Downloaded 09/28/21 05:27 PM UTC
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Low Level Wind Shear: Invisible Enemy to Pilots
Low Level Wind Shear: Invisible Enemy To Pilots On the afternoon of August 2, 1985, a landmark aircraft accident occurred at the Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) airport. The tragic accident, which killed 137 of the 163 passengers on board Delta Airlines Flight 191, was responsible for making “wind shear” a more commonly known weather phenomenon and implementing many new changes with regard to wind shear detection (Ref. 1). On that day, thunderstorms were in the area of approach to runway 17L at the DFW International Airport, with a thunderstorm rain shaft right in the path of final approach. The crew decided to proceed through the thunderstorm, which turned out to be a critical error. Shortly after entering the storm, turbulence increased and the L1011 aircraft encountered a 26 knot headwind. Just as suddenly, the wind switched to a 46 knot tailwind, resulting in a loss of 72 knots of airspeed. This much of an airspeed loss on final approach, when the jet was only 800 feet above the surface, was unrecoverable and the aircraft eventually crashed short of the runway (Ref. 1). The sudden change in wind speed and direction that the aircraft encountered is called wind shear. Wind shear can occur at many different levels of the atmosphere, however it is most dangerous at the low levels, as a sudden loss of airspeed and altitude can occur. Plenty of altitude is normally needed to recover from the stall produced by the abrupt change in wind speed and direction, which is why pilots need to be aware of the hazards and mitigation of low-level wind shear. -
NWS Unified Surface Analysis Manual
Unified Surface Analysis Manual Weather Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center National Hurricane Center Honolulu Forecast Office November 21, 2013 Table of Contents Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers…………….3 Chapter 2: Datasets available for creation of the Unified Analysis………...…..5 Chapter 3: The Unified Surface Analysis and related features.……….……….19 Chapter 4: Creation/Merging of the Unified Surface Analysis………….……..24 Chapter 5: Bibliography………………………………………………….…….30 Appendix A: Unified Graphics Legend showing Ocean Center symbols.….…33 2 Chapter 1: Surface Analysis – Its History at the Analysis Centers 1. INTRODUCTION Since 1942, surface analyses produced by several different offices within the U.S. Weather Bureau (USWB) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Weather Service (NWS) were generally based on the Norwegian Cyclone Model (Bjerknes 1919) over land, and in recent decades, the Shapiro-Keyser Model over the mid-latitudes of the ocean. The graphic below shows a typical evolution according to both models of cyclone development. Conceptual models of cyclone evolution showing lower-tropospheric (e.g., 850-hPa) geopotential height and fronts (top), and lower-tropospheric potential temperature (bottom). (a) Norwegian cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) and (III) narrowing warm sector, (IV) occlusion; (b) Shapiro–Keyser cyclone model: (I) incipient frontal cyclone, (II) frontal fracture, (III) frontal T-bone and bent-back front, (IV) frontal T-bone and warm seclusion. Panel (b) is adapted from Shapiro and Keyser (1990) , their FIG. 10.27 ) to enhance the zonal elongation of the cyclone and fronts and to reflect the continued existence of the frontal T-bone in stage IV. -
Effect of Intense Wind Shear Across the Inversion on Stratocumulus Clouds
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 35, L15814, doi:10.1029/2008GL033865, 2008 Click Here for Full Article Effect of intense wind shear across the inversion on stratocumulus clouds Shouping Wang,1 Jean-Christophe Golaz,2 and Qing Wang3 Received 17 March 2008; revised 12 May 2008; accepted 9 July 2008; published 13 August 2008. [1] A large-eddy simulation model is used to examine the mental difference between the strongly sheared and the impact of the intense cross-inversion wind shear on the shear-free stratocumulus convection? stratocumulus cloud structure. The wind shear enhanced [3] A low-level jet near the top of the CTBL is frequently entrainment mixing effectively reduces the cloud water and observed off the California central coast during summer due thickens the inversion layer. It leads to a reduction of the to the topography and land-sea contrast [Strom et al., 2001; turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) production in the cloud Rahn and Parish, 2007]. Figures 1a–1c show soundings layer due to the weakened cloud-top radiative cooling and taken in an aircraft flight in the field experiment of the formation of a turbulent and cloud free sublayer within Development and Evolution of Coastal Stratocumulus the inversion. The thickness of the sublayer increases with the [Kalogiros and Wang, 2002]. The wind speed reaches enhanced wind shear intensity. Under the condition of a maximum 18 msÀ1 just below the base of the inversion; weaker inversion, the enhanced shear mixing within the decreases by 8 msÀ1 across the sharp inversion; and then inversion layer even lowers the cloud-top height and reduces reduces further but more gradually to 7 m sÀ1 at about 730 m. -
Meteorology – Lecture 19
Meteorology – Lecture 19 Robert Fovell [email protected] 1 Important notes • These slides show some figures and videos prepared by Robert G. Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF. • In some cases, the figures employed in the course video are different from what I present here, but these were the figures I provided to TGC at the time the course was taped. • These figures are intended to supplement the videos, in order to facilitate understanding of the concepts discussed in the course. These slide shows cannot, and are not intended to, replace the course itself and are not expected to be understandable in isolation. • Accordingly, these presentations do not represent a summary of each lecture, and neither do they contain each lecture’s full content. 2 Animations linked in the PowerPoint version of these slides may also be found here: http://people.atmos.ucla.edu/fovell/meteo/ 3 Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and drylines 4 This map shows a dryline that formed in Texas during April 2000. The dryline is indicated by unfilled half-circles in orange, pointing at the more moist air. We see little T contrast but very large TD change. Dew points drop from 68F to 29F -- huge decrease in humidity 5 Animation 6 Supercell thunderstorms 7 The secret ingredient for supercells is large amounts of vertical wind shear. CAPE is necessary but sufficient shear is essential. It is shear that makes the difference between an ordinary multicellular thunderstorm and the rotating supercell. The shear implies rotation. -
Geography 5942 Synoptic Meteorology: Severe Storm Forecasting Spring 2017
Geography 5942 Synoptic Meteorology: Severe Storm Forecasting Spring 2017 Instructor: Jeff Rogers, Prof. Emeritus Office: Derby 1048 e-mail: [email protected] Phone: 292-0148 Office Hours: Tu, Th 2:10-3:30p.m. Course Prerequisites: Geography 5941, Physics 1250 Class Meetings: Tu, Th, 3:55 – 5:15 p.m. in Db 0140 Access to course lecture materials: http://carmen.osu.edu. Suggested Textbook: Mesoscale Meteorology in Midlatitudes by Paul Markowski and YvetteRichardson. Order through websites such as Amazon, it has not been ordered for the OSU bookstores. Course Objectives: The aim of the course is to introduce students to the methods of analysis and techniques of forecasting thunderstorms and severe weather. The course is divided into five components: 1. Introductory overview of the climatology of severe weather and basic cloud physics, 2. The meteorological ingredients for severe weather and the forecasting of severe weather, 3. Weather radar and satellites as tools in severe weather analysis, 4. Convection and the characteristics and features of mesoscale storms, and 5. Practice in severe weather forecasting through a series of exercises and assignments. The initial course section focuses on the ingredients of, and synoptic setting in which, severe storms develop. The role of instability, moisture, low-level and upper-level synoptic scale uplift will be described as will means by which forecasters identify and categorize the importance of each of these. The subsequent segment of the course describes the ways in which weather radar and geostationary satellite imagery are used in the analysis and forecasting of severe weather. Some theory of radar and satellite imagery is covered but the emphasis is on the usage of these materials in preparing forecasts and in trying to understand the conditions that are ideal for severe weather development. -
A Generalization of the Thermal Wind Equation to Arbitrary Horizontal Flow CAPT
A Generalization of the Thermal Wind Equation to Arbitrary Horizontal Flow CAPT. GEORGE E. FORSYTHE, A.C. Hq., AAF Weather Service, Asheville, N. C. INTRODUCTION N THE COURSE of his European upper-air analysis for the Army Air Forces, Major R. C. I Bundgaard found that the shear of the observed wind field was frequently not parallel to the isotherms, even when allowance was made for errors in measuring the wind and temperature. Deviations of as much as 30 degrees were occasionally found. Since the ther- mal wind relation was found to be very useful on the occasions where it did give the direction and spacing of the isotherms, an attempt was made to give qualitative rules for correcting the observed wind-shear vector, to make it agree more closely with the shear of the geostrophic wind (and hence to make it lie along the isotherms). These rules were only partially correct and could not be made quantitative; no general rules were available. Bellamy, in a recent paper,1 has presented a thermal wind formula for the gradient wind, using for thermodynamic parameters pressure altitude and specific virtual temperature anom- aly. Bellamy's discussion is inadequate, however, in that it fails to demonstrate or account for the difference in direction between the shear of the geostrophic wind and the shear of the gradient wind. The purpose of the present note is to derive a formula for the shear of the actual wind, assuming horizontal flow of the air in the absence of frictional forces, and to show how the direction and spacing of the virtual-temperature isotherms can be obtained from this shear. -
Chapter 5 Frictional Boundary Layers
Chapter 5 Frictional boundary layers 5.1 The Ekman layer problem over a solid surface In this chapter we will take up the important question of the role of friction, especially in the case when the friction is relatively small (and we will have to find an objective measure of what we mean by small). As we noted in the last chapter, the no-slip boundary condition has to be satisfied no matter how small friction is but ignoring friction lowers the spatial order of the Navier Stokes equations and makes the satisfaction of the boundary condition impossible. What is the resolution of this fundamental perplexity? At the same time, the examination of this basic fluid mechanical question allows us to investigate a physical phenomenon of great importance to both meteorology and oceanography, the frictional boundary layer in a rotating fluid, called the Ekman Layer. The historical background of this development is very interesting, partly because of the fascinating people involved. Ekman (1874-1954) was a student of the great Norwegian meteorologist, Vilhelm Bjerknes, (himself the father of Jacques Bjerknes who did so much to understand the nature of the Southern Oscillation). Vilhelm Bjerknes, who was the first to seriously attempt to formulate meteorology as a problem in fluid mechanics, was a student of his own father Christian Bjerknes, the physicist who in turn worked with Hertz who was the first to demonstrate the correctness of Maxwell’s formulation of electrodynamics. So, we are part of a joined sequence of scientists going back to the great days of classical physics. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
HODOGRAPHS and SEVERE WEATHE B E. W. Mccaul. Jr.. Steve
HODOGRAPHS AND SEVERE WEATHE B E. W. McCaul. Jr.. Steve Lazarus. Fred Carr One ingredient which is believed to be important in governing the morphology of thunderstorms is the profile of vertical shear in the environment which supports the storms. Numerous observational and theoretical studies have shown that storms which form in weakly-sheared environments tend to have non-steady circulations (multicells), while those that form in strongly-sheared environments can develop steady, persistent circulations (supereells). Although intuition suggests that strong shear can only inhibit the formation of organized updrafts, this tendency is partly offset by the ability of shear flows to generate a variety of hydrodynamical instabilities which allow for the possibility of updraft growth. Forecasters who work in areas of the country prone to outbreaks of severe weather should be prepared to recognize not only the thermodynamic conditions but also the vertical shear conditions favorable for various types of severe storms. Inspection of temperature and moisture soundings can reveal the presence of the necessary thermodynamic instability, while inspection of wind profiles (hodographs) can help diagnose whether conditions are right for the development of tornadoes. Hodographs can be drawn either as plots of u (z) vs. v (z) in Cartesian coordinates or V (z) vs. 8 (z) in cylindrical coordinates. In either case, the actual shape of the hodograph will be the same for any given wind profile. On the OU Meteorology weather computer, hodographs from any raob station may be plotted using "mchodo" in GEMPAK. Each plotted hodograph represents nothing more than the curve which connects, in order of ascending altitude, the tips of all the observed wind vectors from a sounding, with the bases of the vectors attached to a common origin. -
Severe Weather Forecasting Tip Sheet: WFO Louisville
Severe Weather Forecasting Tip Sheet: WFO Louisville Vertical Wind Shear & SRH Tornadic Supercells 0-6 km bulk shear > 40 kts – supercells Unstable warm sector air mass, with well-defined warm and cold fronts (i.e., strong extratropical cyclone) 0-6 km bulk shear 20-35 kts – organized multicells Strong mid and upper-level jet observed to dive southward into upper-level shortwave trough, then 0-6 km bulk shear < 10-20 kts – disorganized multicells rapidly exit the trough and cross into the warm sector air mass. 0-8 km bulk shear > 52 kts – long-lived supercells Pronounced upper-level divergence occurs on the nose and exit region of the jet. 0-3 km bulk shear > 30-40 kts – bowing thunderstorms A low-level jet forms in response to upper-level jet, which increases northward flux of moisture. SRH Intense northwest-southwest upper-level flow/strong southerly low-level flow creates a wind profile which 0-3 km SRH > 150 m2 s-2 = updraft rotation becomes more likely 2 -2 is very conducive for supercell development. Storms often exhibit rapid development along cold front, 0-3 km SRH > 300-400 m s = rotating updrafts and supercell development likely dryline, or pre-frontal convergence axis, and then move east into warm sector. BOTH 2 -2 Most intense tornadic supercells often occur in close proximity to where upper-level jet intersects low- 0-6 km shear < 35 kts with 0-3 km SRH > 150 m s – brief rotation but not persistent level jet, although tornadic supercells can occur north and south of upper jet as well. -
Methods for Diagnosing Regions of Conditional Symmetric Instability
Methods for Diagnosing Regions of Conditional Symmetric Instability James T. Moore Cooperative Institute for Precipitation Systems Saint Louis University Dept. of Earth & Atmospheric Sciences Ted Funk Science and Operations Officer WFO Louisville, KY Spectrum of Instabilities Which Can Result in Enhanced Precipitation • Inertial Instability • Potential Symmetric Instability • Conditional Symmetric Instability • Weak Symmetric Stability • Elevated Convective Instability 1 Inertial Instability Inertial instability is the horizontal analog to gravitational instability; i.e., if a parcel is displaced horizontally from its geostrophically balanced base state, will it return to its original position or will it accelerate further from that position? Inertially unstable regions are diagnosed where: .g + f < 0 ; absolute geostrophic vorticity < 0 OR if we define Mg = vg + fx = absolute geostrophic momentum, then inertially unstable regions are diagnosed where: MMg/ Mx = Mvg/ Mx + f < 0 ; since .g = Mvg/ Mx (NOTE: vg = geostrophic wind normal to the thermal gradient) x = a fixed point; for wind increasing with height, Mg surfaces become more horizontal (i.e., Mg increases with height) Inertial Instability (cont.) Inertial stability is weak or unstable typically in two regions (Blanchard et al. 1998, MWR): .g + f = (V/Rs - MV/ Mn) + f ; in natural coordinates where V/Rs = curvature term and MV/ Mn = shear term • Equatorward of a westerly wind maximum (jet streak) where the anticyclonic relative geostrophic vorticity is large (to offset the Coriolis -
Synoptic Meteorology
Lecture Notes on Synoptic Meteorology For Integrated Meteorological Training Course By Dr. Prakash Khare Scientist E India Meteorological Department Meteorological Training Institute Pashan,Pune-8 186 IMTC SYLLABUS OF SYNOPTIC METEOROLOGY (FOR DIRECT RECRUITED S.A’S OF IMD) Theory (25 Periods) ❖ Scales of weather systems; Network of Observatories; Surface, upper air; special observations (satellite, radar, aircraft etc.); analysis of fields of meteorological elements on synoptic charts; Vertical time / cross sections and their analysis. ❖ Wind and pressure analysis: Isobars on level surface and contours on constant pressure surface. Isotherms, thickness field; examples of geostrophic, gradient and thermal winds: slope of pressure system, streamline and Isotachs analysis. ❖ Western disturbance and its structure and associated weather, Waves in mid-latitude westerlies. ❖ Thunderstorm and severe local storm, synoptic conditions favourable for thunderstorm, concepts of triggering mechanism, conditional instability; Norwesters, dust storm, hail storm. Squall, tornado, microburst/cloudburst, landslide. ❖ Indian summer monsoon; S.W. Monsoon onset: semi permanent systems, Active and break monsoon, Monsoon depressions: MTC; Offshore troughs/vortices. Influence of extra tropical troughs and typhoons in northwest Pacific; withdrawal of S.W. Monsoon, Northeast monsoon, ❖ Tropical Cyclone: Life cycle, vertical and horizontal structure of TC, Its movement and intensification. Weather associated with TC. Easterly wave and its structure and associated weather. ❖ Jet Streams – WMO definition of Jet stream, different jet streams around the globe, Jet streams and weather ❖ Meso-scale meteorology, sea and land breezes, mountain/valley winds, mountain wave. ❖ Short range weather forecasting (Elementary ideas only); persistence, climatology and steering methods, movement and development of synoptic scale systems; Analogue techniques- prediction of individual weather elements, visibility, surface and upper level winds, convective phenomena.