Japan's Climate Change Policies
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Japan's Climate Change Policies 18th Mar. 2014 Ministry of the Environment, Japan Index 1. Japan‘s Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Global Context 2. Japan’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions 3. Act on Promotion of Global Warming Measures 4. Japan’s New Emissions Reduction Target for 2020 5. Global Warming Measures toward Emissions Reduction Target for 2020 6. Proactive Diplomatic Strategy for Countering Global Warming 7. Adaptation plan 2 Japan’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Global Context 3 Global CO2 Emissions (2011) Others South Africa 1.2% 20.7% China 25.5% Australia 1.3% Brazil 1.3% Indonesia 1.4% Mexico 1.4% Global CO2 Emissions Saudi Arabia 1.5% 31.3 billion tons Iran 1.7% Canada 1.7% Japan US South Korea 1.9% 3.8% 16.9% Russia EU-27※1 5.3% 11.3% India ※2 5.6% EU15 9.1% Germany ※1 Croatia became a member in 2.4% 2013; therefore, not included in UK the figure. France Italy 1.4% ※2 EU 15 is EU member states at 1.0% 1.3% COP3 (Kyoto) 4 Source: IEA “CO2 EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION」 2013 EDITION” Global GHG Emissions (2010) Global GHG emissions in 2010 is approximately 49.8 billion tonnes of CO2 eq. China and U.S. emit more than one-third of total global GHG emissions Share of CO2 from fuel combustion is more than 60% in total global GHG emissions Global GHG emissions by countries in 2010 Global GHG emissions by gas/source in 2010 Global GHG emissions Global GHG 49.8 billion emissions tonnes (2010) 49.8 billion CO2-equivalent units tonnes (2010) CO2-equivalent units 5 Source : IEA ”CO2 EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION” 2013EDITION CO2 Emissions per Capita by Country (2011) World 4.50 Qatar 38.17 United Arab Emirates 21.02 Australia 17.43 United States 16.94 Saudi Arabia 16.28 Canada 15.37 Korea 11.81 Russian Federation 11.65 Japan 9.28 Germany 9.14 South Africa 7.27 United Kingdom 7.06 Islamic Rep. of Iran 6.97 Italy 6.47 China 5.92 France 5.04 Mexico 3.96 Brazil 2.07 Indonesia 1.76 India 1.41 Nigeria 0.33 (tCO2/capita) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 6 Source: IEA “CO2 EMISSIONS FROM FUEL COMBUSTION” 2013 EDITION” Cumulative CO2 Emissions after Industrial Revolutions (1850-2006) U.S accounts approx. 30%. 75% of emissions are from developed countries (Japan: 4%) China, India, South Africa and Mexico account 9%,2%,1% and 1% respectively. Indonesia 1% Brazil 1% South Korea Other 1% 23% U.S 29% Mexico 1% Australia 1% South Africa 1% China 9% Italia 2% UK Russia Germany 6% 8% Canada 7% 2% India France Japan 2% 3% 4% Sources: World Resources Institute, Climate Analysis Indicators Tool 7 Japan’s Greenhouse Gas emissions 8 Japan’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Achievements Status for Emission Targets under the Kyoto Protocol ○ Japan’s total greenhouse gas emissions (preliminary figures) in FY2012 were 1,341 Mt CO2 eq. (an increase of 6.3% compared to the base year (BY) and 2.5% compared to the previous year (PY)) ○ If the forest carbon sink measures target1 is achieved and Kyoto mechanisms credits2 are taken into account, the five-year average for total emissions during the first commitment period (CP1) of the Kyoto Protocol (FY2008-FY2012) shows an 8.2%3 decrease compared to the total emissions of the base year; therefore, it is estimated that Japan will have achieved its target for the CP1 of the Kyoto Protocol (-6 % below base year level). Emissions Actual total Amount to be deducted from Amount to be deducted from actual emissions actual total emissions taking total emissions taking into account 1,341 Mt (Billion t-CO2 eq.) ・・① into account the forest carbon the Kyoto mechanisms credits ・・・③ sink measures target ・・・② (+6.3% from BY) 1,351 Mt <+2.5% from PY> Five-year average 1,308 Mt 1,279 Mt 1,282 Mt (+3.7% from BY) 1.3 (+1.6% from BY) 1,257 Mt (+1.4% from BY) Forest carbon sink 1,261 Mt (-0.3% from BY) measures target (3.8% of BY) 1,207 Mt (-4.3% from BY) Kyoto mechanisms 1.2 credits (5.9% of BY) -4.0% -4.6% Kyoto Protocol - CP1 -8.7% 1.1 Reduction Target: -10.2% -6% from BY (1,186 Mt) -13.8% 1.0 Five-year average for total emissions after deduction of ② and ③ from ① 0.9 =-8.2% from BY Base Year (BY) 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Five-year2008~ (2008-2012)2012 (In principle, 1990) (Preliminary(速報値 Figures)) 5カ年平均Average 1: Forest carbon sink measures target: About 3.8% (47.67 Mt CO2/yr.) of the base year emissions according to the Kyoto Protocol Target Achievement Plan. 2: Kyoto mechanisms credits: Acquired by the government: Total credits that were contracted as of FY2012 year-end through the Kyoto Mechanisms Credit Acquisition Program (97.528 Mt) divided by 5 (yrs.) Acquired by the private sector: The amount of credits that were acquired by the Federation of Electric Power Companies of Japan (According to the Environmental Action Plan by the Japanese Electric Utility Industry [FY2009 to FY2013]) 3:Total emissions and removals for the Kyoto Protocol target will be finalized after the technical review process under the Kyoto Protocol and the Convention to be conducted in FY2014. Also, the Kyoto mechanisms credits will be finalized after the true-up period for the first commitment period (expected to be completed in the second half of 2015 or later). 9 CO2 Emissions by Sectors and Actors (2012) (Preliminary figures) Municipal Waste Waste Industrial Waste, etc. Industrial Energy Conversion Processes Residential 2% (Household heating and cooling, hot 3% water supply, electricity use, etc.) 7% Industrial Processes Residential (CO2 emissions from cement from electricity production, etc.) consumption Industries Household- 11% 1% 16% related: 1% 34% Energy Conversion from electricity Total Approx. 22% (Self-consumption at consumption 1,275Mt 16% 3% power plants, gas plants, 13% oil refineries, etc., ) Transportation 7% from from electricity consumption (passenger vehicles for electricity 7% personal use) 5% Industries 20% consumption (Energy consumption in Commercial 1% manufacturing, construction, and Other mining, agriculture, forestry 18% Sectors and fishing industries) Transportation 20% 34% Commercial ○Excluding Industrial Processes and Waste Products, the and Other 12% remaining 94% of CO2 emissions are related to energy (Office buildings, etc) consumption. ○Household Emissions, including personal vehicles and Transportation municipal waste, comprise approximately 20% of (Freight vehicles, Business and emissions. The remaining 80% is from Business and Public passenger vehicles for Public Sector-related: sector. business use, ships, etc.) ○”from electricity consumption” means emissions from the Approx. 78% use of electricity and heat which are purchased from companies such as electric companies, except private Actors power generation. 10 Trends in Energy oriented CO2 emissions by sector ○ CO2 emissions from industries sector have been decreasing as production volume dropped because of financial crisis in late 2008. ○ CO2 emissions from transportation sector have been decreasing by means of improvement in transportation efficiency etc. ○ CO2 emissions from commercial and other sector have been increasing by expanding floor area as well as worsening emission factor due to the increase in fossil fuel, power generation share after the earthquake. ○ CO2 emissions from residential sector have been increasing by growth in energy use in response to increasing number of household as well as worsening emission factor due to the increase in fossil fuel power generation share after the earthquake ○ Emissions from energy conversion sector (power plant etc.,) have been increasing in response to energy demand increase such as electricity. 11 (Reference) GHG emission and removal inventory • power domestic total of 90% approximately reached fuel fossil from generation power hand, other the On •the and maintenance, for down shut been have plants power nuclear disaster, earthquake the After plant. power LNG from 50% including generation, 2012) July in restarted drastically.( dropped generation power nuclear the of share 2010.4 in energy mix for Trends power generation (General/Wholesale Electricutility) Change Nuclear Coal 5 6 7 8 9 Nuclear share Nuclear LNG in 10 11 e 12 earthquake after the nergy mix for power generation generation nergypower mix for 2011.1 2 Fossil fuel Fossil share Oil, other 3 4 5 6 7 Hydro 8 9 10 Oi Source: Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy and Resources Natural for Committee Advisory Source: 11 were 4 and No.3 plant power nuclear 12 2012.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 12 Act on Promotion of Global Warming Measures 13 Japan’s GHG reduction goal in 2050 ○Japan will pursue the goal of 80% reduction in GHG emission by 2050 in order to fulfill the responsibility as an industrialized country, as is stated in the forth Basic Environmental Plan (revised in April 2012) ○To achieve the 80% reduction goal, global warming measures including innovative energy efficiency and maximum use of renewable energy will be important Japan’s日本の温室効果ガス排出量と長期目標 GHG emission trends and the long term goal 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 The first Oil crisis 200 The second Oil crisis Global Financial Crisis High growth period Bubble economy GHG GHG emission(milliontCO2) (100) (80) (60) (40) (20) (0) The number in the parentheses ( ) represents the age of the person in 2050 who born in the year above Energy originated CO2 emissions (US DOE Oak Ridge National Laboratory) Energy originated CO2 emissions (IEA) Energy originated CO2 emissions (Ministry of the Environment Japan) 14 GHG emissions (Ministry of the Environment Japan) Act on Promotion of Global Warming Measures Kyoto Protocol Target Achievement Plan (Article 8 – 9)* ・The national government shall establish a Kyoto Protocol Target Achievement Plan for attaining the targets prescribed in the Kyoto Protocol.