A Chapter in the History of Central Banking
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Load more
Recommended publications
-
Public Debt, High Inflation and Economic Depression: a Survival Analysis Approach Minjie Guo
CORE Metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk Provided by Scholar Commons - Institutional Repository of the University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Scholar Commons Theses and Dissertations Spring 2019 Public Debt, High Inflation and Economic Depression: A Survival Analysis Approach Minjie Guo Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarcommons.sc.edu/etd Part of the Economics Commons Recommended Citation Guo, M.(2019). Public Debt, High Inflation and Economic Depression: A Survival Analysis Approach. (Doctoral dissertation). Retrieved from https://scholarcommons.sc.edu/etd/5279 This Open Access Dissertation is brought to you by Scholar Commons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Scholar Commons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Public Debt, High Inflation and Economic Depression: A Survival Analysis Approach by Minjie Guo Bachelor of Arts Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, 2007 Master of Arts University of Texas at Arlington, 2011 Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Economics Darla Moore School of Business University of South Carolina 2019 Accepted by: John McDermott, Major Professor Janice Bass, Committee Member William Hauk, Committee Member Warren Weber, Committee Member Cheryl L. Addy, Vice Provost and Dean of the Graduate School c Copyright by Minjie Guo, 2019 All Rights Reserved. ii Dedication To my parents and grandparents. iii Acknowledgments I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Dr. John McDermott for his support during my Ph.D study. His guidance and encouragement during the dissertation process were invaluable. -
Deflation: a Business Perspective
Deflation: a business perspective Prepared by the Corporate Economists Advisory Group Introduction Early in 2003, ICC's Corporate Economists Advisory Group discussed the risk of deflation in some of the world's major economies, and possible consequences for business. The fear was that historically low levels of inflation and faltering economic growth could lead to deflation - a persistent decline in the general level of prices - which in turn could trigger economic depression, with widespread company and bank failures, a collapse in world trade, mass unemployment and years of shrinking economic activity. While the risk of deflation is now remote in most countries - given the increasingly unambiguous signs of global economic recovery - its potential costs are very high and would directly affect companies. This issues paper was developed to help companies better understand the phenomenon of deflation, and to give them practical guidance on possible measures to take if and when the threat of deflation turns into reality on a future occasion. What is deflation? Deflation is defined as a sustained fall in an aggregate measure of prices (such as the consumer price index). By this definition, changes in prices in one economic sector or falling prices over short periods (e.g., one or two quarters) do not qualify as deflation. Dec lining prices can be driven by an increase in supply due to technological innovation and rapid productivity gains. These supply-induced shocks are usually not problematic and can even be accompanied by robust growth, as experienced by China. A fall in prices led by a drop in demand - due to a severe economic cycle, tight economic policies or a demand-side shock - or by persistent excess capacity can be much more harmful, and is more likely to lead to persistent deflation. -
The Federal Reserve Act of 1913
THE FEDERAL RESERVE ACT OF 1913 HISTORY AND DIGEST by V. GILMORE IDEN PUBLISHED BY THE NATIONAL BANK NEWS PHILADELPHIA Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Copyright, 1914 by Ccrtttiois Bator Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis History of Federal Reserve Act History N MONDAY, October 21, 1907, the Na O tional Bank of Commerce of New York City announced its refusal to clear for the Knickerbocker Trust Company of the same city. The trust company had deposits amounting to $62,000,000. The next day, following a run of three hours, the Knickerbocker Trust Company paid out $8,000,000 and then suspended. One immediate result was that banks, acting independently, held on tight to the cash they had in their vaults, and money went to a premium. Ac cording to the experts who investigated the situation, this panic was purely a bankers’ panic and due entirely to our system of banking, which bases the protection of the financial solidity of the country upon the individual reserves of banks. In the case of a stress, such as in 1907, the banks fail to act as a whole, their first consideration being the protec tion of their own reserves. PAGE 5 Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis History of Federal Reserve Act The conditions surrounding previous panics were entirely different. -
Observations on Regulation D and the Use of Reserve Requirements
United States Government Accountability Office Report to Congressional Requesters October 2016 FEDERAL RESERVE Observations on Regulation D and the Use of Reserve Requirements GAO-17-117 October 2016 FEDERAL RESERVE Observations on Regulation D and the Use of Reserve Requirements Highlights of GAO-17-117, a report to congressional requesters Why GAO Did This Study What GAO Found Section 19 of the Federal Reserve Act The methods by which depository institutions can implement Regulation D requires depository institutions to (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions) include maintaining reserves maintain reserves against a portion of against transaction accounts and enforcing a numeric transfer and withdrawal their transaction accounts solely for the (transaction) limit for savings deposits if they wish to avoid classifying those implementation of monetary policy. accounts as reservable transaction accounts. GAO estimates that 70–78 percent Regulation D implements section 19, of depository institutions limit savings deposit transactions. Other methods and it also requires institutions to limit include automatically transferring balances from transaction (e.g., checking) certain kinds of transfers and accounts to savings deposits in order to reduce reserve requirements. Institutions withdrawals from savings deposits to may choose to maintain transaction account reserves against savings deposits to not more than six per month or eliminate the need to enforce the transaction limit. But some institutions GAO statement cycle if they wish to avoid having to maintain reserves against surveyed indicated that they had operational burdens associated with monitoring these accounts. The transaction limit and enforcing the transaction limit (for example, 63–73 percent cited challenges, allows the Federal Reserve to such as creating forms and converting and closing accounts). -
Martin Van Buren: the Greatest American President
SUBSCRIBE NOW AND RECEIVE CRISIS AND LEVIATHAN* FREE! “The Independent Review does not accept “The Independent Review is pronouncements of government officials nor the excellent.” conventional wisdom at face value.” —GARY BECKER, Noble Laureate —JOHN R. MACARTHUR, Publisher, Harper’s in Economic Sciences Subscribe to The Independent Review and receive a free book of your choice* such as the 25th Anniversary Edition of Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government, by Founding Editor Robert Higgs. This quarterly journal, guided by co-editors Christopher J. Coyne, and Michael C. Munger, and Robert M. Whaples offers leading-edge insights on today’s most critical issues in economics, healthcare, education, law, history, political science, philosophy, and sociology. Thought-provoking and educational, The Independent Review is blazing the way toward informed debate! Student? Educator? Journalist? Business or civic leader? Engaged citizen? This journal is for YOU! *Order today for more FREE book options Perfect for students or anyone on the go! The Independent Review is available on mobile devices or tablets: iOS devices, Amazon Kindle Fire, or Android through Magzter. INDEPENDENT INSTITUTE, 100 SWAN WAY, OAKLAND, CA 94621 • 800-927-8733 • [email protected] PROMO CODE IRA1703 Martin Van Buren The Greatest American President —————— ✦ —————— JEFFREY ROGERS HUMMEL resident Martin Van Buren does not usually receive high marks from histori- ans. Born of humble Dutch ancestry in December 1782 in the small, upstate PNew York village of Kinderhook, Van Buren gained admittance to the bar in 1803 without benefit of higher education. Building on a successful country legal practice, he became one of the Empire State’s most influential and prominent politi- cians while the state was surging ahead as the country’s wealthiest and most populous. -
About the Richmond
regulates banks that have a national charter, and can Who appoints the Board of Governors? usually be recognized by the word “National” in or the The seven members, called governors, are appointed by letters “N.A.” after their names. On July 21, 2011, the U.S. president and are confirmed by the U.S. Senate for supervisory responsibility for federal savings and loans staggered 14-year terms. and federal savings banks switched to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Who leads the Board of Governors? • The National Credit Union Administration regulates • The Board of Governors is led by a chair and a vice chair, federally chartered credit unions. who serve four-year terms. About the • States also have supervisory responsibility for • The chair and vice chair are nominated by the president state-chartered banks and credit unions, as well as and confirmed by the Senate. Richmond Fed other non-depository institutions, such as consumer • The current chair is Jerome Powell and the vice chair is finance companies, mortgage lenders and brokers, Stanley Fischer. payday lenders, and check cashers. What is the Fed doing to promote accountability Do people have accounts at the Federal Reserve? and transparency? No, they do not. We’re a “banker’s bank.” Only depository • The Fed is ultimately accountable to the American institutions and certain other financial entities are eligible people, and regularly provides information to the to have accounts at a Federal Reserve Bank. public so people better understand what we do. • The Federal Reserve Board chair reports to Congress twice a year on the health of the economy and the actions of the FOMC. -
Actions of the Board, Its Staff, and the Federal Reserve Banks; Applications and Reports Received
Federal Reserve Release H.2 Actions of the Board, Its Staff, and the Federal Reserve Banks; Applications and Reports Received No. 22 Week Ending June 1, 2019 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, DC 20551 H.2 Board Actions May 26, 2019 to June 1, 2019 Forms Forms -- initial Board review to extend with revision the Federal Reserve Membership Applications (FR 2083A and FR 2083B) and Federal Reserve Bank Stock Applications (FR 2030, FR 2030a, FR 2056, FR 2086, FR 2086a, and FR 2087) and to extend without revision two Federal Reserve Membership Applications (FR 2083 and FR 2083C). - Proposed, May 30, 2019 Personnel Division of Supervision and Regulation -- appointment of Mona Elliot as deputy associate director and Christine Graham as assistant director. - Announced, May 31, 2019 Management Division -- appointment of Winona H. Varnon as director and Michell Clark as senior adviser. - Approved, May 30, 2019 Regulations and Policies Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) -- interagency final rule to modify the LCR rule to treat certain municipal obligations as high-quality liquid assets, in accordance with the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act. - Approved, May 23, 2019 (A/C) (A/C) = Addition or Correction Board - Page 1 of 1 H.2 Actions under delegated authority May 26, 2019 to June 1, 2019 S&R Supervision and Regulation RBOPS Reserve Bank Operations and Payment Systems C&CA Consumer and Community Affairs IF International Finance FOMC Federal Open Market Committee MA Monetary Affairs Bank Branches, Domestic San Francisco First Utah Bank, Salt Lake City, Utah -- to establish a branch at Village of Traverse Mountain, 3600 North Digital Drive, Lehi. -
The New Frontier: a History of Economic Crisis and Recovery from 1918 to COVID-19
CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICE The New Frontier: A History of Economic Crisis and Recovery from 1918 to COVID-19 June 2020 Months on from the initial outbreak, the world remains in the grip of the novel coronavirus AUTHORED BY pandemic. From shuttered storefronts to school closures and government-enforced shutdowns, the impact on daily life worldwide has been extreme, and the global economy Ehiwario Efeyini is still operating well below capacity. The scale of the crisis has been unparalleled in living Director and Senior Market memory. But a look at the past 100 years shows several periods of societal, economic, Strategy Analyst geopolitical and financial crisis that would eventually give way to new patterns of activity, innovation, policy support and cooperation that were more constructive for households, companies and investors. The early 20th century included a world war and a global flu pandemic. The 1930s saw an economic depression and military conflict on an even larger scale. The 1970s was a period of economic stagnation and high inflation. And the first decade of the new millennium brought the collapse of a stock market bubble, the rise of global terrorism and a financial crash. Crucially, each of these historical crisis periods was ultimately succeeded by an economic revival, a more favorable investment environment and sustained price gains for equity markets (Exhibit 1). Exhibit 1: Equity Markets and Historical Periods of Crisis and Recovery1 23 Dow Jones Industrial Index 9/11 2001 2008–2009 Level (log scale) Crisis Periods Recovery Periods attacks Global COVID-19 Financial Crisis 100000 pandemic 2000 1989 Dot-com peak 1974–1981 Fall of Double-digit Berlin Wall 10000 U.S. -
History of Banking in the U.S. (9/30/2010) Econ 310-004
History of Banking in the U.S. (9/30/2010) Econ 310‐004 Definitions • independent treasury – separation of bank and state • laissez faire – transactions between private parties are free from state intervention, including restrictive regulations, taxes, tariffs and enforced monopolies • mercantilism – alliance between government and certain privileged merchants • interstate branch banking – the ability of a bank to have branches in more than one state • intrastate branch banking – the ability of a bank to have multiple branches in the same state • unit banking – no interstate or intrastate branching • fractional currency – currency in denominations less than a dollar (e.g., 5¢, 10¢, 25¢, etc.) • bond collateral requirement – dollar for dollar banknote to state bond ratio • wildcat banking – fraudulent banks setup in wilderness that made it very hard to redeem notes • inelastic currency – inability of the system to convert deposits into banknotes Principles • Banking has always been one of the most regulated industries. • Branching allows diversification. o Assets: Without branching banks only loan locally, so when the local economy goes bad, many loans default at once. o Liabilities: Without branching banks only get deposits locally, so when the local economy goes bad, many customers withdraw at once. • The stability of the bank system effects the reserve rate, not the other way around. • Bond collateral requirement led to more bank panics due to inelastic currency. Alexander Hamilton early state banks • Secretary of the Treasury (Washington) • 1776‐1837 • formed United States Mint • regulation at state level • got Morris to form Bank of North America • no general incorporation for banks • started Bank of New York • 9/31 states outlawed banking • architect of 1st bank of the United States • some states setup monopoly banks • killed by Aaron Burr (VP) in a duel • some still chartered banks • 6 states tried deposit/note insurance Andrew Jackson • President of U.S. -
U.S. Policy in the Bretton Woods Era I
54 I Allan H. Meltzer Allan H. Meltzer is a professor of political economy and public policy at Carnegie Mellon University and is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. This paper; the fifth annual Homer Jones Memorial Lecture, was delivered at Washington University in St. Louis on April 8, 1991. Jeffrey Liang provided assistance in preparing this paper The views expressed in this paper are those of Mr Meltzer and do not necessarily reflect official positions of the Federal Reserve System or the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. U.S. Policy in the Bretton Woods Era I T IS A SPECIAL PLEASURE for me to give world now rely on when they want to know the Homer Jones lecture before this distinguish- what has happened to monetary growth and ed audience, many of them Homer’s friends. the growth of other non-monetary aggregates. 1 am persuaded that the publication and wide I I first met Homer in 1964 when he invited me dissemination of these facts in the 1960s and to give a seminar at the Bank. At the time, I was 1970s did much more to get the monetarist case a visiting professor at the University of Chicago, accepted than we usually recognize. 1 don’t think I on leave from Carnegie-Mellon. Karl Brunner Homer was surprised at that outcome. He be- and I had just completed a study of the Federal lieved in the power of ideas, but he believed Reserve’s monetary policy operations for Con- that ideas were made powerful by their cor- gressman Patman’s House Banking Committee. -
Regulation D: Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions
FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 12 CFR Part 204 Docket No. R-1737; RIN 7100-AG07 Regulation D: Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions AGENCY: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking, request for public comment. SUMMARY: The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (“Board”) proposes to amend its Regulation D (Reserve Requirements of Depository Institutions, 12 CFR Part 204) to eliminate references to an “interest on required reserves” rate and to an “interest on excess reserves” rate and replace them with a reference to a single “interest on reserve balances” rate. The Board also proposes to simplify the formula used to calculate the amount of interest paid on balances maintained by or on behalf of eligible institutions in master accounts at Federal Reserve Banks, and to make other conforming changes. DATES: Comments must be received on or before [INSERT DATE 60 DAYS AFTER DATE OF PUBLICATION IN THE FEDERAL REGISTER]. ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by Docket Number R-1737; RIN 7100-AG07, by any of the following methods: • Agency Web site: http://www.federalreserve.gov. Follow the instructions for submitting comments at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.cfm. 1 • E-mail: [email protected]. Include the docket number and RIN in the subject line of the message. • Fax: (202) 452-3819 or (202) 452-3102. • Mail: Ann E. Misback, Secretary, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue, NW, Washington, DC 20551. All public comments are available from the Board’s website at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.cfm as submitted, unless modified for technical reasons or to remove personally identifiable information at the commenter’s request. -
New York and the Politics of Central Banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Moen, Jon R.; Tallman, Ellis W. Working Paper New York and the politics of central banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act Working Paper, No. 2003-42 Provided in Cooperation with: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Suggested Citation: Moen, Jon R.; Tallman, Ellis W. (2003) : New York and the politics of central banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act, Working Paper, No. 2003-42, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Atlanta, GA This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/100984 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu New York and the Politics of Central Banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act Jon R.