Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C

HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted for the Honolulu Star-Advertiser by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. from July 6 through July 11, 2018. A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they vote regularly in state elections.

Those interviewed were selected randomly from a telephone-matched Hawaii voter registration list that included both land line and cell phone numbers. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than ± 3.5 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or age grouping.

1 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ______? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ______?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

David Ige 41% 21% 37% 1%

Colleen Hanabusa 37% 31% 31% 1%

Andria Tupola 26% 4% 34% 36%

John Carroll 18% 17% 27% 38%

Raymond L’Heureux 3% 2% 14% 81%

2 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

*** 494 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS *** (Margin for error = ± 4.5%)

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ______? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ______?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

David Ige 49% 17% 34% -

Colleen Hanabusa 44% 22% 33% 1%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Democratic primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

STATE MEN WOMEN OAHU NEIGHBOR ISLANDS

David Ige 44% 55% 37% 43% 45% Colleen Hanabusa 40% 33% 45% 42% 36% Undecided (NOT READ) 16% 12% 18% 15% 19%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Democratic primary for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

STATE MEN WOMEN OAHU NEIGHBOR ISLANDS

Josh Green 34% 27% 38% 31% 41% Jill Tokuda 14% 11% 16% 16% 10% Bernard Carvalho 14% 15% 13% 13% 17% Kim Coco Iwamoto 10% 14% 7% 13% 4% Will Espero 6% 7% 6% 5% 7% Undecided (NOT READ) 22% 26% 20% 22% 21%

3 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

*** 143 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS *** (Margin for error = ± 8.4%)

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ______? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ______?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

Andria Tupola 39% 2% 31% 28%

John Carroll 23% 13% 30% 34%

Raymond L’Heureux 9% 4% 13% 74%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Republican primary for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

Andria Tupola 41% John Carroll 28% Raymond L’Heureux 8% Undecided (NOT READ) 23%

4 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

*** 1ST CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT - 244 LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS *** (Margin for error = ± 6.4%)

NAME RECOGNITION

Do you recognize the name ______? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ______?

RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE RECOGNIZE DON'T FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL RECOGNIZE

Ed Case 54% 5% 32% 9%

Douglas Chin 39% 14% 30% 17%

Donna Mercado Kim 30% 23% 41% 6%

Kaniela Ing 17% 11% 40% 32%

Ernie Martin 16% 14% 39% 31%

Beth Fukumoto 9% 5% 45% 41%

QUESTION: If the 2018 Democratic primary for Hawaii’s First District Congressional seat were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: (ORDER ROTATED)

Ed Case 36% Douglas Chin 27% Donna Mercado Kim 14% Kaniela Ing 6% Ernie Martin 2% Beth Fukumoto 1% Undecided (NOT READ) 14%

5 Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy – July 2018 Hawaii Poll

*** ALL VOTERS ***

QUESTION: If the 2018 general election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were David Ige, the Democrat, and Andria Tupola, the Republican?