fmars-07-568159 September 25, 2020 Time: 20:0 # 1 ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 29 September 2020 doi: 10.3389/fmars.2020.568159 Future Socio-Political Scenarios for Aquatic Resources in Europe: An Operationalized Framework for Aquaculture Projections Edited by: Alistair James Hobday, 1 2† 3 4,5 Commonwealth Scientific Cornelia M. Kreiss *, Eleni Papathanasopoulou , Katell G. Hamon , John K. Pinnegar , 1 6 3 7 and Industrial Research Organisation Sandra Rybicki , Giulia Micallef , Andrzej Tabeau , Alhambra M. Cubillo and (CSIRO), Australia Myron A. Peck8† Reviewed by: 1 Thuenen Institute of Sea Fisheries, Bremerhaven, Germany, 2 Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, United Kingdom, Fabio Boschetti, 3 Wageningen Economic Research, The Hague, Netherlands, 4 Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Commonwealth Scientific Lowestoft, United Kingdom, 5 School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom, and Industrial Research Organisation 6 Gildeskål Research Station AS, Inndyr, Norway, 7 Longline Environment Ltd., London, United Kingdom, 8 Institute for Marine (CSIRO), Australia Ecosystem and Fisheries Science, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Nazli Demirel, Germany Istanbul University, Turkey *Correspondence: Cornelia M. Kreiss Climate-driven changes in aquatic environments have already started to affect the
[email protected] European aquaculture sector’s most commercially important finfish and shellfish †Present address: species. In addition to changes in water quality and temperature that can directly Eleni Papathanasopoulou, influence fish production by altering health status, growth performance and/or feed Department for Accounting, Economics and Finance, University conversion, the aquaculture sector also faces an uncertain future in terms of production of the West of England, Bristol, costs and returns.