Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in , which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 393 133 160 99 127 138 128 178 215 393 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 33% 33% 40% 25% 35% 32% 32% 30% 36% 94% - - - 509 171 134 203 121 183 205 275 234 0 509 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 42% 42% 34% 51% 33% 42% 51% 46% 39% - 96% - - 66 19 19 28 29 23 13 36 30 0 0 66 0 The 5% 5% 5% 7% 8% 5% 3% 6% 5% - - 91% - 10 7 2 1 5 4 1 5 5 0 0 0 0 The Alberta 1% 2% 1% 0 1% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 16 6 5 5 6 6 4 6 10 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% - - - - 63 23 23 17 25 27 11 35 27 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 5% 6% 6% 4% 7% 6% 3% 6% 5% - - - - 7 1 4 1 0 5 2 4 3 0 0 0 0 Refused 1% 0 1% 0 - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - - 139 44 53 42 55 46 39 60 79 25 19 6 77 Undecided 12% 11% 13% 11% 15% 11% 10% 10% 13% 6% 4% 9% 100%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided

Base: Undecided on parties' candidates would support 140 43 57 40 45 53 42 50 90 22 16 8 80 Weighted 139 44 53 42 55 46 39 60 79 25 19 6 77 25 9 9 7 8 9 8 11 14 25 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 18% 21% 17% 17% 15% 21% 21% 18% 18% 100% - - - 19 6 6 7 7 2 10 7 13 0 19 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 14% 15% 12% 16% 12% 5% 27% 11% 16% - 100% - - 6 3 3 1 2 4 0 3 4 0 0 6 0 The Alberta Party 5% 6% 6% 2% 3% 10% - 4% 5% - - 100% - 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 The 0 1% - - 0 1% - 0 0 - - - - 5 0 2 3 4 1 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 3% 1% 3% 6% 7% 2% 1% 6% 2% - - - - 3 0 1 2 3 1 0 3 1 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 2% - 2% 6% 5% 2% - 4% 1% - - - - 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 Refused 2% - 2% 3% - 3% 3% 2% 2% - - - -

Completely undecided – not even leaning toward one 77 25 31 22 32 27 19 33 44 0 0 0 77 party 55% 56% 58% 51% 58% 58% 49% 54% 56% - - - 100%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in Alberta, which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support? cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 418 142 170 106 135 147 136 189 229 418 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 35% 35% 42% 27% 37% 34% 34% 32% 38% 100% - - - 528 177 141 210 127 186 215 281 247 0 528 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 44% 44% 35% 53% 35% 43% 53% 47% 41% - 100% - - 72 21 22 29 31 28 13 38 34 0 0 72 0 The Alberta Party 6% 5% 5% 7% 8% 6% 3% 6% 6% - - 100% - 11 7 2 1 5 5 1 5 6 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 1% 2% 1% 0 1% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 21 7 6 8 9 7 5 10 11 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% - - - - 66 23 24 19 28 28 11 38 28 0 0 0 0 Will not vote/None/Will spoil ballot 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 6% 3% 6% 5% - - - - 9 1 5 3 0 6 3 5 4 0 0 0 0 Refused 1% 0 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% - - - -

Completely undecided – not even leaning toward one 77 25 31 22 32 27 19 33 44 0 0 0 77 party 6% 6% 8% 5% 9% 6% 5% 5% 7% - - - 100%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz1. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a provincial election were held tomorrow here in Alberta, which of the following parties' candidates would you be most likely to support? cz2. Well, which of the following parties' candidates would you say you lean towards?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: Decided vote plus lean 1059 366 356 337 252 371 436 509 550 403 469 106 0 Weighted 1050 356 341 354 308 372 370 524 526 418 528 72 0 418 142 170 106 135 147 136 189 229 418 0 0 0 Alberta's NDP 40% 40% 50% 30% 44% 40% 37% 36% 44% 100% - - - 528 177 141 210 127 186 215 281 247 0 528 0 0 The United Conservative Party (UCP) 50% 50% 41% 59% 41% 50% 58% 54% 47% - 100% - - 72 21 22 29 31 28 13 38 34 0 0 72 0 The Alberta Party 7% 6% 6% 8% 10% 8% 4% 7% 6% - - 100% - 11 7 2 1 5 5 1 5 6 0 0 0 0 The Alberta Liberal Party 1% 2% 1% 0 2% 1% 0 1% 1% - - - - 21 7 6 8 9 7 5 10 11 0 0 0 0 Other (specify) 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% - - - -

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz3. And how certain are you that you will vote for that party on Election Day?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: Decided vote plus lean 1059 366 356 337 252 371 436 509 550 403 469 106 0 Weighted 1050 356 341 354 308 372 370 524 526 418 528 72 0 755 240 252 263 192 262 302 386 369 289 424 30 0 Very certain 72% 68% 74% 74% 62% 70% 82% 74% 70% 69% 80% 41% - 190 76 57 57 71 64 55 91 100 90 68 24 0 Fairly certain 18% 21% 17% 16% 23% 17% 15% 17% 19% 21% 13% 34% - 60 30 14 17 23 30 7 26 34 23 19 13 0 Not very certain 6% 8% 4% 5% 7% 8% 2% 5% 7% 6% 4% 18% - 29 4 13 11 16 11 1 17 13 12 8 4 0 Not at all certain 3% 1% 4% 3% 5% 3% 0 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% - 10 5 2 3 3 5 2 3 7 3 6 1 0 Don't know 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% - 5 0 2 3 2 0 3 2 3 2 2 0 0 (DK/NS) 0 - 1% 1% 0 - 1% 0 1% 0 0 - -

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz4. Some people say that the NDP government under Premier has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected. Other people say that it is time for another provincial party to take over and run the province. Which of these statements is closer to your point of view?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77

Notley government has done a good job and deserves 457 159 178 120 159 154 145 215 242 387 21 16 5 re-election 38% 39% 45% 30% 43% 36% 36% 36% 40% 93% 4% 22% 7%

Time for another provincial party to take over 621 210 163 248 163 221 236 325 296 7 497 49 35 52% 52% 41% 63% 45% 51% 59% 54% 49% 2% 94% 68% 45% 124 35 60 29 45 58 21 59 65 23 10 7 37 No opinion – no impression at all 10% 9% 15% 7% 12% 13% 5% 10% 11% 6% 2% 10% 48%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz5. Which outcome do you think is most likely in the upcoming Alberta election?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 65 22 31 12 29 25 11 29 36 48 6 3 2 NDP majority 11% 11% 16% 6% 16% 12% 6% 10% 12% 22% 3% 6% 5% 241 73 68 101 64 79 99 127 114 44 164 19 6 United Conservative (UCP) majority 40% 36% 33% 51% 35% 37% 48% 43% 37% 21% 68% 41% 12% 75 25 31 19 23 25 27 37 38 56 5 6 6 NDP minority 12% 12% 15% 10% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 26% 2% 13% 12% 119 42 38 39 27 50 43 59 60 46 54 9 6 United Conservative (UCP) minority 20% 21% 19% 20% 15% 23% 21% 20% 19% 21% 23% 19% 12% 18 6 6 6 9 7 2 10 8 4 1 6 5 Some other outcome 3% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 12% 10% 83 33 29 22 32 27 25 30 53 19 10 4 26 No opinion – no idea at all 14% 16% 14% 11% 17% 13% 12% 10% 17% 9% 4% 8% 50% Summary 140 47 62 31 52 50 38 66 74 104 12 9 8 Total NDP 23% 23% 31% 15% 28% 24% 18% 23% 24% 48% 5% 19% 17% 360 115 106 140 91 128 142 187 174 90 218 27 12 Total United Conservative (UCP) 60% 57% 52% 71% 49% 61% 69% 64% 56% 42% 90% 60% 24%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz6. Regardless of your political preference, which of these leaders do you think would make the best ?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 1202 406 420 376 298 430 474 574 628 403 469 106 80 Weighted 1202 404 401 397 367 433 403 599 603 418 528 72 77 448 159 173 115 139 161 147 201 246 374 32 9 10 Rachel Notley 37% 39% 43% 29% 38% 37% 37% 34% 41% 89% 6% 12% 13% 418 148 101 169 104 148 167 223 195 2 384 7 7 35% 37% 25% 43% 28% 34% 41% 37% 32% 1% 73% 10% 10% 110 24 52 34 41 39 30 63 47 17 36 36 7 9% 6% 13% 9% 11% 9% 7% 11% 8% 4% 7% 50% 9% 35 9 14 11 15 10 9 24 11 9 13 8 2 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2% 12% 3% 191 65 60 67 68 74 50 87 104 17 64 11 50 No opinion – no impression at all 16% 16% 15% 17% 19% 17% 12% 15% 17% 4% 12% 16% 66%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz71. (TOTAL MENTION) Which one or two of the following issues do you feel should receive the greatest attention from Alberta's leaders?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 191 69 62 60 60 80 51 80 111 67 80 15 18 Jobs/employment 32% 34% 31% 30% 33% 38% 25% 27% 36% 31% 33% 32% 36% 138 39 51 48 35 43 60 52 86 78 29 9 13 Healthcare 23% 19% 25% 24% 19% 20% 29% 18% 28% 36% 12% 19% 26% 134 43 49 42 30 40 63 71 63 37 80 7 7 Building pipelines 22% 21% 24% 21% 16% 19% 31% 24% 20% 17% 33% 16% 14% 123 52 37 35 33 40 50 61 62 49 49 13 7 General economy 20% 26% 18% 17% 18% 19% 24% 21% 20% 23% 20% 28% 14% 95 24 26 45 18 40 38 63 32 15 64 7 5 Carbon tax 16% 12% 13% 23% 10% 19% 18% 21% 10% 7% 27% 15% 10% 84 25 29 30 16 18 50 44 39 14 51 6 8 Government spending/deficit 14% 12% 14% 15% 8% 8% 24% 15% 13% 7% 21% 14% 16%

Oil and gas related issues (other than pipelines) 77 23 22 33 27 26 24 43 34 26 40 4 1 13% 11% 11% 17% 15% 12% 12% 15% 11% 12% 17% 8% 1%

Social issues (e.g. poverty, homelessness) 71 25 27 20 30 29 12 22 49 40 13 6 5 12% 12% 13% 10% 16% 14% 6% 8% 16% 18% 5% 14% 10% 66 21 26 19 34 23 9 23 44 30 18 7 4 Education 11% 11% 13% 9% 19% 11% 4% 8% 14% 14% 8% 15% 8% 48 18 17 12 19 19 9 25 23 25 8 4 5 Environment 8% 9% 9% 6% 11% 9% 4% 8% 7% 11% 3% 8% 10% 35 15 11 9 15 12 8 20 15 11 11 5 4 Taxes (other than carbon tax) 6% 7% 6% 4% 8% 5% 4% 7% 5% 5% 5% 11% 8% 21 5 4 12 4 10 7 14 7 11 6 1 3 Infrastructure investment 4% 3% 2% 6% 2% 5% 4% 5% 2% 5% 2% 3% 7%

Alberta's relationship with the federal government 20 7 8 6 4 3 13 11 9 7 8 3 0 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 7% - 9 1 4 4 2 5 3 6 3 1 3 0 3 Other 2% 0 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - 5% 24 11 9 4 10 11 3 14 11 3 2 2 6 No opinion 4% 6% 4% 2% 5% 5% 1% 5% 3% 1% 1% 4% 13%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_1. (Alberta's relationship with the federal government) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 194 66 80 48 57 71 66 95 99 154 14 9 6 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 32% 33% 40% 24% 31% 34% 32% 33% 32% 71% 6% 20% 12%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 194 61 52 81 40 61 93 102 92 4 174 7 5 (UCP) 32% 31% 26% 41% 22% 29% 45% 35% 30% 2% 72% 16% 10% 34 8 10 15 18 12 4 18 17 6 6 18 2 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 6% 4% 5% 8% 10% 6% 2% 6% 5% 3% 2% 38% 4%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 32 10 13 8 14 11 7 16 16 15 8 3 2 5% 5% 7% 4% 8% 5% 3% 6% 5% 7% 3% 6% 5% 146 54 46 47 54 57 35 62 84 37 39 9 35 Don't know – no impression 24% 27% 23% 24% 30% 27% 17% 21% 27% 17% 16% 20% 69%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_2. (Building pipelines) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 189 62 78 49 56 66 67 87 103 150 15 9 8 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 32% 31% 38% 25% 31% 31% 33% 29% 33% 70% 6% 19% 15%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 241 77 70 95 62 76 103 132 109 25 190 11 6 (UCP) 40% 38% 35% 48% 34% 36% 50% 45% 36% 11% 79% 24% 12% 27 9 8 10 14 9 4 16 10 4 7 14 0 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 4% 5% 4% 5% 8% 4% 2% 6% 3% 2% 3% 31% -

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 13 5 3 5 9 3 2 9 4 4 4 2 1 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 5% 2% 130 46 43 41 42 59 30 49 81 33 25 10 36 Don't know – no impression 22% 23% 21% 20% 23% 28% 14% 17% 26% 15% 10% 21% 71%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_3. (Carbon tax) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 189 63 76 50 63 63 63 93 95 142 18 8 11 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 31% 32% 37% 25% 35% 30% 30% 32% 31% 66% 8% 17% 21%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 239 77 63 99 51 79 109 127 112 21 195 12 7 (UCP) 40% 38% 31% 50% 28% 37% 53% 43% 36% 10% 81% 25% 14% 25 5 12 8 9 10 6 16 9 4 4 15 0 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 4% 3% 6% 4% 5% 5% 3% 6% 3% 2% 2% 33% 1%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 18 8 7 4 12 6 0 9 9 8 4 2 0 3% 4% 3% 2% 6% 3% 0 3% 3% 4% 2% 4% - 130 47 45 37 48 53 28 48 82 40 20 9 33 Don't know – no impression 22% 24% 22% 19% 26% 25% 14% 16% 27% 19% 8% 20% 64%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_4. (General economy) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 182 63 70 49 60 60 62 85 97 151 9 5 6 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 30% 32% 35% 24% 33% 29% 30% 29% 31% 70% 4% 12% 12%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 234 80 63 90 51 77 106 123 111 18 198 9 3 (UCP) 39% 40% 31% 45% 28% 37% 51% 42% 36% 8% 82% 19% 7% 49 11 17 20 23 18 7 27 22 12 8 22 2 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 6% 9% 10% 12% 9% 4% 9% 7% 6% 3% 49% 5%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 19 8 7 4 9 8 2 12 6 6 5 4 0 3% 4% 3% 2% 5% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% 9% 1% 118 38 45 36 41 47 30 47 71 28 22 5 39 Don't know – no impression 20% 19% 22% 18% 22% 22% 14% 16% 23% 13% 9% 12% 76%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_5. (Education) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 233 84 89 60 76 82 75 113 120 178 28 7 11 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 39% 42% 44% 30% 42% 39% 36% 39% 39% 82% 12% 15% 22%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 154 48 34 72 36 45 73 88 65 4 138 6 1 (UCP) 26% 24% 17% 36% 19% 21% 35% 30% 21% 2% 57% 13% 2% 58 15 26 17 16 29 14 30 28 7 23 23 1 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 10% 8% 13% 8% 8% 13% 7% 10% 9% 3% 10% 49% 2%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 23 8 10 5 12 6 4 11 12 8 5 5 3 4% 4% 5% 3% 7% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 2% 10% 5% 133 45 43 45 43 50 40 51 82 19 47 5 35 Don't know – no impression 22% 23% 21% 23% 24% 23% 19% 17% 27% 9% 20% 12% 69%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_6. (Environment) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 228 82 91 55 72 75 81 113 116 167 35 7 9 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 38% 41% 45% 28% 39% 36% 39% 38% 38% 77% 15% 15% 18%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 139 43 32 64 28 43 68 82 57 4 123 6 2 (UCP) 23% 22% 16% 32% 15% 20% 33% 28% 19% 2% 51% 12% 3% 51 10 20 20 21 18 12 23 27 9 17 21 1 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 5% 10% 10% 11% 8% 6% 8% 9% 4% 7% 46% 3%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 24 12 8 4 17 7 0 14 10 9 8 4 0 4% 6% 4% 2% 9% 4% 0 5% 3% 4% 3% 8% - 159 52 51 55 46 68 45 62 97 27 58 8 39 Don't know – no impression 26% 26% 25% 28% 25% 32% 22% 21% 32% 12% 24% 18% 76%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_7. (Government spending/deficit) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 142 44 62 36 44 50 48 64 78 119 9 4 2 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 24% 22% 31% 18% 24% 23% 23% 22% 25% 55% 4% 8% 4%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 244 81 72 91 56 78 110 134 110 28 193 11 6 (UCP) 41% 40% 36% 46% 30% 37% 53% 46% 36% 13% 80% 24% 11% 46 13 14 19 16 16 14 22 24 14 11 20 1 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 6% 4% 43% 2%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 23 8 7 9 13 9 1 15 8 12 5 4 0 4% 4% 3% 4% 7% 4% 1% 5% 3% 5% 2% 8% - 146 54 47 45 54 58 33 58 88 44 23 8 42 Don't know – no impression 24% 27% 23% 22% 30% 28% 16% 20% 29% 20% 10% 17% 83%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_8. (Healthcare) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 238 82 96 60 77 81 80 112 126 178 29 6 11 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 40% 41% 47% 30% 42% 38% 39% 38% 41% 83% 12% 13% 21%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 156 47 35 74 32 49 75 89 67 7 139 5 2 (UCP) 26% 24% 17% 37% 17% 23% 36% 30% 22% 3% 58% 10% 5% 52 18 19 15 19 20 13 26 26 7 18 23 1 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 9% 9% 10% 7% 11% 9% 6% 9% 9% 3% 8% 51% 2%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 26 10 8 8 13 9 4 17 10 6 11 4 2 4% 5% 4% 4% 7% 4% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 9% 4% 129 43 44 42 41 53 34 50 78 17 44 7 35 Don't know – no impression 21% 21% 22% 21% 23% 25% 17% 17% 26% 8% 18% 16% 67%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_9. (Infrastructure investment) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 189 62 74 53 54 70 66 89 100 150 16 7 7 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 32% 31% 37% 27% 29% 33% 32% 30% 33% 70% 7% 16% 15%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 184 62 46 76 47 56 82 98 87 11 156 7 4 (UCP) 31% 31% 23% 38% 26% 26% 40% 33% 28% 5% 65% 15% 8% 50 14 16 20 18 21 11 35 16 9 18 18 2 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 7% 8% 10% 10% 10% 5% 12% 5% 4% 7% 41% 3%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 17 6 9 2 12 4 2 9 8 4 7 1 2 3% 3% 5% 1% 6% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 160 56 56 48 53 60 46 63 97 42 44 11 36 Don't know – no impression 27% 28% 28% 24% 29% 29% 22% 21% 31% 19% 18% 25% 71%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_10. (Jobs/employment) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 181 60 74 47 60 59 63 84 97 150 10 7 5 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 30% 30% 37% 24% 33% 28% 30% 29% 32% 70% 4% 15% 10%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 235 83 62 90 52 76 107 129 106 20 196 8 5 (UCP) 39% 42% 30% 45% 29% 36% 52% 44% 34% 9% 81% 17% 10% 39 11 13 15 16 17 5 23 16 7 9 18 2 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 6% 5% 7% 7% 9% 8% 3% 8% 5% 3% 4% 40% 3%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 15 3 7 5 13 1 2 6 10 4 5 3 1 3% 2% 4% 2% 7% 0 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 6% 2% 130 43 46 42 42 58 29 51 79 34 22 10 39 Don't know – no impression 22% 21% 23% 21% 23% 28% 14% 17% 26% 16% 9% 22% 76%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_11. (Oil and gas related issues (other than pipelines)) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 179 60 71 48 54 62 63 81 97 145 11 7 8 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 30% 30% 35% 24% 30% 29% 30% 28% 32% 67% 4% 16% 15%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 250 89 67 94 62 81 107 131 120 30 198 12 3 (UCP) 42% 45% 33% 47% 34% 38% 52% 45% 39% 14% 82% 26% 5% 41 6 20 15 19 17 5 27 13 9 10 17 1 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 7% 3% 10% 7% 10% 8% 2% 9% 4% 4% 4% 37% 3%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 12 5 3 5 7 5 1 6 5 3 2 3 1 2% 2% 1% 2% 4% 2% 0 2% 2% 1% 1% 7% 2% 119 40 42 38 41 47 31 48 72 29 22 7 38 Don't know – no impression 20% 20% 21% 19% 22% 22% 15% 16% 23% 13% 9% 15% 75%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_12. (Social issues (e.g. poverty, homelessness) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 237 84 90 63 73 83 82 115 123 171 39 9 8 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 40% 42% 45% 32% 40% 39% 40% 39% 40% 79% 16% 19% 15%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 133 41 28 64 28 43 62 75 58 6 116 6 2 (UCP) 22% 20% 14% 32% 15% 20% 30% 26% 19% 3% 48% 12% 4% 51 13 19 18 18 21 12 26 25 5 20 20 3 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 7% 10% 9% 10% 10% 6% 9% 8% 2% 8% 44% 5%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 29 13 11 5 19 8 3 15 14 8 9 4 4 5% 6% 6% 3% 10% 4% 1% 5% 5% 4% 4% 8% 7% 150 48 53 49 46 56 48 63 88 26 58 8 35 Don't know – no impression 25% 24% 26% 25% 25% 27% 23% 21% 28% 12% 24% 17% 68%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz8_13. (Taxes (other than carbon tax)) Which of the leaders/parties do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 163 54 67 42 50 54 60 75 88 134 10 5 5 Rachel Notley and Alberta's NDP 27% 27% 33% 21% 27% 25% 29% 26% 29% 62% 4% 11% 10%

Jason Kenney and The United Conservative Party 226 82 56 88 53 71 103 123 103 20 190 8 4 (UCP) 38% 41% 28% 44% 29% 33% 50% 42% 34% 9% 79% 18% 8% 46 13 17 16 16 23 6 29 18 12 9 19 3 Stephen Mandel and The Alberta Party 8% 7% 8% 8% 9% 11% 3% 10% 6% 6% 4% 42% 5%

David Khan and The Alberta Liberal Party 29 4 13 12 17 8 3 13 15 11 7 3 4 5% 2% 6% 6% 9% 4% 2% 5% 5% 5% 3% 7% 7% 137 47 49 41 47 56 34 53 84 39 26 10 36 Don't know – no impression 23% 23% 24% 21% 25% 26% 17% 18% 27% 18% 11% 21% 69%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_1. (Caring) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 247 92 94 61 78 88 81 117 130 184 34 5 12 Rachel Notley 41% 46% 46% 31% 43% 42% 39% 40% 42% 85% 14% 12% 23% 119 37 26 56 30 34 55 68 51 4 105 4 2 Jason Kenney 20% 19% 13% 28% 16% 16% 26% 23% 17% 2% 43% 9% 4% 54 11 22 21 14 24 16 30 24 2 23 23 3 Stephen Mandel 9% 5% 11% 10% 8% 11% 8% 10% 8% 1% 10% 51% 7% 20 7 10 3 10 7 2 14 6 3 8 4 2 David Khan 3% 3% 5% 2% 6% 3% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3% 8% 4% 161 52 50 59 50 58 53 64 97 23 71 9 32 Don't know – no impression 27% 26% 25% 29% 27% 27% 26% 22% 32% 11% 30% 21% 62%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_2. (Competent) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 216 76 86 53 59 81 76 101 115 175 17 5 8 Rachel Notley 36% 38% 43% 27% 32% 38% 37% 34% 37% 81% 7% 11% 16% 183 63 40 80 46 53 85 106 78 6 161 7 2 Jason Kenney 31% 32% 20% 40% 25% 25% 41% 36% 25% 3% 67% 16% 3% 50 11 19 20 18 22 11 30 20 9 13 24 3 Stephen Mandel 8% 5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 5% 10% 7% 4% 5% 53% 6% 17 5 6 6 9 4 3 9 8 3 5 2 2 David Khan 3% 2% 3% 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 5% 4% 135 45 50 40 51 53 31 48 87 23 45 7 36 Don't know – no impression 22% 22% 25% 20% 28% 25% 15% 16% 28% 11% 19% 15% 71%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_3. (Honest) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 201 77 76 48 63 65 73 99 102 162 17 5 7 Rachel Notley 33% 39% 37% 24% 34% 31% 36% 34% 33% 75% 7% 12% 15% 111 32 23 56 28 32 51 66 45 3 100 5 1 Jason Kenney 18% 16% 11% 28% 16% 15% 25% 23% 15% 1% 41% 10% 2% 59 14 26 20 16 22 21 27 32 8 24 22 4 Stephen Mandel 10% 7% 13% 10% 9% 10% 10% 9% 10% 4% 10% 48% 8% 26 9 12 6 9 14 3 20 6 8 8 3 2 David Khan 4% 4% 6% 3% 5% 7% 1% 7% 2% 4% 3% 6% 4% 204 68 67 69 66 79 59 81 123 35 93 11 37 Don't know – no impression 34% 34% 33% 35% 36% 37% 28% 28% 40% 16% 38% 25% 72%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_4. (Likeable) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 222 80 91 51 71 71 80 103 119 165 29 7 11 Rachel Notley 37% 40% 45% 26% 39% 33% 39% 35% 39% 76% 12% 14% 22% 129 45 26 58 34 39 56 75 54 4 114 5 2 Jason Kenney 21% 23% 13% 29% 18% 19% 27% 26% 18% 2% 47% 11% 3% 78 19 30 30 23 29 27 46 32 14 32 24 4 Stephen Mandel 13% 9% 15% 15% 12% 14% 13% 16% 10% 7% 13% 52% 7% 35 12 12 12 11 15 9 19 16 13 13 3 3 David Khan 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 7% 5% 6% 6% 6% 5% 137 44 44 49 45 58 34 50 87 20 52 8 32 Don't know – no impression 23% 22% 22% 25% 24% 27% 17% 17% 28% 9% 22% 17% 63%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_5. (Smart) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 212 73 88 50 63 76 73 106 105 161 24 6 10 Rachel Notley 35% 37% 44% 25% 35% 36% 35% 36% 34% 74% 10% 12% 19% 165 59 38 69 38 50 78 93 73 10 144 4 2 Jason Kenney 28% 30% 19% 34% 21% 24% 38% 32% 24% 5% 60% 9% 4% 60 12 26 22 20 28 12 32 28 10 21 25 1 Stephen Mandel 10% 6% 13% 11% 11% 13% 6% 11% 9% 5% 9% 55% 3% 33 14 7 11 16 8 9 17 16 11 10 3 4 David Khan 5% 7% 4% 6% 8% 4% 4% 6% 5% 5% 4% 7% 8% 131 41 43 47 46 50 34 45 86 24 42 7 34 Don't know – no impression 22% 20% 21% 24% 25% 24% 17% 15% 28% 11% 17% 16% 66%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_6. (Tough) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 170 61 67 42 53 59 59 79 91 133 15 8 7 Rachel Notley 28% 31% 33% 21% 29% 28% 29% 27% 30% 61% 6% 17% 14% 233 80 68 85 54 74 105 132 101 35 170 12 5 Jason Kenney 39% 40% 33% 43% 29% 35% 51% 45% 33% 16% 71% 26% 10% 29 4 8 17 14 11 4 17 12 7 9 11 0 Stephen Mandel 5% 2% 4% 9% 8% 5% 2% 6% 4% 3% 4% 24% 1% 22 5 8 8 12 9 0 13 9 8 6 3 2 David Khan 4% 3% 4% 4% 7% 4% 0 4% 3% 4% 2% 7% 4% 147 49 52 46 51 59 37 52 95 34 41 12 37 Don't know – no impression 24% 25% 26% 23% 28% 28% 18% 18% 31% 16% 17% 26% 71%

Ipsos Alberta Election Alberta Election Detailed Tables

cz9_7. (Trustworthy) Which of the party leaders do you think is best described by each of the following words?

Region Age Gender Vote

The Alberta Total Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB 18-34 35-54 55+ Male Female NDP UCP Party Undecided Base: All respondents 801 273 288 240 225 288 288 353 448 268 291 83 66 Weighted 601 200 202 199 183 212 206 294 307 216 241 46 51 200 70 80 50 60 66 74 98 103 167 13 5 7 Rachel Notley 33% 35% 40% 25% 33% 31% 36% 33% 33% 77% 5% 11% 14% 135 45 26 64 35 38 62 81 54 4 121 5 1 Jason Kenney 22% 23% 13% 32% 19% 18% 30% 27% 18% 2% 50% 11% 2% 60 16 26 18 15 29 16 34 25 8 23 23 2 Stephen Mandel 10% 8% 13% 9% 8% 14% 8% 12% 8% 4% 10% 50% 5% 21 5 9 7 12 4 4 14 7 4 8 3 2 David Khan 3% 3% 4% 3% 7% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 3% 7% 3% 185 64 61 60 61 74 50 67 118 34 76 9 39 Don't know – no impression 31% 32% 30% 30% 33% 35% 24% 23% 38% 16% 32% 21% 76%

Ipsos Alberta Election