down 18 in Northern Ireland in Mexico and the USA develop influenza) aged over 6 months 160,000 27 April: 15 May: 15 June: 23 July: 21 August: The first two UK cases of H1N1 Press release confirms First UK death attributed to H1N1 National Pandemic Flu Total UK deaths: 60 are confirmed in a couple from agreements to secure up to 90m Service goes live in APRIL 2010 Scotland doses of pre-pandemic vaccine England WHO raises its alert level to FCO ceases to advise against all 140,000 1 April: Phase 4 but essential travel to Mexico Antiviral medicines no longer FCO advises against all but available from national stockpiles essential travel to Mexico Antiviral collection points in England are closed 28 April: 29 May: Michael McGimpsey makes a First laboratory-confirmed case The Swine Flu Information Line statement about the outbreak to reported in Wales. Cases now 120,000 is terminated the Northern Ireland Assembly confirmed across the UK Treatment of people with flu-like WHO raises alert level from 4 to 5 symptoms returns to business as usual 29 April: Gordon Brown announces that the stockpile of antivirals will be 100,000 increased from 33.5m to 50m Alan Johnson informs the House of Commons of five confirmed cases in the UK and promises an advisory booklet drop Edwina Hart provides an update 80,000 on the situation to the Welsh Assembly Government Nicola Sturgeon updates the Scottish Parliament on the outbreak and the two confirmed cases in Scotland 60,000 First case confirmed in England; CLINICAL CASES ESTIMATED first UK school closure 30 April: H1N1 information campaign is rolled out on TV, radio and in print 40,000 media and a booklet is prepared for household delivery Estimate range1 Mid estimate 20,000 1 The method used to calculate case numbers provides a range within which the total number of cases may fall Source: HPA JUNE 2009 JULY 2009 AUGUST 2009 SEPTEMBER 2009 OCTOBER 2009 NOVEMBER 2009 DECEMBER 2009 H1N1 CASE ESTIMATES AND TIMELINE APRIL 2009 MAY 2009 JUNE 2009 JULY 2009 AUGUST 2009 SEPTEMBER 2009 OCTOBER 2009 NOVEMBER 2009 DECEMBER 2009 JANUARY 2010 FEBRUARY 2010 MARCH 2010 23 April: 1 May: 11 June: 2 July: 13 August: 10 September: 21 October: 19 November: 10 December: 7 January: 4 February: 18 March: Cases of H1N1 virus are First case of human-to-human WHO raises its pandemic alert Treatment phase begins Andy Burnham announces the The four health departments Vaccination programme begins: Phase two of vaccination programme Total UK deaths: 283 Total UK deaths: 308 Total UK deaths: 411 Total UK deaths: 457 confirmed in Mexico and the USA transmission in the UK is level to 6, the highest level identification of priority groups: release critical care strategies to front-line healthcare workers and begins: children over 6 months and 342 in England confirmed pregnant women, front-line health cope with the expected increases their patients who fall into at-risk under 5 years and social care workers, and in demand during the second categories 69 in Scotland 24 April: 14 May: 13 June: 6 July: everyone in at-risk groups (those wave of the pandemic 11 February: 28 in Wales WHO announces an outbreak of First laboratory-confirmed case Total number of UK cases reaches Total UK deaths: 10 who are at higher risk of serious 29 October: National Pandemic Flu Service human cases of H1N1 confirmed reported in Northern Ireland 1,000 illness or death should they Total UK deaths: 137 is stood down 18 in Northern Ireland in Mexico and the USA develop influenza) aged over 6 months 27 April: 15 May: 15 June: 23 July: 21 August: The first two UK cases of H1N1 Press release confirms First UK death attributed to H1N1 National Pandemic Flu Total UK deaths: 60 are confirmed in a couple from agreements to secure up to 90m Service goes live in APRIL 2010 Scotland doses of pre-pandemic vaccine England WHO raises its alert level to FCO ceases to advise against all 1 April: Phase 4 but essential travel to Mexico Antiviral medicines no longer FCO advises against all but available from national stockpiles essential travel to Mexico Antiviral collection points in England are closed 28 April: 29 May: Michael McGimpsey makes a First laboratory-confirmed case The Swine Flu Information Line statement about the outbreak to reported in Wales. Cases now is terminated the Northern Ireland Assembly confirmed across the UK Treatment of people with flu-like WHO raises alert level from 4 to 5 symptoms returns to business as usual 29 April: Gordon Brown announces that the stockpile of antivirals will be increased from 33.5m to 50m Alan Johnson informs the House of Commons of five confirmed cases in the UK and promises an advisory booklet drop Edwina Hart provides an update on the situation to the Welsh Assembly Government Nicola Sturgeon updates the Scottish Parliament on the outbreak and the two confirmed cases in Scotland First case confirmed in England; first UK school closure 30 April: H1N1 information campaign is rolled out on TV, radio and in print media and a booklet is prepared for household delivery JUNE 2009 JULY 2009 AUGUST 2009 SEPTEMBER 2009 OCTOBER 2009 NOVEMBER 2009 DECEMBER 2009 H1N1 CASE ESTIMATES AND TIMELINE APRIL 2009 MAY 2009 JUNE 2009 JULY 2009 AUGUST 2009 SEPTEMBER 2009 OCTOBER 2009 NOVEMBER 2009 DECEMBER 2009 JANUARY 2010 FEBRUARY 2010 MARCH 2010 23 April: 1 May: 11 June: 2 July: 13 August: 10 September: 21 October: 19 November: 10 December: 7 January: 4 February: 18 March: Cases of H1N1 virus are First case of human-to-human WHO raises its pandemic alert Treatment phase begins Andy Burnham announces the The four health departments Vaccination programme begins: Phase two of vaccination programme Total UK deaths: 283 Total UK deaths: 308 Total UK deaths: 411 Total UK deaths: 457 confirmed in Mexico and the USA transmission in the UK is level to 6, the highest level identification of priority groups: release critical care strategies to front-line healthcare workers and begins: children over 6 months and 342 in England confirmed pregnant women, front-line health cope with the expected increases their patients who fall into at-risk under 5 years and social care workers, and in demand during the second categories 69 in Scotland 24 April: 14 May: 13 June: 6 July: everyone in at-risk groups (those wave of the pandemic 11 February: 28 in Wales WHO announces an outbreak of First laboratory-confirmed case Total number of UK cases reaches Total UK deaths: 10 who are at higher risk of serious 29 October: National Pandemic Flu Service human cases of H1N1 confirmed reported in Northern Ireland 1,000 illness or death should they Total UK deaths: 137 is stood down 18 in Northern Ireland in Mexico and the USA develop influenza) aged over 6 months 27 April: 15 May: 15 June: 23 July: 21 August: The first two UK cases of H1N1 Press release confirms First UK death attributed to H1N1 National Pandemic Flu Total UK deaths: 60 are confirmed in a couple from agreements to secure up to 90m Service goes live in APRIL 2010 Scotland doses of pre-pandemic vaccine England WHO raises its alert level to FCO ceases to advise against all 1 April: Phase 4 but essential travel to Mexico Antiviral medicines no longer FCO advises against all but available from national stockpiles essential travel to Mexico Antiviral collection points in England are closed 28 April: 29 May: Michael McGimpsey makes a First laboratory-confirmed case The Swine Flu Information Line statement about the outbreak to reported in Wales.