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Alberta Election Detailed Tables

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Alberta Election Detailed Tables Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in Alberta, which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 393 133 160 99 127 138 128 178 215 393 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 33% 33% 40% 25% 35% 32% 32% 30% 36% 94% - - - 509 171 134 203 121 183 205 275 234 0 509 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 42% 42% 34% 51% 33% 42% 51% 46% 39% - 96% - - 66 19 19 28 29 23 13 36 30 0 0 66 0 The Alberta Party 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 5% 3% 6% 5% - - 91% - 10 7 2 1 5 4 1 5 5 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 1% 2% 1% 0 1% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 16 6 5 5 6 6 4 6 10 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - - - 63 23 23 17 25 27 11 35 27 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 5% 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% 3% 6% 5% - - - - 7 1 4 1 0 5 2 4 3 0 0 0 0 Refused 1% 0 1% 0 - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - - 139 44 53 42 55 46 39 60 79 25 19 6 77 Undecided 12% 11% 13% 11% 15% 11% 10% 10% 13% 6% 4% 9% 100% Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: Undecided on parties' candidates would support 140 43 57 40 45 53 42 50 90 22 16 8 80 Weighted 139 44 53 42 55 46 39 60 79 25 19 6 77 25 9 9 7 8 9 8 11 14 25 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 18% 21% 17% 17% 15% 21% 21% 18% 18% 100% - - - 19 6 6 7 7 2 10 7 13 0 19 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 14% 15% 12% 16% 12% 5% 27% 11% 16% - 100% - - 6 3 3 1 2 4 0 3 4 0 0 6 0 The Alberta Party 5% 6% 6% 2% 3% 10% - 4% 5% - - 100% - 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 0 1% - - 0 1% - 0 0 - - - - 5 0 2 3 4 1 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 3% 1% 3% 6% 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% - - - - 3 0 1 2 3 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 2% - 2% 6% 5% 2% - 4% 1% - - - - 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Refused 2% - 2% 3% - 3% 3% 2% 2% - - - - Completely undecided – not even leaning toward one 77 25 31 22 32 27 19 33 44 0 0 0 77 party 55% 56% 58% 51% 58% 58% 49% 54% 56% - - - 100% Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in Alberta, which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support? cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 418 142 170 106 135 147 136 189 229 418 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 35% 35% 42% 27% 37% 34% 34% 32% 38% 100% - - - 528 177 141 210 127 186 215 281 247 0 528 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 44% 44% 35% 53% 35% 43% 53% 47% 41% - 100% - - 72 21 22 29 31 28 13 38 34 0 0 72 0 The Alberta Party 6% 5% 5% 7% 8% 6% 3% 6% 6% - - 100% - 11 7 2 1 5 5 1 5 6 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 1% 2% 1% 0 1% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 21 7 6 8 9 7 5 10 11 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% - - - - 66 23 24 19 28 28 11 38 28 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 6% 3% 6% 5% - - - - 9 1 5 3 0 6 3 5 4 0 0 0 0 Refused 1% 0 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - - Completely undecided – not even leaning toward one 77 25 31 22 32 27 19 33 44 0 0 0 77 party 6% 6% 8% 5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 7% - - - 100% Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in Alberta, which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support? cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: Decided vote plus lean 1059 366 356 337 252 371 436 509 550 403 469 106 0 Weighted 1050 356 341 354 308 372 370 524 526 418 528 72 0 418 142 170 106 135 147 136 189 229 418 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 40% 40% 50% 30% 44% 40% 37% 36% 44% 100% - - - 528 177 141 210 127 186 215 281 247 0 528 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 50% 50% 41% 59% 41% 50% 58% 54% 47% - 100% - - 72 21 22 29 31 28 13 38 34 0 0 72 0 The Alberta Party 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 8% 4% 7% 6% - - 100% - 11 7 2 1 5 5 1 5 6 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 1% 2% 1% 0 2% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 21 7 6 8 9 7 5 10 11 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% - - - - Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz3. And how certain are you that you will vote for that party on Election Day? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: Decided vote plus lean 1059 366 356 337 252 371 436 509 550 403 469 106 0 Weighted 1050 356 341 354 308 372 370 524 526 418 528 72 0 755 240 252 263 192 262 302 386 369 289 424 30 0 Very certain 72% 68% 74% 74% 62% 70% 82% 74% 70% 69% 80% 41% - 190 76 57 57 71 64 55 91 100 90 68 24 0 Fairly certain 18% 21% 17% 16% 23% 17% 15% 17% 19% 21% 13% 34% - 60 30 14 17 23 30 7 26 34 23 19 13 0 Not very certain 6% 8% 4% 5% 7% 8% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 18% - 29 4 13 11 16 11 1 17 13 12 8 4 0 Not at all certain 3% 1% 4% 3% 5% 3% 0 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% - 10 5 2 3 3 5 2 3 7 3 6 1 0 Don't know 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 5 0 2 3 2 0 3 2 3 2 2 0 0 (DK/NS) 0 - 1% 1% 0 - 1% 0 1% 0 0 - - Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz4. Some people say that the NDP government under Premier Rachel Notley has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected. Other people say that it is time for another provincial party to take over and run the province. Which of these statements is closer to your point of view? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 Notley government has done a good job and deserves 457 159 178 120 159 154 145 215 242 387 21 16 5 re-election 38% 39% 45% 30% 43% 36% 36% 36% 40% 93% 4% 22% 7% Time for another provincial party to take over 621 210 163 248 163 221 236 325 296 7 497 49 35 52% 52% 41% 63% 45% 51% 59% 54% 49% 2% 94% 68% 45% 124 35 60 29 45 58 21 59 65 23 10 7 37 No opinion – no impression at all 10% 9% 15% 7% 12% 13% 5% 10% 11% 6% 2% 10% 48% Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz5. Which outcome do you think is most likely in the upcoming Alberta election? Region Age Gender Vote The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 65 22 31 12 29 25 11 29 36 48 6 3 2 NDP majority 11% 11% 16% 6% 16% 12% 6% 10% 12% 22% 3% 6% 5% 241 73 68 101 64 79 99 127 114 44 164 19 6 United Conservative (UCP) majority 40% 36% 33% 51% 35% 37% 48% 43% 37% 21% 68% 41% 12% 75 25 31 19 23 25 27 37 38 56 5 6 6 NDP minority 12% 12% 15% 10% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 26% 2% 13% 12% 119 42 38 39 27 50 43 59 60 46 54 9 6 United Conservative (UCP) minority 20% 21% 19% 20% 15% 23% 21% 20% 19% 21% 23% 19% 12% 18 6 6 6 9 7 2 10 8 4 1 6 5 Some other outcome 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 12% 10% 83 33 29 22 32 27 25 30 53 19 10 4 26 No opinion – no idea at all 14% 16% 14% 11% 17% 13% 12% 10% 17% 9% 4% 8% 50% Summary 140 47 62 31 52 50 38 66 74 104 12 9 8 Total NDP 23% 23% 31% 15% 28% 24% 18% 23% 24% 48% 5% 19% 17% 360 115 106 140 91 128 142 187 174 90 218 27 12 Total United Conservative (UCP) 60% 57% 52% 71% 49% 61% 69% 64% 56% 42% 90% 60% 24% Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables cz6.
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