PacNet 71 PACIFIC FORUM · HONOLULU, HI January 8, 20 20

19. Why Vietnam is more than just a venue for the United States and DPRK summit: a view from Hanoi by Le Dinh Tinh and Nguyen Duc Chinh 20. North Korea’s year of reckoning: famine, sanctions and security by Hazel Smith 21. What the latest opinion polls say about by Dennis V. Hickey 21R. Response to #21, “What the latest 2019 PACNET COMMENTARY INDEX opinion polls say about Taiwan” by Joseph Bosco and Dennis V. Hickey The comprehensive 2019 index includes each PacNet 21A. Self-Defense in Taiwan: new findings from commentary below. Pacific Forum will continue to surveys by Fang-Yu Chen, Yao-Yuan Yeh, publish timely insight and analysis in 2020. Austin Wang, and Charles K.S. Wu 22. Unpacking the “rules-based order” by Joel Ng 1. Rewards and risks in 23. Tomorrow’s biosecurity surprise by Thom gambit by Lucio Blanco Pitlo III Dixon 2. A tough year ahead for Mr. Abe by Brad 24. Kim Jong Un’s choice – economic reform Glosserman would be a risk well taken by North Korea by 3. The US Indo-Pacific Command makes its Thomas Byrne and Jonathan Corrado Indo-Pacific mark, with China in mind by 25. Balikatan 2019 and Philippine policy on the David Scott South China Sea by Christian Vicedo 4. Why economic sanctions in Myanmar is a bad 26. Washington’s “whole-of-government” idea by Kensuke Yamaguchi pushback against Chinese challenges— 5. Whence Korean denuclearization by Andray implications and outlook by Robert Sutter Abrahamian 27. 2+2 meeting hits (almost) all the right notes by 6. Comparative Connections summary: January Brad Glosserman 2019 28. Comparative Connections summary: May 7. CPTPP: New key player in international trade 2019 by Pradumna B. Rana and Xianbai Ji 29. Impacted jurisdictions need COFA strategies 8. Sri Lanka is poised for a wild and rocky year by Michael Walsh by Taylor Dibbert 30. US strategy toward China: three key questions 9. FOIP has a problem with “free” by Brad for policy-makers by Denny Roy Glosserman 31. Reinvigorating Taiwan’s contribution in 10. America’s two track Asia policy by Craig regional disaster management by Hsin Huang Kafura Michael Hsiao and Alan Hao Yang 11. The US ambassador’s misplaced priorities? by 32. A dealmaker Trump tees up his game of trade Sukjoon Yoon war by Yoichiro Sato 11A. Reply to PacNet 11 by James A. Kelly 33. Time to protect COFA interests of Hawai’i by 12. Whose side is time on? China’s Michael Walsh perceptions/misperceptions of cross-strait 34. The growing US-China tensions: do we see relations by Yun Sun light at the end of the tunnel? By Zhiqun Zhu 13. How to avoid a horrible deal in Hanoi by 34R. Response to PacNet #34, “The growing US- Atman Trivedi China tensions: do we see light at the end of the 14. US-DPRK: bridging the differences by Ralph tunnel?” by Ralph Cossa Cossa 35. Southeast Asia must deal with the world as it 15. President Trump: in talks with Kim, don’t is by Elbridge Colby abandon by Bates Gill 36. 2019 PacNet Commentary Half-Year Index 16. An end-of-war declaration would improve 37. Can the 2016 arbitration ruling avert a marine relations on the Korean Peninsula by Joshua environment disaster in the South China Sea? Nezam by Lucio Blanco Pitlo III 17. Preserving the US-ROK alliance is critical by 38. Asia's five futures by Brad Glosserman Thomas Byrne and Walter L. Sharp 39. Taiwan Arms Sales: Chinese Sanctions on US 18. Seven myths About China by Paul Monk Firms by Yun Sun 40. Thai-US Relations in the Indo-Pacific Era by Kavi Chongkittavorn 1003 BISHOP ST. SUITE 1150, HONOLULU, HI 96813 PHONE: (808) 521-6745 FAX: (808) 599-8690 [email protected] WWW.PACFORUM.ORG PacNet 71 PACIFIC FORUM · HONOLULU, HI January 8, 20 20

41. Time to Take the US- Strategic 65. The EU and China: Partners or Rivals in an Partnership Seriously by Patrick M. Cronin and Emerging World Order? By Zsuzsa Anna Isabelle M. Burke Ferenczy and Junjie Ma 42. The ASEAN Regional Forum at 25: Moving 66. as a middle power for ASEAN by Forward or Standing Still? by Ralph A. Cossa Lucio Blanco Pitlo III and Paul Evans 67. Kim Jong Un’s Faulty Assumptions by Ralph 43. US-Cambodia Relations: Growing Strategic A. Cossa Mistrust? by Sek Sophal 68. Resetting ties between Japan and South Korea 44. Wither Strategic Ambiguity by Bill Sharp after the GSOMIA extension by Daichi 45. The China Paradox by Rorry Daniels Uchimura and Saeme Kim 46. China-Russia Cooperation: Three 69. What China’s Involvement in Myanmar says Implications for America's China Policy about Asia’s Changing Regional Order by Debate by Robert Sutter Leif-Eric Easley and Sea Young Kim 47. Building Cohesive National Communities and 70. Operationalizing deterrence in the Indo- Participatory Political Systems by Muthiah Pacific: soft deterrence and foreign Alagappa interference legislation by Rhys de Wilde 48. Philippine Public's Perception on Duterte's China Policy by Andrea Chloe Wong 49. Getting Great Power Competition Right by Support Pacific Forum by sponsoring a Brad Glosserman table or purchasing a ticket to our annual 50. Strong Evidence Targeting China – Lasting Board of Governors’ Dinner on March 25, Constraints on US Engagement by Robert 2020. Donations of any amount are also Sutter welcome. Email [email protected] or 51. Normalizing North Korean Ballistic Missile call +1 (808) 521-6745 for more information. Tests by Troy Stangarone 52. Debunking Myths about US-Taiwan Arms Sales by Fang-Yu Chen, Charles K.S. Wu, Yao- Yuan Yeh, Austin Wang, Kuang-Shun Yang 53. Comparative Connections Summary: September 2019 54. The Other Danger of Anti-Chinese Hysteria by Denny Roy 55. Empowering Korea by William R. McKinney and David Jonathan Wolff 56. Nuclear Arms Control: A Game-Changer for the Asia-Pacific? by Ralph A. Cossa 57. Mounting Challenges for Xi by Zhiqun Zhu 58. The US and Taiwan embrace despite China’s objections, but will it last? by Robert Sutter 59. Don’t Lose Sight of Changes to South Korea’s Defense Posture by S. Paul Choi and Brad Glosserman 60. Assessing Abe Shinzo’s remarkable second act by Yoichiro Sato and Brad Glosserman 61. Beijing’s “Asian NATO” Maxim on Quad is Structural by Jagannath Panda 62. Dealing with Beijing’s View and Abuse of History by James Jongsoo Lee 63. Sea Level Rise – How Far and How Quickly? The potential Impact on the Indo-Pacific Region by Peter C. Oleson 64. A prolonged US-China two-step has left us questioning interdependence by Ron Huisken

1003 BISHOP ST. SUITE 1150, HONOLULU, HI 96813 PHONE: (808) 521-6745 FAX: (808) 599-8690 [email protected] WWW.PACFORUM.ORG