HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
This poll was conducted for Noticias Telemundo by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from October 24 through October 28, 2019. A total of 1,000 registered Hispanic voters were interviewed nationwide by telephone.
Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect Hispanic voter registration by state.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 3.2 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all Hispanic voters nationwide were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any sub- group, such as a gender or age grouping.
1 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll QUESTION: If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you vote to re-elect Republican Donald Trump or would you vote to replace Trump with a Democrat?
RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
NATIONAL 25% 64% 11%
SEX RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
Men 30% 61% 9% Women 20% 66% 14%
AGE RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
<50 22% 69% 9% 50+ 28% 58% 14%
PARTY ID RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
Democrat 6% 86% 8% Republican 73% 11% 16% Independent 31% 54% 15%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
Spanish 20% 68% 12% Bi-lingual 24% 66% 10% English 32% 57% 11%
REGION RE-ELECT REPLACE NOT SURE
Northeast 22% 64% 14% Midwest 32% 61% 7% South 29% 60% 11% West 27% 62% 11% Pacific Coast 19% 70% 11%
2 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
**** 581 DEMOCRATS ***
QUESTION: There are currently 19 candidates seeking the Democratic nomination for president. Which one of the candidates would you vote for? (NOT READ, UNLESS REQUESTED)
Joe Biden 26% Bernie Sanders 18% Elizabeth Warren 10% Kamala Harris 3% Julian Castro 2% Beto O’Rourke 2% Pete Buttigieg 2% Corey Booker 1% Amy Klobuchar * Andrew Yang * Michael Bennet - Tulsi Gabbard - Tom Steyer - Steve Bullock - Tim Ryan - John Delaney - Joe Sestak - Wayne Messum - Marianne Williamson - Undecided 36%
*Less than 1%
Margin for error is ±4.1%
3 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
**** 581 DEMOCRATS ***
QUESTION: Which one of the following issues most influenced your decision to choose that candidate?
BIDEN SANDERS WARREN ALL VOTERS VOTERS VOTERS
Healthcare 29% 17% 42% 36% The Economy & Jobs 24% 33% 19% 10% Immigration 14% 13% 9% 22% Environment/Climate Change 10% 7% 5% 21% Impeachment & Removing Trump from office 8% 7% 12% 3% Guns Rights & Gun Control 5% 12% - 2% Taxes, Government Spending & the National Debt 3% 3% 6% 2% National Security & Foreign Policy Issues 3% 4% 1% 3% Abortion - - - - Other/Not Sure (NOT READ) 4% 4% 6% 1%
NOTE: None of the other candidates had enough support to yield statistically significant results from this cross-tab.
4 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
**** ALL VOTERS ***
QUESTION: Which Democratic candidate, if any, do you feel has the best chance of beating President Trump in the 2020 Election? (NOT READ)
NATIONAL DEM REP IND
Joe Biden 28% 36% 6% 29% Bernie Sanders 12% 18% - 9% Elizabeth Warren 5% 7% - 3% Julian Castro 1% 1% - - Beto O’Rourke 1% 1% - - Pete Buttigieg 1% 1% - - Kamala Harris 1% 2% - - Corey Booker * * - - Andrew Yang * - - 1% Amy Klobuchar - - - - Michael Bennet - - - - Tulsi Gabbard - - - - Steve Bullock - - - - John Delaney - - - - Tom Steyer - - - - Tim Ryan - - - - Marianne Williamson - - - - Joe Sestak - - - - Wayne Messum - - - - None of them 18% 5% 65% 10% Not Sure 32% 28% 29% 48%
*Less than 1%
5 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you support or oppose establishing a maximum age for someone to run for president?
SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
NATIONAL 31% 53% 16%
SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Men 31% 54% 15% Women 31% 53% 16%
AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
<50 33% 52% 15% 50+ 29% 54% 17%
PARTY ID SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Democrat 32% 54% 14% Republican 26% 55% 19% Independent 32% 50% 18%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Spanish 31% 55% 14% Bi-lingual 32% 55% 13% English 30% 50% 20%
(IF “SUPPORT” n=308) QUESTION: Within what age range do you feel that such a limit should fall?
65-69 58% 18% of all voters 70-74 18% 5% of all voters 75-79 11% 3% of all voters 80-84 5% 2% of all voters 85+ 1% <1% of all voters Not Sure (NOT READ) 7% 2% of all voters
6 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Would you vote for a candidate that described themselves as a “socialist”, or not?
YES NO NOT SURE
NATIONAL 21% 62% 17%
SEX YES NO NOT SURE
Men 20% 65% 15% Women 22% 60% 18%
AGE YES NO NOT SURE
<50 28% 57% 15% 50+ 15% 67% 18%
PARTY ID YES NO NOT SURE
Democrat 30% 47% 23% Republican 1% 99% - Independent 15% 70% 15%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE YES NO NOT SURE
Spanish 18% 64% 18% Bi-lingual 17% 65% 18% English 28% 58% 14%
REGION YES NO NOT SURE
Northeast 20% 63% 17% Midwest 24% 62% 14% South 17% 64% 19% West 26% 59% 15% Pacific Coast 25% 61% 14%
7 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance as president?
APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
NATIONAL 31% 64% 5%
SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Men 35% 60% 5% Women 26% 68% 6%
AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
<50 25% 70% 5% 50+ 36% 59% 5%
PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Democrat 8% 87% 5% Republican 89% 9% 2% Independent 37% 56% 7%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Spanish 26% 68% 6% Bi-lingual 32% 62% 6% English 36% 61% 3%
REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Northeast 26% 68% 6% Midwest 34% 62% 4% South 35% 61% 4% West 30% 66% 4% Pacific Coast 28% 66% 6%
8 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you support or oppose impeaching President Donald Trump and removing him from office?
SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
NATIONAL 57% 34% 9%
SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Men 54% 39% 7% Women 61% 29% 10%
AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
<50 64% 29% 7% 50+ 50% 39% 11%
PARTY ID SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Democrat 79% 12% 9% Republican 2% 92% 6% Independent 51% 39% 10%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Spanish 62% 27% 11% Bi-lingual 59% 35% 6% English 50% 42% 8%
REGION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED
Northeast 59% 31% 10% Midwest 52% 32% 16% South 54% 38% 8% West 59% 37% 4% Pacific Coast 62% 29% 9%
9 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Since Donald Trump became president, has your personal economic situation improved, stayed the same, or worsened?
IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
NATIONAL 22% 54% 23% 1%
SEX IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
Men 27% 52% 20% 1% Women 18% 55% 26% 1%
AGE IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
<50 20% 53% 26% 1% 50+ 24% 54% 21% 1%
PARTY ID IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
Democrat 8% 60% 31% 1% Republican 64% 31% 4% 1% Independent 23% 56% 20% 1%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
Spanish 18% 56% 25% 1% Bi-lingual 22% 54% 23% 1% English 28% 50% 21% 1%
REGION IMPROVED SAME WORSENED NOT SURE
Northeast 22% 50% 27% 1% Midwest 23% 58% 18% 1% South 23% 52% 24% 1% West 31% 47% 22% - Pacific Coast 18% 60% 21% 1%
10 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the Trump administration’s handling of U.S. immigration policy?
APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
NATIONAL 25% 65% 10%
SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Men 29% 62% 9% Women 22% 68% 10%
AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
<50 22% 69% 9% 50+ 28% 61% 11%
PARTY ID APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Democrat 6% 85% 9% Republican 74% 13% 13% Independent 31% 59% 10%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Spanish 22% 68% 10% Bi-lingual 24% 64% 12% English 30% 61% 9%
REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE
Northeast 19% 73% 8% Midwest 30% 63% 7% South 30% 58% 12% West 27% 58% 15% Pacific Coast 20% 72% 8%
11 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you feel that Hispanics in the US are or are not being widely persecuted or discriminated against?
YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
NATIONAL 65% 26% 9%
SEX YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
Men 60% 30% 10% Women 70% 22% 8%
AGE YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
<50 68% 24% 8% 50+ 63% 28% 9%
PARTY ID YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
Democrat 84% 10% 6% Republican 19% 71% 10% Independent 58% 26% 16%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
Spanish 69% 22% 9% Bi-lingual 67% 23% 10% English 59% 34% 7%
REGION YES, THEY ARE NO, THEY ARE NOT NOT SURE
Northeast 62% 29% 9% Midwest 58% 32% 10% South 64% 27% 9% West 61% 30% 9% Pacific Coast 71% 21% 8%
12 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you feel that President Trump’s rhetoric has or has not encouraged anti- immigrant sentiment, racism or discrimination in this country?
YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
NATIONAL 70% 26% 4%
SEX YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
Men 66% 30% 4% Women 73% 23% 4%
AGE YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
<50 74% 23% 3% 50+ 66% 30% 4%
PARTY ID YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
Democrat 85% 13% 2% Republican 23% 71% 6% Independent 74% 21% 5%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
Spanish 72% 25% 3% Bi-lingual 73% 21% 6% English 65% 32% 3%
REGION YES, IT HAS NO, IT HAS NOT NOT SURE
Northeast 70% 25% 5% Midwest 66% 28% 6% South 68% 29% 3% West 65% 31% 4% Pacific Coast 75% 22% 3%
13 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you feel the immigration issue and anti-immigrant positions will help or hurt President Trump in his re-election campaign?
HELP HURT NOT SURE
NATIONAL 24% 56% 20%
SEX HELP HURT NOT SURE
Men 27% 51% 22% Women 22% 60% 18%
AGE HELP HURT NOT SURE
<50 24% 58% 18% 50+ 24% 54% 22%
PARTY ID HELP HURT NOT SURE
Democrat 13% 70% 17% Republican 52% 26% 22% Independent 27% 46% 27%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE HELP HURT NOT SURE
Spanish 23% 60% 17% Bi-lingual 25% 54% 21% English 24% 53% 23%
REGION HELP HURT NOT SURE
Northeast 22% 58% 20% Midwest 28% 54% 18% South 25% 54% 21% West 24% 54% 22% Pacific Coast 23% 58% 19%
14 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: Do you feel separation of children from their families at the southern border does or does not discourage immigration into the US?
YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
NATIONAL 54% 32% 14%
SEX YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
Men 54% 31% 15% Women 54% 33% 13%
AGE YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
<50 55% 32% 13% 50+ 54% 32% 14%
PARTY ID YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
Democrat 58% 31% 11% Republican 45% 36% 19% Independent 52% 31% 17%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
Spanish 57% 29% 14% Bi-lingual 55% 33% 12% English 50% 35% 15%
REGION YES, IT DOES NO, IT DOES NOT NOT SURE
Northeast 54% 33% 13% Midwest 55% 28% 17% South 54% 30% 16% West 58% 30% 12% Pacific Coast 53% 36% 11%
15 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: How worried are you about becoming the victim of a hate crime, such as the shooting that occurred in El Paso in August? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not at all worried?
VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
NATIONAL 35% 25% 12% 27% 1%
SEX VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Men 34% 26% 11% 28% 1% Women 35% 25% 13% 26% 1%
AGE VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
<50 35% 25% 12% 27% 1% 50+ 34% 25% 13% 27% 1%
PARTY ID VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Democrat 44% 27% 13% 15% 1% Republican 11% 18% 10% 59% 2% Independent 29% 28% 13% 29% 1%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Spanish 38% 24% 11% 26% 1% Bi-lingual 34% 30% 9% 27% - English 31% 23% 16% 29% 1%
REGION VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Northeast 35% 25% 13% 25% 2% Midwest 25% 32% 10% 33% - South 34% 26% 10% 29% 1% West 28% 21% 17% 34% - Pacific Coast 40% 24% 14% 22% -
16 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
QUESTION: How concerned are you that a foreign government will interfere with the 2020 presidential election? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned?
VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
NATIONAL 48% 22% 12% 16% 2%
SEX VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Men 45% 22% 13% 18% 2% Women 51% 22% 10% 15% 2%
AGE VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
<50 51% 22% 11% 15% 1% 50+ 46% 21% 12% 18% 3%
PARTY ID VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Democrat 59% 24% 7% 9% 1% Republican 21% 15% 21% 40% 3% Independent 42% 23% 17% 15% 3%
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Spanish 48% 24% 10% 15% 3% Bi-lingual 49% 22% 12% 17% - English 46% 20% 14% 18% 2%
REGION VERY SOMEWHAT NOT TOO NOT AT ALL NOT SURE
Northeast 46% 22% 14% 16% 2% Midwest 49% 21% 11% 16% 3% South 46% 23% 11% 18% 2% West 43% 20% 15% 21% 1% Pacific Coast 53% 21% 11% 13% 2%
17 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
DEMOGRAPHICS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION:
Democrat 581 (58%) Republican 203 (20%) Independent or Other 216 (22%)
AGE: 18-34 213 (21%) 35-49 272 (27%) 50-64 274 (27%) 65+ 228 (23%) Refused 13 (1%)
HISPANIC ORIGIN: Mexican-American 477 (48%) Puerto Rican 75 (7%) Cuban-American 68 (7%) Central American 83 (8%) South American 51 (5%) Mixed or Other 229 (23%) Refused 17 (2%)
SEX: Male 472 (47%) Female 528 (53%)
HOUSEHOLD LANGUAGE:
Spanish Dominant 331 (33%) Spanish Leaning 101 (10%) Equal/Bi-lingual 233 (23%) English Leaning 98 (10%) English Dominant 237 (24%)
REGION: Northeast 182 (18%) Midwest 71 (7%) South 392 (39%) West 86 (9%) Pacific Coast 269 (27%)
18 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll
NATIONAL POLL REGIONS
NORTHEAST REGION: Voters in Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware and the District of Columbia.
MIDWEST REGION: Voters in Ohio, Michigan, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and Missouri.
SOUTH REGION: Voters in Virginia, West Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana and Texas.
WEST REGION: Voters in Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico.
PACIFIC COAST REGION: Voters in California, Oregon, Washington, Alaska and Hawaii.
19 Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – October 2019 National Hispanic Voter Poll