Fras and Interest Rate Futures
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Forward Contracts and Futures a Forward Is an Agreement Between Two Parties to Buy Or Sell an Asset at a Pre-Determined Future Time for a Certain Price
Forward contracts and futures A forward is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a pre-determined future time for a certain price. Goal To hedge against the price fluctuation of commodity. • Intension of purchase decided earlier, actual transaction done later. • The forward contract needs to specify the delivery price, amount, quality, delivery date, means of delivery, etc. Potential default of either party: writer or holder. Terminal payoff from forward contract payoff payoff K − ST ST − K K ST ST K long position short position K = delivery price, ST = asset price at maturity Zero-sum game between the writer (short position) and owner (long position). Since it costs nothing to enter into a forward contract, the terminal payoff is the investor’s total gain or loss from the contract. Forward price for a forward contract is defined as the delivery price which make the value of the contract at initiation be zero. Question Does it relate to the expected value of the commodity on the delivery date? Forward price = spot price + cost of fund + storage cost cost of carry Example • Spot price of one ton of wood is $10,000 • 6-month interest income from $10,000 is $400 • storage cost of one ton of wood is $300 6-month forward price of one ton of wood = $10,000 + 400 + $300 = $10,700. Explanation Suppose the forward price deviates too much from $10,700, the construction firm would prefer to buy the wood now and store that for 6 months (though the cost of storage may be higher). -
Half-Yearly Financial Report at 30 June 2019
Half-Yearly Financial Report at 30 June 2019 Contents Composition of the Corporate Bodies 3 The first half of 2019 in brief Economic figures and performance indicators 4 Equity figures and performance indicators 5 Accounting statements Balance Sheet 7 Income Statement 9 Statement of comprehensive income 10 Statements of Changes in Shareholders' Equity 11 Statement of Cash Flows 13 Report on Operations Macroeconomic situation 16 Economic results 18 Financial aggregates 22 Business 31 Operating structure 37 Significant events after the end of the half and business outlook 39 Other information 39 Notes to the Financial Statements Part A – Accounting policies 41 Part B – Information on the balance sheet 78 Part C – Information on the income statement 121 Part D – Comprehensive Income 140 Part E – Information on risks and relative hedging policies 143 Part F – Information on capital 155 Part H – Transactions with related parties 166 Part L – Segment reporting 173 Certification of the condensed Half-Yearly Financial Statements pursuant to Article 81-ter of 175 CONSOB Regulation 11971 of 14 May 1999, as amended Composition of the Corporate Bodies Board of Directors Chairperson Massimiliano Cesare Chief Executive Officer Bernardo Mattarella Director Pasquale Ambrogio Director Leonarda Sansone Director Gabriella Forte Board of Statutory Auditors Chairperson Paolo Palombelli Regular Auditor Carlo Ferocino Regular Auditor Marcella Galvani Alternate Auditor Roberto Micolitti Alternate Auditor Sofia Paternostro * * * Auditing Firm PricewaterhouseCoopers -
Currency Risk Management
• Foreign exchange markets • Internal hedging techniques • Forward rates Foreign Currency Risk • Forward contracts Management 1 • Money market hedging • Currency futures 00 M O NT H 00 100 Syllabus learning outcomes • Assess the impact on a company to exposure in translation transaction and economic risks and how these can be managed. 2 Syllabus learning outcomes • Evaluate, for a given hedging requirement, which of the following is the most appropriate strategy, given the nature of the underlying position and the risk exposure: (i) The use of the forward exchange market and the creation of a money market hedge (ii) Synthetic foreign exchange agreements (SAFE's) (iii) Exchange-traded currency futures contracts (iv) Currency options on traded futures (v) Currency swaps (vi) FOREX swaps 3 Syllabus learning outcomes • Advise on the use of bilateral and multilateral netting and matching as tools for minimising FOREX transactions costs and the management of market barriers to the free movement of capital and other remittances. 4 Foreign Exchange Risk (FOREX) The value of a company's assets, liabilities and cash flow may be sensitive to changes in the rate in the rate of exchange between its reporting currency and foreign currencies. Currency risk arises from the exposure to the consequences of a rise or fall in the exchange rate A company may become exposed to this risk by: • Exporting or importing goods or services • Having an overseas subsidiary • Being a subsidiary of an overseas company • Transactions in overseas capital market 5 Types of Foreign Exchange Risk (FOREX) Transaction Risk (Exposure) This relates to the gains or losses to be made when settlement takes place at some future date of a foreign currency denominated contract that has already been entered in to. -
Forward Contracts
Forward Contracts Lecture 4: Futures and Forwards: A forward contract is an agreement between two parties in which one party, the buyer (long), agrees to buy from the other party, the seller (short), something (i.e., underlying Markets, Basic Applications, and Pricing asset) at a later date (i.e., maturity date) at a price agreed Principles upon (i.e., delivery or forward prices) today Exclusively over-the-counter The contract is an over-the-counter (OTC) agreement between 2 companies 01135531: Risk Management and Dr. Nattawut Jenwittayaroje, CFA No physical facilities for trading Financial Instrument Faculty of Commerce and Accountancy OTC market consisting of direct communications among major Chulalongkorn University financial institutions 1 2 Futures Contracts Forward Contracts Versus Futures Similar in principle to forward contracts, but a futures contract is traded on an exchange, while a forward contract is traded OTC. Forward contracts Futures the contracts are standardized and specified by the exchange, making trading in a secondary market possible. Trade on OTC markets Traded on exchanges Give up flexibility available in forward contacting for the sake of Not standardized Standardized contract liquidity. Specific delivery date Range of delivery dates Forward contracts: the terms of the contract (contract size, maturity Settled at end of contract Settled daily (by daily date, and etc.) can be tailored to the needs of the traders. marking to market) Delivery or final cash Virtually no credit risk – Futures exchanges provide a mechanism settlement usually takes Usually closed out prior to (known as the clearinghouse) that guarantee that the contract will be place maturity honored. -
D13 02 Pricing a Forward Contract V02 (With Notes)
Derivatives Pricing a Forward / Futures Contract Professor André Farber Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management Université Libre de Bruxelles Valuing forward contracts: Key ideas • Two different ways to own a unit of the underlying asset at maturity: – 1.Buy spot (SPOT PRICE: S0) and borrow => Interest and inventory costs – 2. Buy forward (AT FORWARD PRICE F0) • VALUATION PRINCIPLE: NO ARBITRAGE • In perfect markets, no free lunch: the 2 methods should cost the same. You can think of a derivative as a mixture of its constituent underliers, much as a cake is a mixture of eggs, flour and milk in carefully specified proportions. The derivative’s model provide a recipe for the mixture, one whose ingredients’ quantity vary with time. Emanuel Derman, Market and models, Risk July 2001 Derivatives 01 Introduction |2 Discount factors and interest rates • Review: Present value of Ct • PV(Ct) = Ct × Discount factor • With annual compounding: • Discount factor = 1 / (1+r)t • With continuous compounding: • Discount factor = 1 / ert = e-rt Derivatives 01 Introduction |3 Forward contract valuation : No income on underlying asset • Example: Gold (provides no income + no storage cost) • Current spot price S0 = $1,340/oz • Interest rate (with continuous compounding) r = 3% • Time until delivery (maturity of forward contract) T = 1 • Forward price F0 ? t = 0 t = 1 Strategy 1: buy forward 0 ST –F0 Strategy 2: buy spot and borrow Should be Buy spot -1,340 + ST equal Borrow +1,340 -1,381 0 ST -1,381 Derivatives 01 Introduction |4 Forward price and value of forward contract rT • Forward price: F0 = S0e • Remember: the forward price is the delivery price which sets the value of a forward contract equal to zero. -
Bond Implied Risks Around Macroeconomic Announcements *
Bond Implied Risks Around Macroeconomic Announcements * Xinyang Li† Abstract Using a large panel of Treasury futures and options, I construct model-free measures of bond uncertainty and tail risk across different tenors, showing that bond tail risk works as a good indicator for recessions since it remains moderate during normal times and suddenly enlarges before financial crises. Besides the term structure and cyclicality of bond implied risks, I document three novel findings regarding their movement around announcements by the US Federal Reserve: First, measures of stock and bond uncertainty increase two days prior to the announcements and revert back upon release. Second, the pre-FOMC announcement drift also prevails in Treasury bonds, such that yields of the 5, 10 and 30 years shrink 1 bp on the day before the announcement. Third, variation in uncertainty predicts the positive stock return and bond yield change, but its jump prior to the FOMC meeting has an offsetting impact. Nevertheless, neither the global positive nor the local negative effect is large enough to fully explain the pre-FOMC announcement drift. Keywords: Treasury implied risks, Monetary policy, Pre-FOMC announcement drift JEL Classification: E52, G12, G14 This Version: August 2020 *All errors are mine. †Questrom School of Business, Boston University, Email: fi[email protected]. The recent disruptions in global financial markets in Spring 2020 are a stark reminder of the significant uncertainty faced by investors after the default of Lehman Brothers in 2008. Option markets are particularly suited to gauge such manifestations of uncertainty because they capture market participants’ future expectations. Particular attention is paid to the so-called VIX index, an implied-volatility index calculated from S&P500 options, which climbed to new heights in March 2020. -
Do Central Bank Actions Reduce Interest Rate Volatility?
Do Central Bank Actions Reduce Interest Rate Volatility? Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins and José Valentim Machado Vicente November 2017 468 ISSN 1518-3548 CGC 00.038.166/0001-05 Working Paper Series Brasília no. 468 NNovemberovember 2017 p. 1-26 Working Paper Series Edited by the Research Department (Depep) – E-mail: [email protected] Editor: Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo – E-mail: [email protected] Co-editor: José Valentim Machado Vicente – E-mail: [email protected] Editorial Assistant: Jane Sofia Moita – E-mail: [email protected] Head of the Research Department: André Minella – E-mail: [email protected] The Banco Central do Brasil Working Papers are all evaluated in double-blind refereeing process. Reproduction is permitted only if source is stated as follows: Working Paper no. 468. Authorized by Carlos Viana de Carvalho, Deputy Governor for Economic Policy. General Control of Publications Banco Central do Brasil Comun/Divip SBS – Quadra 3 – Bloco B – Edifício-Sede – 2º subsolo Caixa Postal 8.670 70074-900 Brasília – DF – Brazil Phones: +55 (61) 3414-3710 and 3414-3565 Fax: +55 (61) 3414-1898 E-mail: [email protected] The views expressed in this work are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the Banco Central do Brasil or its members. Although the working papers often represent preliminary work, citation of source is required when used or reproduced. As opiniões expressas neste trabalho são exclusivamente do(s) autor(es) e não refletem, necessariamente, a visão do Banco Central do Brasil. -
Eurodollar Futures, and Forwards
5 Eurodollar Futures, and Forwards In this chapter we will learn about • Eurodollar Deposits • Eurodollar Futures Contracts, • Hedging strategies using ED Futures, • Forward Rate Agreements, • Pricing FRAs. • Hedging FRAs using ED Futures, • Constructing the Libor Zero Curve from ED deposit rates and ED Fu- tures. 5.1 EURODOLLAR DEPOSITS As discussed in chapter 2, Eurodollar (ED) deposits are dollar deposits main- tained outside the USA. They are exempt from Federal Reserve regulations that apply to domestic deposit markets. The interest rate that applies to ED deposits in interbank transactions is the LIBOR rate. The LIBOR spot market has maturities from a few days to 10 years but liquidity is the greatest 69 70 CHAPTER 5: EURODOLLAR FUTURES AND FORWARDS Table 5.1 LIBOR spot rates Dates 7day 1mth. 3mth 6mth 9mth 1yr LIBOR 1.000 1.100 1.160 1.165 1.205 1.337 within one year. Table 5.1 shows LIBOR spot rates over a year as of January 14th 2004. In the ED deposit market, deposits are traded between banks for ranges of maturities. If one million dollars is borrowed for 45 days at a LIBOR rate of 5.25%, the interest is 45 Interest = 1m × 0.0525 = $6562.50 360 The rate quoted assumes settlement will occur two days after the trade. Banks are willing to lend money to firms at the Libor rate provided their credit is comparable to these strong banks. If their credit is weaker, then the lending bank may quote a rate as a spread over the Libor rate. 5.2 THE TED SPREAD Banks that offer LIBOR deposits have the potential to default. -
LIBOR Fallback and Quantitative Finance
risks Article LIBOR Fallback and Quantitative Finance Marc Pierre Henrard 1,2 1 muRisQ Advisory, 8B-1210 Brussels, Belgium; [email protected] 2 University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK Received: 19 April 2019; Accepted: 5 August 2019; Published: 15 August 2019 Abstract: With the expected discontinuation of the LIBOR publication, a robust fallback for related financial instruments is paramount. In recent months, several consultations have taken place on the subject. The results of the first ISDA consultation have been published in November 2018 and a new one just finished at the time of writing. This note describes issues associated to the proposed approaches and potential alternative approaches in the framework and the context of quantitative finance. It evidences a clear lack of details and lack of measurability of the proposed approaches which would not be achievable in practice. It also describes the potential of asymmetrical information between market participants coming from the adjustment spread computation. In the opinion of this author, a fundamental revision of the fallback’s foundations is required. Keywords: LIBOR fallback; derivative pricing; multi-curve framework; collateral; pay-off measurability; value transfer; ISDA consultations 1. Introduction Since their creation in 1986, LIBOR benchmarks1 have grown in importance to the point of being called in finance newspapers the most important number in the world. This was the case up to July 2017, when Bailey(2017), the CEO of the U.K. Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), indicated in a speech that there is an increased expectation that some LIBOR benchmarks will be discontinued in a not too distant future. -
Liquidity Effects in Options Markets: Premium Or Discount?
Liquidity Effects in Options Markets: Premium or Discount? PRACHI DEUSKAR1 2 ANURAG GUPTA MARTI G. SUBRAHMANYAM3 March 2007 ABSTRACT This paper examines the effects of liquidity on interest rate option prices. Using daily bid and ask prices of euro (€) interest rate caps and floors, we find that illiquid options trade at higher prices relative to liquid options, controlling for other effects, implying a liquidity discount. This effect is opposite to that found in all studies on other assets such as equities and bonds, but is consistent with the structure of this over-the-counter market and the nature of the demand and supply forces. We also identify a systematic factor that drives changes in the liquidity across option maturities and strike rates. This common liquidity factor is associated with lagged changes in investor perceptions of uncertainty in the equity and fixed income markets. JEL Classification: G10, G12, G13, G15 Keywords: Liquidity, interest rate options, euro interest rate markets, Euribor market, volatility smiles. 1 Department of Finance, College of Business, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 304C David Kinley Hall, 1407 West Gregory Drive, Urbana, IL 61801. Ph: (217) 244-0604, Fax: (217) 244-9867, E-mail: [email protected]. 2 Department of Banking and Finance, Weatherhead School of Management, Case Western Reserve University, 10900 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, Ohio 44106-7235. Ph: (216) 368-2938, Fax: (216) 368-6249, E-mail: [email protected]. 3 Department of Finance, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University, 44 West Fourth Street #9-15, New York, NY 10012-1126. Ph: (212) 998-0348, Fax: (212) 995-4233, E- mail: [email protected]. -
Frequently Asked Questions on the Basel III Standardised Approach for Measuring Counterparty Credit Risk Exposures, March 2018
This standard has been integrated into the consolidated Basel Framework: https://www.bis.org/basel_framework/ Basel Committee on Banking Supervision Frequently asked questions on the Basel III standardised approach for measuring counterparty credit risk exposures March 2018 (update of FAQs published in August 2015) This publication is available on the BIS website (www.bis.org). © Bank for International Settlements 2018. All rights reserved. Brief excerpts may be reproduced or translated provided the source is stated. ISBN 978-92-9259-149-6 (online) Contents The standardised approach for measuring counterparty credit risk exposures: Frequently asked questions ............................................................................................................................................................................ 1 Introduction ......................................................................................................................................................................................... 1 1. General formula ............................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Capping of margined EAD at otherwise unmargined EAD ................................................................... 1 1.2 Collateral taken outside of netting sets ........................................................................................................ 1 2. PFE add-on ....................................................................................................................................................................... -
MAFS601A – Exotic Swaps • Forward Rate Agreements and Interest Rate
MAFS601A – Exotic swaps • Forward rate agreements and interest rate swaps • Asset swaps • Total return swaps • Swaptions • Credit default swaps • Differential swaps • Constant maturity swaps 1 Forward rate agreement (FRA) The FRA is an agreement between two counterparties to exchange floating and fixed interest payments on the future settlement date T2. • The floating rate will be the LIBOR rate L[T1, T2] as observed on the future reset date T1. Recall that the implied forward rate over the future period [T1, T2] has been fixed by the current market prices of discount bonds ma- turing at T1 and T2. The fixed rate is expected to be equal to the implied forward rate over the same period as observed today. 2 Determination of the forward price of LIBOR L[T1, T2] = LIBOR rate observed at future time T1 for the accrual period [T1, T2] K = fixed rate N = notional of the FRA Cash flow of the fixed rate receiver 3 Cash flow of the fixed rate receiver collect N+NK(T22 -T) fromT- maturitybond floating rate 2 LT,T[12 ]is reset at T1 reset date settlement date tTT12 collect N atT1 from T1-maturity bond; collect invest in bank N+NLT(,)12 T account earning (-)TT21 LTT[12 , ]rate of interest 4 Valuation principle Apparently, the cash flow at T2 is uncertain since LIBOR L[T1, T2] is set (or known) at T1. Can we construct portfolio of discount bonds that replicate the cash flow? • For convenience of presenting the argument, we add N to both floating and fixed rate payments.