EGSA Tourism Report
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Coast Information Team c/o Cortex Consultants Inc., 3A–1218 Langley St. Victoria, BC, V8W 1W2 Tel: 250-360-1492 / Fax: 250-360-1493 / Email: [email protected] May 14, 2004 The Coast Information Team is pleased to deliver the final version of the CIT Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism (May 2004). The Coast Information Team (CIT) was established to provide independent information for the central and north coasts of British Columbia and Haida Gwaii/Queen Charlotte Islands using the best available scientific, technical, traditional and local knowledge. The CIT was established by the Provincial Government of British Columbia, First Nations, environmental groups, the forest industry, and communities. It is led by a management committee consisting of representatives of these bodies; and is funded by the Provincial Government, the environmental groups and forest products companies, and the Federal Government of Canada. The technical team comprises nine project teams consisting of scientists, practitioners, and traditional and local experts. CIT information and analyses, which include this CIT Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism, are intended to assist First Nations and the three sub-regional planning processes to make decisions that will achieve ecosystem-based management (as per the April 4th 2001 Coastal First Nations— Government Protocol and the CCLRMP Interim Agreement). In keeping with the CIT’s commitment to transparency and highly credible independent analysis, the CIT Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism underwent an internal peer review and the CIT’s independent peer review process chaired by University of Victoria Professor Rod Dobell. Peer reviews of the draft document and the authors’ response are found at http://citbc.org/anaecon.html. The final document reflects changes made by the authors to address peer review comments. We encourage all stakeholders involved in land and resource management decision-making in the CIT area to use the information and recommendations/conclusions of the CIT Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism in conjunction with other CIT products as they seek to implement EBM and develop EBM Land Use Plans. We are confident that the suite of CIT products provides valuable information and guidance on the key tenets of EBM: maintaining ecosystem integrity and improving human wellbeing. Sincerely, Robert Prescott-Allen, Executive Director on behalf of the CIT Management Committee: Ken Baker, Art Sterritt, Dallas Smith, Jody Holmes, Corby Lamb Graem Wells, Gary Reay, Hans Granander, Tom Green, Bill Beldessi Page 1 Coast Information Team EGSA-Tourism Ltr Transmittal_ may04 Page 2 Coast Information Team Coastal British Columbia Economic Gain Spatial Analysis Tourism Sector Report Prepared by: The Economic Planning Group In association with: Juan de Fuca Environmental Consultants Timberline Forest Inventory Consultants April 2004 Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism Sector Report Coast Information Team April 2004 Table of Contents List of Figures............................................................................................................................... 3 List of Tables................................................................................................................................ 3 1.0 INTRODUCTION.....................................................................................................5 1.1 BACKGROUND .................................................................................................................... 5 1.2 OBJECTIVES....................................................................................................................... 5 1.3 SCOPE AND STUDY AREA.................................................................................................... 6 1.4 METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................................. 9 2.0 SITUATION ANALYSIS .........................................................................................11 2.1 STUDY AREA DESCRIPTION .............................................................................................. 11 2.1.1 CENTRAL COAST .................................................................................................... 11 2.1.2 NORTH COAST ....................................................................................................... 13 2.1.3 HAIDA GWAII/QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS ........................................................... 15 2.2 TOURISM PROFILE ........................................................................................................... 16 2.2.1 HISTORY AND STATUS OF TOURISM....................................................................... 16 2.2.2 BRITISH COLUMBIA IS DISTINCTIVE ...................................................................... 17 2.2.3 SOME MARKET TRENDS.......................................................................................... 18 2.2.4 TOURISM PROFILE BY PLANNING REGION .............................................................. 21 2.3 SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................ 23 3.0 TOURISM ASSESSMENT APPROACH ....................................................................24 3.1 RESEARCH PROCESS BACKGROUND .................................................................................. 24 3.2 RESEARCH PROCESS TECHNIQUE ..................................................................................... 26 3.2.1 Identified Planning Units ......................................................................................... 26 3.2.2 Developed an Assessment Process........................................................................... 26 3.2.3 Developed Coding System....................................................................................... 29 3.2.4 Mapped the Information ......................................................................................... 30 3.2.5 Verified the Information with Other Maps................................................................. 31 3.2.6 Created Digital Maps............................................................................................... 31 3.2.7 Rated the Tourism Attributes................................................................................... 31 3.2.8 Created a Relative Rating........................................................................................ 31 3.2.9 Determined Sites with Tourism Development Potential.............................................. 32 3.3 SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................ 32 4.0 TOURISM DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS ................................................................33 4.1 ANALYSIS PROCESS.......................................................................................................... 33 4.1.1 BACKGROUND........................................................................................................ 33 4.1.2 SCENARIO SELECTION PROCESS ............................................................................ 33 4.2 LODGES ........................................................................................................................... 35 4.2.1 BACKGROUND........................................................................................................ 35 4.2.2 LODGE DEVELOPMENT ISSUES ............................................................................... 36 4.3 NON-BUILT ACTIVITY PRODUCTS ..................................................................................... 37 4.3.1 BACKGROUND........................................................................................................ 37 4.3.2 PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS AND DEVELOPMENT ISSUES............................................ 41 Page 1 Economic Gain Spatial Analysis–Tourism Sector Report Coast Information Team April 2004 4.4 ECONOMIC GAIN CONSIDERATIONS ................................................................................. 43 4.4.1 ANALYSIS PROCESS ............................................................................................... 43 4.4.2 DEVELOPMENT ASSUMPTIONS................................................................................ 43 4.5 SUMMARY ........................................................................................................................ 47 5.0 FUTURE TOURISM OUTLOOK...............................................................................48 5.1 TOURISM PAST AND PRESENT .......................................................................................... 48 5.1.1 TOURISM VOLUME AND VALUE 1980 VERSUS 2000 ................................................. 48 5.1.2 CHARACTERISTICS OF COASTAL TOURISM 1980 VERSUS 2000................................ 48 5.2 TOURISM OUTLOOK BY SECTOR ....................................................................................... 49 5.2.1 CAUSAL FACTORS .................................................................................................. 49 5.2.2 TOURISM SECTOR OUTLOOK.................................................................................. 49 5.3 TOURISM OUTLOOK TO 2020 ........................................................................................... 51 5.4 SUMMARY .......................................................................................................................