Wires Climate Change 2018: an Editorial Mike Hulme, Editor-In-Chief, University of Cambridge 18 October 2017
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The Hartwell Paper a New Direction for Climate Policy After the Crash of 2009
The Hartwell Paper A new direction for climate policy after the crash of 2009 Hartwell House, Buckinghamshire, where the co-authors conceived this paper, 2-4 February 2010 May 2010 22th April 2010 THE HARTWELL PAPER: FINAL TEXT EMBARGOED UNTIL 11 MAY 2010 0600 BST The co-authors Professor Gwyn Prins, Mackinder Programme for the Study of Long Wave Events, London School of Economics & Political Science, England Isabel Galiana, Department of Economics & GEC3, McGill University, Canada Professor Christopher Green, Department of Economics, McGill University, Canada Dr Reiner Grundmann, School of Languages & Social Sciences, Aston University, England Professor Mike Hulme, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, England Professor Atte Korhola, Department of Environmental Sciences/ Division of Environmental Change and Policy, University of Helsinki, Finland Professor Frank Laird, Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver, USA Ted Nordhaus, The Breakthrough Institute, Oakland, California, USA Professor Roger Pielke Jnr, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Colorado, USA Professor Steve Rayner, Institute for Science, Innovation and Society, University of Oxford, England Professor Daniel Sarewitz, Consortium for Science, Policy and Outcomes, Arizona State University, USA Michael Shellenberger, The Breakthrough Institute, Oakland, California, USA Professor Nico Stehr, Karl Mannheim Chair for Cultural Studies, Zeppelin University, Germany Hiroyuki Tezuka , General Manager, Climate -
Download the Program of Events
PUBLIC PROGRAMS F N O L U A Cultural Response to Climate Change September 30–December 15, 2011 All events take place in the gallery unless otherwise indicated. Sheila C. Johnson Design Center Anna-Maria and Stephen Kellen Gallery Parsons The New School for Design 2 W. 13 Street, Ground Floor Open daily 12:00–6:00 p.m. and D until 8:00 p.m. on Thursdays Admission is free www.newschool.edu/sjdc INTRODUCTION CONTENTS These days, breezy conversations by the dating play. We’ll look at climate change in PANELS & CONVERSATIONS elevator about the weather soon dip into cities across the world as well as what could doldrums of worry about climate. It’s raining happen on our own Gowanus. We’ll learn Conversation with the Curators: David Buckland and Chris Wainwright 2 again and it’s been a sodden summer. We about Asia’s mega-deltas, everyday religion What Ifs: Climate Change and Creative Agency 2 find we know what flood zone we live in. and climate change in the Himalayas, the Climate Change: Art, Activism, and Research 4 Upstate farms have been ravaged, making waterlines of Venice, and Antarctica. We’ll Under Water: Climate Change, Insurance Risk, and New York Real Estate 5 our neighborhood greenmarkets places of listen to a musical performance of this What Insects Tell Us: A Conversation between David Dunn and Hugh Raffles 5 strange melancholy. We’re anxious about our clement world and also to what insects tell us. Southern Discomforts: A Focus on Antarctica 6 tap water and perplexed by spurious choices Students are invited to participate in a video between clean energy and clean water. -
Facing Our Future
ABOUT THE COVER ART Get ready for the end of our world as we know it. How can we not despair at such a prospect? Roll up the sleeves on imagination, compassion, and science and let’s get ready for our new world. The poster for Gustavus Adolphus College’s Nobel Conference “Climate Changed” illustrates some of the solutions for living in a changed climate, as well as the attendant reality of mass migrations. Sharon Stevenson, Designer CLIMATE CHANGEDFACING OUR FUTURE 800 West College Avenue | Saint Peter, MN 56082 | gustavus.edu/nobelconference NOBEL CONFERENCE 55 | SEPTEMBER 24 & 25, 2019 | GUSTAVUS ADOLPHUS COLLEGE NOBEL CONFERENCE 55 I love being in nature, whether it is time at our family cabin WELCOin northern Minnesota, a walk in the Linnaeus Arboretum at ME Gustavus, or the trip I took this summer with my husband to camp and hike in the western national parks. Like many people, I find nature to be a source of renewal, a connection to the Earth and the Divine, and a reminder of the interconnectedness of creation. Also, like many people, I am concerned about our world. As scientific evidence of human-caused climate change is mounting, members of the Gustavus community are working to understand this crisis and its local and Alfred Nobel had a vision of global effects. On campus, several groups are working on this great challenge a better world. He believed of our time. For example, the President’s Environmental Sustainability Council that people were capable of and the student-led Environmental Action Coalition are leading campus initiatives to reduce our helping to improve society campus energy use by 25 percent in the next five years and make improvements in recycling and through knowledge, science, and waste management with the goal of becoming a zero-waste campus, with 90 percent of solid waste humanism. -
Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Study Authors (In Alphabetical Order)
United States Army War College Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Study Authors (in alphabetical order) Colonel Max Brosig, U.S. Army National Guard Colonel Parker Frawley, U.S. Army Dr. Andrew Hill, U.S. Army War College Prof. Molly Jahn, University of Wisconsin-Madison, NASA HARVEST Consortium Colonel Michael Marsicek, U.S. Air Force Dr. Aubrey Paris, Princeton University Mr. Matthew Rose, U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency and Major, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel Amar Shambaljamts, Mongolian Army Ms. Nicole Thomas, U.S. Army Scan this code to view the full document online. Executive Summary Implications of Climate Change for the U.S. Army Current conversations about climate change and its im- sult in the migration of large segments of the popula- pacts are often rancorous and politically charged. As tion. Rising seas will displace tens (if not hundreds) of an organization that is, by law, non-partisan, the Depart- millions of people, creating massive, enduring insta- ment of Defense (DoD) is precariously unprepared for bility. This migration will be most pronounced in those the national security implications of climate change-in- regions where climate vulnerability is exacerbated by duced global security challenges. This study examines weak institutions and governance and underdeveloped the implications of climate change for the United States civil society. Recent history has shown that mass hu- Army. This includes national security challenges asso- man migrations can result in increased propensity for ciated with or worsened by climate change, and orga- conflict and turmoil as new populations intermingle with nizational challenges arising from climate change-re- and compete against established populations. -
Turbulent World: an Artwork Indicating the Impact of Climate Change
Turbulent World: An Artwork Indicating the Impact of Climate Change Angus Graeme Forbes∗ Electronic Visualization Laboratory University of Illinois at Chicago Chicago, IL, USA [email protected] Abstract New World.” In their call for entries, they asked artists to think about creative responses to climate change: “What is This paper describes an artwork created in response to a ques- the role of the artist as citizen in this climate? How might we tion about the role of the artist in communicating climate reclaim our choice, our connection, our social power when change issues. The artwork, titled Turbulent World, incorpo- 1 rates turbulence and surprise as a means to visualize the po- immersed in a deteriorating environment?” Turbulent World tential instability of our culture and the environment due to was originally featured in this show, presented within the climatic changes indicated by increased worldwide tempera- Spare Change Artist Space in downtown San Francisco. It tures. The artwork makes use of a custom fluid engine that can was installed for the duration of the exhibition, which ran represent any amount of turbulence and energy. A dataset en- from late 2013 through early 2014. coding a simulation of rising surface-air temperatures over the The goal of Turbulent World is to provide insight into a next century is mapped to the turbulence system; and the visu- data model that represents current thinking by leading sci- alization is updated as the months and years flow by, based on entists about climate change. Scientific visualization often the projected temperatures at different areas of the world. -
Progress in Physical Geography
Progress in Physical Geography http://ppg.sagepub.com/ Climate change : Climate engineering through stratospheric aerosol injection Mike Hulme Progress in Physical Geography 2012 36: 694 originally published online 9 August 2012 DOI: 10.1177/0309133312456414 The online version of this article can be found at: http://ppg.sagepub.com/content/36/5/694 Published by: http://www.sagepublications.com Additional services and information for Progress in Physical Geography can be found at: Email Alerts: http://ppg.sagepub.com/cgi/alerts Subscriptions: http://ppg.sagepub.com/subscriptions Reprints: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsReprints.nav Permissions: http://www.sagepub.com/journalsPermissions.nav Citations: http://ppg.sagepub.com/content/36/5/694.refs.html >> Version of Record - Sep 19, 2012 OnlineFirst Version of Record - Aug 9, 2012 What is This? Downloaded from ppg.sagepub.com at Edinburgh University on December 16, 2012 Progress report Progress in Physical Geography 36(5) 694–705 ª The Author(s) 2012 Climate change: Climate Reprints and permission: sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav engineering through DOI: 10.1177/0309133312456414 stratospheric aerosol injection ppg.sagepub.com Mike Hulme University of East Anglia, UK Abstract In this progress report on climate change, I examine the growing literature dealing with the proposal to engineer global climate through the deliberate injection of aerosols into the stratosphere. This is just one of a wide range of technology proposals to geoengineer the climate, but one in particular which has gained the attention of Earth System science researchers and which is attracting wider public debate. I review the current status of this technology by exploring a number of different dimensions of the proposal: its history and philosophical and ethical implications; how it is framed in public discourse and perceived by citizens; its economic, political and governance characteristics; and how the proposed technology is being researched through numerical modelling and field experimentation. -
The Bottom-Up Alternative: the Mitigation Potential of Private Climate Governance After the Paris Agreement
\\jciprod01\productn\H\HLE\42-2\HLE205.txt unknown Seq: 1 30-JUL-18 10:11 THE BOTTOM-UP ALTERNATIVE: THE MITIGATION POTENTIAL OF PRIVATE CLIMATE GOVERNANCE AFTER THE PARIS AGREEMENT Maria L. Banda* ABSTRACT The 2015 Paris Agreement on Climate Change has sought to inject renewed energy into the international climate regime. As a “bottom-up” treaty, however, it allows States to set their own emissions targets. Even before the U.S. withdrawal, States Parties’ commitments fell far short of what is required to achieve the treaty’s objectives. The low level of State ambition, coupled with the lack of an international enforcement mechanism, means that pri- vate initiatives—including through courts, investor actions, and voluntary business commit- ments—will be critical, especially in the U.S., if the climate regime is to deliver on its goals. This Article seeks to contribute to both the theoretical and empirical literature on private climate governance and develop a richer understanding of bottom-up options for the imple- mentation of the Paris Agreement where State leadership is weak or lacking. First, it develops an analytical framework to evaluate the effectiveness, or the mitigation potential, of private climate governance. Second, it provides a critical assessment of three promising forms of pri- vate climate governance: (a) disclosure of company emissions and climate risks; (b) voluntary commitments to reduce emissions; and (c) carbon labeling. The Article shows empirically that these private initiatives face a number of constraints that make them unlikely to generate significant mitigation action in the near term without regulatory backing. However, other bottom-up options, such as climate litigation, can play an important role in closing the ambi- tion deficit by increasing government accountability and facilitating the de facto implementa- tion of the Paris Agreement in the U.S. -
Talking About a Revolution: Climate Change and the Media
Talking about a revolution: International climate change and the media Institute for Dec 2007 Environment and Development An IIED Briefing • Mike Shanahan The paper reviews how the media reports on, and what people think about, climate change in different parts of the world. The issue has never been higher on the media’s agenda, yet problems persist in the way it is reported. While the media is not entirely to blame, it can do much to improve its telling of climate change stories. KEY POINTS: • There are many criticisms of how the media has covered Chris Mooney was tracking Cyclone Sidr on his blog some days climate change to date, but many signs of improvement before it struck Bangladesh. But as he pointed out, there was scant too. For journalists new to the topic, climate change is international media coverage of the impending disaster. complex, making training a priority for media outlets. True, climate change’s media profile has never been higher, and • The false balance that has been a problem for years public awareness is rising fast worldwide. But in most nations, appears to be declining but a catastrophe narrative that coverage of sport, celebrities, politics, the economy and crime disempowers people remains. Those supplying the media dwarfs that of climate change. Polls show that public understanding with information – scientists, politicians and NGOs – share of the subject is still low, and public action lower still. Nor does some of the blame. The way they and the media frame the news reach all people equally. According to research by climate change will affect how audiences respond. -
Why 350? Climate Policy Must Aim to Stabilize Greenhouse Gases at the Level Necessary to Minimize the Risk of Catastrophic Outcomes
Why 350? Climate Policy Must Aim to Stabilize Greenhouse Gases at the Level Necessary to Minimize the Risk of Catastrophic Outcomes ∗ Matt Vespa INTRODUCTION After years of inaction, the possibility of substantive federal and international climate policy is finally in sight. With so much time already squandered, insufficient action today will foreclose the ability to prevent catastrophe tomorrow. If we are to avoid saddling future generations with extreme economic and environmental hardships, emerging climate policy must ensure a high probability of keeping future warming below dangerous levels. Unfortunately, proposed federal climate legislation, which aims at limiting temperature rise to 2–3°C above pre-industrial levels by stabilizing greenhouse 1 gases in the range of 450–550 parts per million (ppm) CO2eq, poses significant and unacceptable risks. The best available scientific evidence now indicates that a warming of 2°C is not “safe” and would not prevent dangerous interference with the climate system. In addition, due to a number of climactic processes that are not fully understood, equating a particular atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases with a specific temperature increase involves a significant degree of uncertainty. As the consequences of overshooting a 2°C threshold could include the displacement of millions due to sea level rise, irreversible loss of entire ecosystems, and the triggering of ∗ Matt Vespa is a senior attorney at Center for Biological Diversity’s Climate Law Institute. Mr. Vespa received his J.D. in 2002 from University of California, Berkeley, School of Law. 1. CO2eq is a unit of measurement used to compare the climate effect of all greenhouse gases to each other. -
The Colour of Risk: an Exploration of the IPCC's “Burning Embers” Diagram
King’s Research Portal Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Link to publication record in King's Research Portal Citation for published version (APA): Mahony, M., & Hulme, M. (2012). The Colour of Risk: An Exploration of the IPCC’s “Burning Embers” Diagram. Spontaneous Generations: A Journal for the History and Philosophy of Science, 6(1), 75-89. http://spontaneousgenerations.library.utoronto.ca/index.php/SpontaneousGenerations/article/view/16075 Citing this paper Please note that where the full-text provided on King's Research Portal is the Author Accepted Manuscript or Post-Print version this may differ from the final Published version. If citing, it is advised that you check and use the publisher's definitive version for pagination, volume/issue, and date of publication details. And where the final published version is provided on the Research Portal, if citing you are again advised to check the publisher's website for any subsequent corrections. General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the Research Portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognize and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights. •Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the Research Portal for the purpose of private study or research. •You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain •You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the Research Portal Take down policy If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact [email protected] providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. -
“Gaps” in Climate Change Knowledge: Do They Exist? Can They Be Filled?
COMMENTARY “Gaps” in Climate Change Knowledge: Do They Exist? Can They Be Filled? MIKE HULME Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, UK Gaps in Knowledge here are many different ways of thinking about gaps in knowledge. Engraved on the T copper face of the Lenox Globe circa 1500, one of the oldest known terrestrial globes, are the evocative words: “Here be dragons.”1 This was used by cartographers to signify dangerous or unexplored territories and drew on a long history from classical times when lack of knowledge equated to danger. This danger was illustrated visually by filling blank areas of maps with fierce-looking sea serpents, dragons, or mythological creatures to warn travelers of the risks they might face. For any user of the map, under- standing where the boundaries of knowledge lay was almost as important as knowl- edge itself. Illusory knowledge was the greatest danger of all. In our contemporary understanding of climate change, where be dragons? Although dragons are today conspicuous by their absence, it is increasingly clear that they lie all around: at the interstices of academic disciplines, beyond the boundaries of falsifiable scientific knowledge, in the sheer indeterminacy of complex systems, and in the limited powers of human agency. Today’s dragons often go unrecognized and unnamed due to the unwelcome challenges they represent to our desire for order, certainty, and control. If dragons no longer help us recognize gaps in knowledge, how do we then talk about gaps? Here are a few examples in the context of climate change. In 1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) First Assessment Report (AR1)2 1. -
The Culture Wars of Climate Change
Queensland University of Technology From the SelectedWorks of Matthew Rimmer June 1, 2015 The ulturC e Wars of Climate Change Matthew Rimmer, Australian National University College of Law Available at: https://works.bepress.com/matthew_rimmer/238/ The Culture Wars of Climate Change Matthew Rimmer* In a 2005 essay, Bill McKibben considered the role of art and culture in the scientific and political debates over climate change.1 He considered that it was a paradox that the creative communities were slow to respond to the climate crisis: Here’s the paradox: if the scientists are right, we’re living through the biggest thing that’s happened since human civilization emerged. One species, ours, has by itself in the course of a couple of generations managed to powerfully raise the temperature of an entire planet, to knock its most basic systems out of kilter. But oddly, though we know about it, we don’t know about it. It hasn’t registered in our gut; it isn’t part of our culture. Where are the books? The poems? The plays? The goddamn operas? Compare it to, say, the horror of AIDS in the last two decades, which has produced a staggering outpouring of art that, in turn, has had real political effect. I mean, when people someday look back on our moment, the single most significant item will doubtless be the sudden spiking temperature. But they’ll have a hell of a time figuring out what it meant to us.2 McKibben emphasized that earth had changed dramatically in the face of climate change: ‘That famous picture of the earth from outer space that Apollo beamed back in the late 1960s –already that’s not the world we inhabit; its poles are melting, its oceans rising.’3 He * Dr Matthew Rimmer (BA/LLB ANU, Phd UNSW) is an Australian Research Council Future Fellow; an Associate Professor at the ANU College of Law; and an Associate Director of the Australian Centre for Intellectual Property in Agriculture (ACIPA).