Daily Focus Stock Pulse

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DBS Equity Research 9 Mar 2020

Market Cap: US$37,268m | Average Daily Value: US$70.43m Yeo Kee Yan, CMT [email protected] Singapore Research Team

Last Traded Price: S$29.99; Price Target: S$33.20 (Upside 10.7%) Research Call Alert Sue Lin LIM / Rui Wen LIM

• Trending Sector: Oil & Gas: Yards under pressure as oil price tumbles Strong 1Q18; keep watch on dividends ahead • Trending Sector: Telecom Sector: TPG’s commercial launch soon - free era is over • • 1Q18Stock earnings to Watch: were Frasers in line; Centrepoint topline Trust:driven A largelyperfect frommatch higher NIM; lower trading • DBS Equity Picks: Remove Yangzijiang Shipbuilding from Blue Chips and SIA gains offsetEngineering some revenues from Dividend

• Credit costs at new low of 23bps, guidance at 20-25bps possibly towards the lower Ideas of the Day end; still some buffers noted under the Expected Credit Losses line for other assets Actionable ideas by our analysts based on macro, industry or corporate developments

• TrendingPositive Sectors outlook ahead, topline growth supported by lower credit costs; dividends

shouldOil be & Gassustainable at S$1.00 per year and could head higher Yards under pressure as oil price tumbles • Maintain BUY; TP at S$33.20 (1.5x FY18 BV); higher dividends and lower credit • Oil price tumbled c.10% with Brent at USD45.27per barrel (pbl) after OPEC and its non-OPEC allies including Russia failed to produce any consensus on further production cuts beyond 31 March costs •are E xistingupside production risks cuts expire on 31 March and members are free to produce as they wish beyond this; unconfirmed newswire reports suggest that Saudi could hike its crude production to Read more..DBSabove 10 millionGroup b arrelsResearch. per day Equity (mmbpd ) from the current 9.7mmbpd given its output capacity of 12mmbpd • We have cut our average Brent crude price by around USD10pbl to USD47-52pbl for this year and 30 USD50-55pbl in 2021; short-term uncertainties could see Brent heading down to USD40pbl or even as low as USD30pbl if the Saudi-Russia standoff continues and with Covid-19 uncertainties • Negative for O&G stocks Keppel Corp, Marine and SembCorp Industries; some respite DBS Equity(ceteris Research paribus) for airline SIA 5 June 2018

MarketKeppel Cap: Corporation US$37,268m | AverageSembCorp Daily Value: Marine US$70.43m SembCorp Industries BUY HOLD HOLD Last Traded Price: S$6.22 Last Traded Price: S$1.01 Last Traded Price: S$1.77 Last TradedPrice Target Price: (12 S$29.99;-mth): S$7.50 Price Target:Price Target S$33.20 (12-mth): (Upside S$1.40 10.7%) Price Target (12-mth): S$2.20 Upside 20.6% Upside 38.6% Upside 24.3% Sue Lin LIM / Rui Wen LIM

Strong 1Q18; keep watch on dividends ahead

ed: JS• / sa: PY, CS 1Q18 earnings were in line; topline driven largely from higher NIM; lower trading Daily Focus

Singapore Stock Pulse

Singapore Airlines BUY Last Traded Price: S$7.96 Price Target (12-mth): S$10.40 Upside 30.7%

Telecom Sector TPG’s commercial launch soon - free era is over

• TPG’s commercial launch in a few weeks – its free 400k customers may start churning out soon • Our forecast of 6-7% decline in Singapore mobile revenue in 2020 remains intact; the decline may be lower if more TPG customers churn out • StarHub is our most preferred stock for its 6% yield followed by Netlink and

Read more…

Starhub NetLink NBN Trust Singtel BUY BUY BUY Last Traded Price: S$1.51 Last Traded Price: S$1.02 Last Traded Price: S$2.95 Price Target (12-mth): S$1.72 Price Target (12-mth): S$1.05 Price Target (12-mth): S$3.52 Upside 13.9% Upside 2.9% Upside 20.5%

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Stocks to Watch Frasers Centrepoint Trust Singtel BUY BUY BUY Last Traded Price: S$2.97; Last Traded Price: US$5.05; Last Traded Price: S$2.95 Price Target (12-mth): S$3.35 Price Target (12-mth): US$5.81 Price Target (12-mth): S$3.52 (Prev US$6.52) (Prev S$2.95) Upside 19.3% Upside 12.8% Upside 15.0% Invests in gaming JV

Negatives priced in • Singtel has come together A perfect match • FY19 underlying profit with Thai and South Korean • Unwinding of PGIM ARF grew 4% to US$1.08bn, telcos, AIS and SK Telecom, fund to take hold in 2020; 3% above our forecast due to invest in a Series A round projected DPU accretion of to stronger-than-expected of a regional gaming JV up to 7.1% eventually if rise in development • Singtel is expected to bring FCT gains 100% control earnings from China regional knowledge and • Apart from potentially • Coronavirus outbreak likely assets with SK providing doubling of AUM; FCT will to lead to project delays Korean entertainment and be the eighth-largest S-REIT and lower sales gaming expertise and AIS • COVID-19 disruption is completions in China specialising in e-sports and manageable; portfolio • To minimise occupancy risk digital content should deliver resilient for Central offices by numbers extending lease expiry profile • Raise our TP to S$3.35, • BUY, TP revised to US$5.81 assuming PGIM in our TP valuation

Read more… Read more…

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Singapore Stock Pulse

DBS Equity Picks

Our stock picks aim to help investors build a portfolio of Singapore stocks, based on their risk profiles. Stock picks are based on sectoral, fundamental, and technical analysis

Remove Yangzijiang Shipbuilding from Blue Chips and SIA Engineering from Dividend We remove both stocks as the spread of Covid-19 to the developed economies of US and Europe leads to further uncertainties on the global economy, this even as the situation in China has improved drastically. Both stocks triggered our stop loss – SIA Engineering returned -10.9% (CD) that underperformed STI by -2.6%. Yangzijiang returned c.-14%, underperforming STI by c.-6%.

Blue Chips

CapitaLand Thai Beverage Public Company Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Remove (Holdings) Ltd Entry Date: 2 Jan 2020 Entry Date: 17 Feb 2020 # of shares: 3,500 # of shares: 20,000 Entry Date: 2 Jan 2020 Entry Price: $0.785 Entry Price: $3.75 # of shares: 8,800

Last Traded Price: S$0.780 Entry Price: $1.12 Entry Date: 4 Feb 2020 # of shares: 1,500 Entry Date: 4 Feb 2020 Entry Price: $3.55 # of shares: 4,000 Entry Price: $0.94 Last Traded Price: S$3.540 Last Traded Price: S$0.905

Growth

CapitaLand Sunpower Group Ltd

Entry Date: 2 Jan 2020 Entry Date: 3 Mar 2020 # of shares: 3,500 # of shares: 20,000 Entry Price: $0.53 Entry Price: $3.75

Last Traded Price: S$0.500 Entry Date: 4 Feb 2020 # of shares: 1,500 Entry Price: $3.55

Last Traded Price: S$3.540

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Dividends

CapitaLand Retail China Trust Koufu Group Limited SIA Engineering Remove

Entry Date: 3 Mar 2020 Entry Date: 14 Oct 2019 Entry Date: 4 Nov 2019 # of shares: 8,000 # of shares: 12,000 # of shares: 4,500 Entry Price: $1.35 Entry Price: $0.725 Entry Price: $2.65

Last Traded Price: S$1.430 Entry Date: 13 Nov 2019 Last Traded Price: S$2.330 # of shares: 4,800 Entry Price: $0.750

Last Traded Price: S$0.700

StarHub

Entry Date: 24 Feb 2020 # of shares: 8,000 Entry Price: $1.52

Last Traded Price: S$1.510

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Singapore Stock Pulse

Covid-19 Update

Total Infections - Top 15 GDP vs China New cases – Top 15 GDP vs China 90,000 25,000 16,000 3,000

80,000 14,000 2,500 20,000 70,000 12,000 60,000 2,000 10,000 15,000 50,000 8,000 1,500 40,000 10,000 6,000 30,000 1,000 4,000 20,000 5,000 500 10,000 2,000

0 0 0 0 9-Jan 16-Jan 23-Jan 30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb 5-Mar 11-Jan 18-Jan 25-Jan 1-Feb 8-Feb 15-Feb 22-Feb 29-Feb 7-Mar

Total cases (China) (LHS) Total cases (Top 15 GDP ex-China) New cases (China) (LHS) New cases (Top 15 GDP ex-China)

Top 15 GDP exp-China: USA, Japan, Germany, UK, France, India, Italy, Brazil, Canada, Russia, S. Korea, Australia, Spain, Mexico, Indonesia

Total infections - ASEAN New cases - ASEAN 400 50 45 350 40 300 35 250 30

200 25 20 150 15 100 10 50 5

0 0 9-Jan 16-Jan 23-Jan 30-Jan 6-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 27-Feb 5-Mar 11-Jan 18-Jan 25-Jan 1-Feb 8-Feb 15-Feb 22-Feb 29-Feb 7-Mar

Total cases (ASEAN) New cases (ASEAN)

Source: Channel News Asia, DBS Bank

Straits Times Index

Year End Objective: 3,350

 Support Current Resistance level Level 2,960 3,058 2,961 2,800 3,086

Source: DBS Bank, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

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Week in Review

Week of 02 03 20

STI 2,960.98 (-1.66%; -50.10pts w-o-w)

Top News

1. COVID-19 global spread worsens but slows down in China a. Number of countries reporting COVID-19 cases have soared from 65 a week ago to over 100 as of 08 Mar 2020 b. That said, new cases in China looks to be slowing down although imported cases are becoming a focal point

2. Oil turmoil rumbles after failed OPEC+ talks a. Saudi Arabia slashed prices of its flagship Arab Light crude by US$8.00 a barrel and put in place plans to increase oil production b. The move came on the back of failed OPEC+ talks as Russia was unwilling to cut oil production

3. Federal Reserve surprises with 50bps interest rate cut a. Rate cut was in response to “evolving risks” on the economy due to the COVID-19 outbreak

Looking back Week ahead

1. China Feb Caixin Manufacturing PMI slumps 1. 10 Mar 20; 0930 SGT: China Feb CPI YoY to 40.3 from 51.1 previously a. Consensus: 5.2% (vs. 5.4% in Jan) a. Consensus: 46.0 b. Services PMI saw a bigger drop, tumbling to 2. 11 Mar 20; 2030: US Feb CPI MoM 26.5 from 51.8 previously a. Consensus: 0.0% (vs. 0.1% in Jan)

2. US Feb ISM Manufacturing PMI decreased to 50.1 a. Consensus: 50.5 b. COVID-19 virus weighed on manufacturing

3. Singapore Feb PMI dipped 1.6pts to 48.7 a. Consensus: 49.5 b. Decline was led by the electronics sector

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Singapore Stock Pulse

Top Movers Mapletree Industrial Trust Yoma Strategic Holdings Ascendas REIT Last Traded Price: S$2.99 Last Traded Price: S$0.28 Last Traded Price: S$3.38 Change 11.6% Change -11.1% Change 10.5% • Surprise FOMC 50bps rate • Fears of COVID-19 in • Surprise FOMC 50bps rate cut buoyed MINT’s share Myanmar began to weigh cut buoyed AREIT’s share price on Yoma after the stock’s price relative resilience the past few weeks

10 most active traded STI component stocks

Prices as of Mkt Cap Company 6 Mar 20 Sector (S$m) Volume

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings Ltd 0.905 Industrial 3,546 64,890,007

Genting Singapore PLC 0.775 Consumer Services 9,350 47,493,200

Singapore Telecommunications Ltd 2.950 Telecom 48,170 31,875,400

Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust 3.380 REITs 12,229 26,621,100

CapitaLand Mall Trust 2.480 REITs 9,152 19,554,000

Mapletree Commercial Trust 2.280 REITs 7,541 15,522,800

Thai Beverage PCL 0.780 Consumer Goods 19,590 15,411,700

Mapletree Logistics Trust 1.990 REITs 7,563 13,516,200

CapitaLand Commercial Trust 2.010 REITs 7,762 12,577,300

DBS Group Holdings Ltd 23.000 Banks 58,816 11,686,900

Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Recent Reports Report US office SREITs: Your American Heroes Singtel: Negatives are priced in at 22% HoldCo. Discount Singapore Monthly Strategy: The only thing to fear is fear itself Singapore Banks: Further NIM pressures Singapore Market Focus : Budget 2020 : Relief, Resilience, Recovery Singapore Monthly Strategy: When China catches a cold, Asia turns pale Singapore REITS: When the world sneezes… Singapore Hospitality & Retail REITs: Reeling from the travel ban Singapore Banks: A moderated quarter Singapore Spotlight on Technology: Recovery intact

Source: DBS Bank

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Singapore Stock Pulse

Dividends

Company Type Particulars Ex Date Paid/Payable

FRAGRANCE GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0035 Per Security 09-Mar-20 17-Mar-20 FRAGRANCE GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Please see details. 09-Mar-20 17-Mar-20 XT MSCI BANGLADESH IM ETF 10 XOTHERSX Rate: 100% 09-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 BHG RETAIL REIT ENTITLEMENT Rate: SGD 0.0171 Per Security 10-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 BHG RETAIL REIT DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0008 Per Security 10-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 CWT S$100M4.8%N200318 ENTITLEMENT Rate: 100% 10-Mar-20 18-Mar-20 KODA LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0025 Per Security 11-Mar-20 27-Mar-20 KODA LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0025 Per Security 11-Mar-20 27-Mar-20 NETEASE ADR 10 DIVIDEND Rate: USD 1.0175 Per Security 12-Mar-20 20-Mar-20 DASIN RETAIL TRUST ENTITLEMENT Rate: SGD 0.0112 Per Security 13-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 DASIN RETAIL TRUST DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0094 Per Security 13-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 EC WORLD REIT ENTITLEMENT Rate: SGD 0.0151 Per Security 13-Mar-20 27-Mar-20 MEGHMANI ORGANICS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: INR 0.5 Per Security 13-Mar-20 24-Mar-20 BRC ASIA LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.03 Per Security 17-Mar-20 26-Mar-20 BRC ASIA LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.05 Per Security 17-Mar-20 26-Mar-20 ASIAN PAY TELEVISION TRUST DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.003 Per Security 19-Mar-20 27-Mar-20 DAIRY FARM INT'L HOLDINGS LTD DIVIDEND Rate: USD 0.145 Per Security 19-Mar-20 13-May-20 HONGKONG LAND HOLDINGS DIVIDEND Rate: USD 0.16 Per Security 19-Mar-20 13-May-20 LIMITED HOLDINGS LTD DIVIDEND Rate: USD 1.28 Per Security 19-Mar-20 13-May-20 JARDINE STRATEGIC HOLDINGS LTD DIVIDEND Rate: USD 0.25 Per Security 19-Mar-20 13-May-20 MANDARIN ORIENTAL INTL LTD DIVIDEND Rate: USD 0.015 Per Security 19-Mar-20 13-May-20 ASL MARINE S$100M3%250328S6 ENTITLEMENT Rate: 0.5464481% 20-Mar-20 30-Mar-20 ASL MARINE S$50M3%261001S7 ENTITLEMENT Rate: 0.5464481% 24-Mar-20 01-Apr-20 CITY DEV S$125M3%N200402S58 ENTITLEMENT Rate: 100% 25-Mar-20 02-Apr-20 FCT MTN S$90M2.365%N200403 ENTITLEMENT Rate: 100% 26-Mar-20 03-Apr-20 S11 IHH HEALTHCARE BERHAD DIVIDEND Rate: MYR 0.04 Per Security 30-Mar-20 30-Apr-20 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.33 Per Security 07-Apr-20 21-Apr-20 QIAN HU CORPORATION LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.003 Per Security 07-Apr-20 23-Apr-20 ROXY-PACIFIC HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0109 Per Security 20-Apr-20 30-Apr-20 STRAITS TRADING CO. LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.06 Per Security 21-Apr-20 08-May-20 FIRST SPONSOR GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.016 Per Security 22-Apr-20 08-May-20 CEI LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.004 Per Security 23-Apr-20 04-May-20 CEI LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0398 Per Security 23-Apr-20 04-May-20 GREAT EASTERN HLDGS LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.5 Per Security 23-Apr-20 08-May-20 UNITED OVERSEAS INSURANCE LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.07 Per Security 24-Apr-20 08-May-20 UNITED OVERSEAS INSURANCE LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.085 Per Security 24-Apr-20 08-May-20 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.03 Per Security 27-Apr-20 15-May-20 SINGAPORE TECH ENGINEERING LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.1 Per Security 27-Apr-20 12-May-20 CITY DEV CHINA EVERBRIGHT WATER LIMITED DIVIDEND 28-Apr-20 13-May-20 S$100M3.9%N240321S56 TALKMED GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.013 Per Security 28-Apr-20 11-May-20 AVI-TECH ELECTRONICS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.01 Per Security 29-Apr-20 15-May-20 HWA HONG CORPORATION LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.01 Per Security 29-Apr-20 15-May-20 ISEC HEALTHCARE LTD. DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.005 Per Security 29-Apr-20 11-May-20 SINGAPURA FINANCE LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.015 Per Security 29-Apr-20 12-May-20 SINGAPURA FINANCE LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.02 Per Security 29-Apr-20 12-May-20

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Singapore Stock Pulse

VICOM LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.2429 Per Security 29-Apr-20 11-May-20 APAC REALTY LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0125 Per Security 30-Apr-20 15-May-20 COLEX HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0045 Per Security 30-Apr-20 15-May-20 CSE GLOBAL LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.015 Per Security 30-Apr-20 12-May-20 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.01 Per Security 30-Apr-20 19-May-20 FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.01 Per Security 30-Apr-20 19-May-20 FRENCKEN GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.03 Per Security 30-Apr-20 14-May-20 IFS CAPITAL LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0078 Per Security 30-Apr-20 15-May-20 LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.12 Per Security 30-Apr-20 14-May-20 LONZA GROUP LTD DIVIDEND Rate: CHF 2.75 Per Security 30-Apr-20 05-May-20 MEGACHEM LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.01 Per Security 30-Apr-20 20-May-20 OVERSEAS EDUCATION LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.0275 Per Security 30-Apr-20 15-May-20 SBS TRANSIT LTD DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.059 Per Security 30-Apr-20 12-May-20 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.005 Per Security 30-Apr-20 22-May-20 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.02 Per Security 30-Apr-20 22-May-20 UOL GROUP LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.175 Per Security 30-Apr-20 14-May-20 LIMITED DIVIDEND Rate: SGD 0.095 Per Security 30-Apr-20 15-May-20

Source: SGX

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Share buy-back

Name D.O.T. Buy/Sell No of shares $/shr Boustead Singapore Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 600,000 0.7150 CDW Holding Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 50,000 0.1770 DBS Group Holdings Ltd 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 650,000 23.0500 Global Investments Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 1,000,000 0.1390 Golden Agri-Resources Ltd 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 2,000,000 0.2025 GRP Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 7,000 0.1650 HRNETGROUP Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 10,000 0.5400 Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 190,000 0.2750 The Straits Trading Company Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 10,000 2.0350 Tuan Sing Holdings Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 45,000 0.2850 Limited 06-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 72,000 23.2500 Boustead Singapore Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 325,000 0.7200 CDW Holding Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 50,000 0.1770 DBS Group Holdings Ltd 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 500,000 23.7050 Global Investments Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 261,000 0.1390 Golden Agri-Resources Ltd 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 8,000,000 0.2025 GRP Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 220,800 0.1675 Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 100,000 10.4900 Silverlake Axis Ltd 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 250,000 0.3300 Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 299,200 0.2800 ST Group Food Industries Holdings Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 111,000 0.2450 Stamford Land Corporation Ltd 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 72,800 0.4550 The Straits Trading Company Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 4,200 2.0550 Tuan Sing Holdings Limited 05-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 55,000 0.2900 AMPLEFIELD LIMITED 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 0.0485 DBS Group Holdings Ltd 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 500,000 23.8900 Global Investments Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 298,500 0.1389 Golden Agri-Resources Ltd 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 11,000,000 0.2025 HRNETGROUP Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 10,000 0.5500 Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 100,000 10.5300 Silverlake Axis Ltd 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 600,000 0.3232 Singapore Shipping Corporation Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 150,000 0.2800 Stamford Land Corporation Ltd 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 17,200 0.4575 The Straits Trading Company Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 4,700 2.0450 Tuan Sing Holdings Limited 04-Mar-2020 Share Buy-Back 55,000 0.2950

Source: SGX

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DBS Bank Ltd recommendations are based on an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows: STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame) BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps) HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps) FULLY VALUED (negative total return, i.e., > -10% over the next 12 months) SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame) * Share price appreciation + dividends

Completed Date: 9 Mar 2020 09:36:34 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 9 Mar 2020 10:30:42 (SGT)

Sources for all charts and tables are DBS Bank unless otherwise specified

Traders Spectrum’s product is oriented towards readers with a short-term trading horizon. It aims to highlight topical themes, which may move stock prices on a daily basis. Readers should be aware that “TS Take” relies more on assessments of technical factors, likely sentiment responses and short term money flows, rather than on fundamental analysis. As such the “TS Take” may from time to time conflict with fundamental ratings (where stocks are ranked to Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Fully Valued and Sell on a 12 month basis), which are maintained by DBS Bank Ltd analysts. In keeping with the short-term orientation of the product, a stock highlighted may or may not be covered or commented on an ongoing basis.

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The research set out in this report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we (which collectively refers to DBS Bank Ltd, its respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates and their respective directors, officers, employees and agents (collectively, the “DBS Group”)) do not make any representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This document is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the information of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate independent legal or financial advice. The DBS Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect and/or consequential loss (including any claims for loss of profit) arising from any use of and/or reliance upon this document and/or further communication given in relation to this document. This document is not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The DBS Group, along with its affiliates and/or persons associated with any of them may from time to time have interests in the securities mentioned in this document. The DBS Group may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking services for these companies.

Any valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments herein constitutes a judgment as of the date of this report, and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments. The information in this document is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, it may be incomplete or condensed and it may not contain all material information concerning the company (or companies) referred to in this report and the DBS Group is under no obligation to update the information in this report.

This publication has not been reviewed or authorized by any regulatory authority in Singapore, Hong Kong or elsewhere. There is no planned schedule or frequency for updating research publication relating to any issuer.

The valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described in this report were based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. It can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments were based will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Therefore, the inclusion of the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described herein IS NOT TO BE RELIED UPON as a representation and/or warranty by the DBS Group (and/or any persons associated with the aforesaid entities), that:

(a) such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments or their underlying assumptions will be achieved, and (b) there is any assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments stated therein.

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Please contact the primary analyst for valuation methodologies and assumptions associated with the covered companies or price targets.

Any assumptions made in this report that refers to commodities, are for the purposes of making forecasts for the company (or companies) mentioned herein. They are not to be construed as recommendations to trade in the physical commodity or in the futures contract relating to the commodity referred to in this report.

DBS Vickers Securities (USA) Inc ("DBSVUSA")"), a U.S.-registered broker-dealer, does not have its own investment banking or research department, has not participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months and does not engage in market-making.

ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views. The analyst(s) also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. The research analyst (s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that he or his associate1 does not serve as an officer of the issuer or the new listing applicant (which includes in the case of a real estate investment trust, an officer of the management company of the real estate investment trust; and in the case of any other entity, an officer or its equivalent counterparty of the entity who is responsible for the management of the issuer or the new listing applicant) and the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for 2 the content of this research report or his associate does not have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant that the analyst reviews. DBS Group has procedures in place to eliminate, avoid and manage any potential conflicts of interests that may arise in connection with the production of research reports. The research analyst(s) responsible for this report operates as part of a separate and independent team to the investment banking function of the DBS Group and procedures are in place to ensure that confidential information held by either the research or investment banking function is handled appropriately. There is no direct link of DBS Group's compensation to any specific investment banking function of the DBS Group.

COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES 1. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (“DBSVS”) or their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have proprietary positions in CapitaLand, Thai Beverage Public Company, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, CapitaLand Retail China Trust, StarHub, Keppel Corporation, Sembcorp Marine, Sembcorp Industries, Limited, NetLink NBN Trust, Singtel, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Hong Kong Land, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Ascendas REIT, recommended in this report as of 31 Jan 2020. 2. Neither DBS Bank Ltd nor DBS HK market makes in equity securities of the issuer(s) or company(ies) mentioned in this Research Report. 3. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have a net long position exceeding 0.5% of the total issued share capital in CapitaLand Retail China Trust, StarHub, NetLink NBN Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Ascendas REIT, recommended in this report as of 31 Jan 2020. 4. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, DBSVUSA, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates beneficially own a total of 1% of any class of common securities of NetLink NBN Trust, as of 31 Jan 2020.

Compensation for investment banking services: 5. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have received compensation, within the past 12 months for investment banking services from CapitaLand, CapitaLand Retail China Trust, Koufu Group Ltd, Keppel Corporation, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Airlines Limited, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Ascendas REIT, as of 31 Jan 2020. 6. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for CapitaLand, CapitaLand Retail China Trust, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Airlines Limited, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Ascendas REIT, in the past 12 months, as of 31 Jan 2020. 7. DBSVUSA does not have its own investment banking or research department, nor has it participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months. Any US persons wishing to obtain further information, including any clarification on disclosures in this disclaimer, or to effect a transaction in any security discussed in this document should contact DBSVUSA exclusively.

1 An associate is defined as (i) the spouse, or any minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, of the analyst; (ii) the trustee of a trust of which the analyst, his spouse, minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, is a beneficiary or discretionary object; or (iii) another person accustomed or obliged to act in accordance with the directions or instructions of the analyst. 2 Financial interest is defined as interests that are commonly known financial interest, such as investment in the securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant, or financial accommodation arrangement between the issuer or the new listing applicant and the firm or analysis. This term does not include commercial lending conducted at arm's length, or investments in any collective investment scheme other than an issuer or new listing applicant notwithstanding the fact that the scheme has investments in securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant.

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Directorship/trustee interests: 8. Nihal Vijaya Devadas Kaviratne CBE, a member of DBS Group Holdings Board of Directors, is a Director of StarHub as of 31 Dec 2019. 9. Danny Teoh Leong Kay, a member of DBS Group Holdings Board of Directors, is a Director of Keppel Corporation as of 31 Dec 2019. 10. Dave GLEDHILL, a member of DBS Group Management Committee, is a Director of Singapore Airlines Limited as of 03 Feb 2020. Peter Seah Lim Huat, Chairman & Director of DBS Group Holdings, is a Director / Chairman of Singapore Airlines Limited as of 31 Dec 2019.

Disclosure of previous investment recommendation produced 11. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities / instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. Please contact the primary analyst listed in the first page of this report to view previous investment recommendations published by DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd (''DBSVS''), their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates in the preceding 12 months.

RESTRICTIONS ON DISTRIBUTION General This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.

Australia This report is being distributed in Australia by DBS Bank Ltd, DBSVS or DBSV HK. DBS Bank Ltd holds Australian Financial Services Licence no. 475946.

DBSVS and DBSV HK are exempted from the requirement to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence under the Corporation Act 2001 (“CA”) in respect of financial services provided to the recipients. Both DBS Bank Ltd and DBSVS are regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the laws of Singapore, and DBSV HK is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission under the laws of Hong Kong, which differ from Australian laws.

Distribution of this report is intended only for “wholesale investors” within the meaning of the CA.

Hong Kong This report has been prepared by a person(s) who is not licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to carry on the regulated activity of advising on securities in Hong Kong pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong). This report is being distributed in Hong Kong and is attributable to DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited, a registered institution registered with the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to carry on the regulated activity of advising on securities pursuant to the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong Kong). DBS Bank Ltd., Hong Kong Branch is a limited liability company incorporated in Singapore.

For any query regarding the materials herein, please contact Carol Wu (Reg No. AH8283) at [email protected]

Indonesia This report is being distributed in Indonesia by PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas Indonesia.

Malaysia This report is distributed in Malaysia by AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd ("ADBSR"). Recipients of this report, received from ADBSR are to contact the undersigned at 603-2604 3333 in respect of any matters arising from or in connection with this report. In addition to the General Disclosure/Disclaimer found at the preceding page, recipients of this report are advised that ADBSR (the preparer of this report), its holding company Alliance Investment Bank Berhad, their respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates, their directors, officers, employees, agents and parties related or associated with any of them may have positions in, and may effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services for the subject companies. They may also have received compensation and/or seek to obtain compensation for broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services from the subject companies.

Wong Ming Tek, Executive Director, ADBSR

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Singapore This report is distributed in Singapore by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) or DBSVS (Company Regn No. 198600294G), both of which are Exempt Financial Advisers as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. DBS Bank Ltd and/or DBSVS, may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, DBS Bank Ltd accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact DBS Bank Ltd at 6327 2288 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report.

Thailand This report is being distributed in Thailand by DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd.

United This report is produced by DBS Bank Ltd which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Kingdom This report is disseminated in the United Kingdom by DBS Vickers Securities (UK) Ltd, ("DBSVUK"). DBSVUK is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom.

In respect of the United Kingdom, this report is solely intended for the clients of DBSVUK, its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBSVUK. This communication is directed at persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments. Any investment activity following from this communication will only be engaged in with such persons. Persons who do not have professional experience in matters relating to investments should not rely on this communication.

Dubai This research report is being distributed by DBS Bank Ltd., (DIFC Branch) having its office at units 608 - 610, 6th Floor, International Gate Precinct Building 5, PO Box 506538, DIFC, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. DBS Bank Ltd., (DIFC Branch) is Financial regulated by The Dubai Financial Services Authority. This research report is intended only for professional clients (as Centre defined in the DFSA rulebook) and no other person may act upon it.

United Arab This report is provided by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) which is an Exempt Financial Adviser as Emirates defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. This report is for information purposes only and should not be relied upon or acted on by the recipient or considered as a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell any financial product. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of individual clients. You should contact your relationship manager or investment adviser if you need advice on the merits of buying, selling or holding a particular investment. You should note that the information in this report may be out of date and it is not represented or warranted to be accurate, timely or complete. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without our written consent.

United This report was prepared by DBS Bank Ltd. DBSVUSA did not participate in its preparation. The research analyst(s) States named on this report are not registered as research analysts with FINRA and are not associated persons of DBSVUSA. The research analyst(s) are not subject to FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on analyst compensation, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst. This report is being distributed in the United States by DBSVUSA, which accepts responsibility for its contents. This report may only be distributed to Major U.S. Institutional Investors (as defined in SEC Rule 15a-6) and to such other institutional investors and qualified persons as DBSVUSA may authorize. Any U.S. person receiving this report who wishes to effect transactions in any securities referred to herein should contact DBSVUSA directly and not its affiliate.

Other In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is intended only for jurisdictions qualified, professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions.

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DBS Regional Research Offices

HONG KONG MALAYSIA SINGAPORE DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd DBS Bank Ltd Contact: Carol Wu Contact: Wong Ming Tek (128540 U) Contact: Janice Chua 13th Floor One Island East, 19th Floor, Menara Multi-Purpose, 12 Marina Boulevard, 18 Westlands Road, Capital Square, Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 Quarry Bay, Hong Kong 8 Jalan Munshi Abdullah 50100 Singapore 018982 Tel: 852 3668 4181 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Tel: 65 6878 8888 Fax: 852 2521 1812 Tel.: 603 2604 3333 Fax: 65 65353 418 e-mail: [email protected] Fax: 603 2604 3921 e-mail: [email protected] e-mail: [email protected] Company Regn. No. 196800306E

THAILAND INDONESIA DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas (Indonesia) Contact: Chanpen Sirithanarattanakul Contact: Maynard Priajaya Arif 989 Siam Piwat Tower Building, DBS Bank Tower 9th, 14th-15th Floor Ciputra World 1, 32/F Rama 1 Road, Pathumwan, Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav. 3-5 Bangkok Thailand 10330 Jakarta 12940, Indonesia Tel. 66 2 857 7831 Tel: 62 21 3003 4900 Fax: 66 2 658 1269 Fax: 6221 3003 4943 e-mail: [email protected] e-mail: [email protected] Company Regn. No 0105539127012 Securities and Exchange Commission, Thailand

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