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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova

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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Moldova May 8, 2019 – June 10, 2019 Detailed Methodology • The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by Magenta Consulting. • Data was collected throughout Moldova (with the exception of Transnistria) between May 8, 2019 and June 10, 2019 through face-to-face interviews in respondents’ homes. • The main sample consisted of 1,243 permanent residents of Moldova aged 18 and older and eligible to vote and is representative of the general population by age, gender, region and settlement size. 300 booster interviews were conducted in Chisinau. 617 Chisinau residents were interviewed in total.* • Sampling frame: Moldova Statistical Databank. Weighting: There are 2 weight coefficients calculated. Data of the main sample was weighted for 11 regional groups, urban/rural and gender. The data of Chisinau was weighted separately. • A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection procedures. • Stage one: All districts of Moldova are grouped into 11 groups; all regions (with the exception of Transnistria) were surveyed. • Stage two: Selection of the settlements (cities and villages). • Settlements were selected at random. • The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the particular type of settlement in each region. • Stage three: Primary sampling units were described. • The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent. • The response rate was 59 percent. • Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding. • The survey was funded by the United States Agency for International Development. *Post-stratification weighting brings the Chisinau sample to 603 respondents. 2 Mood of the Country Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer 90% 83% 82% 79% 78% 80% 73% 74% 73% 71% 69% 68% 68% 70% 66% 61% 58% 57% 58% 62% 60% 55% 54% 54% 53% 51% 47% 45% 50% 51% 47% 42% 40% 38% 38% 41% 40% 42% 41% 32% 37% 26% 30% 34% 33% 32% 33% 30% 31% 27% 27% 20% 19% 24% 24% 23% 22% 21% 13% 11% 17% 9% 10% 10% 15% 15% 16% 14% 14% 13% 14% 5% 5% 12% 11% 11% 12% 1% 9% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 6% 6% 7% 0% 5% 5% 5% Apr-06 Apr-08 Jan-12 Oct-15 Oct-17 Oct-18 Jun-09 Jun-14 Jun-18 Jun-19 Sep-10 Sep-14 Sep-16 Mar-04 Mar-07 Mar-16 Mar-17 Feb-11 Feb-10 Feb-18 Aug-11 Dec-11 Dec-18 Nov-04 Nov-08 Nov-09 May-10 *In December 2014, news broke of a major banking scandal involving nearly $1 billion missing from three state banks. The scandal is often referred to as “the stolen billion.” **In 2016, Moldova conducted the first popular election of the president since 1996. Igor Dodon was elected in the second round contest on November 13, 2016. 4 Generally speaking, do you think that things in Moldova are going in the right direction or wrong direction? Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer Nationwide 23% 68% 9% Chisinau 22% 70% 8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 5 Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer Nationwide 6% 45% 7% 40% 2% Chisinau 5% 51% 3% 37% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 6 Are you satisfied with the pace of change in Moldova today? I am satisfied; change is happening at the right pace I am dissatisfied; change is not happening fast enough I am dissatisfied; change is happening too fast No change is taking place Don’t know/No answer June 2019 6% 45% 7% 40% 2% December 2018 10% 46% 10% 33% 1% October 2018 7% 49% 7% 35% 2% June 2018 7% 52% 7% 32% 2% February 2018 5% 44% 6% 42% 2% October 2017 4% 48% 7% 39% 2% March 2017 10% 45% 9% 33% 3% September 2016 3% 38% 7% 49% 3% March 2016 4% 31% 15% 46% 4% October 2015 1% 30% 15% 50% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 7 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer Nationwide 1% 18% 35% 25% 19% 3% Chisinau 1% 14% 37% 31% 15% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 8 Over the last 12 months, how has the economic situation in Moldova changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer June 2019 1% 18% 35% 25% 19% 3% December 2018 3% 20% 40% 21% 14% 2% October 2018 2% 18% 41% 23% 13% 4% June 2018 1% 18% 45% 22% 10% 4% February 2018 1% 16% 42% 24% 14% 3% October 2017 15% 45% 21% 16% 3% March 2017 1% 16% 35% 29% 15% 3% September 2016 1% 6% 25% 30% 35% 3% March 2016 1% 6% 23% 32% 36% 2% October 2015 4% 16% 34% 42% 4% September 2014 6% 22% 24% 21% 19% 7% June 2014 4% 20% 33% 23% 14% 6% January 2012 2% 13% 31% 28% 22% 4% December 2011 2% 15% 20% 31% 29% 3% August 2011 5% 23% 34% 17% 18% 3% February 2011 3% 25% 27% 22% 18% 5% September 2010 5% 18% 28% 26% 17% 6% May 2010 2% 14% 30% 30% 19% 5% February 2010 2% 11% 24% 38% 21% 4% November 2009 2% 8% 34% 39% 10% 7% June 2009 1% 9% 22% 42% 20% 5% November 2008 2% 20% 30% 28% 15% 5% April 2008 2% 13% 30% 29% 20% 6% March 2007 4% 24% 32% 27% 10% 4% April 2006 3% 24% 36% 27% 5% 5% November 2004 5% 26% 37% 22% 6% 4% March 2004 3% 23% 37% 25% 9% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 9 Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer Nationwide 1% 12% 52% 22% 12% 1% Chisinau 1% 12% 54% 24% 8% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 10 Over the last 12 months, how has the financial situation of your household changed? Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the same Worsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer June 2019 1% 12% 52% 22% 12% 1% December 2018 2% 15% 51% 21% 9% 1% October 2018 1% 13% 54% 23% 9% June 2018 1% 16% 56% 17% 8% 2% February 2018 1% 12% 53% 23% 9% 2% October 2017 12% 56% 19% 12% 1% March 2017 1% 11% 53% 23% 10% 2% September 2016 1% 7% 42% 24% 23% 2% March 2016 1% 5% 32% 33% 27% 2% October 2015 4% 24% 33% 35% 4% September 2014 4% 21% 38% 19% 15% 3% June 2014 2% 18% 45% 24% 9% 2% Janauary 2012 2% 10% 41% 29% 15% 3% December 2011 1% 13% 39% 28% 17% 2% August 2011 4% 18% 43% 18% 14% 3% February 2011 1% 16% 34% 31% 15% 3% September 2010 4% 14% 36% 29% 14% 4% May 2010 1% 11% 42% 29% 15% 2% February 2010 1% 8% 36% 36% 16% 4% November 2009 1% 7% 46% 34% 9% 3% June 2009 1% 9% 32% 36% 17% 5% November 2008 1% 15% 39% 27% 14% 4% April 2008 2% 11% 37% 25% 16% 9% March 2007 3% 19% 41% 23% 9% 5% April 2006 2% 25% 44% 22% 5% 1% November 2004 4% 23% 47% 20% 5% 1% March 2004 2% 16% 48% 22% 10% 1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 11 What are the most important problems that Moldova is facing at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 2 percent of respondents) Low income/Pensions 37% Jobs/Unemployment 27% High prices/Inflation 20% Corruption 20% Emigration 19% Bad government 13% Poverty 11% Roads 10% Economic crisis 8% Conflicts between politicians 6% Healthcare 6% Citizen indifference 5% Instability in the country 4% Bad politicians 3% Housing problems 3% Rural communities are forgotten 2% Education 2% Crime 2% Don't know/No answer 4% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 12 What are the most important problems facing your village/town at the moment? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 2 percent of respondents) Roads 39% Jobs/Unemployment 18% Cleanliness 10% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 9% Water supply 8% Bad mayor 7% Emigration 7% Low income/Pensions 7% Lack of public transport 6% Gas supply 6% High prices/Inflation 5% Poor infrastructure 5% Insufficient street lighting 5% Lack of cultural centers/activities 4% Citizen indifference 3% Housing problems 3% Healthcare system 3% Poor conditions in schools/kindergartens 3% Corruption 3% Don't know/No answer 13% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 13 What are the most important problems facing you and your household? (Respondents permitted to supply three spontaneous answers; problems mentioned by at least 2 percent of respondents) Low income/Financial problems 38% Jobs/Unemployment 10% Health problems 9% Emigration 7% House needs to be repaired 4% Lack of sanitation or sewerage 3% Water supply 3% Gas supply 3% Expensive utilities/Housing problems 3% High prices/Inflation 3% Poor social assistance 2% Expensive medicines 2% Loneliness 2% Don't know/No answer 29% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 14 How satisfied are you with the way democracy is developing in Moldova? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know/No answer Nationwide 4% 22% 29% 40% 5% Chisinau 3% 23% 32% 39% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 15 Which of these statements is closest to your own point of view? Our society needs serious reforms (structural and systemic change) Our society needs gradual reforms which preserve the existing system Our society has to be protected from the forces who want to change the current order Don't know/No answer Nationwide 68% 21% 9% 2% Chisinau 74% 19% 6%1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 16 Views on Corruption How big of a problem is corruption
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    barometrul socio-politic Republica Moldova decembrie 2019 raport elaborat de: Doru Petruţi – [email protected] www.imas.md metodologie eşanonare: stra*ficat, probabilist, tri-stadial; volum eşan%on: 1090 respondenţi, 18 ani şi peste; criterii de straficare: 12 unităţi administra*v-teritoriale (UAT). mediu rezidenţial (urban-rural). mărimea localităţilor urbane (2 *puri). *pul localităţilor rurale (centru de comună/sat aparţinător); stadii de randomizare: localitatea (90 localităţi selectate), gospodăria, persoana; reprezenta%vitatea: eşan*onul este reprezenta*v pentru populaţia adultă a Republicii Moldova, exclusiv Transnistria; eroarea maximă de eşan*onare este de ±3.0%; interviurile: au fost realizate la domiciliile respondenţilor de către 48 operatori din reţeaua [imas], în limbile română şi rusă; perioada de culegere a datelor: 02 – 14 decembrie 2019; comanditar sondaj: Public Media Grup structură eşan%on …profil socio-demografic variabila grup număr de persoane procent masculin 494 45.3% gen feminin 596 54.7% 18-25 ani 93 8.5% 26-40 ani 253 23.2% vârsta 41-55 ani 261 23.9% 56-70 ani 374 34.3% peste 71 ani 109 10.1% studii medii incomplete 139 12.8% șc. generală sau profesională 527 48.3% educaţie liceu/șc. postliceală/colegiu 173 15.9% studii superioare 247 22.7% nu răspunde 4 0.3% încadrat în câmpul muncii 374 34.3% temporar nu lucrează 143 13.1% ocupaţie nu lucrează 571 52.4% nu răspunde 2 0.2% moldovean/român 860 78.9% naţionalitate altele (rus, ucrainean etc.) 228 20.9% nu răspunde 2 0.2% municipii 275 25.2% mediu rezidenţă alte orașe 234 21.5% sate 581 53.3% total 1090 100.0% *Datele nu au fost ponderate.
  • Local Elections in the Republic of Moldova (20 October 2019)

    Local Elections in the Republic of Moldova (20 October 2019)

    STATUTORY FORUM Report CG-FORUM(2020)01-04 28 September 2020 Local elections in the Republic of Moldova (20 October 2019) Committee on the Honouring of Obligations and Commitments by Member States of the European Charter of Local Self-Government (Monitoring Committee) Rapporteur:1 Vladimir PREBILIC, Slovenia (L, SOC/G/PD) Recommendation 443 (2020).................................................................................................................. 3 Explanatory memorandum ...................................................................................................................... 5 Summary Following an invitation of the authorities of the Republic of Moldova, the Congress carried out a mission to observe the local elections in the country on 20 October 2019. Prior to the main mission, a reduced Congress Delegation visited Chisinau from 2 to 4 October to carry out a pre-electoral visit. The Delegation to observe the 20 October local elections was deployed from 17 to 21 October 2019 and involved 24 observers from 21 European countries. On the Election Day, the Delegation was divided into eleven teams, which visited some 200 polling stations across the country and observed the voting as well as the counting process. Technically, the elections were well prepared and administered by an overall experienced electoral staff at the level of the polling stations. The Congress welcomes some of the efforts made by the Moldovan authorities to improve the legal framework for elections, in particular amendments aiming at a better regulation of financing of political parties and regulation of campaign activities. However, the changes were introduced close to the Election Day and implemented in a very tight timeframe, increasing pressure on electoral bodies and generating uncertainty among candidates and citizens. Despite some positive changes, the Congress expresses its concern about the overly burdensome registration requirements for independent candidates compared to the candidates from political parties.