Modelling the Relationship Between Native Amphibian Species and the Non-Native Marsh Frog
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Kent Academic Repository Full text document (pdf) Citation for published version Mackay, Aidan (2018) Modelling the relationship between native amphibian species and the non-native marsh frog. Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) thesis, University of Kent,. DOI Link to record in KAR https://kar.kent.ac.uk/74092/ Document Version UNSPECIFIED Copyright & reuse Content in the Kent Academic Repository is made available for research purposes. Unless otherwise stated all content is protected by copyright and in the absence of an open licence (eg Creative Commons), permissions for further reuse of content should be sought from the publisher, author or other copyright holder. Versions of research The version in the Kent Academic Repository may differ from the final published version. Users are advised to check http://kar.kent.ac.uk for the status of the paper. Users should always cite the published version of record. Enquiries For any further enquiries regarding the licence status of this document, please contact: [email protected] If you believe this document infringes copyright then please contact the KAR admin team with the take-down information provided at http://kar.kent.ac.uk/contact.html Modelling the relationship between native amphibian species and the non-native marsh frog Aidan Mackay Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology (DICE) School of Anthropology and conservation University of Kent, UK September 2018 Thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Biodiversity Management Word count: 36,365 Acknowledgements Firstly, I would like to thank my supervisors Professor Richard Griffiths and Professor Zoe Davies who have always found time to provide useful suggestions and review my draft chapters. I shall always be indebted to them for their dedication to their work which has been inspiring and immensely helpful for my PhD. They have managed to guide me through my PhD and make it a genuinely enjoyable experience. The friendship and support from my fellow students at DICE has also been critical in maintaining my positive outlook. The six years I have spent at DICE have flashed by and I am incredibly grateful to everyone for making me so welcome. I would like to give special thanks to Andrew Buxton, Debbie Fogell, and Hazel Jackson who taught me the ways of the genetics lab and were always very patient when I asked simple questions. I am also grateful to Dimitris Bormpoudakis who advised me on species modelling’ Thanks should also go to Izabela Menezes-Barata who always let me stay on her sofa so I did not have to drive back to Brighton. My survey volunteers: Simon Mahoney, Julie Merrett, Rachel Bates, Georgina Judd, and Chris Drewery made the large numbers of night amphibian surveys possible and fun. Without their help this PhD would not have been achievable in its current form. I owe thanks to all the landowners who gave me permission to survey their ponds. They were all very helpful and generous. I would like to thank Lynsey Harper for the use of her eDNA metabarcoding data and Peter Brotherton from Natural England for granting me permission to use them, which made Chapter 5 possible. Last but not least, I would like to thank my family for the love and support I received from them which sustained me through my entire PhD; whether it be babysitting, proof reading or just being understanding. Particular thanks should go to my wife Maree who has been the stalwart of our family and taken on most of the work while I have studied. I would like i to thank my children Rowan and Elizabeth for being patient and accepting while I have worked through all the family holidays. ii Author’s Declaration All the chapters in this thesis were written my A. J. T. Mackay. R. A. Griffiths had the original idea for the thesis while the author developed the design and analysis with advice from both supervisors. Editorial feedback was provided by R. A. Griffiths and Z. G. Davies. All field work was conducted by A. J. T. Mackay with assistance from volunteers. The University of Kent, School of Anthropology and Conservation Research Ethics Committee approved all research within this thesis. Chapter 1. A. J. T. Mackay wrote this chapter. Editorial comments were given by R. A. Griffiths. Chapter 2. R. A. Griffiths provided the original idea for this chapter. A. J. T. Mackay designed and wrote this chapter with editorial suggestions from R. A. Griffiths and Z. G. Davies. Chapters 3 and 4. These chapters were conceived and written by A. J. T. Mackay with editorial comments from R. A. Griffiths and Z. G. Davies. Chapter 5. A. J. T. Mackay conceived and wrote this chapter with editorial comments from R. A. Griffiths. The eDNA metabarcoding data was provided by L. R. Harper, University of Hull. The pond metrics for ponds surveyed in 2014 for Natural England’s Evidence Enhancement Programme were made available by P. Brotherton from Natural England. All laboratory work was carried out by A. J. T. Mackay with help from A. S. Buxton, D. J. Fogell, and H. Jackson. Chapter 6. A. J. T. Mackay wrote this chapter. Editorial comments were given by R. A. Griffiths. iii Abstract Due to increasing globalization the rate of non-native introductions has rapidly increased. This is likely to continue as climate change leads to increases in range of some species. In some cases, the effect of non-native species on biodiversity has been very severe. However, due to the complex nature of ecosystems it is sometimes difficult to determine if a non-native species is having a negative impact. This can be the case if interactions with other species are involved or native species are declining due to other threats such as habitat loss. This thesis investigates whether the marsh frog (Pelophylax ridibundus), a non-native species introduced to the UK in 1935, is affecting the distribution and abundance of the common frog (Rana temporaria) in Kent, south east England. Species distribution modelling predicted marsh frogs to be present in areas where common frog presence was low. Many of these areas were in coastal regions with lots of watercourses that have higher salinity levels. These conditions are more suited to marsh frogs than common frogs, thereby explaining the predicted distributions. However, an area in the centre of Kent with high pond density was also predicted as less suitable for common frogs. This prediction fitted the hypothesis that in areas of high pond density common frog numbers have been reduced by the combined presence of marsh frogs, and great crested newts (Triturus cristatus). To test this hypothesis, a local level study compared the presence of common frogs in this high pond density area in Kent with ponds in Sussex where marsh frogs were absent. To make the comparison more meaningful, propensity modelling was used to match the ponds to be compared in the two areas by other characteristics as far as possible. Occupancy modelling was used to determine probability of detection for great crested newts and marsh frogs from survey data collected in ponds in Kent. This showed that accounting for variation in detectability did not increase the predicted occupancy of the survey ponds for these species. The presence of common frogs was found to be much higher in the ponds in Sussex. Logistic regression showed that common frogs were positively associated with shaded ponds, which marsh frogs tended to avoid. This suggested predation and/or competition by iv marsh frogs on common frogs was unlikely because of these different habitat preferences. Therefore, a higher proportion of great crested newts in the survey ponds in Kent may be the main cause of the lower number of common frogs in that area. Results from an eDNA metabarcoding analysis of water samples taken in 2014 from ponds in central Kent were obtained. The data provided the presence/absences of common frogs, great crested newts, and marsh frogs. Logistic regression showed that common frogs were not negatively associated with great crested newt presence. However, there was a much higher proportion of ponds with great crested newts compared to ponds with common frogs. In contrast, the proportion of ponds occupied by marsh frogs was very low. This supported the hypothesis that marsh frogs are unlikely to be the cause of lower common frog presence in the area. Common frog spawn surveys were conducted in 2017 on a subset of the same ponds analysed by the DNA metabarcoding in 2014. These showed a change in pond occupancy between 2014 and 2017. This could be due to natural changes in occupancy or metabarcoding could be detecting non-breeding common frog ponds and missing some breeding ponds. Both landscape and local level studies have indicated that common frog presence is lower in an area of high pond density in Kent. This is unlikely to be caused by the presence of marsh frogs because of a difference in pond preference between common frogs and marsh frogs reducing the risk of predation or competition. There was also a relatively low presence of marsh frogs in areas that were showing lower proportions of common frogs compared to great crested newts. The high proportion of ponds occupied by great crested newts is more likely to be the reason for lower common frog presence. Therefore, more active measures to control the spread of marsh frogs is not required when considering conservation measures to protect common frogs. Key words: Amphibian, eDNA, frog, invasive, Kent, non-native, occupancy, Pelophylax, Rana temporaria, species distribution modelling, Triturus cristatus v Contents Chapter 1. General Introduction ................................................................................................... 1 1.1. An introduction to the marsh frog (Pelophylax ridibundus) ................................................ 2 1.1.1.