The Break in the Mongolian Rainy Season and Its Relation to the Stationary Rossby Wave Along the Asian Jet
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3394 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE VOLUME 19 The Break in the Mongolian Rainy Season and Its Relation to the Stationary Rossby Wave along the Asian Jet HIROYUKI IWASAKI AND TOMOMI NII Faculty of Education, Gunma University, Maebashi, Japan (Manuscript received 6 June 2005, in final form 22 November 2005) ABSTRACT Seasonal and interannual variation of rainfall over Mongolia was investigated using 10-day rainfall data from 92 stations during 1993–2001 and NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data from 1979 to 2001. The break in the rainy season was found in the middle of July, and the meteorological stations with a clear break period were concentrated in eastern Mongolia where the plain prevails relative to western Mongolia without regard to the difference in annual precipitation. Clear breaks in the rainy season were recognized in 5 yr among an analysis period of 9 yr. In the break period, the stationary Rossby wave trapped in the Asian jet was predominant at 200 hPa, and a barotropic ridge associated with the Rossby wave developed over Mongolia. Furthermore, interannual variation of the break also corresponded to the variation of the stationary Rossby wave. It is considered that the break of the Mongolian rainy season is caused by the stationary Rossby wave trapped in the Asian jet. The stationary Rossby wave was climatologically phase locked in seasonal evolution and, as a result, the break period was also concentrated around the middle of July. 1. Introduction rainfall are indispensable to understanding the variabil- ity of vegetation activity over the Mongolian grass- Grassland in Mongolia occupies 97% of the country. lands, there are only a few brief studies on the clima- These grasslands are the main source of forage for no- tology of rainfall due to the lack of accessible meteo- madic livestock, so that, vegetation activity in the grass- rological data. Annual precipitation over Mongolia is lands directly influence Mongolian society. Xue (1996) characterized by large variability from year to year showed that a decrease in vegetation activity over the (Slemnev et al. 1994; Hilbig 1995; Gunin et al. 1999). As Mongolian grasslands plays an important role in modi- for the seasonal change, it is well known that about fying the East Asian monsoon circulation and in pro- 70%–80% of annual precipitation falls as rain in the ducing a rainfall anomaly over China. It is suggested summer season and monthly rainfall amounts reach a that interannual variability of vegetation activity in the maximum in August (e.g., Hilbig 1995; Natsagdorj grasslands has a significant impact on not only Mongo- 2000; Miyazaki et al. 1999; Endo et al. 2006). However, lian society, but the East Asian climate as well. we could not find any studies on the detailed seasonal Iwasaki (2006) showed that the vegetation activity variation of rainfall over Mongolia since most of these over the Mongolian grasslands is impacted by interan- descriptions are based on monthly meteorological data nual variation of rainfall; there are significant positive and/or short-term analysis. In other words, there is not correlations between precipitation from June to July sufficient knowledge on the relationship between the and vegetation activity in the mature stage. Although seasonal evolution of large-scale weather patterns and knowledge on the interannual and seasonal variation of the seasonal variation of rainfall, to say nothing of in- terannual variations. In this paper, seasonal and interannual variation of rain over Mongolia will be analyzed using twice daily Corresponding author address: Hiroyuki Iwasaki, Faculty of Education, Gunma University, 4-2 Aramaki, Maebashi, Gunma precipitation data. As a result of the analysis, we found 371-8510, Japan. that there is a break in a Mongolian rainy season in the E-mail: [email protected] middle of July, which had not been previously reported. © 2006 American Meteorological Society Unauthenticated | Downloaded 10/01/21 05:27 PM UTC JCLI3806 15 JULY 2006 I W A SAKI AND NII 3395 FIG. 1. Location of surface meteorological stations and their annual precipitation. The purpose of this paper is to report the existence of neighboring stations. Therefore, most of erroneous val- the break in Mongolian rainy season, and to discuss its ues in this dataset are missing values. Some outliers possible mechanism. naturally remain after this simple quality control check. However, these outliers did not affect the results of the present study, because the essential features of break in 2. Data the Mongolian rainy season can be well recognized by Data used in the present analysis are a surface me- the analysis when the questionable values are removed. teorological dataset provided by the Institute of Meteo- Any years that contained more than five erroneous rology and Hydorology, Mongolia, sonde data at Ulann- values, including missing values from April to Septem- baator, Mongolia, and the National Centers for Environ- ber, are omitted from the dataset. After the screening, mental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric the number of stations in which 7, 8, and 9 yr of data Research (NCEP–NCAR) reanalysis data. survived are 8, 37, and 47, respectively. These 92 sta- The surface meteorological dataset contains 3-hourly tions are used for the present analysis (Fig. 1). Since air temperature, 3-hourly relative humidity, and twice- this paper will focus on the decrease in rainfall in July, daily precipitation values from 1993 to 2001 for 103 data quality in July should be examined. Figure 2 shows stations. Since there are more than a few erroneous number of erroneous data after screening every 10-day values in the dataset, including missing values, precipi- period. The number of erroneous data is relatively tation data are carefully screened before the analysis small in July, which means that data quality is good for each station. enough to discuss the decrease in rainfall in rainy sea- There are some obvious errors. The same twice-daily sons. precipitation are recorded for several consecutive days, Twice-daily precipitation values are compiled into and these values are discarded (two cases). Further- more, a simple quality control check is performed on precipitation extremes for each station and each month. In the first step, data that are 6 times greater than the standard deviation are flagged. Second, these question- able values are compared with data from neighboring stations and the Geostationary Meteorological Satellite (GMS) infrared imagery from 1995 to 2003. As a result of comparison, all questionable values are regarded as signals because they were associated with mesoscale to synoptic-scale disturbances on GMS infrared imagery FIG. 2. Time series of the number of erroneous data including and/or a certain precipitaion were recorded in the missing values after data screening. Unauthenticated | Downloaded 10/01/21 05:27 PM UTC 3396 JOURNAL OF CLIMATE VOLUME 19 10-day rainfall for the analysis, which is a rather coarse temporal resolution. However, since a possible mecha- nism of the break in the rainy season is the stationary Rossby wave with a period of about 40 days (discussed in section 5), the 10-day rainfall period has enough resolution to compare with the stationary Rossby wave. 3. Definition of a break in the rainy season for each meteorological station a. A break in the Mongolian rainy season Mongolia is located in a transition zone for vegeta- tion, where it ranges from taiga forest in the north to desert in the south. Furthermore, mean annual precipi- tation decreases from north to south (Fig. 1). Annual precipitation exceeds 350 mm in the taiga vegetation zone and is less than 100 mm in the desert vegetation zone. Figure 3 shows the seasonal variation of area- FIG. 4. Time series of mean 10-day rainfall at (a) Bayanchand- anima and (b) Khanbogd. Averaged periods of Bayanchandanima mean rainfall averaged for three different time scales. and Khanbogd are 8 and 9 yr, respectively. Mean rainfall increases rapidly from the beginning of June and decreases rapidly in the middle of August. About 70%–80% of the annual precipitation amount occurs from June to August, which is referred to as the “Mongolian rainy season” in this paper. There is a local minimum in the middle of July in Figs. 3a–c, which is a “break” in the Mongolian rainy season. The frequency of rainy days also decreases in the middle of July regardless of rain intensity, however, the decrease is larger in intensive rain. Some previous climatological studies described seasonal variation of rainfall using monthly mean values (e.g., Hilbig 1995). However, the break in the rainy season had not been reported since a shorter-term average is required to see it. Figure 4 shows typical seasonal variation of mean 10-day rainfall at Bayanchandanima (BA in Fig. 1) with high annual precipitation in the forest steppe vegeta- tion zone and Khanbogd (KB in Fig. 1) with low annual precipitation in the desert vegetation zone. Mean 10- day rainfall at Bayanchandanima in Fig. 4a reaches a maximun in the beginning of July (the first maximum), decreases to 1/3 the first maximum value in the middle of July (break), and recovers in the beginning of Au- gust (the second maximum). The rainfall at Khanbogd in the desert also has a clear break surrounded by two maxima. The break is unrelated to the difference in annual precipitation. Figure 5 shows the time series of twice-daily rainfall for these two stations in 1994, 1996, and 1999 when the FIG. 3. Seasonal change of (a) mean daily, (b) pentad, and (c) 10-day precipitation averaged for 92 stations. The arrow indicates break was well recognized along 110°–115°E. It is dif- the “break” in the Mongolian rainy season. ficult to determine the break period exactly for each Unauthenticated | Downloaded 10/01/21 05:27 PM UTC 15 JULY 2006 I W A SAKI AND NII 3397 FIG.