Poll of Academic Economists

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Poll of academic economists The Economist polled 100 academic economists on the Bush record and the economic plans of Mr Bush and Mr Kerry; 56 responded. However, totals do not all add to 56 as not all respondents answered each question. THE BUSH RECORD 1. Please rate the state of the US economy. (1=very bad, 5=very good) 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 0 11 27 17 1 % 0% 20% 48% 30% 2% 2. How much credit/blame does the Bush administration bear for the state of the economy? (1=none, 5=all) 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 5 13 18 18 2 % 9% 23% 32% 32% 4% 3. Please rate the following Bush policies. (1=very bad, 5=very good) The tax cuts 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 21 19 6 7 3 % 38% 34% 11% 13% 5% No Child Left Behind education reform 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 8 16 17 11 1 % 14% 29% 30% 20% 2% Medicare prescription drug benefit 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 17 21 13 2 0 % 30% 38% 23% 4% 0% Trade Policy 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 6 24 17 8 0 % 11% 43% 30% 14% 0% 4. Overall, please grade Mr Bush's economic policies in his first term. (1=very bad, 5=very good) 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 15 26 10 3 2 % 27% 46% 18% 5% 4% THE FUTURE 5. Please rate the following challenges facing the US economy. (1=a crisis, 5=not a problem) The budget deficit 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 10 31 11 4 0 % 18% 55% 20% 7% 0% The current-account deficit 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 1 20 15 15 5 % 2% 36% 27% 27% 9% Outsourcing of jobs overseas 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 1 2 5 20 28 % 2% 4% 9% 36% 50% Baby-boom retirement 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 7 31 9 6 3 % 13% 55% 16% 11% 5% Health-care costs 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 12 28 8 7 1 % 21% 50% 14% 13% 2% 6. Please rate the following components of Mr Bush's campaign agenda. (1=very bad, 5=very good) Make the tax cuts permanent 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 26 15 6 3 5 % 46% 27% 11% 5% 9% Reform social security by creating personal retirement accounts 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 11 10 14 16 4 % 20% 18% 25% 29% 7% Reform the tax code to make it "fairer, simpler and more pro-growth" 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 7 3 21 10 14 % 13% 5% 38% 18% 25% Overall, please rate Mr Bush's economic plan 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 13 19 14 6 3 % 23% 34% 25% 11% 5% 7. Please rate the following components of Mr Kerry's campaign agenda. (1=very bad, 5=very good) Roll back tax cuts on incomes>$200,000 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 4 6 8 22 16 % 7% 11% 14% 39% 29% Remove tax deferral on profits of foreign subsidiaries of US firms 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 6 13 17 13 5 % 11% 23% 30% 23% 9% Healthcare policy (provide government-funded catastrophic healthcare coverage and expand Medicaid/SCHIPS) 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 3 10 15 18 9 % 5% 18% 27% 32% 16% Trade policy 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 10 23 17 4 0 % 18% 41% 30% 7% 0% Overall, please rate Mr Kerry's economic plan 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 4 11 16 20 3 % 7% 20% 29% 36% 5% 8. Which candidate has the better policies on the following issues: Mr Bush Mr Kerry Promoting fiscal discipline SUM 10 44 % 18% 79% Preparing for baby-boomers' retirement SUM 15 34 % 27% 61% Controlling health-care costs SUM 14 33 % 25% 59% Free trade and globalisation SUM 27 14 % 48% 25% Creating jobs SUM 18 24 % 32% 43% Energy policy SUM 9 41 % 16% 73% Boosting Economic Growth SUM 17 23 % 30% 41% 9. How important is this election for the course of American economic policy? (1=not important, 5=extremely important) 1 2 3 4 5 SUM 2 10 13 17 13 % 7% 20% 29% 36% 5% 10. If you had a chance to work in a policy job in Washington, would you take it? yes no SUM 21 33 % 38% 59% 11. For whom would you rather work? Mr Bush Mr Kerry SUM 3 17 % 14% 81%.

Copy Link

Recommended publications

API-119: Advanced Macroeconomics for the Open Economy I, Fall 2020
Sep 1, 2020 API-119: Advanced Macroeconomics for the Open Economy I, Fall 2020 Harvard Kennedy School Course Syllabus: prospectus, outline/schedule and readings Staff: Professor: Jeffrey Frankel [email protected] Faculty Assistant: Minoo Ghoreishi [email protected] Teaching Fellow: Can Soylu Course Assistants: Julio Flores, Alberto Huitron & Yi Yang. Email address to send all questions for the teaching team: [email protected]. Times: Lectures: Tuesdays and Thursdays, 10:30-11:45 a.m. EST.1 Review Sessions: Tuesdays, 12:30-1:30 pm; Fridays, 1:30-2:30 pm EST.2 Final exam: Friday, Dec. 11, 8:00-11:00 am EST. Prospectus Course Description: This course is the first in the two-course sequence on Macroeconomic Policy in the MPA/ID program. It particularly emphasiZes the international dimension. The general perspective is that of developing countries and other small open economies, defined as those for whom world income, world inflation and world interest rates can be taken as given, and possibly the terms of trade as well. The focus is on monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policy, and on the determination of the current account balance, national income, and inflation. Models of devaluation include one that focuses on the price of internationally traded goods relative to non-traded goods. A theme is the implications of increased integration of global financial markets. Another is countries’ choice of monetary regime, especially the degree of exchange rate flexibility. Applications include Emerging Market crises and problems of commodity-exporting countries. (Such topics as exchange rate overshooting, speculative attacks, portfolio diversification and debt crises will be covered in the first half of Macro II in February-March.) Nature of the approach: The course is largely built around analytical models.
[Show full text]
Economist Series, GS-0110 TS-54 December 1964, TS-45 April 1963
Economist Series, GS-0110 TS-54 December 1964, TS-45 April 1963 Position Classification Standard for Economist Series, GS-0110 Table of Contents SERIES DEFINITION.................................................................................................................................... 2 GENERAL STATEMENT.............................................................................................................................. 2 SPECIALIZATION AND TITLING PATTERN .............................................................................................. 5 SUPERVISORY POSITIONS...................................................................................................................... 13 FUNCTIONAL PATTERNS AND GRADE-LEVEL DISTINCTIONS .......................................................... 13 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-05..................................................................................................................... 15 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-07..................................................................................................................... 16 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-09..................................................................................................................... 17 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-11..................................................................................................................... 18 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-12..................................................................................................................... 20 ECONOMIST, GS-0110-13....................................................................................................................
[Show full text]
Tomasz Koźluk Counsellor to the OECD Chief Economist
Tomasz Koźluk Counsellor to the OECD Chief Economist Contact information [email protected] Education PhD, European University Institute, Florence, 2007 MA, International Economics, Sussex University, 2002 MA, Economics Department, Warsaw University, 2002 Professional experience 2021-present Counsellor to the OECD Chief Economist 2012-2017 Senior Economist, Head of Green Growth Workstream, joint Economics Department & Environment Directorate, OECD Chair of Research Committee on Metrics and Indicators, Green Growth, Green Growth Knowledge Platform 2007-2011 Economist, Economics Department , OECD Structural Policy Analysis Division, Macroeconomic Analysis Division and Country Studies Branch 2004-2007 Researcher, Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition; European Central Bank (Financial Research); European Investment Bank (Economic and Financial Studies); CASE; Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI Selected publications and working papers Empirical projects linking environmental policies and economic outcomes (http://oe.cd/eps) "Environmental policies and productivity growth: Evidence across industries and firms," (2017), Journal of Environmental Economics and Management vol. 81, (with V. Zipperer and S. Albrizio) “Environmental Policies and Productivity Growth – A Critical Review of Empirical Findings”, (2014), OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2014(1), (with V. Zipperer) “Effects of vintage-differentiated environmental regulations - evidence from survival analysis of coal-fired power plants”,
[Show full text]
Course Syllabus ECN101G
Course Syllabus ECN101G - Introduction to Economics Number of ECTS credits: 6 Time and Place: Tuesday, 10:00-11:30 at VeCo 3 Thursday, 10:00-11:30 at VeCo 3 Contact Details for Professor Name of Professor: Abdel. Bitat, Assistant Professor E-mail: [email protected] Office hours: Monday, 15:00-16:00 and Friday, 15:00-16:00 (Students who are unable to come during these hours are encouraged to make an appointment.) Office Location: -1.63C CONTENT OVERVIEW Syllabus Section Page Course Prerequisites and Course Description 2 Course Learning Objectives 2 Overview Table: Link between MLO, CLO, Teaching Methods, 3-4 Assignments and Feedback Main Course Material 5 Workload Calculation for this Course 6 Course Assessment: Assignments Overview and Grading Scale 7 Description of Assignments, Activities and Deadlines 8 Rubrics: Transparent Criteria for Assessment 11 Policies for Attendance, Later Work, Academic Honesty, Turnitin 12 Course Schedule – Overview Table 13 Detailed Session-by-Session Description of Course 14 Course Prerequisites (if any) There are no pre-requisites for the course. However, since economics is mathematically intensive, it is worth reviewing secondary school mathematics for a good mastering of the course. A great source which starts with the basics and is available at the VUB library is Simon, C., & Blume, L. (1994). Mathematics for economists. New York: Norton. Course Description The course illustrates the way in which economists view the world. You will learn about basic tools of micro- and macroeconomic analysis and, by applying them, you will understand the behavior of households, firms and government. Problems include: trade and specialization; the operation of markets; industrial structure and economic welfare; the determination of aggregate output and price level; fiscal and monetary policy and foreign exchange rates.
[Show full text]
The Third Great Wave
SPECIAL REPORT THE WORLD ECONOMY October 4th 2014 The third great wave 20141004_SR_WorldEcon.indd 1 23/09/2014 14:30 SPECIAL REPORT THE WORLD ECONOMY The third great wave The first two industrial revolutions inflicted plenty of pain but ultimately benefited everyone. The digital one may prove far more divisive, argues Ryan Avent MOST PEOPLE ARE discomfited by radical change, and often for good CONTENTS reason. Both the first Industrial Revolution, starting in the late 18th cen- 3 Productivity tury, and the second one, around 100 years later, had their victims who Technology isn’t lost their jobs to Cartwright’s power loom and later to Edison’s electric working lighting, Benz’s horseless carriage and countless other inventions that changed the world. But those inventions also immeasurably improved 5 The privileged few many people’s lives, sweeping away old economic structures and trans- To those that have forming society. They created new economic opportunity on a mass shall be given scale, with plenty ofnew workto replace the old. 6 Housing A third great wave of invention and economic disruption, set off by Home economics advances in computing and information and communication technol- ogy (ICT) in the late 20th century, promises to deliver a similar mixture of 8 Emerging economies social stress and economic transformation. It is driven by a handful of Arrested development technologies—including machine intelligence, the ubiquitous web and 10 New opportunities advanced robotics—capable ofdeliveringmany remarkable innovations: Silver lining unmanned vehicles; pilotless drones; machines that can instantly trans- late hundreds of languages; mobile technology that eliminates the dis- 12 Easing the transition tance between doctorand patient, teacherand student.
[Show full text]
Hyperinflation in Venezuela
POLICY BRIEF recovery can be possible without first stabilizing the explo- 19-13 Hyperinflation sive price level. Doing so will require changing the country’s fiscal and monetary regimes. in Venezuela: A Since late 2018, authorities have been trying to control the price spiral by cutting back on fiscal expenditures, contracting Stabilization domestic credit, and implementing new exchange rate poli- cies. As a result, inflation initially receded from its extreme Handbook levels, albeit to a very high and potentially unstable 30 percent a month. But independent estimates suggest that prices went Gonzalo Huertas out of control again in mid-July 2019, reaching weekly rates September 2019 of 10 percent, placing the economy back in hyperinflation territory. Instability was also reflected in the premium on Gonzalo Huertas was research analyst at the Peterson Institute foreign currency in the black market, which also increased for International Economics. He worked with C. Fred Bergsten in July after a period of relative calm in previous months. Senior Fellow Olivier Blanchard on macroeconomic theory This Policy Brief describes a feasible stabilization plan and policy. Before joining the Institute, Huertas worked as a researcher at Harvard University for President Emeritus and for Venezuela’s extreme inflation. It places the country’s Charles W. Eliot Professor Lawrence H. Summers, producing problems in context by outlining the economics behind work on fiscal policy, and for Minos A. Zombanakis Professor Carmen Reinhart, focusing on exchange rate interventions. hyperinflations: how they develop, how they disrupt the normal functioning of economies, and how other countries Author’s Note: I am grateful to Adam Posen, Olivier Blanchard, across history have designed policies to overcome them.
[Show full text]
Nine Lives of Neoliberalism
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) Book — Published Version Nine Lives of Neoliberalism Provided in Cooperation with: WZB Berlin Social Science Center Suggested Citation: Plehwe, Dieter (Ed.); Slobodian, Quinn (Ed.); Mirowski, Philip (Ed.) (2020) : Nine Lives of Neoliberalism, ISBN 978-1-78873-255-0, Verso, London, New York, NY, https://www.versobooks.com/books/3075-nine-lives-of-neoliberalism This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/215796 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative
[Show full text]
THE NEOLIBERAL THEORY of SOCIETY Simon Clarke
THE NEOLIBERAL THEORY OF SOCIETY Simon Clarke The ideological foundations of neo-liberalism Neoliberalism presents itself as a doctrine based on the inexorable truths of modern economics. However, despite its scientific trappings, modern economics is not a scientific discipline but the rigorous elaboration of a very specific social theory, which has become so deeply embedded in western thought as to have established itself as no more than common sense, despite the fact that its fundamental assumptions are patently absurd. The foundations of modern economics, and of the ideology of neoliberalism, go back to Adam Smith and his great work, The Wealth of Nations. Over the past two centuries Smith’s arguments have been formalised and developed with greater analytical rigour, but the fundamental assumptions underpinning neoliberalism remain those proposed by Adam Smith. Adam Smith wrote The Wealth of Nations as a critique of the corrupt and self-aggrandising mercantilist state, which drew its revenues from taxing trade and licensing monopolies, which it sought to protect by maintaining an expensive military apparatus and waging costly wars. The theories which supported the state conceived of exchange as a ‘zero-sum game’, in which one party’s gain was the other party’s loss, so the maximum benefit from exchange was to be extracted by force and fraud. The fundamental idea of Smith’s critique was that the ‘wealth of the nation’ derived not from the accumulation of wealth by the state, at the expense of its citizens and foreign powers, but from the development of the division of labour. The division of labour developed as a result of the initiative and enterprise of private individuals and would develop the more rapidly the more such individuals were free to apply their enterprise and initiative and to reap the corresponding rewards.
[Show full text]
Contract Law and the Austrian School of Economics
Fordham Law Review Volume 54 Issue 4 Article 9 1986 Contract Law and the Austrian School of Economics Christopher T. Wonnell Follow this and additional works at: https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flr Part of the Law Commons Recommended Citation Christopher T. Wonnell, Contract Law and the Austrian School of Economics, 54 Fordham L. Rev. 507 (1986). Available at: https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flr/vol54/iss4/9 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by FLASH: The Fordham Law Archive of Scholarship and History. It has been accepted for inclusion in Fordham Law Review by an authorized editor of FLASH: The Fordham Law Archive of Scholarship and History. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Contract Law and the Austrian School of Economics Cover Page Footnote I would like to express my appreciation to the following individuals whose comments on early drafts of this Article were very helpful: Larry Alexander, Randy Barnett, Eleanor Blais, Don Dripps, Paul Horton and Bernard Siegan. Errors are of course my responsibility. This article is available in Fordham Law Review: https://ir.lawnet.fordham.edu/flr/vol54/iss4/9 CONTRACT LAW AND THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS CHRISTOPHER T. WONNELL* INTRODUCTION B ECAUSE both contract law and economic theory are concerned in large part with marketplace phenomena,1 it is important to consider what effects developments in economic thought may have on contract law. One such development is the revival of interest in the Austrian school of economics2 on the part of the economics profession.3 The basic tenets of the Austrian tradition, articulated in more detail below," in- lude an emphasis on the division of knowledge among market partici- pants,5 a theory of competition and of the market as a continuing process of learning and adaptation rather than an equilibrium state6 and a corn- * Associate Professor of Law, University of San Diego School of Law; B.A.
[Show full text]
The Economist As Plumber
The Economist as Plumber Esther Duﬂo ∗ 23 January 2017 Abstract As economists increasingly help governments design new policies and regulations, they take on an added responsibility to engage with the details of policy making and, in doing so, to adopt the mindset of a plumber. Plumbers try to predict as well as possible what may work in the real world, mindful that tinkering and adjusting will be necessary since our models gives us very little theoretical guidance on what (and how) details will matter. This essay argues that economists should seriously engage with plumbing, in the interest of both society and our discipline. Economists are increasingly getting the opportunity to help governments around the world design new policies and regulations. This gives them a responsibility to get the big picture, or the broad design, right. But in addition, as these designs actually get implemented in the world, this gives them the responsibility to focus on many details about which their models and theories do not give much guidance. There are two reasons for this need to attend to details. First, it turns out that policy makers rarely have the time or inclination to focus on them, and will tend to decide on how to address them based on hunches, without much regard for evidence. Figuring all of this out is therefore not something that economists can just leave to policy makers after delivering their report: if they are taking on the challenge to inﬂuence the real world, not only do they need to give general prescriptions, they must engage with the details.
[Show full text]
David Hume Foundations of the Classical School of Economics
Economic Insights FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF DALLAS VOLUME 8, NUMBER 1 David Hume Foundations of the Classical School of Economics Adam Smith is the founder of the nomic essays] are all clearly written classical school of economics, but eco- and often contain an excellent sum- nomic theorizing predates Smith. The mary and synthesis of the ideas of his philosophic foundations of classical eco- predecessors. In that respect, how- nomics are found in the work of the ever, Cantillon’s Essai sur la nature Scottish Enlightenment thinkers of the du commerce en général, published early to mid-18th century, centered in 1755, but written over twenty years David Hume is primarily known as around the University of Edinburgh. previously, is superior. a philosopher and chronicler of English Notable among these great thinkers and writers is David Hume. It is impossible to know whether history. Less well known is his work on eco- Hume was born in Edinburgh, Smith was more influenced by Can- nomic theory and several political econ- Scotland, on May 7, 1711. The extent to tillon’s book or by personal discussions which Hume influenced Smith, his close with Hume. Schumpeter (1954, 124) omy issues, some of which remain salient friend, has to be inferred from their argues that Hume did influence Smith, today. Studying his economic work respective writings, but the warmth and and Rothbard (1995, 430) suggests that depth of their relationship is incon- Hume was one of Smith’s mentors. enables us to see how he reshaped John testable. Smith said of Hume: O’Brien (1975) gives Hume a large role Locke’s quantity theory of money and how in the development of classical econom- Upon the whole, I have always con- ic thought because of his participation he influenced the great Adam Smith, sidered him, both in his lifetime and in spreading natural law philosophy.
[Show full text]
The Economist Intelligence Unit's Quality-Of-Life Index
THE WORLD IN 2OO5 Quality-of-life index 1 The Economist Intelligence Unit’s quality-of-life index The Economist Intelligence Unit has developed a new Life-satisfaction surveys “quality of life” index based on a unique methodol- Our starting point for a methodologically improved ogy that links the results of subjective life-satisfaction and more comprehensive measure of quality of life is surveys to the objective determinants of quality of life subjective life-satisfaction surveys (surveys of life satis- across countries. The index has been calculated for 111 faction, as opposed to surveys of the related concept of countries for 2005. This note explains the methodology happiness, are preferred for a number of reasons). These and gives the complete country ranking. surveys ask people the simple question of how satisfi ed they are with their lives in general. A typical question Quality-of-life indices on the four-point scale used in the eu’s Eurobarometer It has long been accepted that material wellbeing, as studies is, “On the whole are you very satisfi ed, fairly measured by gdp per person, cannot alone explain the satisfi ed, not very satisfi ed, or not at all satisfi ed with broader quality of life in a country. One strand of the the life you lead?” literature has tried to adjust gdp by quantifying facets The results of the surveys have been attracting that are omitted by the gdp measure—various non- growing interest in recent years. Despite a range of early market activities and social ills such as environmental criticisms (cultural non-comparability and the effect of pollution.
[Show full text]