Does CFPB Oversight Crimp Credit?∗ Andreas Fuster, Matthew Plosser and James Vickery April 16, 2021 Abstract We study how regulatory oversight by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) affects mortgage credit supply and other aspects of bank behavior. We use a difference-in-differences approach exploiting changes in regulatory intensity and a size cutoff below which banks are exempt from CFPB scrutiny. CFPB oversight leads to a reduction in lending in the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) market, which primarily serves riskier borrowers. However, it is also associated with a lower transition probability from moderate to serious delinquency, suggesting that tighter regulatory oversight may reduce foreclosures. Our results underscore the trade-off between protecting borrowers and maintaining access to credit. JEL: G21, G28, D18. Keywords: consumer financial protection, regulation, mortgages, servicing, credit supply ∗Fuster: Swiss National Bank and CEPR (email:
[email protected]). Plosser: Federal Reserve Bank of New York (email:
[email protected]). Vickery (corresponding author): Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia (email:
[email protected]; address: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, 10 Independence Mall, Philadelphia PA 19106). For comments and suggestions, we thank Bob DeYoung, Don Morgan, Joao Santos, and seminar participants at Tsinghua University, U.C. Berkeley Haas School of Business, the New York Fed, and the Fed System Conference on Financial Institutions, Regulations and Markets. Kate DiLucido, Kevin Lai, April Meehl, Lauren Thomas, Shivram Viswanathan, Rose Wang and Brandon Zborowski provided outstanding research assistance. Opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the opinions of the Federal Reserve Banks of New York or Philadelphia, the Federal Reserve System, or the Swiss National Bank.