Risk Implications of Unemployment and Underemployment December 2015 Risk Implications of Unemployment and Underemployment SPONSOR CAS/CIA/SOA Joint Risk Management Section AUTHOR Kailan Shang, FSA, CFA, PRM, SCJP Caveat and Disclaimer The opinions expressed and conclusions reached by the author are his own and do not represent any official position or opinion of the sponsoring organizations or their members. The sponsoring organizations make no representation or warranty to the accuracy of the information. Copyright ©2015 All rights reserved by the Casualty Actuarial Society, Canadian Institute of Actuaries, Society of Actuaries 2 Risk Implications of Unemployment and Underemployment By Kailan Shang1 Acknowledgments The author would like to thank all members of the Joint Risk Management Section’s Project Oversight Group (POG) tasked with providing governance on this research project. This paper would not have attained its current level of relevance to practitioners without the POG’s guidance, feedback, and insightful input. “Risk Implications of Unemployment and Underemployment” POG members are the following: Guy Barker Thomas Hartl Shiraz Jetha Jing Ning Steven Siegel Fred Tavan The author would also like to thank Barbara Scott for her effective coordination of this project, as well as the sponsorship and funding support of the Joint Risk Management Section of the Casualty Actuarial Society, the Canadian Institute of Actuaries, and the Society of Actuaries. 1 Kailan Shang, FSA, CFA, PRM, SCJP, of Swin Solutions Inc., can be reached at
[email protected]. Copyright ©2015 All rights reserved by the Casualty Actuarial Society, Canadian Institute of Actuaries, Society of Actuaries 3 Contents Executive Summary .......................................................................................................................... 4 1.