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EXPERIENCIA INTERNACIONAL Y SEGUIMIENTO OPERACIONAL DE BUSES ELÉCTRICOS Dr Mauricio Osses Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María Santiago, 31 de agosto 2017, Hotel Park Plaza PREGUNTAS SOBRE EXPERIENCIA INTERNACIONAL Y PROGRAMAS PILOTO ✓ ¿Cuáles son las proyecciones de crecimiento de esta tecnología, a nivel mundial y en América Latina? ✓ ¿Cuáles son los principales proveedores de buses eléctricos y sistemas asociados en el mundo? ✓ ¿Cuántos son y dónde se encuentran los buses eléctricos operando? ✓ ¿Cuál ha sido la experiencia en ciudades que han implementado buses eléctricos en sus sistemas de transporte público? ✓ ¿Hay resultados de experiencias piloto en América Latina? ✓ ¿Dónde puedo encontrar información detallada? Proyecciones mundiales de crecimiento + Global EV Outlook2017 Two million and count ing © OECD/IEA 2017 Global EV outlook 2017 Two million and counting Executive summary New registrations of electric cars1 hit a new record in 2016, with over 750 thousand sales worldwide. With a 29% market share,2 Norway has incontestably achieved the most successful VEHICULOSdeployme nELECTRICOSt of electric car ENs in GENERAL,terms of mar CIFRASket share ,TOTALES globally. It is followed by the Netherlands, with a 6.4% electric car market share, and Sweden with 3.4%. The People’s Republic of China Page | 5 (hereafter, “China”), France and the United Kingdom all have electric car market shares close to 1.5%. In 2016, China was by far the largest electric car market, accounting for more than 40% of t2he milloneselectric cars sodeld in tvehículoshe world and moeléctricosre than double theen amocirculaciónunt sold in the Uniteled S2016tates. The globa750.000l electric car svehículostock surpassed eléctricos2 million vehiclesvendidos in 2016 after elcro s2016sing the 1 million threshold in 2015 (Figure 1). Figure 1 • Evolution of the global electric car stock, 2010-16 2.5 Others ) Sweden s n o 2.0 Germany i l l i France m ( k United Kingdom c 1.5 o t Netherlands s r a Norway c 1.0 c i r Japan t c e l United States E 0.5 China BEV 0.0 BEV + PHEV 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Notes: The electric car stock shown here is primarily estimated on the basis of cumulative sales since 2005. When available, stock numbers from official national statistics have been used, provided good consistency with sales evolutions. Sources: IEA analysis based on EVI country submissions, complemented by EAFO (2017a), IHS Polk (2016), MarkLines (2017), ACEA (2017a, 2017b) and EEA (2017). Key point: The electric car stock has been growing since 2010 and surpassed the 2 million-vehicle threshold in 2016. So far, battery electric vehicle (BEV) uptake has been consistently ahead of the uptake of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). Until 2015, the United States accounted for the largest portion of the global electric car stock. In 2016, China became the country with the largest electric car stock, with about a third of the global total. With more than 200 million electric two-wheelers,3 3 to 4 million low-speed electric vehicles (LSEVs) and more than 300 thousand electric buses, China is also by far the global leader in the electrification of other transport modes. As the number of electric cars on the road has continued to increase, private and publicly accessible charging infrastructure has also continued to grow. In 2016, the annual growth rate of publicly available charging (72%) was higher, but of a similar magnitude, than the electric car stock growth rate in the same year (60%). 1 Electric cars include battery-electric, plug-in hybrid electric, and fuel cell electric passenger light-duty vehicles (PLDVs). They are commonly referred to as BEVs, PHEVs, and FCEVs in this report. Given their much wider diffusion, the scope of this report is limited to BEVs and PHEVs. 2 Market share is defined, under the scope of this report, as the share of new registrations of electric cars in the total of all PLDVs 3 In this report, the term “two-wheelers” refers to motorcycles and excludes bicycles. PROYECCIONES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS EN EL MUNDO 173.000 buses eléctricos el 2015 345.000 buses eléctricos el 2016 PROYECCIONES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS EN EL MUNDO – NAVIGANT RESEARCH RESEARCH REPORT RESEARCH REPORT Electric Drive Buses Medium and Heavy Duty Buses with Hybrid, Plug-In Hybrid, Battery Electric, and Fuel Cell Powertrains: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts Electric Drive Trucks and Buses Published 3Q 2016 Market Data for Medium and Heavy Duty Commercial All-Electric, Plug-In Hybrid Electric, Buses eléctricos: • Híbrido convencional and Hybrid Electric Vehicles David Alexander • Híbrido plug-in Senior Research Analyst Published 1Q 2015 • Eléctrico baterías • CeldaLisa Jerracombustiblem H2 Principal Research Analyst David Alexander Senior Research Analyst Lisa Jerram Principal Research Analyst PROYECCIONES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS EN EL MUNDO Fuente: Navigant Research, Electric Drive Buses, 2016 PROYECCIONES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS MEDIANOS EN AMERICA LATINA Fuente: Navigant Research, Electric Drive Buses, 2016 PROYECCIONES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS PESADOS EN AMERICA LATINA Fuente: Navigant Research, Electric Drive Buses, 2016 Proveedores de buses eléctricos y tecnologías de soporte RESEARCH REP+ORT Electric Drive Trucks and Buses Market Data for Medium and Heavy Duty Commercial All-Electric, Plug-In Hybrid Electric, and Hybrid Electric Vehicles Published 1Q 2015 David Alexander Senior Research Analyst Lisa Jerram Principal Research Analyst PROVEEDORES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS – NAVIGANT RESEARCH (USA) Company Type Headquarters Company Type Headquarters AMP Electric Vehicles Manufacturer Loveland, Ohio Allison Transmission Supplier Indianapolis, Indiana Balqon Corporation Manufacturer Harbor City, California ALTe Powertrain Supplier Auburn Hills, Michigan Boulder Electric Vehicle Manufacturer Lafayette, Colorado Altec, Inc. Supplier Birmingham, Alabama BYD Manufacturer Shenzhen, China BAE Systems Supplier London, United Kingdom Crane Carrier Company Manufacturer Tulsa, Oklahoma Crosspoint Kinetics Supplier Indianapolis, Indiana Daimler AG Manufacturer Stuttgart, Germany Eaton Corp. Supplier Dublin, Ireland Electric Vehicles International (EVI) Manufacturer Stockton, California Inventev Supplier Detroit, Michigan Ford Motor Co. Manufacturer Dearborn, Michigan Motiv Power Systems Supplier San Mateo, California Hino Motors, Ltd. Manufacturer Tokyo, Japan Odyne Systems Supplier Waukesha, Wisconsin Iveco Manufacturer Turin, Italy Siemens Supplier Munich, Germany MAN SE Manufacturer Munich, Germany Terex Utilities Supplier Watertown, South Dakota Navistar Manufacturer Lisle, Illinois TM4 Supplier Quebec, Canada Nissan Manufacturer Yokohama, Japan TransPower Supplier Poway, California Nova Bus Manufacturer Quebec, Canada UQM Technologies Supplier Longmont, Colorado North Yorkshire, United Optare Manufacturer VIA Motors Supplier Orem, Utah Kingdom PACCAR/Kenworth/ Manufacturer Bellevue, Washington Wrightspeed Supplier San Jose, California Peterbilt/DAF Proterra Manufacturer Greenville, South Carolina XL Hybrids Supplier Boston, Massachusetts RAC Electric Vehicles Manufacturer Taipei, Taiwan ZF Friedrichshafen AG Supplier Friedrichshafen, Germany Smith Electric Vehicles Manufacturer Kansas City, Missouri Solaris Bus & Coach S.A. Manufacturer Owinska, Poland Volvo Group Manufacturer Gothenburg, Sweden ZeroTruck Manufacturer Orange County, California Zhongtong Bus Holding Co., Ltd. Manufacturer Shandong Province, China PROVEEDORES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS – ZeEUS (EUROPA) ALEXANDER DENNIS LIMITED BLUEBUS BOZANKAYA A.S. BYD AUTO INDUSTRY COMPANY LIMITED CAETANOBUS - FABRICO DE AUTOCARROS E CARROÇ ARIAS, S. A. CHARIOT MOTORS EBUSCO B.V. EVOPRO BUS KFT. CARROSSERIE HESS AG HEULIEZ BUS HUNAN CRRC TIMES ELECTRIC VEHICLE CO., LTD HYBRICON BUS SYSTEM AB IRIZAR S. COOP OPTARE OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A. S. RAMPINI CARLO SPA SAFRA Š KODA ELECTRIC A.S. SOLARIS SOR LIBCHAVY, SPOL. S R.O. TEMSA GLOBAL SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. URSUS BUS S.A. VAN HOOL VDL BUS & COACH VECTIA MOBILITY S.L. VOLVO BUS CORPORATION PROVEEDORES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS – CHINA https://cleantechnica.com Top ventas 2016: ✓ Yutong 21,428 units ✓ BYD 14,903 units ✓ Nanjing 7,921 units ✓ Zuhai ~6,000 units ✓ Hunan 3,410 units PROVEEDORES DE BUSES ELECTRICOS – CHINA 5 Chinese Electric Bus Manufacturers 5.1 Zhengzhou Yutong Bus • Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co. Ltd. 5.1.1 Profile • BYD Company Limited 5.1.2 Operating Data • Xiamen King Long Motor Group Co., Ltd. 5.1.3 Electric Bus Business • Nanjing Golden Dragon Bus Co., Ltd. 5.1.4 All Bus Businesses • Zhongtong Bus Holding Co., Ltd. 5.1.5 Bus Capacity • Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. 5.1.6 Auxiliary Parts • Shanghai Sunwin Bus Corporation • Hunan CRRC Times Electric Vehicle Co., Ltd. • Anhui Ankai Automobile Co., Ltd. • China Youngman Automobile Group Co., Ltd. • Chongqing Hengtong Bus Co., Ltd. • Shenzhen Wuzhoulong Motors Co., Ltd. Ciudades con flotas de buses eléctricos+ y sus resultados DONDE SE ENCUENTRAN LOS BUSES ELECTRICOS EN OPERACION Estimación de buses eléctricos en el mundo: 345.000 unidades al 2016 343.500 en China, 300.000 BEV Ciudades en China: Beijing, Changsha, Dalian, Hangzhou, Hebei, Nanjing, Shanghai, Shaoguan, Shenzhen (100% 2017), Tianjin, Xi’an 1.273 en Europa, 18% Reino Unido, 10% respectivamente en Holanda, Suiza, Polonia y Alemania 200 en Estados Unidos Fuente: Global EV Outlook 2017 DONDE SE ENCUENTRAN LOS BUSES ELECTRICOS EN OPERACIÓN - EUROPA DONDE SE ENCUENTRAN LOS BUSES ELECTRICOS EN OPERACIÓN - EUROPA VEHICULOS PAÍS
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