Profile of San Bernardino County Southern California Association of Governments’ (SCAG) Regional Council includes 67 districts which represent 191 cities in the SCAG region.
This profile report was prepared by the Southern California Association of Governments and shared with San Bernardino County. SCAG provides local governments with services including planning data and information, technical and planning assistance (i.e. GIS training and growth visioning), and analyzing the impacts of infill development.
May 2013 Southern California Association of Governments This Page Intentionally Left Blank
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County Build 2.0.0.48 Table of Contents
I. INTRODUCTION ...... 1
II. POPULATION ...... 4
III. HOUSEHOLDS ...... 9
IV. HOUSING ...... 12
V. TRANSPORTATION ...... 18
VI. EMPLOYMENT ...... 19
VII. RETAIL SALES ...... 27
VIII. EDUCATION...... 28
IX. SCAG REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS ...... 31
X. DATA SOURCES ...... 32
XI. METHODOLOGY ...... 33
XII. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ...... 37
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I. Introduction
The purpose of this report is to provide current information and data for San Bernardino County for planning and outreach efforts. Information on population, housing, transportation, employment, retail sales, and education can be utilized by the city to make informed planning decisions. The profile provides a portrait of the county and its changes since 2000, using average figures for SCAG Region as a comparative baseline. In addition, the most current data available for the region is also included in the Statistical Summary (page 3). This profile demonstrates the current trends occurring in San Bernardino County.
The Southern California Association of Governments (SCAG) is the largest Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) in the nation. The SCAG region includes six counties (Imperial, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino and Ventura) and 191 cities. As the designated MPO, SCAG is mandated by federal and state law to research and develop a Regional Transportation Plan (RTP), which incorporates a Sustainable Communities Strategy (SCS). SCAG is currently undertaking a variety of planning and policy initiatives to foster a more sustainable Southern California. In 2008, SCAG initiated the Local Profiles Project as a part of a larger initiative to provide a variety of services to its member cities and counties. Through extensive input from member jurisdictions, the inaugural Local Profiles Reports were released at the General Assembly in May 2009. The Profiles were last updated in 2011 to incorporate the 2010 Census information.
Local Profiles provide basic information about each member jurisdiction including, but not limited to, the following: • How much growth in population has taken place since 2000? • Has the local jurisdiction been growing faster or slower than the county or regional average? • Have there been more or fewer school-age children? • Have homeownership rates been increasing or decreasing? • How and where do residents travel to work? • How has the local economy been changing in terms of employment share by sectors? • Have the local retail sales revenue recovered to pre-recession levels?
Answers to questions such as these provide a snapshot of the dynamic changes affecting each local jurisdiction.
New Features of the 2013 Report
Building on the foundation of the 2009 and 2011 Reports, the 2013 Local Profiles provide additional information related to income, housing, employment, and education. The expanded reports now also include the following: median household income, single- family and multi-family permits, types and age of the housing stock, foreclosures, major work destinations for residents, and educational attainment for residents. This additional information helps to provide a more complete profile of local jurisdictions.
Southern California Association of Governments 1 Factors Affecting Local Changes Reflected in the 2013 Report
Overall, member jurisdictions since 2000 were impacted by a variety of factors at the national, regional and local levels. For example, the vast majority of member jurisdictions included in the 2013 Local Profiles reflect the national demographic trends toward an older and a more diverse population. Evidence of the slow process towards economic recovery is also apparent through gradual increases in employment, retail sales, building permits and home prices. Work destinations and commute times correlate with regional development patterns and the geographical location of the local jurisdictions, particularly in relation to the regional transportation system.
Uses of the Local Profiles
Following release at the SCAG General Assembly, the Local Profiles were posted on the SCAG website and used by interested parties for a variety of purposes including, but not limited to the following: • Data and communication resources for elected officials, businesses and residents • Community planning and outreach • Economic development • Visioning initiatives • Grant application support
The primary user groups of the Profiles include member jurisdictions and state and federal legislative delegates of Southern California. This profile report is a SCAG member benefit and the use of the data within this report is voluntary.
Report Organization
This profile report has three sections. The first section presents a Statistical Summary for San Bernardino County. The second section provides detailed information organized by subject areas and includes brief highlights on the impacts of the recent recession and recovery at the regional level. The third section, Methodology describes technical considerations related to data definitions, measurement, and data sources.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 2
2012 STATISTICAL SUMMARY
San Bernardino SCAG San Bernardino County relative Category County Region to SCAG Region*
2012 Population 2,063,919 18,242,331 [11.3%]
2012 Median Age (Years) 32.3 35.2 -2.9
2012 Hispanic 51.7% 46.4% 5.3%
2012 Non-Hispanic White 30.7% 32.1% -1.4%
2012 Non-Hispanic Asian 6.5% 12.4% -5.9%
2012 Non-Hispanic Black 8.3% 6.3% 2.0%
2012 Non-Hispanic American .4% .2% .2% Indian 2012 Non-Hispanic All Other 2.5% 2.5% .0%
2012 Number of Households 614,640 5,870,003 [10.5%]
2012 Average Household Size 3.3 3.2 0.2
2012 Median Household Income 53,087 57,465 -4,378 ($) 2012 Number of Housing Units 702,911 6,356,479 [11.1%]
2012 Homeownership Rate 62.6% 54.3% 8.3%
2012 Median Existing Home 163,000 323,000 -160,000 Sales Price ($) 2011 - 2012 Median Home Sales 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% Price Change 2012 Drove Alone to Work 77.4% 77.8% -.4%
2012 Mean Travel Time to Work 32 31.4 0.6 (minutes) 2012 Number of Jobs 727,093 7,462,957 [9.7%]
2011 - 2012 Total Jobs Change 13,893 109,491 [12.7%]
2011 Average Salary per Job 41,278 49,468 -8,190 ($) 2012 K-12 Public School 412,448 3,096,034 13.3% Student Enrollment
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; Nielsen Co.; California Department of Finance; MDA Data Quick; and SCAG * Numbers with [ ] represent San Bernardino County’s share of SCAG Region. The other numbers represent the difference between San Bernardino County and SCAG Region. Mapped jurisdictional boundaries are as of July 1, 2012 and are for visual purposes only. Report data, however, are updated according to their respective sources
Southern California Association of Governments 3 II. Population (San Bernardino County)* Population Growth • Between 2000 Population: 2000 - 2012 and 2012, the total population 2,500,000 of San Bernardino County 2,000,000 increased by 353,780 to 2,063,919 in 1,500,000 2012.
• During this 12- 1,000,000 year period, the county’s
500,000 population growth rate of 20.7 percent 0 was higher than 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 the SCAG Sources: California Department of Finance, E-5, 2012 Region rate of 10.4 percent.
• In SCAG Region * The following charts in this report contain data for San 11.3% of the Bernardino County unless noted otherwise. total population is in San Bernardino County.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 4
Population by Age
Population Share by Age: 2000, 2010, and 2012 • Between 2000 and 2012, the 2000 2010 2012 35% age group 55-64 is projected to 30% experience the largest increase 25% in share, growing from 20% 6.5 to 10.4 percent. 15% • The age group expected to 10% experience the greatest decline, 5% by share, is projected to be 0% age group 5-20, 0-4 5-20 21-34 35-54 55-64 65+ decreasing from Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012 (2012 28.7 to 25.7 estimate) percent.
Population by Age: 2000, 2010, and 2012 2000 2010 2012 • The age group 600,000 35-54 is expected to add 500,000 the most population, with an increase of 400,000 136,620 people between 2000 300,000 and 2012.
200,000
100,000
0
Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012 (2012 estimate)
Southern California Association of Governments 5 Population by Race/Ethnicity Hispanic or Latino of Any Race: 2000, 2010, and 2012 • Between 2000 60.0% and 2012, the share of Hispanic 50.0% 51.7% 49.2% population in the county 40.0% increased from 39.2% 39.2 percent to 30.0% 51.7 percent.
20.0%
10.0%
0.0% 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Non-Hispanic White: 2000, 2010, and 2012
50.0% • Between 2000 and 2012, the 45.0% share of Non- 44.0% 40.0% Hispanic White population in 35.0% the county 30.0% 33.3% decreased from 30.7% 44.0 percent to 25.0% 30.7 percent. 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 2000 2010 2012
Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 6
Non-Hispanic Asian: 2000, 2010, and 2012 • Between 2000 7.0% and 2012, the share of Non- 6.0% 6.5% Hispanic Asian 6.1% population in 5.0% the county increased from 4.6% 4.0% 4.6 percent to 6.5 percent. 3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0% 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Non-Hispanic Black: 2000, 2010, and 2012
10.0% • Between 2000 and 2012, the 9.0% share of Non- 8.8% Hispanic Black 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% population in 7.0% the county 6.0% decreased from 8.8 percent to 5.0% 8.3 percent. 4.0%
3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 2000 2010 2012
Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Southern California Association of Governments 7 Non-Hispanic American Indian: 2000, 2010, and 2012 • Between 2000 0.60% and 2012, the share of Non- 0.6% 0.50% Hispanic American Indian population in 0.40% the county 0.4% 0.4% decreased from 0.30% 0.6 percent to 0.4 percent. 0.20%
0.10%
0.00% 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
All Other Non-Hispanic: 2000, 2010, and 2012 • Between 2000 3.0% and 2010, the share of Non- 2.9% 2.9% Hispanic All Other 2.8% population 2.7% group in the county 2.6% decreased from 2.6% 2.9 percent to 2.5% 2.5 percent 2.5% 2.4% • Please refer to the 2.3% Methodology 2.2% section for 2000 2010 2012 definitions of the racial/ethnic Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012 categories.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 8
III. Households Number of Households (Occupied Housing Units) Number of Households: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 700,000 and 2012, the total number of 600,000 households in San Bernardino 500,000 County increased by 400,000 86,046 units, or 16.3 percent. 300,000 • During this 12- 200,000 year period, the county’s 100,000 household growth rate of 16.3 percent 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 was higher than the SCAG Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; California Department of Finance, E-5, 2012 region growth rate of 9 Average Household Size: 2000 - 2012 percent. San Bernardino County SCAG Region 3.5 • 10.5 percent of SCAG Region’s 3.0 total number of households is in 2.5 San Bernardino County. 2.0 • In 2012, the 1.5 county’s average household size 1.0 was 3.3, higher than the SCAG 0.5 region average of 3.2. 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: California Department of Finance, E-5, 2012
Southern California Association of Governments 9
Households by Size Percent of Households by Household Size: 2012
30% • In 2012, 60 percent of all 25.0% county households 25% had 3 people or fewer.
20% 18.0% 17.0% 17.0% • About 18 percent of the households 15% were single-person 11.0% households. 10% • 6.0% 6.0% Approximately 23 percent of all 5% households in the county had 5 0% people or more. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 or More
Source: Nielsen Co., 2012
Households by Income Percent of Households by Household Income: 2012
25% • In 2012, 47 percent of 20% households earned 20% less than $50,000 annually. 14% 15% 13% 13% • Approximately 33 12% 11% percent of the 10% 10% households earned between $50,000 6% and $99,999. 5% 1% 0% 0%
Source: Nielsen Co., 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 10
Household Income Median Household Income: 2000, 2010, 2012 • From 2000 to 2012, $60,000 the Median Household Income increased by $50,000 $11,021 annually. • Note: Dollars are not $40,000 constant.
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0 2000 2010 2012
Source: Nielsen Co., 2012
Renters and Homeowners Percentage of Renters and Homeowners: 2000, 2010, 2012
Rent Rent Rent 35.5% 37.3% 37.4% Own Own Own 64.5% 62.7% 62.6%
2000 2010 2012
Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Between 2000 and 2012, homeownership rates decreased and the share of renters increased
Southern California Association of Governments 11
IV. Housing Total Housing Production Total Permits Issued for all Residential Units: 2000 - 2012 • 20,000 Between 2000 18,472 and 2012, 18,000 16,690 permits were 16,000 issued for 13,754 107,240 new 14,000 12,640 residential units. 12,000 10,569 10,000 8,530 8,096 8,000 6,581 6,000 3,262 4,000 2,493 2,820 1,858 2,000 1,475 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000 - 2012
Permits Issued per 1,000 Residents for San Bernardino County: 2000 - 2012 • In 2000, San County SCAG 14.0 Bernardino County had 4.8 permits per 12.0 1,000 residents compared to the 10.0 overall SCAG region figure of 8.0 3.4 permits per 1,000 residents. 6.0 • For the county 4.0 in 2012, the number of 2.0 permits per 1,000 residents 0.0 decreased to 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1.4 permits. For the SCAG Sources: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000 - 2012; SCAG region overall, it decreased to 2.2 permits per 1,000 residents.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 12
Single-Family Housing Production
Single-Family Permits Issued: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 and 2012, 18,000 permits were 16,000 15,253 issued for 13,991 88,554 new 14,000 12,599 single family homes. 12,000 10,820 • 10,000 9,179 About 4.8 percent of these 8,000 6,825 were issued in 5,865 6,282 the last 3 years. 6,000
4,000 2,056 1,990 2,000 1,430 1,198 1,066
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sources: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000 - 2012
Single-Family Permits Issued per 1,000 Residents: 2000 - 2012 • In 2000, San County SCAG 9.0 Bernardino County issued 8.0 3.4 permits per 1,000 residents 7.0 compared to the 6.0 overall SCAG region figure of 5.0 2.3 permits per 1,000 residents. 4.0 • 3.0 For the county in 2012, the 2.0 number of permits issued 1.0 per 1,000 residents 0.0 decreased to 1 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sources: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000 - 2012 permit. For the SCAG region overall, it decreased to 0.9 permits per 1,000 residents.
Southern California Association of Governments 13 Multi-Family Housing Production Multi-Family Permits Issued: 2000 - 2012 • 5,000 Between 2000 4,479 and 2012, 4,500 permits were 4,000 issued for 18,796 new 3,500 residential units. 3,000 2,500 • About 10 percent of these 2,000 1,820 1,815 1,705 were issued in 1,390 1,441 1,500 1,273 1,206 the last 3 years. 1,063 830 1,000 716 649 409 500 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Sources: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000-2012
Multi-Family Permits Issued per 1,000 Residents: 2000 - 2012 • In 2000, San County SCAG 2.5 Bernardino County issued 0.4 permits per 2.0 1,000 residents compared to the overall SCAG 1.5 region figure of 1.1 permits per 1,000 residents. 1.0 • For the county in 2012, the 0.5 number of permits per 1,000 residents remained at 0.4 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 permits. For the SCAG region Sources: Construction Industry Research Board, 2000-2012 overall, it increased to 1.3 permits per 1,000 residents.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 14
Home Sales Prices Median Home Sales Price for Existing Homes: 2000 - 2012 (in $ thousands) • Between 2000 and 2012, the $400 $374 $365 median home $350 $336 sales price increased 27.5 $300 percent from $256 $127,886 to $250 $240 $163,000. $202 $200 • Median home $165 $155 $163 $145 $149 $150 sales price $150 $128 increased by 5.2 percent between $100 2010 and 2012.
$50 • In 2012, the median home $0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 sales price in the county was Source: MDA Data Quick, 2012 $163,000, Annual Median Home Sales Price Change for Existing $163,000 higher
Homes: 2000 - 2012 than that in the 40% SCAG region 31.0% overall. 30% 27.2% 21.9% • Note: Median 20% 13.4% 14.0% 11.4% home sales price 8.7% 10% 4.0% reflects resales of existing homes 0% and simply -2.6% -3.2% -10% provides guidance on the market -20% values of homes sold in the -30% county. -40% -34.2% -37.9% • Between 2000 -50% and 2012, annual 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 home sales price change ranged Source: MDA Data Quick, 2012 between -37.9 and 31 percent.
• Between 2010 and 2012, the change in annual home sales prices was between -3.2 and 4 percent.
Southern California Association of Governments 15 Housing Units by Housing Type: 2012
Housing Number of Units Percent of Total Units • The most common Type housing type is Single Family Detached. Single Family 500,915 71.3 % Detached • Approximately 74.8 percent were single Single Family 24,819 3.5 % family homes and 19 Attached percent were multi- Multi-family 45,242 6.4 % family homes. 2 to 4 units Multi-family 88,349 12.6 % 5 units plus Mobile Home 43,586 6.2 %
Total 702,911 100 %
Source: California Department of Finance, E-5, 2012
Age of Housing Stock • 30 percent of the 25.0% housing stock was built before 20.0% 1970.
• 69 percent of the 15.0% housing stock was built between 10.0% 1970 to 2012.
• The age of 5.0% housing stock data partly 0.0% reflects the local development history.
Source: Neilsen, Co., 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 16
Foreclosures
25,000 23,580 • There were a total of 8,958 foreclosures in 19,530 2012. 20,000 • Between 2007 and 16,487 2012, there were a 14,154 total of 90,449 15,000 foreclosures.
8,958 10,000 7,740
5,000 3,526 1,713 683 379 966 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: MDA Data Quick, 2012
Southern California Association of Governments 17 V. Transportation Journey to Work for Residents Transportation Mode Choice: 2000, 2010, 2012 90% • 2000 2010 2012 Between 2000 81.0% and 2012, the 77.0% 80% 76.0% greatest change 70% occurred in the percentage of 60% individuals who traveled to work 50% by driving; this share increased 40% by 1.4 30% percentage points. 18.0% 17.0% 20% 14.0%
10% 4.0% 4.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 0% Drive Alone Carpool Public Transit Other Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Average Travel Time: (minutes) 2000, 2010, 2012 • Between 2000 35 32 32 and 2012, the 31 average travel 30 time to work increased by 25 approximately 1 minute. 20
15
10
5
0 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 18
VI. Employment
Top 10 Places Where Residents Commute to Work: 2010 Local Jurisdiction Number of Percent of Total Commuters Commuters 1. San Bernardino County 304,566 46.85 % 2. Los Angeles County 169,763 26.11 % 3. Riverside County 62,950 9.68 % 4. Orange County 62,390 9.60 % 5. San Diego County 19,229 2.96 % 6. Ventura County 4,573 .70 % 7. Kern County 3,457 .53 % 8. Clark County, NV 1,765 .27 % 9. Sacramento County 1,682 .26 % 10. Santa Barbara County 1,542 .24 % Other Destinations 18,180 2.80 %
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012; LODES Data; Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program
• This table identifies the top 10 locations where residents from the San Bernardino County commute to work. • 46.85% work in the local jurisdiction where they live, while 53.15% commute to other places.
Southern California Association of Governments 19
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 20
Southern California Association of Governments 21
Total Jobs: 2007 - 2012 • Total jobs include 800,000 wage and salary 724,601 719,708 718,699 727,093 702,395 713,200 jobs and jobs held 700,000 by business 600,000 owners and self- employed persons. 500,000 The total job count does not include 400,000 unpaid volunteers or family workers, 300,000 and private household 200,000 workers.
100,000 • In 2012, total jobs in San Bernardino 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 County numbered 727,093, an Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007 - 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG increase of 0.34 percent from 2007.
Jobs in Manufacturing: 2007 - 2012 • Manufacturing jobs 70,000 66,300 include those 60,400 employed in 60,000 various sectors 51,302 including food, 48,800 48,299 49,201 50,000 apparel, metal, petroleum and 40,000 coal, machinery, computer and 30,000 electronic product, and transportation 20,000 equipment.
• Between 2007 and 10,000 2012, the number of manufacturing 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 jobs in the county decreased by 25.8 Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007 - 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG percent.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 22
Jobs in Construction: 2007 - 2012
60,000 • Construction jobs include those engaged 51,199 in both 50,000 residential and 42,300 non-residential construction. 40,000 • Between 2007 32,499 and 2012, 29,399 30,000 28,600 28,800 construction jobs in the county 20,000 decreased by 42.6 percent.
10,000
0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007 - 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG Jobs in Retail Trade: 2007 - 2012 • Retail Trade 100,000 93,500 jobs include 89,199 90,000 84,597 those at 82,502 82,101 82,899 various 80,000 retailers 70,000 including motor vehicle 60,000 and parts 50,000 dealers, furniture, 40,000 electronics and 30,000 appliance, building 20,000 material, food 10,000 and beverage, clothing, 0 sporting 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 goods, books, Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007 - 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG and office supplies.
• Between 2007 and 2012, the number of retail trade jobs in the
Southern California Association of Governments 23 county decreased by 9.5 percent.
Jobs in Professional and Management: 2007 - 2012 • Jobs in the 120,000 professional and 99,500 100,000 96,199 management 88,900 90,801 85,501 88,300 sector include those 80,000 employed in professional 60,000 and technical services, management 40,000 of companies, and 20,000 administration and support.
0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 • Between 2007 and 2012, the Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007 - 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG number of professional and management jobs in the county decreased by 8.7 percent.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 24
Jobs by Sector: 2007 Public Agriculture Construction • Between 2007 5.5% 0.7% 7.1% and 2012, there Other were changes in 3.7% Manufacturing the share of 9.1% Leisure jobs by sector 8.5% in San Wholesale Bernardino 5.2% County. From 2007 to 2012, Education Retail the share of 20.5% 12.9% Education jobs increased from Transportation 20.5 percent to 7.8% 31.5 percent Professional 13.7% Information while the share 1.1% Finance of Construction jobs declined 4.2% from 7.1 Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2007; InfoGroup; and SCAG. percent to 4.0 percent.
Jobs by Sector: 2012 Other Public Agriculture Construction • In 2012, the 3.5% 5.2% 0.4% 4.0% Manufacturing Education Leisure 6.8% sector was the 8.0% Wholesale largest job 4.4% sector, accounting for 31.5 percent of Retail total jobs in the 11.6% county.
Education • Other large 31.5% Transportation sectors included 7.9% Professional Information (12.5 percent), 0.8% Retail (11.6 Professional Finance percent), and 12.5% 3.3% Leisure (8 percent). Sources: California Employment Development Department, 2012; InfoGroup; and SCAG. • See Methodology Section for industry sector definitions.
Southern California Association of Governments 25
Average Salaries Average Annual Salary Per Job: 2003 2009 and 2011
$45,000 • Average salaries $41,278 for jobs located $40,000 $38,445 in the county increased from $32,954 $35,000 $32,954 in $30,000 2003 to $41,278 in $25,000 2011, a 25.3 percent change. $20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0 2003 2009 2011
Source: California Employment Development Department, 2003, 2009, 2011
Average Annual Salary by Sector: 2011 (in $ thousands) $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70 • In 2011, the All $41 sector providing Construction $50 the highest Wholesale $47 salary per job in Retail $31 the county was Information $59 Information Finance-Insurance-Real Estate $48 Professional-Management $58 ($59,056). Education-Health $48 Leisure-Hospitality $16 • The Leisure- Public Administration $49 Hospitality Other Services $30 sector provided Non-Classified $37 the lowest annual salary per job ($15,712).
Source: California Employment Development Department, 2011
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 26
VII. Retail Sales Real Retail Sales: 2000 - 2010 (in 2010 $ millions) • Real retail sales $30,000 (inflation adjusted) in $25,000 $23,829 $23,948 San Bernardino $22,351 $21,764 County $19,366 $19,293 increased by $20,000 $17,894 $17,369 $17,309 40.3 percent $16,985 $16,657 between 2000 $15,000 and 2005.
• Real retail sales $10,000 decreased by 27.4 percent $5,000 between 2005 and 2010.
$0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: California Board of Equalization, 2000-2010
Real Retail Sales per Person: 2000 - 2010 (in 2010 $ thousands) • Between 2000 $14 and 2010, real San Bernardino County retail sales per person for the $12 county decreased from $10 $9,932 to $8,505. $8
$6
$4
$2
$0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: California Board of Equalization, 2000-2010
Southern California Association of Governments 27
VIII. Education K-12 Public School Student Enrollment: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 450,000 424,077 423,920 423,623 and 2012, total 415,517 420,179 415,848 417,811 414,889 414,348 412,448 403,777 K-12 public 400,000 390,856 school
350,000 324,754 enrollment for schools within 300,000 San Bernardino 250,000 County increased by 200,000 87,694 students, or 150,000 about 27 100,000 percent.
50,000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000 - 2012
K-6 Public School Student Enrollment: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 250,000 and 2012, total 227,820 228,359 228,329 221,972 224,825 226,114 224,076 219,201 216,273 215,218 215,784 215,199 public elementary 200,000 188,492 school enrollment increased by 150,000 26,707 students or 14.2 percent.
100,000
50,000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000 - 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 28
Grades 7-9 Public School Student Enrollment: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 120,000 and 2012, total 104,879104,581 104,231 101,985103,562 101,351 public school 98,516 97,352 98,145 97,194 95,804 enrollment for 100,000 92,277 grades 7-9 increased by 80,000 72,221 23,583 students or 32.7 percent. 60,000
40,000
20,000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000 - 2012
Grades 10-12 Public School Student Enrollment: 2000 - 2012 • Between 2000 and 2012, total 120,000 public school enrollment for 101,063101,187 101,445 98,131 100,187 95,316 grades 10-12 100,000 90,869 93,225 85,712 88,168 increased by 81,600 37,404 76,607 80,000 students, about 64,041 58.4 percent. 60,000
40,000
20,000
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: National Center for Education Statistics, 2000 - 2012
Southern California Association of Governments 29 Percent of Population 25 Years and Over Completing High School or Higher • In 2012, 77.8 79.0% percent of the population 25 78.0% years and over 77.8% 77.0% 77.5% completed high school or 76.0% higher, which is higher than 75.0% 2000 level.
74.0% 73.8% 73.0%
72.0%
71.0% 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
• In 2012, 18.6 Percent of Population 25 Years and Over Completing a percent of the Bachelor’s Degree or Higher population 25 19% years and over completed a 19% 18.6% Bachelor’s 18.4% 18% degree or higher, which is 18% higher than 17% 2000.
17%
16% 15.9% 16%
15%
15% 2000 2010 2012 Sources: 2000 and 2010 Census; Nielsen Co., 2012
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 30
IX. SCAG Regional Highlights • After reaching its SCAG Regional Median Home Sales Price: 2000 – 2012 peak in 2007, the $600,000 median sales price $552,000 for existing homes $531,000 in the SCAG region $491,000 $500,000 dropped by almost half in 2011 from its $410,000 2007 level and $387,000 $400,000 rebounded slightly $330,000 in 2012. $291,000 $298,000 $300,000 $279,000 $276,000 $280,000 • Median home sales $240,000 price was calculated $218,000 based on total $200,000 existing home sales in the SCAG region.
$100,000
$0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: MDA Data Quick, 2012
• Retail sales tend to SCAG Regional Real Retail Sales: 2000 - 2010 (in 2010 $ follow closely with millions) trends in personal $225,000 income, $205,481 $204,602 employment rates, $198,758 $196,990 $200,000 and consumer $185,645 $172,808 $173,192 $176,143 $174,892 confidence. $175,000 $157,820 • $153,432 Between 2000 and $150,000 2005, real retail sales increased $125,000 steadily by 19 percent but then $100,000 dropped between 2005 and 2009 by $75,000 $52 billion, or 25 percent. $50,000 • In 2010, total real $25,000 retail sales were nine percent lower $0 than the 2000 level. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: California Board of Equalization, 2000-2010
Southern California Association of Governments 31 X. Data Sources California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit
California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division
California State Board of Equalization
Construction Industry Research Board
InfoGroup
MDA Data Quick
National Center for Education Statistics
Nielsen Company
U.S. Census Bureau
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 32
XI. Methodology
SCAG’s Local Profiles utilizes the most up-to-date information from a number of publically available sources, including the Census Bureau, California Department of Finance, and the National Center for Educational Statistics. In the event that public information is not available or is not the most recent, SCAG contracts with a number of private entities to obtain regional data. The following sections describe how each data source was compiled to produce the information displayed in the preceding report.
Statistical Summary Table
In the Statistical Summary Table (page 3), the values in field “Jurisdiction Relative to County/Region” are the differences between the jurisdiction’s value and the county/region value, except for the following categories which represent the jurisdiction’s value as a share of the county (or in the case of an entire county as a share of the region): Population, Number of Households, Number of Housing Units, Number of Jobs, Total Jobs Change, and K-12 Student Enrollment.
Median Age, Homeownership Rate, and Median Household Income are based on Nielsen Company data. Number of Housing Units is based on the 2010 Census and estimates from the California Department of Finance. Data for all other categories are referenced throughout the report.
Population Section
Where referenced, data from 2000 to 2012 was taken from the California Department of Finance’s (DOF) E-5 estimates, were published in May 2012. This dataset was benchmarked to population figures from the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Censuses. Data relating to population by age group and by race/ethnicity was derived from the 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Censuses, and Nielsen Co. The 2000 figure was based on U.S. Decennial Census figures for April 1, 2000 and the 2010 figure was based on U.S. Decennial Census figures for April 1, 2010. Below are definitions for race and ethnicity, which are taken from the U.S. Census Bureau. The Hispanic or Latino origin category is: • A person of Cuban, Mexican, Puerto Rican, South or Central American, or other Spanish culture or origin, regardless of race. The race categories are: • American Indian or Alaska Native – A person having origins in any of the original peoples of North and South America (including Central America), and who maintains tribal affiliation or community attachment. • Asian – A person having origins in any of the original peoples of the Far East, Southeast Asia, or the Indian subcontinent including, for example, Cambodia, China, India, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, the Philippine Islands, Thailand, and Vietnam. • Black or African American – A person having origins in any of the black racial groups of Africa, including those who consider themselves to be "Haitian." • White – A person having origins in any of the original peoples of Europe, North Africa, or the Middle East.
Southern California Association of Governments 33 • Some other race – This category includes Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander (a person having origins in any of the original peoples of Hawaii, Guam, Samoa, or other Pacific Islands) and all other responses not included in the "American Indian or Alaska Native," "Asian," "Black or African American," and "White" race categories described above.
Charts for population based on age were tabulated using 2000 and 2010 U.S. Decennial Census data and Nielsen Company data for 2012 and 2018. Charts for race/ethnicity were tabulated using 2000 and 2010 Census data and Nielsen Company data for 2012.
Households Section
The 2000 figure was based on U.S. Decennial Census figures for April 1, 2000 and the 2010 figure was based on U.S. Decennial Census figures for April 1, 2010. Information for 2012 was supplied by the Nielsen Company. Average household size was developed using information from the California Department of Finance (DOF). Households by size was calculated based upon Nielsen Company Data.
Housing Section
Housing units are the total number of both vacant and occupied units. Housing units by housing type information was developed using data from California Department of Finance (DOF). Age of housing stock information is from the Nielsen Company.
The number of residential units with permits issued was obtained using Construction Industry Research Board data, which are collected by counties from self-reporting by individual jurisdictions. It represents both single family and multifamily housing units that were permitted to be built, along with building permits that were issued for improvements to existing residential structures (e.g., reroofs, remodels, etc.). Please note that SCAG opted to report the annual number of permits issued by each jurisdiction which may be different than the number of housing units completed or constructed annually. This was done using a single data source which provides consistent data for all jurisdictions.
The median home sales price, compiled from MDA Data Quick, was calculated based on total resales of existing homes in the jurisdiction, including single family units and condominiums. The median price does not reflect the entire universe of housing in the jurisdictions, only those that were sold within the calendar year.
Transportation Section
The journey to work data for the year 2000 was obtained by using the 2000 U.S. Decennial Census Summary File 3. Data from 2010 is based on the 2010 U.S. Decennial Census. Information for 2012 was provided by the Neilsen Company.
Employment Section
Data sources for estimating jurisdiction employment and wage information include the 2010 U.S. Decennial Census – Local Employment Dynamics Survey, and information from the California Employment Development Department, InfoGroup, and SCAG for years 2007-2012. In many instances, employment totals from individual businesses were geocoded and aggregated to the jurisdictional level.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 34
Employment information provided by industry type is defined by the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Although the NAICS provides a great level of detail on industry definitions for all types of businesses in North America, for the purposes of this report, this list of industries has been summarized into the following major areas: agriculture, construction, manufacturing, wholesale, retail, information, finance/insurance/real estate, professional/management, education/health, leisure/hospitality, public administration, other services, and non-classified industries. A brief description of each major industry area is provided below: • Agriculture – This industry includes crop production, animal production and aquaculture, forestry and logging, fishing hunting and trapping, and support activities for agriculture and forestry. • Construction – Industries under this umbrella involve the construction of buildings, heavy and civil engineering construction, and specialty trade contractors. • Manufacturing – This group includes the processing of raw material into products for trade, such as food manufacturing, apparel manufacturing, wood product manufacturing, petroleum and coal products manufacturing, chemical manufacturing, plastics and rubber products manufacturing, nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing, primary metal manufacturing, etc. • Wholesale – Wholesale industries do business in the trade of raw materials and durable goods. • Retail – Retail industries engage in the sale of durable goods directly to consumers. • Information – Businesses in this industry specialize in the distribution of content through a means of sources, including newspaper, periodicals, books, software, motion pictures, sound recording, radio and television broadcasting, cable or subscription programming, telecommunications, data processing/hosting, and other information mediums. • Finance/Insurance/Real Estate – This sector includes businesses associated with banking, consumer lending, credit intermediation, securities brokerage, commodities exchanges, health/life/medical/title/property/casualty insurance agencies and brokerages, and real estate rental/leasing/sales. • Professional Management – This industry involves businesses that specialize in professional/scientific/technical services, management of companies and enterprises, and administrative and support services. Types of establishments that would fall under this category range from law offices, accounting services, architectural/engineering firms, specialized design services, computer systems design and related services, management consulting firms, scientific research and development services, advertising firms, office administrative services, facilities support services, amongst many others. • Education/Health – Organizations that fall into this family include elementary and secondary schools, junior colleges, universities, professional schools, technical and trade schools, medical offices, dental offices, outpatient care centers, medical and diagnostic laboratories, hospitals, nursing and residential care facilities, social assistance services, emergency relief services, vocational rehabilitation services, and child day care services. • Leisure/Hospitality – This family of industries includes organizations in the performing arts, spectator sports, museums, amusement/recreation industries, traveler accommodations, and food services and drinking places. • Public Administration – This classification includes public sector organizations, including legislative bodies, public finance institutions, executive and legislative offices, courts, police protection, parole offices, fire protection, correctional
Southern California Association of Governments 35 institutions, administration of governmental programs, space research and technology, and national security. • Other Services – Groups in this group include, for example, automotive repair and maintenance, personal and household goods repair and maintenance, personal laundry services, dry-cleaning and laundry services, religious services, social advocacy organizations, professional organizations, and private households • Non-Classified – Non-classified organizations involve work that is not included in the North American Industry Classification System.
Retail Sales Section
Retail sales data is obtained from the California Board of Equalization, which does not publish individual point-of-sale data. All data is adjusted for inflation.
Education Section
Student enrollment data is based on public school campuses that are located within each jurisdiction’s respective boundary. Enrollment numbers by grade within a given jurisdiction are tabulated based upon data obtained from the National Center for Education Statistics.
Regional Highlights
Information for this section was developed through data from MDA Data Quick and the California Board of Equalization.
Data Sources Section In choosing the data sources used for this report, the following factors were considered: • Availability for all jurisdictions in the SCAG region, • The most recognized source on the subject, • Data sources within the public domain, and
• Data available on an annual basis.
The same data sources are used for all Local Profiles (except where noted) to maintain overall reporting consistency. The jurisdictions are not constrained from using other data sources for their planning activities.
The preparation of this report has been financed in part through grants from the Federal Highway Administration and Federal Transit Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation, under the Metropolitan Planning Program, Section 104(f) of Title 23, U.S. Code. The contents of this report do not necessarily reflect the official views or policy of the U.S. Department of Transportation. Additional assistance was provided by the California Department of Transportation.
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 36
XII. Acknowledgments SCAG Management Hasan Ikhrata, Executive Director Sharon Neely, Chief Deputy Executive Director Debbie Dillon, Deputy Executive Director, Administration Joann Africa, Chief Counsel Huasha Liu, Director, Land Use & Environmental Planning Rich Macias, Director, Transportation Planning Catherine Chavez, Chief Information Officer Darin Chidsey, Acting Director, Strategy, Policy & Public Affairs Basil Panas, Chief Financial Officer
Project Manager Ping Chang, Program Manager, Land Use & Environmental Planning
Project Core Team Javier Minjares, Regional Planner Specialist Jonathan Raymond, Senior Programmer Architect Jung Seo, Senior Regional Planner Leah Murphy, UCLA Fellow Ma’Ayn Johnson, Senior Regional Planner Kimberly Clark, Senior Regional Planner Gurpreet Kaur, Senior Software Quality Assurance Engineer Dan Nguyen, Senior Programmer Analyst
Reproduction Pat Camacho, Office Services Specialist Catherine Rachal, Office Services Specialist
Assistance from the following SCAG staff members is also recognized: Ludlow Brown, Web/Graphics Designer Joongkoo Cho, Associate Regional Planner Christine Fernandez, Senior Regional Planner Carolyn Hart, Lead Graphics Designer Hsi-Hwa Hu, Transportation Modeler IV Cheol-Ho Lee, Senior Regional Planner Pamela Lee, Associate Regional Planner Jonathan Nadler, Manager, Compliance & Performance Monitoring Angela Rushen, Manager, Media and Public Affairs Frank Wen, Manager, Research & Analysis Alex Yu, Acting Manager Application Development Ying Zhou, Regional Planner Specialist Marisol Maciel-Cervantes, SCAG Intern Lu Lu, SCAG Intern
Southern California Association of Governments 37 Southern California Association of Governments Regional Council Roster May 2013 Members Representing President Hon. Glen Becerra Simi Valley District 46 1st Vice-President Hon. Greg Pettis Cathedral City District 2 2nd Vice-President Hon. Carl Morehouse San Buenaventura District 47 Imm. Past President Hon. Pam O’Connor Santa Monica District 41 Hon. Jack Terrazas Imperial County Hon. Michael Antonovich Los Angeles County Hon. Mark Ridley-Thomas Los Angeles County Hon. Shawn Nelson Orange County Hon. Gary Ovitt San Bernardino County Hon. Jeff Stone Riverside County Hon. Linda Parks Ventura County VACANT OCTA Hon. Robert “Bob” Botts Banning RCTC Hon. Alan Wapner Ontario SANBAG Hon. Keith Millhouse Moorpark VCTC VACANT ICTC Hon. Cheryl Viegas-Walker El Centro District 1 Hon. Jim Hyatt Calimesa District 3 Hon. Jeff DeGrandpre Eastvale District 4 Hon. Ronald Roberts Temecula District 5 Hon. Jon Harrison Redlands District 6 Hon. Larry McCallon Highland District 7 Hon. Deborah Robertson Rialto District 8 Hon. Paul Eaton Montclair District 9 Hon. Ed Graham Chino Hills District 10 Hon. Bill Jahn Big Bear Lake District 11 Hon. Mike Munzing Aliso Viejo District 12 Hon. Kathryn McCullough Lake Forest District 13 Hon. Steven Choi Irvine District 14 Hon. Leslie Daigle Newport Beach District 15 Hon. Michele Martinez Santa Ana District 16 Hon. John Nielsen Tustin District 17 Hon. Leroy Mills Cypress District 18 Hon. Kris Murray Anaheim District 19 VACANT District 20 Hon. Art Brown Buena Park District 21 Hon. Brett Murdock Brea District 22 Hon. Bruce Barrows Cerritos District 23 Hon. Gene Daniels Paramount District 24 Hon. Mario Guerra Downey District 25
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 38 Southern California Association of Governments Regional Council Roster May 2013 Members Representing Hon. Jim Morton Lynwood District 26 Hon. Frank Gurulé Cudahy District 27 Hon. Dan Medina Gardena District 28 Hon. Steven Neal Long Beach District 29 Hon. James Johnson Long Beach District 30 Hon. Roy Francis La Habra Heights District 31 Hon. Margaret Clark Rosemead District 32 Hon. Gene Murabito Glendora District 33 Hon. Barbara Messina Alhambra District 34 Hon. Margaret E. Finlay Duarte District 35 Hon. Donald Voss La Cañada/Flintridge District 36 Hon. Carol Herrera Diamond Bar District 37 Hon. Paula Lantz Pomona District 38 Hon. James Gazeley Lomita District 39 Hon. Judy Mitchell Rolling Hills Estates District 40 VACANT Hon. Steven Hofbauer Palmdale District 43 Hon. Mark Rutherford Westlake Village District 44 Hon. Carmen Ramirez Oxnard District 45 Hon. Ed P. Reyes Los Angeles District 48 Hon. Paul Krekorian Los Angeles District 49 Hon. Dennis Zine Los Angeles District 50 Hon. Tom LaBonge Los Angeles District 51 Hon. Paul Koretz Los Angeles District 52 VACANT Los Angeles District 53 Hon. Richard Alarcón Los Angeles District 54 Hon. Bernard C. Parks Los Angeles District 55 Hon. Jan Perry Los Angeles District 56 Hon. Herb Wesson, Jr. Los Angeles District 57 Hon. Bill Rosendahl Los Angeles District 58 Hon. Mitchell Englander Los Angeles District 59 Hon. Eric Garcetti Los Angeles District 60 Hon. José Huizar Los Angeles District 61 Hon. Joe Buscaino Los Angeles District 62 Hon. Karen Spiegel Corona District 63 Hon. Matthew Harper Huntington Beach District 64 Hon. Ryan McEachron Victorville District 65 Hon. Lupe Ramos Watson Indio District 66 Hon. Marsha McLean Santa Clarita District 67 VACANT Tribal Government
Southern California Association of Governments 39 Southern California Association of Governments Regional Council Roster May 2013 Members Representing Representative Hon. Lisa Bartlett Dana Point TCA Mr. Randall Lewis Lewis Group of (Ex-Officio) Companies Hon. Antonio Villaraigosa Los Angeles (At-Large)
Local Profiles Report 2013 –San Bernardino County 40
Notes:
Southern California Association of Governments 41 Build 2.0.0.48