An Observational Study of the Tropical Tropospheric Circulation
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Meteorology Climate
Meteorology: Climate • Climate is the third topic in the B-Division Science Olympiad Meteorology Event. • Topics rotate annually so a middle school participant may receive a comprehensive course of instruction in meteorology during this three-year cycle. • Sequence: 1. Climate (2006) 2. Everyday Weather (2007) 3. Severe Storms (2008) Weather versus Climate Weather occurs in the troposphere from day to day and week to week and even year to year. It is the state of the atmosphere at a particular location and moment in time. http://weathereye.kgan.com/cadet/cl imate/climate_vs.html http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/classes/me t130/notes/chapter1/wea_clim.html Weather versus Climate Climate is the sum of weather trends over long periods of time (centuries or even thousands of years). http://calspace.ucsd.edu/virtualmuseum/ climatechange1/07_1.shtml Weather versus Climate The nature of weather and climate are determined by many of the same elements. The most important of these are: 1. Temperature. Daily extremes in temperature and average annual temperatures determine weather over the short term; temperature tendencies determine climate over the long term. 2. Precipitation: including type (snow, rain, ground fog, etc.) and amount 3. Global circulation patterns: both oceanic and atmospheric 4. Continentiality: presence or absence of large land masses 5. Astronomical factors: including precession, axial tilt, eccen- tricity of Earth’s orbit, and variable solar output 6. Human impact: including green house gas emissions, ozone layer degradation, and deforestation http://www.ecn.ac.uk/Education/factors_affecting_climate.htm http://www.necci.sr.unh.edu/necci-report/NERAch3.pdf http://www.bbm.me.uk/portsdown/PH_731_Milank.htm Natural Climatic Variability Natural climatic variability refers to naturally occurring factors that affect global temperatures. -
Tropical Meteorology
Tropical Meteorology Chapter 01B Topics ¾ El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) ¾ The Madden-Julian Oscillation ¾ Westerly wind bursts 1 The Southern Oscillation ¾ There is considerable interannual variability in the scale and intensity of the Walker Circulation, which is manifest in the so-called Southern Oscillation (SO). ¾ The SO is associated with fluctuations in sea level pressure in the tropics, monsoon rainfall, and wintertime circulation over the Pacific Ocean and also over North America and other parts of the extratropics. ¾ It is the single most prominent signal in year-to-year climate variability in the atmosphere. ¾ It was first described in a series of papers in the 1920s by Sir Gilbert Walker and a review and references are contained in a paper by Julian and Chervin (1978). The Southern Oscillation ¾ Julian and Chervin (1978) use Walker´s own words to summarize the phenomenon. "By the southern oscillation is implied the tendency of (surface) pressure at stations in the Pacific (San Francisco, Tokyo, Honolulu, Samoa and South America), and of rainfall in India and Java... to increase, while pressure in the region of the Indian Ocean (Cairo, N.W. India, Darwin, Mauritius, S.E. Australia and the Cape) decreases...“ and "We can perhaps best sum up the situation by saying that there is a swaying of pressure on a big scale backwards and forwards between the Pacific and Indian Oceans...". 2 Fig 1.17 The Southern Oscillation ¾ Bjerknes (1969) first pointed to an association between the SO and the Walker Circulation, but the seeds for this association were present in the studies by Troup (1965). -
Science Journals — AAAS
SCIENCE ADVANCES | RESEARCH ARTICLE CLIMATOLOGY 2017 © The Authors, some rights reserved; Human-induced changes in the distribution of rainfall exclusive licensee American Association 1,2 2 for the Advancement Aaron E. Putnam * and Wallace S. Broecker of Science. Distributed under a Creative ’ A likely consequence of global warming will be the redistribution of Earth s rain belts, affecting water availability Commons Attribution ’ for many of Earth s inhabitants. We consider three ways in which planetary warming might influence the global NonCommercial distribution of precipitation. The first possibility is that rainfall in the tropics will increase and that the subtropics License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). and mid-latitudes will become more arid. A second possibility is that Earth’s thermal equator, around which the planet’s rain belts and dry zones are organized, will migrate northward. This northward shift will be a consequence of the Northern Hemisphere, with its large continental area, warming faster than the Southern Hemisphere, with its large oceanic area. A third possibility is that both of these scenarios will play out simultaneously. We review paleoclimate evidence suggesting that (i) the middle latitudes were wetter during the last glacial maximum, (ii) a northward shift of the thermal equator attended the abrupt Bølling-Allerød climatic transition ~14.6 thousand years ago, and (iii) a southward shift occurred during the more recent Little Ice Age. We also inspect trends in Downloaded from seasonal surface heating between the hemispheres over the past several decades. From these clues, we predict that there will be a seasonally dependent response in rainfall patterns to global warming. -
Bjerknes, 1966: a Possible Response of the Atmospheric Hadley
A possible response of the atmospheric Hadley circulation to equatorial anomalies of ocean temperature By J. BJERKNES, University of California, Los Angeles (Manuscript received January 18, 1966) ABSTRACT Weakness and temporary elimination of the equatorial easterly winds over the eastern and central Pacific in late 1957 and early 1958 brought about a brief cessation of equatorial upwelling which in turn caused the occurrence of above-normal surface water temperatures in the tropical Pacific from the American coast westward to the dateline. This sudden introduction of a large anomalous heat source for the atmosphere intensified its thermodynamic circulation, especially in the wintertime (northern) hemisphere. Record intensity of the westerlies resulted in the eastern North Pacific. The anomalous depth of the Low in the Gulf of Alaska had the downwind effect of weakening the Iceland Low and setting the stage for a cold winter in northern Europe. Introduction tion run faster than normal in the affected longitude sector and transport absolute angular The concept of the Hadley circulation as used momentum to the subtropical jet stream at a in this article refers to the rising motion at the faster rate than normal. The continued pole- thermal equator and simultaneous sinking mo- ward flux of absolute angular momentum and tion in the belt of subtropical highs mutually the downward flux of the same in the belt of connected by the equatorward component of surface westerlies can then also be assumed to the tradewinds in the lower troposphere and by maintain stronger than normal westerlies in the compensating flow away from the equator in middle latitudes of t,he longitude sector under the upper troposphere. -
EL NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION GLOBAL CLIMATE INFLUENCER by James Rohman | March 2014
EL NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION GLOBAL CLIMATE INFLUENCER By James Rohman | March 2014 This El Niño event had a warm Water mass of roughly 4.7 million square miles, or 1.5 times the size of the continental United States Figure 1. Warm water (red/white) spreads out from equatorial South America during a strong El Niño, September 1997. The La Niña phenomenon can Significantly alter flood/drought patterns and tropical/extratropical cyclone genesis on approximately 60% of the earth’s surface Figure 2. Cold water (blue/purple) dominates the equatorial Pacific during a strong La Niña, May 1999. El Niño Southern Oscillation | Global Climate Influencer 1 Introduction In the world’s oceans lay massive repositories of stored energy. The various cold and warm patches of ocean water act to cool or heat the atmosphere, influencing global climate patterns. The heat transfer controls weather over both land and sea. The largest such recurring climate pattern is the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Pacific Ocean. ENSO is the anomalous and recurring pattern of cold and warm patches of water periodically developing off the western coast of South America. El Niño is the appearance of warm water along western South America, from Chile up to Peru and Ecuador. La Niña is the exact opposite, with anomalously cold water spreading across the equatorial Pacific. In addition to changes in thermal energy in the ocean environment, the relative height of the sea surface also relates to ENSO. As patches of oceans warm, the sea level rises; as water cools, the sea level drops. -
The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ)
9/19/2018 Dr. Hoch RGPL 103 Global Cities: Planning and Development Dr. Hoch Email: [email protected] 1 9/19/2018 2 9/19/2018 Earth’s Orbit Around Sun Aphelion Perihelion July 6 (12:00) Jan 3 (00:00) 152.5 Million Km 147.5 Mil. Km EARTH SUN Dates for 2010 Earth Rotation Earth’s axis N Pole Ecliptic Plane (Plane of earth revolution around sun) 23 1/2° 3 9/19/2018 Northern Hemisphere Seasons • Summer • North pole tilted toward Sun • Days are longer than the nights • Get more energy - higher temperatures •Fall • Neither pole tilted toward the Sun • Days about equal with nights • Less energy than in the summer • Cooler temperatures Northern Hemisphere Seasons cont. •Winter • North pole tilted away from the Sun • Days shorter than the nights • Get less energy-Cold temperatures • Spring • Neither pole tilted toward the Sun • Days about equal to nights • More energy than winter- Warmer temperatures 4 9/19/2018 Global regions • Tropics (23 ½°N ‐ 23 ½°S) • Low latitudes (30°N ‐ 30°S) • Mid latitudes (30°N ‐ 60°N and 30°S ‐ 60°S ) • High latitudes (60°N ‐ 90°N and 60°S ‐ 90°S ) 5 9/19/2018 Key positional relationships •Tropic of Cancer - 23 1/2° N •Highest latitude in the Northern Hemisphere that the suns vertical rays ever reach •Tropic of Capricorn- 23 1/2° S •Highest latitude in the Southern Hemisphere that the suns vertical rays ever reach •Arctic circle- 66 1/2° N •24 hrs of daylight-summer solstice •24 hrs of darkness at winter solstice •Antarctic circle- 66 1/2° S •24 hrs of daylight-winter solstice •24 hrs of darkness at summer solstice Circle -
Underestimated Responses of Walker Circulation to ENSO-Related SST
Wang et al. Geosci. Lett. (2021) 8:17 https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-021-00186-8 RESEARCH LETTER Open Access Underestimated responses of Walker circulation to ENSO-related SST anomaly in atmospheric and coupled models Xin‑Yue Wang1,2, Jiang Zhu1,2, Chueh‑Hsin Chang3, Nathaniel C. Johnson4,5, Hailong Liu1,2, Yadi Li1,2, Chentao Song1,2, Meijiao Xin1,2, Yi Zhou1,2 and Xichen Li1,6* Abstract The Pacifc Walker circulation (WC) is a major component of the global climate system. It connects the Pacifc sea surface temperature (SST) variability to the climate variabilities from the other ocean basins to the mid‑ and high latitudes. Previous studies indicated that the ENSO‑related atmospheric feedback, in particular, the surface wind response is largely underestimated in AMIP and CMIP models. In this study, we further investigate the responses in the WC stream function and the sea level pressure (SLP) to the ENSO‑related SST variability by comparing the responses in 45 AMIP and 63 CMIP models and six reanalysis datasets. We reveal a diversity in the performances of simulated SLP and WC between diferent models. While the SLP responses to the El Niño‑related SST variability are well simulated in most of the atmospheric and coupled models, the WC stream function responses are largely underestimated in most of these models. The WC responses in the AMIP5/6 models capture ~ 75% of those in the reanalysis, whereas the CMIP5/6 models capture ~ 58% of the responses. Further analysis indicates that these underestimated circula‑ tion responses could be partially attributed to the biases in the precipitation scheme in both the atmospheric and coupled models, as well as the biases in the simulated ENSO‑related SST patterns in the coupled models. -
Rainfall Variations in Central Indo-Pacific Over the Past 2,700 Y
Rainfall variations in central Indo-Pacific over the past 2,700 y Liangcheng Tana,b,c,d,1, Chuan-Chou Shene,f,1, Ludvig Löwemarke,f, Sakonvan Chawchaig, R. Lawrence Edwardsh, Yanjun Caia,b,c, Sebastian F. M. Breitenbachi, Hai Chengj,h, Yu-Chen Choue, Helmut Duerrastk, Judson W. Partinl, Wenju Caim,n, Akkaneewut Chabangborng, Yongli Gaoo, Ola Kwiecieni, Chung-Che Wue, Zhengguo Shia,b, Huang-Hsiung Hsup, and Barbara Wohlfarthq,r aState Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 710061 Xi’an, China; bCenter for Excellence in Quaternary Science and Global Change, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 710061 Xi’an, China; cOpen Studio for Oceanic-Continental Climate and Environment Changes, Pilot National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology (Qingdao), 266061 Qingdao, China; dSchool of Earth Science and Resources, Chang‘an University, 710064 Xi’an, China; eDepartment of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, 10617 Taipei, Taiwan; fResearch Center for Future Earth, National Taiwan University, 10617 Taipei, Taiwan; gDepartment of Geology, Faculty of Science, Chulalongkorn University, 10330 Bangkok, Thailand; hDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455; iInstitute for Geology, Mineralogy & Geophysics, Ruhr- Universität Bochum, D-44801 Bochum, Germany; jInstitute of Global Environmental Change, Xi’an Jiaotong University, 710049 Xi’an, China; kDepartment of Physics, Faculty of Science, Prince of Songkla University, 90112 HatYai, Thailand; lJackson -
Weakened Seasonality of the African Rainforest Precipitation in Boreal
Wang et al. Geosci. Lett. (2021) 8:22 https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-021-00192-w RESEARCH LETTER Open Access Weakened seasonality of the African rainforest precipitation in boreal winter and spring driven by tropical SST variabilities Xin‑Yue Wang1,2, Jiang Zhu1,2, Meijiao Xin1,2, Chentao Song1,2, Yadi Li1,2, Yi Zhou1,2 and Xichen Li1,3* Abstract Precipitation in the equatorial African rainforest plays an important role in both the regional hydrological cycle and the global climate variability. Previous studies mostly focus on the trends of drought in recent decades or long‑time scales. Using two observational datasets, we reveal a remarkable weakening of the seasonal precipitation cycle over this region from 1979 to 2015, with precipitation signifcantly increased in the boreal winter dry season (~ 0.13 mm/ day/decade) and decreased in the boreal spring wet season (~ 0.21 mm/day/decade), which account for ~ 14% (the precipitation changes from 1979 to 2015) of their respective climatological means. We further use a state‑of‑the‑ art atmospheric model to isolate the impact of sea surface temperature change from diferent ocean basins on the precipitation changes in the dry and wet seasons. Results show that the strengthening precipitation in the dry season is mainly driven by the Atlantic warming, whereas the weakening precipitation in the wet season can be primarily attributed to the Indian Ocean. Warming Atlantic intensifes the zonal circulation over the African rainforest, strength‑ ening moisture convergence and intensifying precipitation in the boreal winter dry season. Warming Indian Ocean contributes more to reducing the zonal circulation and suppressing the convection in the boreal spring wet season, leading to an opposite efect on precipitation. -
Local Energetic Constraints on Walker Circulation Strength
JUNE 2017 W I L L S E T A L . 1907 Local Energetic Constraints on Walker Circulation Strength ROBERT C. WILLS ETH Zurich,€ Zurich, Switzerland, and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California XAVIER J. LEVINE Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut TAPIO SCHNEIDER ETH Zurich,€ Zurich, Switzerland, and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California (Manuscript received 25 July 2016, in final form 20 January 2017) ABSTRACT The weakening of tropical overturning circulations is a robust response to global warming in climate models and observations. However, there remain open questions on the causes of this change and the extent to which this weakening affects individual circulation features such as the Walker circulation. The study presents idealized GCM simulations of a Walker circulation forced by prescribed ocean heat flux convergence in a slab ocean, where the longwave opacity of the atmosphere is varied to simulate a wide range of climates. The weakening of the Walker circulation with warming results from an increase in gross moist stability (GMS), a measure of the tropospheric moist static energy (MSE) stratification, which provides an effective static sta- bility for tropical circulations. Baroclinic mode theory is used to determine changes in GMS in terms of the tropical-mean profiles of temperature and MSE. The GMS increases with warming, owing primarily to the rise in tropopause height, decreasing the sensitivity of the Walker circulation to zonally anomalous net energy input. In the absence of large changes in net energy input, this results in a rapid weakening of the Walker circulation with global warming. 1. Introduction convective mass fluxes globally in response to increasing near-surface specific humidity with global warming In climate models and observations, convective mass (Betts 1998; Held and Soden 2006; Vecchi and Soden flux and zonally anomalous tropical overturning circu- 2007; Schneider et al. -
Stream Metabolism Heats Up
news & views unique in its spatial collocation with a Karin Sigloch 4. Pierce, K. L. & Morgan, L. A. Geol. Soc. Am. Mem. 179, 1–54 (1992). massive pile of subducted lithosphere. Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, 5. Smith, R. B. et al. J. Volcanol. Geoth. Res. 188, 26–56 (2009). Ying Zhou’s3 observations are thus Oxford, UK. 6. Sigloch, K., McQuarrie, N. & Nolet, G. Nat. Geosci. 1, 458–462 intriguing because they suggest the e-mail: [email protected] (2008). 7. Burdick, S. et al. Seismol. Res. Lett. 79, 384–392 (2008). existence of a semi-deep upwelling within 8. Sigloch, K. Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst. 12, Q02W08 (2011). a deep subduction setting. Her proposed Published online: 21 May 2018 9. Schmandt, B. & Lin, F. C. Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 6342–6349 explanation, of passive, wet mantle (2014). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0150-4 10. Cao, A. & Levander, A. J. Geophys. Res. 115, B07301 (2010). upwelling in reaction to sudden slab 11. Schmandt, B., Dueker, K., Humphreys, E. & Hansen, S. foundering, opens a window to explain References Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 331, 224–236 (2012). surficial plume indicators and will hopefully 1. Morgan, W. J. Bull. Am. Assoc. Pet. Geol. 56, 203–213 (1972). 12. Gao, S. S. & Liu, K. H. J. Geophys. Res. 119, 6452–6468 (2015). motivate the broader geoscience disciplines 2. Christiansen, R. L., Foulger, G. R. & Evans, J. R. Geol. Soc. Am. 13. Nelson, P. L. & Grand, S. P. Nat. Geosci. 11, 280–284 (2018). Bull. 114, 1245–1256 (2002). -
The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation
Generated using version 3.2 of the official AMS LATEX template 1 The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation ∗ 2 Wenchang Yang Richard Seager and Mark A. Cane Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA 3 Bradfield Lyon International Research Institute for Climate and Society Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Earth Institute at Columbia University, Palisades, New York, USA. ∗Corresponding author address: Wenchang Yang, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia Univer- sity, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964. E-mail: [email protected] 1 4 ABSTRACT 5 East African precipitation is characterized by a dry annual mean climatology compared to 6 other deep tropical land areas and a bimodal annual cycle with the major rainy season during 7 March{May (MAM, often called the \long rains") and the second during October{December 8 (OND, often called the \short rains"). To explore these distinctive features, we use the ERA- 9 Interim Re-Analysis data to analyze the associated annual cycles of atmospheric convective 10 stability, circulation and moisture budget. The atmosphere over East Africa is found to 11 be convectively stable in general year-round but with an annual cycle dominated by the 12 surface moist static energy (MSE), which is in phase with the precipitation annual cycle. 13 Throughout the year, the atmospheric circulation is dominated by a pattern of convergence 14 near the surface, divergence in the lower troposphere and convergence again at upper levels. 15 Consistently, the convergence of the vertically integrated moisture flux is mostly negative 16 across the year, but becomes weakly positive in the two rainy seasons.