WWW.INDIANEXPRESS.COM THE INDIAN EXPRESS,THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 12, 2020 @ieExplained #ExpressExplained DECISION EXPLAINED 2020 If there are questions of current or contemporary relevance that you 18 E BIHAR would like explained, please write to
[email protected] LOKNITI-CSDS POST-POLL ANALYSIS FOR THE INDIAN EXPRESS Decoding the close Bihar verdict Held against the backdrop of the pandemic, the Bihar contest was also one of the closest in recent times. In this post-poll survey, Lokniti-CSDS unpacks the many aspects of NDA’s narrow victory over the Mahagathbandhan — caste & community, confidence in Modi, and women voting more for NDA However, to be able to make a bid for power, SHREYAS SARDESAI, the MGB needed an MY+. The Dalit vote came SANDEEP SHASTRI, CHART 1: LAST-MINUTE DECISIONS AND VOTING TRENDS CHART 2: VOTE TRANSFER BETWEEN JDU AND BJP CHART 3: VOTE TRANSFER to the MGB in the first two phases,and the al- SANJAY KUMAR liance with the Communist parties was a cru- Phase 1 saw the most last-minute decision-making; NDA's biggest gains Voted Voted Voted Voted BETWEEN RJD AND CONGRESS & SUHAS PALSHIKAR cial factor. In the last phase, Dalits seem to have came among those who decided at the last minute in phase 3 MGB NDA LJP Others Voted MGB swayed towards the NDA, according to our JDU-HAM contested seats AS THE counting of votes in Bihar continued HOW DID THEY VOTE? I MGB I NDA I Others INC contested seats data. Within the Dalit community, support for Traditional JDU-HAM supporters 14 75 5 6 through the day on Tuesday, the close nature I Decided choice on the day of voting Traditional INC supporters 84 the MGB was restricted to the Ravidas com- of the battle became increasingly obvious.