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GARIN HART YANG RESEARCH GROUP Attitudes Among Voters In Key CDs Key findings from surveys among voters in NC 11th, VA 5 th, IN 9th August/September 2009 Feelings Toward Selected Public Figures: North Carolina 11th CD Positive feelings Negative feelings Representative 51% Heath Shuler 20% President 42% Barack Obama 43% Sarah Palin 40% 38% Rush Limbaugh 29% 44% Senator Kay Hagan 26% 28% Senator Richard Burr 24% 15% Q.2a Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 2 Feelings Toward Selected Public Figures: Virginia 5th CD Positive feelings Negative feelings Senator 54% Mark Warner 17% President 49% Barack Obama 37% Congressman Tom 42% Perriello 24% Sarah Palin 36% 40% Senator Jim Webb 35% 19% Rush Limbaugh 21% 45% Q.2a Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 3 Feelings Toward Selected Public Figures: Indiana 9th CD Positive feelings Negative feelings Senator 51% Evan Bayh 16% Senator 47% Richard Lugar 12% President 45% Barack Obama 41% Congressman 44% Baron Hill 25% Sarah Palin 35% 41% Rush Limbaugh 26% 48% Q.2a Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 4 Feelings Toward Selected Groups Positive feelings Negative feelings NC 11th CD VA 5th CD IN 9th CD Environmental groups Environmental groups Environmental groups 52% 53% 53% 23% 19% 23% Coal companies Coal companies Coal companies 29% 30% 32% 28% 15% 20% Chamber of Commerce Chamber of Commerce Chamber of Commerce 25% 23% 25% 19% 14% 18% Oil companies Oil companies Oil companies 17% 22% 17% 51% 41% 55% Q.2b Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 5 Congressman’s Job Approval Rating Approve Disapprove Not sure Heath Shuler Tom Perriello Baron Hill NC 11th CD VA 5 th CD IN 9th CD 27% 34% 32% 43% 40% 49% 24% 23% 28% Dis- Dis- Dis- Approve approve Approve approve Approve approve Democrats 56% 20% Democrats 72% 5% Democrats 60% 10% Independents 47% 25% Independents 35% 27% Independents 41% 29% Republicans 46% 29% Republicans 19% 38% Republicans 18% 49% Q.3 Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 6 Familiarity With Cap And Trade Legislation How much have you heard about this legislation? Heard a lot Heard some Heard just a little Heard nothing at all 55% “The U.S. House of Rep- 52% 50% 49% resentatives passed energy 47% reform legislation entitled 44% the American Clean Energy and Security Act, which is also known as the cap-and- trade bill. This legislation requires significant reductions in carbon emissions and promotes the development and use of alternative 28% and renewable energy 19% 20% 19% sources.” 13% 15% NC 11th CD VA 5th CD IN 9th CD Q.6 Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 7 Support For Energy Reform Legislation Do you favor or oppose the energy reform legislation to require significant reductions in carbon emissions and to promote the development and use of alternative and renewable energy resources? Strongly favor Somewhat favor Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Not sure NC 11th CD VA 5 th CD IN 9th CD 18% 22% 22% 28% 17% 18% 25% 30% 29% 42% 8% OPPOSE OPPOSE 45% OPPOSE 55% FAVOR 12% FAVOR FAVOR 7% 24% 23% 16% 27% 33% 25% Q.7 Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 8 Support For Energy Reform Legislation, Among Key Subgroups Do you favor or oppose the energy reform legislation to require significant reductions in carbon emissions and to promote the development and use of alternative and renewable energy resources? NC 11th CD VA 5th CD IN 9th CD Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Favor Oppose Liberals 81% 7% 74% 3% 71% 4% Moderates 65% 19% 38% 22% 49% 21% Conservatives 38% 45% 32% 37% 32% 46% Q.7 Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 9 Do you know how your congressman voted on the energy reform bill? Voted for it Voted against it Not sure 78% 73% 74% 24% 25% 21% 3% 1% 1% Heath Shuler/NC 11th Tom Perriello/VA 5th Baron Hill/IN 9th Q.8a Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 10 Effect Of Congressman’s Vote For Energy Reform Bill On Voters’ Feelings Your congressman voted for the energy reform legislation: does that make you more favorable or less favorable toward him? More favorable toward him Less favorable toward him Makes little difference in my feelings 38% 39% 38% 36% 34% 33% 23% 20% 23% Heath Shuler/NC 11th Tom Perriello/VA 5th Baron Hill/IN 9th Q.8b Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 11 Effect Of Congressman’s Vote On Feelings, Among Key Subgroups Your congressman voted for the energy reform legislation: does that make you more favorable or less favorable toward him? Heath Shuler Tom Perriello Baron Hill NC 11th CD VA 5 th CD IN 9th CD More Less More Less More Less favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable favorable Liberals 58% 1% 62% 4% 68% 1% Moderates 42% 15% 35% 11% 44% 14% Conservatives 18% 37% 21% 32% 23% 39% Q.8b Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 12 Supporters Have More Compelling Message % saying each is a very convincing message NC 11th VA 5 th IN 9th Supporters: Investing in alternative energy will have a positive 32% 29% 30% impact on the American economy, spurring innovation and creating more clean energy jobs Opponents: This bill is really just a complicated, 1,200-page bill 28% 27% 28% that creates more government bureaucracy and raises gasoline prices and electricity costs on everyone. A new energy tax makes no sense when America is trying to get out of a recession. Attitudes Among Voters in Key CDs – August/September 2009 GARINHARTYANG 13.

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