Cosmic Variance of $ Z> 7$ Galaxies: Prediction from Bluetides
MNRAS 000, 000{000 (0000) Preprint 30 June 2020 Compiled using MNRAS LATEX style file v3.0 Cosmic variance of z > 7 galaxies: Prediction from BlueTides Aklant K. Bhowmick1, Rachel S. Somerville2;3, Tiziana Di Matteo1, Stephen Wilkins4, Yu Feng 5, Ananth Tenneti1 1McWilliams Center for Cosmology, Dept. of Physics, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh PA 15213, USA 2Center for Computational Astrophysics, Flatiron institute, New York, NY 10010, USA 3Department of Physics and Astronomy, Rutgers University, 136 4Astronomy Centre, Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Sussex, Brighton, BN1 9QH, UK 5Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA 30 June 2020 ABSTRACT In the coming decade, a new generation of telescopes, including JWST and WFIRST, will probe the period of the formation of first galaxies and quasars, and open up the last frontier for structure formation. Recent simulations as well as observations have suggested that these galaxies are strongly clustered (with large scale bias & 6), and therefore have significant cosmic variance. In this work, we use BlueTides, the largest volume cosmological simulation of galaxy formation, to directly estimate the cosmic variance for current and upcoming surveys. Given its resolution and volume, BlueTides can probe the bias and cosmic variance of z > 7 galaxies between mag- 2 2 nitude MUV ∼ −16 to MUV ∼ −22 over survey areas ∼ 0:1 arcmin to ∼ 10 deg . Within this regime, the cosmic variance decreases with survey area/ volume as a power law with exponents between ∼ −0:25 to ∼ −0:45. For the planned 10 deg2 field of WFIRST, the cosmic variance is between 3% to 10%.
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