Credit Trend Monitor: Earnings Rising with GDP; Leverage Trends Driven by Investment
CORPORATES SECTOR IN-DEPTH Nonfinancial Companies – China 24 June 2021 Credit Trend Monitor: Earnings rising with GDP; leverage trends driven by investment TABLE OF CONTENTS » Economic recovery drives revenue and earnings growth; leverage varies. Rising Summary 1 demand for goods and services in China (A1 stable), driven by the country's GDP growth, Auto and auto services 6 will benefit most rated companies this year and next. Leverage trends will vary by sector. Chemicals 8 Strong demand growth in certain sectors has increased investment requirements, which in Construction and engineering 10 turn could slow some companies’ deleveraging efforts. Food and beverage 12 Internet and technology 14 » EBITDA growth will outpace debt growth for auto and auto services, food and Metals and mining 16 beverages, and technology hardware. As a result, leverage will improve for rated Oil and gas 18 companies in these sectors. A resumption of travel, outdoor activities and business Oilfield services 20 operations, with work-from-home options, as the coronavirus pandemic remains under Property 22 control in China will continue to drive demand. Steel, aluminum and cement 24 Technology hardware 26 » Strong demand and higher pricing will support earnings growth for commodity- Transportation 28 related sectors. These sectors include chemicals, metals and mining, oil and gas, oilfield Utilities 30 services, steel, aluminum and cement. Leverage will improve as earnings increase. Carbon Moody's related publications 32 transition may increase investments for steel, aluminum and cement companies. But List of rated Chinese companies 34 rated companies, which are mostly industry leaders, will benefit in the long term because of market consolidation.
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