Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 • Volume 5, Number 8 Page 1of8 ••••• ••• • •• ••• 1.M·.-:.--· Hoosier Democrats -- mull impeachinent Impact on elections st~ll not clear HOWEY' By BRIAN A. HOWEY in and MARK SCHOEFF JR. in Washington After months of intrigue, the release of thousands_ of POLITICAL pages of documents and the airing of videotaped grand jury testimony, the House of Representatives this week will make a fundamental and historic decision: Should Congress begin the process that could lead to the impeachment of President REPORT Clinton? The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink, This question is fraught with peril for members of Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is an Congress and candidates running for office. independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the polit­ The outcome of three competitive races in , the ical process in Indiana. 8th, 9th and 10th CDs, could be influenced heavily by scan­ Brian A. Howey dal fallout. Polls indicate the American public has seen and editor and publisher heard enough about the President's affair with former White The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 House intern Monica Lewinsky. But now the context is PO Box 20877 Fax: 317-254-2405 becoming more serious. • Indianapolis, IN 46220 [email protected] "It is a vote to begin the impeachment process," [email protected] CNN political analyst William Schneider said in an inter­ view with HPR. "(That is) a traumatic exercise with a high Washington office: 202-775-3242 degree of seriousness. It's nothing you do lightly." Daytime number: 317-254-2400, Ext. 273 Nowhere was the contrast more vivid than in the 10th Pager: 317-320-2722 CD in Indianapolis. Republican Gary Hofmeister supports the impeachment inquiry, saying President Clinton has NewsLink Home Page: http://www.inoffice.com/hpr engaged in a systematic pattern of "obstruction and obfusca­ Subscriptions: $250 annually via fax or first tion." Hofmeister added that the House needs to move on class mail. Call 317-254-1533. impeachment. "We have no idea what is going to happen. © 1998, The Howey Political Report. All rights We have to do the right thing and let the chips fall as they reserved Photocopying, faxing or reproducing in any may," he said. form, in whole or in part, is a violation offederal law U.S. Rep. said that people in Indianapolis and is strictlvprohibited without consent ofthe pub­ lisher. Continued on page 2 ((QUOTE" OF THE WEEK INSIDE FEATURES

"She hasn't run against us .... '" •Ticker Tape: Cottey media blitz is on page 2 •Bob Lang: GOP's deep impact page 2 • Gary Hofmeister campaign manager Mike Young, on •Republicans scoping out Indy page4 the challenges of defeating U.S. Rep. Julia Carson's vaunt· •Columnists: Kmiec, Gerard, Dooley page 5 • ed ground war in the 10th CD. Carson is 19·0 in elections. •Horse Race: Hill-Leising pages 6-7 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 Page 2 of8 BOB LANG •

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impeachment," Buyer said. "This is his­ lmpeach,1rompage 1 TICKER. torically significant because it has hap­ are ''tired of it" and said that while pened only three times in our history. If T A P E President Clinton "violated the Command­ we're smart and fair, we will have a prod­ ments in a vile way, he could set a stan­ uct that Americans will view as credible." • Hoosier Democrats are playing it U.S. Rep. is dard of atonement." charging that the On Monday, the House Judiciary close to the vest. The offices of Reps. Lee Democratic National Committee voted along party lines, 21-16, Hamilton (9th CD), (3rd), Committee and state parties to approve a Republican measure that (1st) and Julia Carson are hiding additional illegal would allow the House to proceed with an (10th) said that none of the members had campaign contributions. impeachment investigation. Under the made a decision on the vote. The White House responded with interesting language, Republican plan, there would be no dead­ saying Burton's allegations line to end the inquiry nor would the A question of turnout are "illegitimate." investigation be limited in scope. The full Politically, the key question is how House is expected to vote as early as the evolving scandal will affect voter How are Hoosier communi· Thursday. turnout. ties faring with their Invest­ Two Hoosier members of the com­ Carson and Rep. ments on Wall Street? The mittee disputed the conventional wisdom Gary Post-Tribune reports (9th CD) "both have a committed base. that the proceedings have degenerated into that state rules prohibit Regardless of national factors, they're risky investing and most of partisanship. "I really do think that the going to get that base to the polls," said the cities and counties in difference in the committee was not about Amy Walter, House editor of the Cook The Region are doing well. an inquiry, but rather how the committee Political Report. "They have supporters Crown Point expects to should proceed," said Rep. Edward Pease. who would walk over broken glass." make $7n,ooo in interest Rep. , another commit­ Another factor in Hostettler' s and for 1998. Valparaiso is tee member, emphasized that the Demo­ Carson's favor is that polls show voters expecting about $476,000. cratic alternative did not advocate an approving of the direction the country is Gary will bring back about immediate end to the process. "All mem­ going and the job Congress and individual Continued on page 3 bers voted for some form of inquiry of members are doing. "Beating an incum- • Page3 of8 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998

bent is still going to be tough this year," position on the Clinton scandal is one less • said Walter. minute they have to promote their issues, TICKER Carson was part of the minority in said Ornstein. the House who voted against releasing the Many Democrats who vote in favor T A p E Starr Report. Her opponent will not neces­ of an impeachment inquiry may not face sarily shine a spotlight on the impeach­ the wrath of party leaders, said Alan $2 million. Porter County ment inquiry vote. "It's her votes against Locke, director of political seminars and has accrued about $1.8 mil· the district that are most important," said conferences at Campaign & Elections lion this year and Lake State Rep. Mike Young, campaign manag­ magazine. "It's going to be hard to assail County will probably top its er for Hofmeister. someone on a conscience vote when you 1997 figures of $7.56 mil· Young outlined a series of votes, may need them down the road" on other lion. Charles Pride of the including partial birth abortion, school legislation, he said. Indiana State Board of choice, criminal jail terms and tax cuts, Accounts observed, "They that put Carson on the opposite side of write the laws the way they Hoosiers sick of it do to make sure the invest­ district voters. In legislative races, both Indiana ments that governmental Carson spokesman Steve Cook said units make are safe." Said she is in step with the district on issues. Republicans and Democrats seem to be reporting the same thing: people are sick Michael Claytor of Municipal "The American people and people in the Consultants/Crowe Chizek, and tired of Monica Lewinsky and district want to protect Social Security. "There's going to be less The Republican tax cut takes away 10 Kenneth Starr. "Monica is just a blur in Interest earnings through· percent of the budget surplus," he said. the national media," said Jeb Bardon, the out the rest of the year than Democrat challenging Rep. Candy they might have seen. They Marendt (HD97). might lose some interest, Riecken sticks to issues Marendt explained, "Everyone is but they're not going to lose • , the Democratic chal- disgusted with it. The issues I keep hear­ any principal." lenger in the 8th CD, likely will take a ing them talk about are education, educa­ similar tack and try to keep the discussion tion, education." Chain of Life pro-life public demonstrations took place on the issues rather than attacking How voters respond to the scandal in a number of Indiana com­ Hostettler' s vote on the impeachment will help seal the president's fate. "The munities last Sunday, inquiry. "Right now, our priorities are the election is a referendum on the severity of including Indianapolis, Fort people's priorities - Social Security, Congress' action toward the president," Wayne, Munster and Medicare, HMO reform and education," said Locke. If Democrats are blown away Highland. Many of the pro­ said Heather Fidler, Riecken campaign in November, Clinton could suffer the testers held up signs that spokeswoman. consequences. "It would give ( congres­ read, "Abortion Kills The Riecken campaign did criticize sional Democrats) the fortitude to go Children." The Gary Post­ Hostettler for showing a lack of restraint against him," Locke said. Tribune reported the and judiciousness regarding the scandal For now, Clinton is surviving, protests in Munster this when he might have to vote on impeach­ which portends well for Democrats in the way: "There were no gray areas in their expressed ment. Hostettler' s office did not respond fall. In late August, Hoosier Democrats thoughts. Women around to a request for a comment. were preparing for the worst with a brave the world who had abor­ The vote on the impeachment face. Compared to that environment, tions were 'murderers,' they inquiry probably won't be a watermark of today they are worried about a base drop­ said." About 100 people the campaign year, said Norm Ornstein, off of 2 to 3 percent, as opposed to 9 to 10 attended the Munster rally. resident fellow at the American Enterprise percent that occurred in 1994. But three Institute. "The direct impact of the scan­ developments could tum the tide, CNN's U.S. Rep. Julia Carson dal is minima~" he said. "I'm skeptical Schneider said: a shocking new revelation drove by the protesters whether the (impeachment inquiry) vote about the president; a sharp downturn in gathering on Meridian Street in Indianapolis. Carson is itself will change anything." the polls; or a big GOP election victory, expecting Republican Gary • The problem for Democrats is that defined as 10-15 House seats and five Hofmeister to use the partial every moment they spend explaining their Senate seats.•:• continued on page 5 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 Page 4 of8 TICKER Indy braces for the big visit T A P E Republican site selection committee heads into the city INDIANAPOLIS - The people on address to the Democrats, it came within a • committee who have the best jobs in whisker of getting knocked off East Coast birth abortion issue as a America were streaming into the Circle coverage due to a late start. major campaign theme In City at this writing. The decision they There are huge differences now. the final weeks of the 10th make could be the biggest political deci­ In 1996, both nominations were sewed up CD race. sion this state has seen this century. by early March and Clinton was a huge The Republican National Com­ favorite from the beginning. In 2000, Marion County Sheriff Jack mittee's 2000 Convention Site Selection there may be unpredictable primaries in Cottey mailed out 30,000 Committee will spend three days in both major parties, particularly if House video cassettes to support· ers In a race he is already a Indianapolis, visiting the RCA Dome, the Minority Leader Richard Gephardt chal­ _cinch to win. The videos, attached Indiana Convention Center and lenges Vice President Gore in the produced by Kellems· 112 area hotels (plus the current parking Democratic primaries. The Republicans Dollaghan, follows Cottey's lot being prepped for a new convention will have as many as 10 candidates active­ life from the Marines to the hotel across the street from the dome). ly seeking the nomination. sheriff's office. Also coming The last time the selection committee was The times may be vastly differ­ is a TV ad blitz with much in town, members were treated to NBA ent. The economy was purring along in the same imagery. It raises playoffs, the Indianapolis 500, laps around '96, the world seemed stable, and trusted the question: what is Cottey the track, gifts and fancy meals. political observers questioned the audacity aiming for in the next four This visit is focused more on of someone like Sen. even years? detail. The committee will concentrate on talking about foreign policy. Two years Indiana farmers are smart· the dome facilities, including the potential later, the world economy is in turmoil, the Ing over low farm commodl· for media production, plush holding areas U.S. is weighing ground intervention in ty prices, according to for dignitaries, and facilities for the news Kosovo, and the American economy may Purdue University agricul· media. GOP Chairman Mike McDaniel be faced with a recession. • ture economist Mike Boelhji said he believes Indy has the best conven­ Why would they choose Indiana­ (Kokomo Tribune), "Ifs not tion facilities in the nation, a sharp con­ polis? The best answer is to accentuate the best news," he said. trast to the 25-foot-high ceiling at the con­ the 2000 strategy for the Howard County extension vention site in San Diego in 1996. Republicans, replacing the old Southern agent Bob McCormick said Indianapolis is one of four cities - Strategy. "We have the South," Quayle that because of low farm prices, consumers will see San Antonio, New York and Philadephia said. ''Now we have to win the Midwest the effects locally "through are the others - in contention for the con­ and California." farmer's spending habits." vention that would inject $150 million in Republicans will have a harder revenue to the region along with an time transmitting their aspirations of U.S. Rep. David Mcintosh invaluable amount of publicity. Midwestern virtues and values at any of will square off twice with his Conventions took a bit of a hit in the other convention sites. San Antonio opponent, New Castle 1996 because news leaders like ABC's gives the GOP a leg up on Hispanics, but Mayor Sherman Boles. The Ted Koppel declared them devoid of if Gov. George Bush wins the nomination, first debate will take place news. When Nightline pulled out of Texas will already be in the bag. New at the Muncie City Hall Oct. Chicago (prior to the Dick Morris story York is a media center that has cut into 21. The second will be a night later in New Castle. about him cavorting with a prostitute crime. Philly has the Liberty Bell. Mcintosh has begun adver· while talking with President Clinton), So it's the Midwest and California tising in the Indianapolis TV there was speculation that the era of the Strategy, with Indy sitting within 800 market, citing his legislation big convention was dead. Instead of the miles of two-thirds of the U.S. population to secure Social Security. gavel-to-gavel coverage of the old days, and a penchant for handling big sporting Most observers give Boles the networks were covering the conven­ events and the new home for the Intemet2 little If any chance to defeat tion for about two hours in prime time. hub.•!• Mcintosh. The significance When Gov. gave his keynote • Page 5 of8 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 0 N INDIANA TICKER T A P E Douglas W. Kmiec, Chicago money and negative advertising. It is Tribune - Alexis de Tocqueville wrote of because people, whether they support Bill our early republic: "When the American Clinton's politics, have seen the man and of the Mcintosh buy in people let themselves get intoxicated by his family trashed for years by a relent­ Indianapolis is that it reach· es almost 50 percent of the their passions or carried away by their less, well-financed smear campaign. Just state's population and will as Clinton is being dragged through the ideas, the lawyers apply an almost invisi­ bump up his name ID In that ble brake whith slows them down ... mud, fallout from this climate is claiming region, a valuable asset Lawyers, forming the only enlightened the reputation of others. It is a vicious should he decide to run for class not distrusted by the people, are nat­ cycle with no winners. Yet they want to governor In 2000. urally called upon to fill most public func­ blame the media or even worse, the tions." The frenzy over the president has American people, because they refused to Former Gov. Bob Orr was intoxicated our passions. And a century be manipulated.•!• featured in an Evansville and a half later, Tocqueville's characteri­ Courier story by Mike Chambers, who wrote, zation of the lawyering profession seems Gary Gerard, Warsaw Times-Union - "Historians will cite sweep­ more tongue in cheek than apt. Yet for the The more I watch the drama unfold in ing education reforms as last 23 years, the dean of the Notre Dame Washington, the more it starts to look like Orr's legacy. But planes, Law School, David Thomas Link, has a comedy. A comedy of errors. Everybody trains and automobiles have been the living embodiment of is spewing contradictions. Everybody is helped define Bob Orr." Tocqueville's high praise. His recently partially in the wrong. All the politicians Former LG John Mutz is announced retirement as the longest-serv- are playing it for their political gain. If it quoted: "Bob, In spite of his Hoosier roots, is a citizen of ing law dean in the nation comes at the wasn't so tragic, it would be funny. Think the world. He has a very very time when other lawyers - for good of all the trouble I could have avoided or ill - must honestly, and with partisan- good liberal education and when I was a kid ifl could have used my that gave him an apprecla· • ship, render an account for what consti­ head like the president. Like when my tlon of the International tutes a "high crime or misdemeanor." The mom caught me with cookie crumbs on world." The 81-year-old Orr suspect in the dock, of course, is none my shirt before supper and said, "Gary isn't planning to retire, but other than a fellow lawyer. The House Alan Gerard! Did you eat a cookie before his schedule Is thinnnlng. Judiciary Committee's preliminary inquiry supper?" I could have said, 'Well, that Said his executive secretary is a grave responsibility, and one fraught Mary Kay Davis of retire­ depends on your definition of the word with peril. Yet legions of Notre Dame law ment, "He hates that word. 'eat."' •!• graduates would readily confer the task on He Intends to die with his Dean Link. •!• boots on, and I believe Mike Dooley, Fort Wayne News­ him." Orr made 17 trips abroad during his eight Max Jones, Terre Haute Tribune-Star Sentinel - Evan Bayh, the former Hoosier years as governor. When - You may have heard about pompous governor who's running for a U.S. Senate Orr took office In 1980 there blowhard William Bennett, a former sec­ seat this year, has a TV spot currently run­ were 18 Japanese compa· retary of education and promoter of ning that says he supports elimination of nies operating in Indiana. Republican causes. He has written a book the "marriage penalty," a provision in the By the end of his term in decrying the "death of outrage," chastis­ tax code that makes married couples pay 1988, there were 175. ing the American people for a decline in more in federal income tax than single U.S. Sen. Richard Lugar folks. That's a commendable position, but moral standards. Excuse me for question­ along with Sens. Trent Lott, ing this pious man with a superiority com­ not one that's exclusively Bayh's. Strom Thurmond, John plex, but politicians themselves are in this Eliminating that provision is also part of Warner and Chuck Hagel boat because they themselves climbed into the GOP's tax-reform package that recent­ sent a letter to President • it. If there is a "death of outrage" as ly passed the House and is on its way to Clinton concerning the Bennett claims, it is because the political the Senate. Well in advance of Bayh, by system has been soiled by special-interest the way.•!• continued on page 6 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 Page 6 of8

TOSS-UPS (5) 30TH - BURKHARDT V. HERRELL Indiana Racing Form 46TH - LOHR V. We see Democratic voter drop-off at 2 to 4 percent TINCHER So, is there going to be a little Republican tidal wave? Or a backlash against the 56fH - PAUST V. GOP for its antics on the House Judiciary Committee and its placement of pornograph- BODIKER ic Clinton/Lewinsky material on the Internet? HORSE We're getting mixed signals. Nation- R· A ( E 94TH - MARENDT V. ally, Clinton's job approval raiting remains at ______BARDON about 66 percent. Indiana voters have said to 9TfH - SCHULTZ V. the tune of73 percent that issues count more than character. Yet, the Fort Wayne News­ MAHERN Sentinel reports that local bookstores couldn't keep the Starr Report in stock - even though it was published in local newspapers and is available on the Internet. And GOP LEANS R (5) congressional campaigns all believe their base is fired up and detect some disaffected 24TH - MCCLAIN V. Democrats quietly voicing their disapproval. CNN reports that up to 30 to 40 congres- FINCHER sional Democrats will defect and vote to send the impeachment inquiry to the full House. 26fH - SCHOLER V. Our guess is that Democratic turnout will drop off in Indiana by 2 to 4 percent CLAPPER from 1990 numbers. That compares to a loss of 8 to 10 percent in the 1994 disaster. In our status report, Toss-Up means the race is within a statistical margin of 53RD - CHERRY V. error or we're on to something; Leans is just outside the margin of error and up to, say, WOLF V. 9 percent; Likely is about 10 to 15 points and a good gut feeling, and Solid means • MILLER watch out for a landslide. 54TH - HAMILTON V. SAUNDERS INDIANA CONGRESSIONAL RACES U.S. Senate: Republican: Fort Wayne Mayor Paul Helmke. Democrat: Evan Bayh. 60TH - ELLINGTON V. WELCH Libertarian: Rebecca Sink-Burris. 1992 Results: Coats 1,267,972, Hogsett 900,148. 1998 Forecast: Star/News WTHR poll has Bayh leading Helmke and Sink-Burris, 56-31-2. Televised LEANS D (3) debates statewide, in Indianapolis and with Jack Colwell on WNIT-TV in South Bend-Elkhart were uneventful. The South Bend Tribune seemed to sum up it up in its lead: "While Paul 19TH - KUZMAN V. Helmke and Evan Bayh agree on issues ranging from President Clinton's relations with a White GASPAROVIC House intern to free trade, they do disagree on what should be done with the federal govern­ ment's budget surplus." One thing is quite clear to us. Evan Bayh is really a Republican, or per­ 34TH - VANLEER V. haps a Republicrat. He has, in an unprecedented way, positioned himself as a "bipartisan" candi­ ADAMS date. If there wasn't a "D" behind his name, Indiana Republicans would love Evan. Well, get used to him. Status: Solid D. SOTH - BECKER V. Congressional District 3: Republican: Dan Holtz. Democrat: U.S. Rep. Tim GIA QUINTA Roemer. Geography: South Bend, Mishawaka, Elkhart, LaPorte, St. Joseph and Elkhart coun­ ties. 1994 results: Roemer 72,497, Burkett 58,787. 1996 Results: Roemer 114,381, Zakas (R) 80,748, Taylor (L) 2,331. 1998 Forecast: We believe that Roemer may be out of trouble without a huge vote against Clinton. He is probably in a position to withstand a loss of under 5 percent of the Democratic base, although that would make this a close election. NRCC will be investing in this race. Indiana Farm Bureau endorses Holtz, which has always backed Roemer before. Holtz has just been too quiet to be in a position to seriously challenge Roemer. Status: Likely D. Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. John Hostettler. Democrat: Evansville Councilwoman Gail Riecken. Libertarian: Paul Hager. Geography: Evansville, • Bloomington, Vincennes and SW Indiana. 1994 results: Hostettler 93,529, McCloskey 84,857. 1996 Results: Hostettler 109,582, Weinzapfel (D) 106,134, Hager (L) 3,799. 1998 Forecast: The air war has begun. Riecken is running radio and TV heavily in the Evansville and Page 7 of8 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998

.loomington TV markets focusing on leadership, health care and Social Security. Hostettler and Riecken square off in the lone fall debate on WNIN-TV in Evansville. The biggest news was that Riecken said she would support a censure of President Clinton. Hostettler would only TICKER say that he believes there is substantial evidence to bring an impeachment vote by the end of p the year (Kevin Kinnaird, Evansville Courier). When Riecken accused Hostettler of supporting T A E tax loopholes for the rich, the Republican responded by bringing up the marina tax dispute involving Riecken's husband, Ron. The challenger said that no back taxes were owed. Riecken genocide In Kosovo. "Since receives the endorsement of the Indiana State Fraternal Order of Police. Hostettler is pushing the Serbian military offensive his vote to "invest $1.4 trillion for Social Security, saying, "For 40 years the Social Security began in Kosovo more than Trust Fund was raided to pay for social spending, welfare programs and to disguise the true seven months ago, senior size of the national debt. Today that era came to an end." Libertarian Hager has a website up at Administration officials have : www.kiva.net/-hager98 . Status: Toss-Up. repeatedly stated that Congressional District 9: Republican: Jean Leising. Democrat: . Serbian actions would not be Libertarian: Diane L. Feeney. Geography: New Albany Jeffersonville, Madison, Nashville tolerated," Lugar wrote. and SE Indiana. 1994 results: Hamilton 91,459, Leising 84,315. 1996 Results: H~ilton "Since these statements, 128,885, Leising 97,747, Feeney (L) 2,315. 1998 Forecast: Hill is running TV in Evansville many of us indicated we and Louisville markets. Speaker stumped for Leising in Seymour, with the would support military action Republican getting good media coverage in Indianapolis, Louisville and Evansville media mar­ to halt Serbian ethnic cleans­ kets. Sources say PAC money is beginning to spill into Leising's campaign as this open seat ing. However, it Is now more has become a top target for the RNCC. Leising not up on TV at this writing. Debate in difficult for us to have confi· Bloomington had Leising coming out against free textbooks, even though that is a state, not dence that military action wlll federal issue. Hill doing door-to-door in New Albany and Scott County this coming week. accomplish the stated goals. Former Texas Gov. Ann Richard comes to the district on Oct. 12, former Sen. on U.S. credibility has suffered Oct. 15 and Secretary of Education Richard Riley on Oct. 16. Leader of the Committee to great damage because U.S. Preserve Social Security and Medicaid will conduct a press conference with Hill soon. This is threats have not been carried • weird race. No one has disputed the Newhouse poll showing Leising up by almost 10 points. out." The senators told Many believe race will be tight Whether Hill will actually outspend Leising remains to be Clinton that they now could seen, but in order to win he will probably need to. His ace in the hole is Lee Hamilton touring not support military opera­ the district in the last week. Status: Toss-Up. tions "unless and until you Congressional District 10: Republican: Gary Hofmeister. Democrat: U.S. Rep. commit to request a signifi· Julia Carson. Libertarian: Fred C. Peterson. Geography: Indianapolis. 1994 results: Jacobs cant increase in the defense (D) 58,573, Scott 50,998. 1996 Results: Carson 90,869, Blankenbaker 69,248, St. Angelo (L) budget to address the short· 3,505. 1998 Forecast: Hofmeister releases NRCC poll by the Tarrance Group (Goldsmith's falls in military readiness, 1996 pollster), taken on Sept 8-9, 300 likely, +/-5.8 percent It shows that "of those who have personnel and modemiza· decided to vote, Hofmeister leads Carson 27-24.8 percent. Carson's re-elect number was 44 tlon." The senators also stat­ percent. Mike Young's line: "Julia is in serious trouble." Confidence has reached an exuberant, ed that any ground troops anticipatory level at Hofmeister HQ. Carson's take on all polls? "I don't put any stocks into placed In Kosovo "should be polls." Carson's Park Avenue home was also a beehive last weekend, with aggressive voter European, not American." registration drives and yard sign distribution under way. New York Times' Richard L. Berke covers race from the Clinton sex scandal perspective. Hofmeister is calling for the impeach­ There Is quite a debate about ment inquiry to march on, saying, "Principle is above everything"; Carson said the President how big the burge0nlng can set a new standard for atonement. Washington Post's Tom Edsall also in town covering the Hispanic population In the race. Hofineister will try to defeat Carson on three main issues: partial birth abortion, choice in Michiana area is growing. schools, and crime. He is aiming resources at an estimated 12,000 Catholic voters. Carson The South Bend Tribune responds to partial birth abortion controversy this way: "I believe, across the board, that gov­ reported that the U.S. ernment can't interfere with medical services." Asked if he thought the campaign would get Census Bureau found 7,321 dirty, Mike Young responds: "We can't rule it out. We think we can still vote her out because Hispanics living in St. of such a laundry list of votes against the district." Another big issue is legislation Hofmeister Joseph County. But the non· says Carson voted against: disallowing federal judges from shortening felony sentences." profit agency La Casa de Carson camp is complaining that Hofmeister is using push calls on that issue in racially sensi- Amistad reported the popula­ tive neighborhoods, something Hofineister denies. Those calls are going to all neighborhoods. tion at 11,000 and communi· • Horse Race asked Young how he could overcome Carson's juggernaut ground war (Carson is ty activist Michael Bueno placed it at 15,000. Lacasa continued on page 8 continued on page 8 Page 8 of8 Thursday, Oct. 8, 1998 TICKER 19-0 irrelections), and he responded, "She hasn't.run against us." Status: Toss-Up. • T A P E RACES reporting serving three Secretary of State: Republican: Sue Anne Gilroy. Democrat: Cheryl Little. 1994 times as many people as it Results: Gilroy (R) 902,100, Jeffers D) 542,539, Dillon (L) 32.483, Knight (A) 13,948. 1998 did two years ago, st. Forecast: Key question is whether Gilroy can HORSE Stephen's Parish in South sweep the rest of the Statehouse ticket into office R A ( E Bend has increased is like her old boss, Dick Lugar, did in 1994. We fig­ Spanish masses from one ure there will probably be some coordinated to two, and the Greater advertising along the lines of the "Lugar Team" in 1994 .. Status: Solid Republican. Elkhart Area Chamber of Senate District 1: R Primary: Sen. Sandy Dempsey. D Primary: Hammond Commerce said its help to Councilman Frank Mrvan. Geography: Lake County. HPR General Forecast: Dempsey v. yearning Hispanic business· Mrvan. 1994 results: Mrvan 13,114, Dempsey 13,060. 1998 Forecast: Souces in both parties men and women has are telling HPR that Dempsey is favored to defeat Mrvan. Status: TOSS-UP. increased seven times House District 53: Republican: Councilman Robert Cherry. Democrat: Sarah Wolf. faster than any other ethnic Libertarian: Phil Miller. Geography: Greenfield, Rushville, Hancock and Rush counties.1994 or racial group. Lacasa of Results: Gulling (R) 13,945 unopposed. 1996 Results: Gulling (R) 20,174 unopposed. 1998 Goshen reports that up to Forecast: Here's a fascinating rumor we'll be tracking down: Libertarian Phil Miller is polling 35 percent of its clients are in the 10 percent range in this race. Part of the reason may be some Republicans in the 6th CD Hispanic. looking for another choice other than Dan Burton and Democrats searching for an alternative to Bob Kem. If Miller polls into that range, it could alter this race significantly. Status: Leans R. Gov. Frank O'Bannon was House District 97: Republican: Ray Schultz. Democrat: Rep. Ed Mahem. visiting schools in Indiana· Geography: Southern Indianapolis. 1994 Results: Heffiey 4,782, Cantwell 4,037. 1996 polis and LaPorte that have Results: Mahem 6,368, Heffiey 5,372. 1998 Forecast: Ed Mahem's take on his race against • full-day kindeigarten. Ray Schultz: "It will probably come down to less than 1,000 votes. If it's worse than 1994; I've O'Bannon is expected to got a problem. If it's in between, I'll be in great shape. But it's been tough to gauge." He push the issue of full-day .. described wters as 4'not.too,..enthusiasticl' Status:·Toss ..Up; kindergarten in the 1999'­ - BRIAN A. HOWEY •!• legislative session. •!•

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