Socio-Economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality, 2017
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Langeberg Municipality 2017 LANGEBERG: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 2 2. EDUCATION 2 3. HEALTH 2 4. POVERTY 2 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 2 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 2 7. THE ECONOMY 2 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 2 SOURCES 36 Langeberg: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 104 289 28 401 2016 2016 Matric Pass Rate 85.7% Gini Coefficient 0.58 Learner-Teacher Ratio 40.5 Human Development Index 0.67 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 46.8% 2016 13 53.2% 0 11.5% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 1.7% -1.6% 15.8% -9.3% -9.4 Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 98.3% 79.3% 92.6% 94.7% 89.3% 2016 2016 Drought 31 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 41 7.9% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real estate & Manufacturing catering and accommodation business 19.2% 18.2% 16.2% 1 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in Langeberg area. A demographic perspective on a municipality allows to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society like, e.g. gender, race, migration or life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect in almost every case at least one aspect of Demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of the estimates of population size, the distribution of population within age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance for understanding economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short, but informative overview, the SEP tries to help the municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality POPULATION 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 Breede Valley Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg 2018 179 550 273 066 104 289 176 523 130 607 2019 181 259 275 980 105 159 179 463 132 542 2020 182 941 278 791 106 013 182 372 134 444 2021 184 576 281 498 106 862 185 216 136 295 2022 186 182 284 087 107 708 187 983 138 107 2023 187 723 286 563 108 539 190 680 139 872 In 2018, Langeberg will have an estimated population of 104 289, after five years this population is estimated to be 108 539. This equates an estimated growing rate in this time span of 4.07 per cent. The estimated population growth rate of Langeberg is therefore 1.64 percentage points lower than the estimated population growth of its district Cape Winelands which is 5.7 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 – 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 27 759 64 029 5 939 52.6 2018 27 724 69 120 7 442 50.9 2023 27 475 72 433 8 632 49.8 The above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. A comparison with the base year (2011) and the estimated numbers for 2023 show a growth in the percentage of seniors and working age population but a decline in the percentage of children. This is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Langeberg, this ratio was 52.6 in 2011 and will decrease to an estimated 49.8 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality LEARNER ENROLMENT 50 000 45 000 40 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg Breede Valley 2014 46 474 17 226 25 274 18 038 32 076 2015 46 988 17 499 26 129 18 181 32 466 2016 47 601 17 838 26 085 18 048 32 558 Learner enrolment in Langeberg increased at an annual average growth rate of 3.55 per cent between 2014 and 2016, which is an indication that access to education has improved within the Langberg municipal area. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner-teacher ratio in Langeberg increased from 29.4 in 2014 to 39.3 in 2015 and up to 40.5 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Langeberg municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. GRADE 12 DROP-OUT RATES The high school drop-out rate for the City of Cape Town increased from 38.7 per cent in 2015 to 46.8 per cent in 2016 meaning that 46.8 per cent of all learners that enrolled in Grade 10 within Langeberg in 2014 dropped out of school by the time they reached Grade 12 in 2016. These high levels of drop-outs are influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income and teenage pregnancies. 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 17 55 2015 21 55 2016 21 55 Langeberg had 55 schools in 2016. Given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. However, the proportion of no-fee schools deteriorated slightly from 80.3 per cent in 2014 to 80.3 per cent in 2016. This could in future further increase the drop-out rate. The number of schools equipped with libraries increased from 17 to 21 between 2014 and 2015 but subsequently remained unchanged. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Breede Valley Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg 2014 80.4% 67.7% 87.3% 65.0% 84.9% 2015 80.4% 67.7% 87.3% 65.0% 84.9% 2016 77.6% 67.7% 87.3% 64.1% 83.3% The proportion of no-fee schools within Langeberg municipal area remained unchanged at 87.3 per cent between 2014 and 2016. 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within the Langeberg municipal area. 100.00% 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg Breede Valley 2014 83.80% 84.20% 87.20% 75.10% 82.10% 2015 86.70% 84.50% 85.60% 72.50% 82.40% 2016 86.70% 85.70% 86.90% 74.50% 84.20% Langeberg matric pass rate remained around 84.0 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, in 2016 the matric pass increased to 85.7, which could improve access for learners to higher education to broaden their opportunities. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Langeberg. It is therefore important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health. This Socio-economic Profile provides the basic statistics concerning those issues. Since this profile focusses on the public health facilities, private facilities do not appear in it. Data source: Department of Health, 2017 7 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Langeberg Municipality HEALTHCARE FACILITIES All citizens’ right to access to healthcare services are directly affected by the number and spread of facilities within their geographical reach. South Africa’s healthcare system is geared in such a way that people have to move from primary, with a referral system, to secondary and tertiary levels. 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Number of PHC Total number of Number of ART Clinics - Number of PHC Number of TB PHC facilities Number of clinics/ non-fixed Clinics - clinics/ (Fixed Clinics, district hospitals treatment sites (mobiles/ Fixed treatment sites CHCs and satelite) CDCs) 2014 7 2 6 7 14 13 2015 7 2 6 7 19 13 2016 7 2 6 7 19 13 In total, Langeberg has 13 public healthcare clinics (PHC) in 2016, which comprise of 7 fixed PHC clinics and 6 mobile PHC clinics to serve the community.