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CDMA2000 Network Path to LTE CDMA2000 Network Path to LTE Joe Lawrence Vice President, Marketing CDMA Development Group September 17, 2009 CDMA2000 Network Subscriber Data Revenue Growth Growth Growth 2007 2009 2008 2013 2007 2008 12 more networks Over ½ billion 35 percent being launched subscribers growth from top in 2009 as of June 2009 3 C*CDMA carriers* Source: CDG, August 2009 Source: Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun Source: Chetan Sharma, 2009 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group * Top 3 CDMA carriers in terms of data revenue: 2 (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) Verizon, KDDI and Sprint summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008 www.cdg.org CDMA Operators with Announced LTE plans The following CDMA2000 operators have announced their plans to deploy LTE Most other CDMA2000 operators do not have the requisite 2 demand, spectrum or capital to deploy LTE www.cdg.org CDMA2000 Manufacturers Working on LTE The following CDG members are developing LTE devices and equipment Infrastructure Vendors Chipset and Device Vendors Test Vendors 2 www.cdg.org What do operators want? • Meet the growing demand for voice and data • Offer an unsurpassed user experience • Reduce the cost of delivering services • Maximize the return on existing investments 2 www.cdg.org CDMA2000 and OFDMOFDM--BasedBased Solutions CDMA2000 is complemented with several OFDMOFDM--basedbased solutions CDMA2000 Evo lu tion Pa th CDMA2000 1X 1X Advanced H/\W 1xEV-DO 1xEV-DO Multicarrier Upgrade DO Advanced Rel. 0 Rev. A EV-DO Rev. B OFDMAOFDMA--basedbased Technologies LTE or Mobile WiMAX 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013+ LTE is part of the CDMA2000 technology roadmap 2 www.cdg.org CDMA and OFDMOFDM--basedbased Technologies CDMA and OFDM are complementary technologies OFDM-based broadband networks will complement 3G CDMA Additional Backhaul Broadcast Broadband Capacity DVB-H ISDB-T LTE MFLO WiMAX 802.16d Mobile WiMAX S-DMB Wi-Fi T-DMB CMMB 2 www.cdg.org CDMA vs. OFDMA CDMA and OFDMA are different technologies with different capabilities CDMA2000 1X and EV--DODO are more efficient in bandwidths up to 5 MHz OFDMA-bdltiffililbased solutions offers a simpler implement ttiiation in bandwidths greater than 10 MHz 2 www.cdg.org Lessons Learned: Migration from 1G to 2G to 3G • Takes longer, and is never as simple as it may seem • Graceful evolutionary change is preferred • Coverage is king • Multimode devices are essential • EiflttEconomies of scale matters • A mature ecosystem is desired To sustain its exponential growth, the global mobile industry should continue strengthening and expanding its existing ecosystem, while it embraces and assimilates newer technologies and players within its fold 2 Source: IDC www.cdg.org LTE Interoperability: CDG Areas of Focus Current CDG initiatives Seamless Mobility: • To ensure service continuity, inter-standard hand-offs between LTE and CDMA2000 networks is essential System Determination: • To maximize revenue, the appropriate system determination algorithms must exist in every CDMA2000/LTE device Device Certification: • To ensure full compliance, device certification from an independent third-party is sanctioned Inter-Standard Global Roaming: • To enable global roaming, inter-standard roaming between LTE and CDMA2000 networks is essential 2 www.cdg.org CDMA: Efficient and Flexible Spectrum Utilization CDMA2000’s 1.25 MHz bandwidth facilitates subscriber traffic management Minimizes “stranded” spectrum assets required to support embedded user equipment while moving between technologies 1X 1X 1X 1X EV-DO EV-DO Advanced CDMA2000 1X 1X Advanced EVDOEV-DO EV-DO EV-DO 1X LTE Rev. A Rev.Rev. B B #2 Mu lt ip le #3 Multi- Bands & Bands, One Technologies, One Antenna Set OA&M Umbrella #1 Multiple Technologies, One Backhaul 1X EV-DO LTE Advanced CDMA offers greater flexibility to implement LTE. Several vendors support LTE in existing CDMA2000 2 base stations, with common radios and antennas. www.cdg.org OFDMA Broadband Overlay Timeline OFDMOFDM--basedbased solutions will be builtbuilt--outout over time as demand grows and spectrum becomes available Today 3G CDMA WAN Cov er age Next 10 years OFDM OFDM OFDM (Coexistence) Urban-zone 3G CDMA Urban-zone 3G CDMA Urban-zone Beyond 10 years OFDMA (Migration) WAN Coverage 3G CDMA WAN networks will coexist with OFDMOFDM--basedbased solutions until next generati on b roadb and net work s are f ull y capabl e of d eli veri ng: 1) Ubiquitous coverage 2) Carrier- Carrier-gradegrade VoIP 3) LowLow--costcost devices * 4) Global roaming * 2 * Harmonization of spectrum for OFDM-based solutions will be necessary to build economies of scale and enable global roaming www.cdg.org What about LTE voice communications Most CDMA2000 operators will rely on their CDMA2000 1X network to deliver voice LTE only for voice and data? Or, LTE for data and 1X for traditional voice? Factors to consider: How important is simultaneous voice & data? How important is an all-IP service model? Should voice capacity be maximized? Traditional CAPEX spending priorities? LTE VoIP? C/S 1X Voice? Handset comppylexity? Roaming Partners? Timing? 1X Advanced? EV-DO VoIP? 2 www.cdg.org 3G/4G mu lt imode de vice a va ilab ility will drive the commercialization of LTE 2 www.cdg.org EVEV--DODO Evolution Periods Ubiquitous Additional Capacity Mature VoIP; Seamless EV-DO Service Femtocells Concurrent VoIP/Data; LTE Handoff VoIP High-Definition Multimedia; Integration w/LTE Mature DO EV-DO arket EV-DO Advanced MM Rev. B EV-DO Rev. A ressable dd LTE % of Ad % of LTE First Volume LTE LTE First Small Devices Regional First Full Scale VlVolumes Deployments Deployments Today 2010-2011 2012 2015 2017 2 Source: Airvana` www.cdg.org CDMA2000 WorldModeTM Devices More than 200 WorldMode devices from more than 57 vendors CDMA2000 1X CDMA2000 1X EV-DO Rev. A + + + GSM EV-DO Rev. A HSPA + + GPRS GSM + Nokia RIM BlackBerry GPRS 8830 2865 Dell Precision Series What CDMA2000 1X Comes CDMA2000 1X + + EV-DO Rev. A Next? EV-DO Rev. A/B + + Coming! HSPA LTE LG SH-100 2 Samples shown, LTE WorldMode is concept only www.cdg.org World’s First 3G/4G WorldModeTM Device Enables Mobile WiMAX devices to roam onto EV -DO Rev. A networks EV-DO Rev. A + Mobile WiMAX Franklin U300 Several CDMA2000/LTE multimode and multiband devices are being developed 2 www.cdg.org Next Generation Multimode Devices Next generation mobile broadband devices will leverage the learning curve of CDMA2000 Wor ldMo deTM didevices LTE WiMAX* LTE WCDMA WiMAX* HSPA+ EV-DO Rev. B EV-DO Rev. B EV-DO Rev. A EV-DO Rev. A EV-DO Re l. 0 EV-DO Rel. 0 GPS GPS 1X 1X Radio Frequency Links: 450 MHz 700 MHz 800 MHz 900 MHz 1500 MHzGPS 1700 MHz 1800 MHz 1900 MHz AWS 2100 MHz 2500 MHz 3500 MHz Radio frequency selection is carriercarrier--dependentdependent *2 WiMAX is enabled using a separate chipset ** MDM 9800 and MDM 9600 chipsets will support FDD and TDD duplex modes and different carrier bandwidths. www.cdg.org Initial WorldMode LTE Device Availability CDMA industry is developing CDMA2000 / LTE multimode/multiband devices Multimode LTE Commercial Device Availability Modes: •LTE LTE Peak Data Rates (20 MHz): • CDMA2000 1X DL: 50 Mbps • EV-DO Rev. A UL: 25 Mbps • EV-DO Rev. B •UMTS • HSPA+ PC Card Handset Q4 Q2 2009 2010 2011 2 www.cdg.org Migration Timeline With an increasing number of subscribers the migration process is lengthening 4G Migration of Subscribers 3G Growth of 2G peaks 2G 2G subs exceed 1G subs – Roughly 15 years after inception of industry. 1G 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 Puttin g thin gs into pe rspect iv e. The generational migration process will take many years. Voice will remain the Killer Application. Source:2 Net growth average of Strategy Analytics (Jun 2008), ABI (Aug 2008), Wireless Intelligence (Jul 2008), WCIS+ (Jul 2008), iGR (Mar 2008) and Yankee Group (Jun 2008) for subscriber forecasts (2008 and beyond) summed with CDG actual numbers of 2008 www.cdg.org.
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