2.4 the Collingridge Dilemma
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A Thesis Submitted for the Degree of PhD at the University of Warwick Permanent WRAP URL: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/93146 Copyright and reuse: This thesis is made available online and is protected by original copyright. Please scroll down to view the document itself. Please refer to the repository record for this item for information to help you to cite it. Our policy information is available from the repository home page. For more information, please contact the WRAP Team at: [email protected] warwick.ac.uk/lib-publications THE CONTENTIOUS POLITICS OF DISRUPTIVE INNOVATION: VAPING AND FRACKING IN THE EUROPEAN UNION Jacob Adam Hasselbalch Erasmus Mundus Doctoral Fellow Submitted for the degrees of PhD in Politics and International Studies (Warwick) and PhD in Political and Social Sciences (ULB) Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick Département de Sciences Politiques, Université Libre de Bruxelles February 2017 Contents Part 1: Innovation governance: the politics of disruption 1. Introduction: disruptive innovation as a problem for politics p. 1 2. How disruptive innovations become political problems p. 31 3. Innovation politics versus the politics of innovation p. 57 4. Framing disruption p. 87 Part 2: Vaping and fracking in the European Union 5. The importance of first impressions: marking disruptiveness p. 116 6. Expertise and the framing of risk: cognitive framing strategies p. 151 7. The deep structure of policy debates: normative and relational p. 181 framing strategies 8. Discourse as network: frame usage over time p. 218 9. Conclusion: harmony and dissonance in the governance of p. 273 disruption ii Expanded table of contents List of tables and figures ................................................................................................. vii List of abbreviations ....................................................................................................... viii Acknowledgements .......................................................................................................... xi Declaration ..................................................................................................................... xiv Summary ......................................................................................................................... xv PART 1: INNOVATION GOVERNANCE: THE POLITICS OF DISRUPTION Chapter 1: Introduction: disruptive innovation as a problem for politics 1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 The Napster precedent ............................................................................................... 4 1.3 Theoretical and methodological approach ................................................................. 8 1.3.1 Case selection ................................................................................................... 11 1.3.2 Methods and data .............................................................................................. 18 1.4 Plan of the dissertation ............................................................................................. 21 1.5 Original contributions .............................................................................................. 27 Chapter 2: How disruptive innovations become political problems 2.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 31 2.2 Defining disruption .................................................................................................. 32 2.3 Political and market consequences of disruptive innovation ................................... 39 2.3.1 The importance of controversy ......................................................................... 40 2.3.2 How disruptive innovations challenge regulators ............................................ 44 2.4 The Collingridge dilemma ....................................................................................... 49 2.4.1 Studying the Collingridge dilemma in practice ................................................ 51 2.5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................... 54 Chapter 3: Innovation politics versus the politics of innovation 3.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 57 3.2 Innovation politics: policy as viewed from innovation studies ............................... 58 3.3 The politics of innovation: innovation as viewed from political science ................ 65 iii 3.3.1 The myth of the powerless state ....................................................................... 65 3.3.2 The myth of the powerless bureaucracy ........................................................... 69 3.3.3 Experts, expertise and legitimacy in regulation ............................................... 72 3.3.4 Transnational settings and the European Union ............................................... 79 3.4 Conclusion ............................................................................................................... 84 Chapter 4: Framing disruption 4.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................. 87 4.2 Making sense of Collingridge dilemmas ................................................................. 88 4.2.1 Collingridge dilemmas are not given – they are constructed ........................... 90 4.2.2 Collingridge dilemmas are not solved – they are negotiated ........................... 92 4.3 Framing theory ......................................................................................................... 95 4.3.1 Framing in political science and sociology ...................................................... 97 4.3.2 The mechanistic versus ecological views on framing .................................... 101 4.4 The sociology of disruption: punctuated cooperation............................................ 105 4.5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................. 111 PART 2: VAPING AND FRACKING IN THE EUROPEAN UNION Chapter 5: The importance of first impressions: marking disruptiveness 5.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 116 5.2 First-mover advantages in framing ........................................................................ 117 5.3 First impressions in the electronic cigarettes debate ............................................. 122 5.3.1 Regulatory gaps and how to fill them............................................................. 123 5.3.2 Assessing the impact of the TPD.................................................................... 127 5.3.3 The resilience of the pharmaceutical products frame ..................................... 132 5.4 First impressions in the fracking debate ................................................................ 135 5.4.1 Gasland and the fracking controversy ............................................................ 136 5.4.2 Fracking encounters institutional complexity ................................................ 140 5.4.3 First impressions and public sentiment .......................................................... 145 5.5 Conclusion ............................................................................................................. 147 iv Chapter 6: Expertise and the framing of risk: cognitive framing strategies 6.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 151 6.2 Disruptive innovation as risk ................................................................................. 153 6.3 Cognitive framing strategies: precaution ............................................................... 160 6.3.1 The uncertainty of e-cigarette science ............................................................ 161 6.3.2 Fracking as a novel risk .................................................................................. 165 6.4 Cognitive framing strategies: prevention ............................................................... 170 6.4.1 The certainty of e-cigarette science ................................................................ 170 6.4.2 Fracking as a well-known risk ........................................................................ 174 6.5 Conclusion: the limits of expertise ........................................................................ 179 Chapter 7: The deep structure of policy debates: normative and relational framing strategies 7.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................ 181 7.2 Normative framing strategies: avoidance .............................................................. 182 7.2.1 E-cigarettes: abstinence .................................................................................. 183 7.2.2 Fracking: avoiding fossil fuel lock-in ............................................................ 186 7.3 Normative framing strategies: acceptance ............................................................. 188 7.3.1 E-cigarettes: harm reduction .......................................................................... 188 7.3.2 Fracking: