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The AESO Welcomes You to Its Open House on the Need to Reinforce the Electricity System in the Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Area

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The AESO Welcomes You to Its Open House on the Need to Reinforce the Electricity System in the Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Area www.aeso.ca Welcome The AESO welcomes you to its Open House on the need to reinforce the electricity system in the Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) area. www.aeso.ca Our Principles for Public Involvement in Transmission System Planning 1. Every member of the public must have an opportunity to comment on the plans. 2. The public must have an opportunity to be informed in a timely manner of the direction, plans, status of issues and decisions related to a project. 3. The experience and expertise offered through public involvement is used to improve the quality and implementation of decisions. 4. The public involvement process and the rationale for decisions are transparent. A STAKEHOLDER is Anyone who has a “stake” in the outcome of the project www.aeso.ca The AESO is: A not-for-profit statutory company, operating in the public interest. Independent of any company or person with a material interest in the electric industry. AESO Key Functions: • Operate the wholesale electric market • Plan the transmission system • Arrange access for demand and generation • Direct day-to-day operation of the transmission system www.aeso.ca Transmission System Planning at the AESO • 20-Year Transmission System Outlook – generation and load focused; high level conceptual transmission alternatives • 10-Year Transmission System Plan – roadmap for transmission development and context for Needs Identification Documents • Individual Needs Identification Documents The AESO’s Transmission System Planning Process Two main drivers of transmission planning: 1. Load growth (demand) 2. Generation development (supply) www.aeso.ca Alberta’s Generation Sources Electricity at Work (September 2009) Coal: 5,893 megawatts Gas: 4,838 megawatts A Generating plants Hydro: 869 megawatts Wind: 563 megawatts Other renewables: 264 megawatts B Transmission substation (e.g. biomass, waste heat) Total: 12,427 megawatts C Transmission line C B A D D Intertie E Solar panels F G E F Industrial customer Distribution substation G H H Distribution line J I Power meter J Run-of-river hydro power I 4 www.aeso.ca Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Study Area Cold Lake to Vegreville to Provost study area roughly comprised of: • County of Paintearth • M.D. of Provost • M.D. of Wainwright • Beaver County • County of Fort McMurray Vermilion River • County of Two Hills • County of Minburn Cold Lake • County of St. Paul Bonnyville St. Paul • M.D. of Bonnyville Two Hills Edmonton Vegreville Lloydminster • Flagstaff County Viking Wainwright Sedgewick Castor Provost Red Deer Cold Lake to Vegreville to Provost Study Area Calgary www.aeso.ca Overview of Need – Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Area The transmission system in this area lacks the capacity to support additional demand or to integrate new generation • Demand for electricity in this region is growing rapidly • Demand growth areas: • Cold Lake, Wainwright and Provost areas • Demand is expected to double over the next 10 years • Gas generation and wind interest in this area: Over 500 MW www.aeso.ca Map of Load (Demand) and Future Generation (Supply) in the Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Area R24 R20 R16 R12 R8 R4 R1W4 T74 T74 818S Winefred JEAN BAPTISTE GAMBLER 183 Fort McMurray Calling Lake Prov. Park 1200S T70 Cold Lake Foster Creek 877S Edmonton 898S T70 Cold Lake Air Weapons Range (DND) Foster Creek Heart Lake Provost HEART LAKE 167A HEART LAKE 167 6 8 L 7 Calgary Alpac Alpac 353S Plamondon Sir Winston Churchill Inset Prov. Park 242S Flat Lake Lac la Biche 859S Lakeland Primrose 405S Prov. Park 5 157S 3 Waupisoo L COLD LAKE 149C Lac La Biche 7 7 Athabasca L 7 909S 4 7 822S BEAVER LAKE 131 8 Mahno L Wolf Lake Cold Lake T65 7 Prov. Park 95 T65 837S 7L8 7L 826S 3 Mahihkan 56S Marguerite Lake Boyle 7L 6 91 715S 6 L Leming Lake 7 717S 36 Ethel Lake 9L 721S 37 COLD LAKE 149B 9L Lacorey 7L89 8 2 L 7 COLD LAKE 149A Long Lake Prov. Park 825S 846S Whitefish Lake Grand Centre CFB Cold Lake 9 8 L 7 Cold Lake 700S 7L24 Bonnyville WHITE FISH LAKE 128 7L70 COLD LAKE 149 Moose Lake Prov. Park Bonnyville T60 T60 Garner Lake Prov. Park 819S 2 Whitby Lake 8 L 777S 6 Smoky Lake Vilna KEHIWIN 123 707S Bon Accord St. Paul Legal St. Paul PUSKIAKIWENIN 122 SADDLE LAKE 125 3 Redwater 5 L 13S 7 Morinville Deerland Gibbons Elk Point UNIPOUHEOS 121 Bruderheim Whitney Lakes 108S Prov. Park 127S Amelia 6L79 BruderheimLamont T55 711S Willingdon 706S T55 St. Albert Irish Creek Two Hills Fort Saskatchewan MAKAOO I.R. 120 Elk Island Ntl. Park 3 5 Sherwood Park L Mundare 7 EDMONTON Vegreville 709S Vegreville 5 6 L 705S 7 710S Kitscoty 7L65 Vermilion Vermilion Beaumont Prov. Park T50 Tofield 7L14 7L77 T50 Vermilion 751S 7 395S L Hill Miquelon Lake 4 Leduc 197S 2 Prov. Park North Holden 716S Bardo Lloydminster 299S Lloydminster Kingman 9 4 7 L L 7 1 0 7 75 1L 526S Buffalo Creek 880S 0 Briker Millet 5 Viking L 7 542S 285S Ervick East Camrose 252S Jarrow Camrose 968S Wetaskiwin 223S Cochin Pipeline Fabyan Strome ERMINESKIN 138 6 T45 1L 51S 704AL T45 Daysland L Wainwright 1 0 7 870 L SAMSON 137 Killam 4 0 Wainwright 702L 7 SAMSON 137A Sedgewick 899S MONTANA 139 Edgerton 881 331S 429S 137S CFB Wainwright Ponoka Nelson Lake Sedgewick 13 377S 764S 869 Hardisty Ponoka Heisler 329S Hardisty Hrt Express 296S 267S L 7 1 872 0 Killarney Lake 0 Rosyth 3L AL 748L 7 749 608 Dillberry Lake Prov. Park Bashaw 843S Big Knife Creek 884 277S 213S L 765S 9 Hayter 603 4 Big KnifeMannix Mine Hughenden 7 Prov. Park 757S Rochon Sands 7 03 T40 Prov. Park Battle River L 766S 755S T40 9L27 953L 948L 948L Nevis Cordel 650S 648S 9L20 756S Hansman Lake Metiskow 863S Bigfoot 221S Paintearth 71 482S Sunken Lake 5L Provost Haynes Stettler 536S 760S 545S Brookfield Delburne Provost 769S 873S Stettler 759S Marion Lake Castor Castor 892S Ribstone Creek 778S Gooseberry Lake Big Valley Coronation Prov. Park 773S Coronation T35 771S T35 775S Veteran R24 R20 Sullivan Lake 774S R16 Monitor Dry Island Buffalo Jump Prov. Park Legend City R8 R4 R1W4 Town R12 Substations Study Area First Nations 69/72 kV Load Scale - 1:475,000 Military Bases Cold Lake, V egreville and 138/144 kV Gas-fired Generation Primary Highways 0306015 240 kV Wind Generation km Provost Load and Generation Secondary Highways September 2009 www.aeso.ca Load (Demand) Forecast: Cold Lake, Wainwright and Provost (Fast growing areas) 1000 Historical Forecast 900 Cold Lake Wainwright Provost Historical 6.9% 2.5% 1.7% 800 (2002-2008) Cold Lake Forecast (2008-2018) 5.0% 12.0% 6.0% Wainwright ) 700 Provost (MW Total d 600 Loa k 500 Pea 400 ter 300 Win 200 100 0 20022003 2004 2005 2006 20072008 2009 2010 20112012 2013 20142015 2016 2017 2018 Year 10 www.aeso.ca Integrating Wind Energy Challenge • Wind energy is variable and can be unpredictable AESO Measures to Integrate Wind • The Market & Operational Framework • The AESO wind power interconnection process • Generation projects queue • AESO Needs Identification Documents (NID) • South Alberta Transmission Reinforcement (NID approved September 2009) • Hanna Region Reinforcement (NID submitted Summer 2009) www.aeso.ca Wind Variability Wind power and load (demand) correlating well (MW) Load Wind (Time) Wind power and load (demand) not correlating well (MW) Load Wind (Time) www.aeso.ca Wind Energy and the AIES Wind forecast 06 September 2007 350 300 1-min MW 250 fcst 1 200 fcst 2 fcst 3 150 100 50 0 Sep06 12:00Sep06 14:24Sep06 16:48 Sep06 19:12 Sep06 21:36 Sep07 00:00 Wind forecast 10 October 2007 500 450 Actual Wind 400 fcst 1 350 fcst 2 300 fcst 3 250 200 150 100 50 0 Oct09 19:12 Oct10 00:00 Oct10 04:48 Oct10 09:36 Oct10 14:24 Oct10 19:12 Oct11 00:00 www.aeso.ca All Alternatives for Central East (Cold Lake, Vegreville, Provost) Study Area R24 R20 R16 R12 R8 R4 R1W4 T74 T74 818S Winefred JEAN BAPTISTE GAMBLER 183 Fort McMurray Calling Lake Prov. Park 1200S T70 Cold Lake Foster Creek 877S Edmonton 898S T70 Cold Lake Air Weapons Range (DND) Foster Creek Heart Lake Provost HEART LAKE 167A HEART LAKE 167 6 8 L 7 Calgary Alpac Alpac 353S Plamondon Sir Winston Churchill Inset Prov. Park 242S Flat Lake Lac la Biche 859S Lakeland Primrose 405S Prov. Park 5 157S 3 Waupisoo L COLD LAKE 149C Lac La Biche 7 7 Athabasca L 7 909S 4 7 822S BEAVER LAKE 131 8 Mahno L Wolf Lake Cold Lake T65 7 Prov. Park 95 T65 837S 7L8 7L 826S 3 Mahihkan 56S Marguerite Lake Boyle 7L 6 91 715S 6 L Leming Lake 7 717S 36 Ethel Lake 9L 721S 37 COLD LAKE 149B 9L Lacorey 7L89 8 2 L 7 COLD LAKE 149A Long Lake Prov. Park 825S 846S Whitefish Lake Grand Centre CFB Cold Lake 9 8 L 7 Cold Lake 700S 7L24 Bonnyville WHITE FISH LAKE 128 7L70 COLD LAKE 149 Moose Lake Prov. Park Bonnyville T60 T60 Garner Lake Prov. Park 819S 2 Whitby Lake 8 L 777S 6 Smoky Lake Vilna KEHIWIN 123 707S Bon Accord St. Paul Legal St. Paul PUSKIAKIWENIN 122 SADDLE LAKE 125 3 Redwater 5 L 13S 7 Morinville Deerland Gibbons Elk Point UNIPOUHEOS 121 Bruderheim Whitney Lakes 108S Prov. Park 127S Amelia 6L79 BruderheimLamont T55 711S Willingdon 706S T55 St. Albert Irish Creek Two Hills Fort Saskatchewan MAKAOO I.R. 120 3 5 Sherwood Park L Mundare 7 2 EDMONTON Vegreville 709S Vegreville 5 6 L 705S 7 710S Kitscoty 7L65 Vermilion Vermilion Beaumont Prov.
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