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Global Pay TV Operator Forecasts

Table of Contents

Published in October 2016, this 190-page electronically-delivered report comes in two parts:

 A 190-page PDF giving a global executive summary and forecasts.  An excel workbook giving comparison tables and country-by-country forecasts in detail for 400 operators with 585 platforms [125 , 112 analog cable, 208 satellite, 109 IPTV and 31 DTT] across 100 territories for every year from 2010 to 2021.

Forecasts (2010-2021) contain the following detail for each country:

By country: TV households Digital cable subs Analog cable subs Pay IPTV subscribers Pay digital satellite TV subs Pay DTT homes Total pay TV subscribers Pay TV revenues

By operator (and by platform by operator): Pay TV subscribers Share of pay TV subscribers by operator Subscription & VOD revenues Share of pay TV revenues by operator ARPU

Countries and operators covered:

Country No of ops Operators Algeria 4 beIN, OSN, ART, Algerie Telecom Angola 5 ZAP TV, DStv, Canal Plus, Angola Telecom, TV Cabo Argentina 3 ; Supercanal; DirecTV Australia 1

Austria 3 Telekom Austria; UPC; Bahrain 4 beIN, OSN, ART, Batelco Belarus 2 MTIS, Zala 5 Belgacom; ; ; VOO; Telesat/TV Vlaanderen Bolivia 3 DirecTV, Tigo, Entel Bosnia 3 , M:Tel; Total TV Brazil 5 ; GVT; Vivo; Sky; Bulgaria 5 , , , M:Tel, Mobitel 9 ; Videotron; ; ; ; Bell TV; TV; MTS; Max TV Chile 6 VTR; Telefonica; Claro; DirecTV; Entel; Telsur China 4 China Radio & TV Network; ; BesTV; Colombia 4 Claro; UNE/Millicom; DirecTV; Movistar Costa Rica 4 Claro; Tigo; Sky; Cabletica Cote d’Ivoire 3 Canal Plus, DStv, StarTimes Croatia 2 Max TV/T-HT, Vip Cyprus 2 Cytavision; Cablenet Czech Rep 4 UPC, O2, Digi TV, Skylink

Denmark 6 ; Viasat; You See; Stofa; Boxer; TDC Ecuador 4 DirecTV; Claro; CNT; TV Cable/Sistema Egypt 4 ART, beIN, OSN, Telecom Egypt El Salvador 3 Claro; Tigo; Sky Estonia 3 Starman/Zuum, Elion, Viasat Finland 6 Plus TV; ; Teliasonera; DNA; Canal Digital; Viasat 7 ; SFR; CanalSat; Numericable; Free; Bouygues; TNT Georgia 2 Magtisat, Silknet 6 Kabel Deutschland; ; DT/T-Home; Sky; Unitymedia; Telecolumbus Ghana 3 Canal Plus, DStv, GOtv Greece 2 , OTE Guatemala 3 Claro; Tigo; Sky Honduras 3 Claro; Tigo; Sky Hong Kong 2 Now TV; i-cable Hungary 5 T-Home, Digi TV, UPC, Invitel, MinDig

Country No of ops Operators Iceland 2 Vodafone, Siminn 11 Dish TV; ; Siti; ; Videocon ; In Digital; Airtel Digital; ; Den Networks; Reliance; MTNL Indonesia 10 Indovision; ; Top TV; Okevision; Linknet; Orange TV; Big TV; K Vision; Telkom; NexMedia Ireland 3 UPC; Sky; Israel 2 ,

Italy 3 Mediaset; Sky; Telecom Italia Japan 3 NTT; J:Com; SkyPerfecTV Jordan 3 ART, beIN, OSN Kenya 5 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv, StarSat Kuwait 3 ART, beIN, OSN Latvia 4 Baltcom, Izzi, Lattelecom, Viasat Lebanon 3 ART, beIN, OSN Lithuania 3 TEO, Cgates, Viasat Luxembourg 1 Tele des P&T Malawi 3 Zuku, DStv, GOtv Malaysia 2 ; TM Mexico 10 ; Cablemas; Izzi; Cablecom; TVI; Cable; Sky; Dish; ; TotalPlay Morocco 4 beIN, OSN, ART, Maroc Telecom Namibia 2 DStv, GOtv Nepal 1 Dish Media

Netherlands 5 UPC/; ; Tele 2; KPN/ New Zealand 2 Sky; Vodafone Nicaragua 3 Claro; Tigo; Sky Nigeria 4 GOtv, DStv, StarTimes, StarSat

Norway 5 Canal Digital; Viasat; Riks TV; ; Get Oman 4 beIN, OSN, ART, Omantel Pakistan 1 PTCL Panama 3 Claro; CWC; Sky Paraguay 3 Claro; Tigo; DirecTV Peru 3 Telefonica; Claro; DirecTV Philippines 2 ; SkyCable 9 Multimedia Polska, UPC, Vectra, Inea, , TP/Orange, Cyfra Polsat, NC+, Netia Portugal 4 Meo/PT; NOS/Zon; /Cabovisao; Vodafone Puerto Rico 4 Liberty; Claro; DirecTV; Dish Qatar 4 beIN, OSN, ART, Ooredoo Romania 4 RCS-RDS/Digi TV, UPC, Telecom Romania, Orange TV

Country No of ops Operators Russia 8 Akado, ER Telecom, MTS, , /Vimpelcom, NTV Plus, Tricolor, Orion Rwanda 5 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv, Canal Plus Saudi Arabia 5 ART, beIN, OSN, Invision, eLife Senegal 3 Canal Plus, DStv, Orange Serbia 2 SBB, Singapore 2 StarHub; Mio Slovakia 3 UPC, Skylink, Nova Digi/ Slovenia 3 Telemach, Siol TV, Total TV South Africa 3 DStv, StarSat, GOtv S Korea 8 KT Olleh/Skylife; CJ Hellovision; B TV; LG U+; T Broad; D’Live; CMB; Hyundai HCN Spain 4 Ono/Vodafone; Canal Plus/Telefonica/Movistar; Euskatel; Orange Sri Lanka 2 Dialog; Peo

Sweden 6 Canal Digital; Viasat; ; Telia; Boxer; Telenor Switzerland 3 ; UPC/Cablecom; Sunrise Taiwan 4 CHT; Taiwan Broadband; TWM; CNS Tanzania 4 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, StarSat Thailand 2 TOT; Truevisions Tunisia 3 beIN, OSN, ART Turkey 5 , D-Smart, Turksat, Turkcell, TTnet Uganda 5 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv, StarSat Ukraine 1 Volia UAE 5 eLife, Du, ART, beIN, OSN

UK 4 Sky; Virgin; BT; TalkTalk USA 17 ; Charter merged; ; Charter; Bright House; Cox; USA; Cablevision; Suddenlink; ; CableOne; ; AT&T U-verse; DirecTV; Fios TV; ; Frontier Communications Uruguay 2 Cablevision; DirecTV Venezuela 4 Intercable; DirecTV; Movistar; CANTV Vietnam 8 SCTV; VTVCab; VNPT; K+; HTV-TMS; ; AVG; FPT Zambia 5 Zuku, DStv, StarTimes, GOtv, StarSat

50 operators control two-thirds of global pay TV subs

The top 100 operators accounted for three-quarters of the world’s pay TV subscribers by end-2015, with this proportion not expected to change over the next five years. The top 10 operators took 42% by end-2015, according to the Global Pay TV Operator Forecasts report.

Share of pay TV subscribers by operator ranking (%) 100% 90% 15 14 2 3 80% 7 8 70% 10 10 60% 24 50% 24 40% 30% 20% 42 41 10% 0% 2015 2021

Top 10 11-50 51-100 101-200 201-400 Others

Source: Digital TV Research. Note: This chart shows the concentration of pay TV subscribers by operator, so the top 10 operators accounted for 42% of global pay TV subs by end-2015.

Simon Murray, Principal Analyst at Digital TV Research, said: “By end-2015, 12 operators had more than 10 million paying subscribers, and this will climb to 18 operators by 2021. However, the number of operators with more than 5 million subscribers will stay at 29.”

Pay TV subscriptions for the world’s top 400 operators with 585 platforms across 100 countries will increase from a collective 778 million in 2015 to 912 million by 2021. These operators took 84% of the 928 million global subscribers by end-2015, with this level expected to inch up to 85% of the 1,076 million by 2021. Only 93 (23%) of the 400 operators will lose subscribers between 2015 and 2021.

Top five pay TV operators by subscribers by country (000) Operator Country 2015 Operator Country 2021 China Radio & TV (cable) China 239,000 China Radio & TV (cable) China 250,719 China Telecom (IPTV) China 22,948 China Telecom (IPTV) China 39,217 Comcast (total) USA 22,347 BesTV (IPTV) China 23,530 DirecTV (satellite) USA 19,784 Comcast (total) USA 21,991 Charter merged (cable) USA 17,062 DirecTV (satellite) USA 19,579 Source: Digital TV Research. Note: paying subscribers only. This chart is for single countries and does not include multiple territory operators

China Radio & TV is the world’s largest pay TV operator by a long long way. Government policy to consolidate cable TV means that China Radio & TV quickly became the world’s largest pay TV operator, with 239 million subs by end-2015. The operator will soon represent every cable TV home in China, with 251 million subscribers expected by 2021.

Murray continued: “Despite adding 147 million subscribers between 2015 and 2021, subscription and VOD revenues for the 400 operators will remain flat at $206 billion. These operators accounted for 83% of the global total in 2015, but this proportion will fall to 80% by 2021. In fact, 115 of the 400 operators (29%) will lose subscription and PPV revenues between 2015 and 2021.”

For more information on the Global Pay TV Operator Forecasts report, please contact: Simon Murray, [email protected], Tel: +44 20 8248 5051

Digital TV Research publication schedule for 2016 Title Publication Price Date 1 Digital TV Sub-Saharan Africa Forecasts January £900/$1350/€1125 2 Digital TV Middle East & North Africa January £900/$1350/€1125 Forecasts 3 Digital TV Asia Pacific Forecasts March £900/$1350/€1125 4 Digital TV Latin America Forecasts March £900/$1350/€1125 5 Digital TV North America Forecasts March £500/$750/€625 6 Digital TV Eastern Europe Forecasts April £900/$1350/€1125 7 Digital TV Forecasts April £900/$1350/€1125 8 Digital TV World Household Forecasts April £1300/$1950/€1625 9 Digital TV World Revenue Forecasts May £1300/$1950/€1625 10 Digital TV World Databook May £800/$1200/€1000 11 Middle East & Africa OTT TV & Video Forecasts May £900/$1350/€1125 12 Asia Pacific OTT TV & Video Forecasts June £900/$1350/€1125 13 Latin America OTT TV & Video Forecasts June £900/$1350/€1125 14 North America OTT TV & Video Forecasts June £500/$750/€625 15 Eastern Europe OTT TV & Video Forecasts July £900/$1350/€1125 16 Western Europe OTT TV & Video Forecasts July £900/$1350/€1125 17 Global OTT TV & Video Forecasts July £1500/$2250/€1875 18 Asia Pacific Pay TV Operator Forecasts August £900/$1350/€1125 19 Middle East & Africa Pay TV Operator August £900/$1350/€1125 Forecasts 20 Latin America Pay TV Operator Forecasts August £900/$1350/€1125 21 North America Pay TV Operator Forecasts September £500/$750/€625 22 Eastern Europe Pay TV Operator September £900/$1350/€1125 Forecasts 23 Western Europe Pay TV Operator September £900/$1350/€1125 Forecasts 24 Global Pay TV Operator Forecasts October £1500/$2250/€1875 25 Middle East & Africa SVOD Forecasts October £900/$1350/€1125 26 Asia Pacific SVOD Forecasts October £900/$1350/€1125 27 Latin America SVOD Forecasts November £900/$1350/€1125 28 North America SVOD Forecasts November £500/$750/€625 29 Eastern Europe SVOD Forecasts November £900/$1350/€1125 30 Western Europe SVOD Forecasts December £900/$1350/€1125 31 Global SVOD Forecasts December £1500/$2250/€1875

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