The United Nations Platform for Space-Based Information for Disaster Management and Emergency Response (UN-SPIDER) Page 103 - 113
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Inter-Agency Real Time Evaluation (IA-RTE) of the Humanitarian Response to Typhoons Ketsana and Parma in the Philippines
Inter-Agency Real Time Evaluation (IA-RTE) of the Humanitarian Response to Typhoons Ketsana and Parma in the Philippines April 2010 Riccardo Polastro Bernardo Roa Nicolai Steen DARA – Development Assistance Research Associates List of Content 1. Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 1 2. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 6 3. Methodology and Data Collection ............................................................................................. 9 4. Context ...........................................................................................................................................13 5. Needs Assessments .....................................................................................................................18 6. Funding ..........................................................................................................................................22 7. Coordination .................................................................................................................................28 8. Response ........................................................................................................................................34 9. Annexes: ........................................................................................................................................42 -
American Meteorological Society
3A.7 1 A New Approach to Diagnose Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction Error Munehiko Yamaguchi*, Tetsuo Nakazawa, and Kazumasa Aonashi Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency Tsukuba, Japan 1. INTRODUCTION1 There are many sources of error in numerical weather prediction (NWP) system such as the imperfection of NWP models and the uncertainties in initial and boundary conditions. In general, it is difficult to identify the cause of prediction error because it results from a combination of those factors and the extent of contribution of each factor changes from one initial time to another. Recent research projects such as The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) have made it possible to distinguish between prediction errors attributable to the initial conditions from those attributable to the NWP model to some extent. This separation is achieved by Figure 1. Position errors (left vertical axis) from 0 to 5 running one NWP model from the initial conditions of days of JM-JI, EM-EI, and JM-EI, and the number of another NWP system with higher prediction samples (right vertical axis). performance. The initial conditions are thought to be essential for accurate predictions in cases where the was run from the initial conditions created during a 6- prediction is significantly improved by replacement of hourly data assimilation cycle of the 4DVAR to obtain the original initial conditions. Meanwhile, we may gain the reference track predictions (hereafter, the JMA insight into modifications that will improve an NWP model and JMA initial conditions: JM-JI). The model by analyzing those cases where replacing the predictions were initiated at 1200 UTC only. -
Emergency Appeal N° MDRPH005 Philippines: Typhoons GLIDE N° TC-2009-000205-PHL 23 October 2009
Emergency appeal n° MDRPH005 Philippines: Typhoons GLIDE n° TC-2009-000205-PHL 23 October 2009 Extensive floods damage in Pangasinan Province, Rosales Municipality, Carmen East Barangay. Photo. Courtesy of the International Federation’s FACT. This revised Emergency Appeal seeks CHF 16,286,096 (USD 16.1 million or EUR 10.8 million) in cash, kind, or services to support the Philippines National Red Cross (PNRC) to assist approximately 110,000 families (550,000 people) for a total of 18 months. Funds are urgently needed to enable PNRC to scale up its response to this disaster. Due to the exceptional nature of the two typhoons, Ketsana and Parma, to hit the Philippines, as well as the expected arrival of Typhoon Lupit, and the cumulative impact on the country, this revision establishes an appeal duration of a total period of 18 months. The operation will be completed by the end of March 2011. In addition to the regular updates, a Final Report will be made available by June 2011 (three months after the end of the operation). Appeal history: · A revised preliminary Emergency Appeal was issued on 12 October 2009 for CHF 6,854,640 (USD 6.65 million or EUR 4.51 million) for nine months to assist 200,000 people. · A preliminary Emergency Appeal was launched on 1 October 2009 for CHF 3,086,571 (USD 2.98 million or EUR 2.45 million) for nine months to assist 200,000 people. · Disaster Relief Emergency Fund (DREF): CHF 250,000 was allocated from the International Federation’s DREF to support the national society in initial response. -
Member Report
MEMBER REPORT ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 42nd Session 25-29 January 2010 Singapore Republic of the Philippines 1 CONTENTS Page I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area since the last Typhoon Committee Session 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) 4 2. Hydrological Assessment (highlighting water-related issues/impact) 14 3. Socio-Economic Assessment (highlighting socio-economic and 18 DPP issues/impacts) 4. Regional Cooperation Assessment (highlighting regional cooperation 18 successes and challenges) II. Summary of progress in Key Result Areas 1. Progress on Key Result Area 1 a. Meteorological Achievements/Results 20 b. Hydrological Achievements/Results 20 c. Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Achievements/Results 21 d. Research, Training, and Other Achievements/Results 22 e. Regional Cooperation Achievements/Results 22 f. Identified Opportunities/Challenges for Future Achievements/Results 22 2. Progress on Key Result Area 2 a. Meteorological Achievements/Results 24 b. Hydrological Achievements/Results 24 c. Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Achievements/Results 24 d. Research, Training, and Other Achievements/Results 24 e. Regional Cooperation Achievements/Results 24 f. Identified Opportunities/Challenges for Future Achievements/Results 24 3. Progress on Key Result Area 3 a. Meteorological Achievements/Results 24 b. Hydrological Achievements/Results 24 c. Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Achievements/Results 25 d. Research, Training, and Other Achievements/Results 25 e. Regional Cooperation Achievements/Results 25 f. Identified Opportunities/Challenges for Future Achievements/Results 25 4. Progress on Key Result Area 4 a. Meteorological Achievements/Results 25 b. Hydrological Achievements/Results 26 c. Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Achievements/Results 26 d. Research, Training, and Other Achievements/Results 26 e. -
Philippines• Typhoon Season 2009 Situation Report No.12 22 October 2009
Philippines• Typhoon Season 2009 Situation Report No.12 22 October 2009 This report was issued by OCHA New York based on inputs from the OCHA Regional Office for Asia Pacific (ROAP) and OCHA Philippines. It covers the period from 20 to 22 October 2009 and addresses Typhoon Parma, Tropical Storm Ketsana and preparations for Typhoon Lupit (Ramil). The next report will be issued on or around 26 October. I. HIGHLIGHTS/KEY PRIORITIES • According to the National Disaster Coordination Council (NDCC), Typhoon Lupit is expected to make landfall on Saturday 24 October, mainly affecting northern Luzon. • The second United Nations Disaster Assessment and Coordination (UNDAC) team arrived in Manila on 20 October. Planning for rapid joint assessments and possible deployment of up to two sub-On-Site Operations Coordination Centres (OSSOCs) to the northern regions is underway. • As of 22 October, 27.3 percent of the Flash Appeal was covered. Critical funding gaps remain in life-saving sectors, while agriculture and protection are currently the least-funded sectors. To date, the majority of funding contributions are from the Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF), Japan and the European Commission. II. Situation Overview PAGASA Track as of 8 a.m., 22 October 2009Satellite Picture at 10 a.m., 22 October 2009 On 22 October at 4:00 a.m. local time, Typhoon Ramil (Lupit) was located at 350km east northeast of Aparri, Cagayan, with maximum sustained winds of 160km per hour near the centre and gustiness of up to 195 km per hour. It is forecast to move west southwest slowly. According to NDCC, Typhoon Lupit is now expected to make landfall on Saturday 24 October. -
Member Report
MEMBER REPORT ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 42nd Session 25-29 January 2010 Singapore Republic of KOREA MEMBER REPORT ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 42nd Session 25-29 January 2010 Singapore Republic of KOREA 2 CONTENTS I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area since the last Typhoon Committee Session ...……………………………………….……………………… 3 II. Summary of progress in Key Result Areas ..……………………………………………….… 9 1. Progress on Key Result Area 1 ..…...…………………………………………………… 9 2. Progress on Key Result Area 2 ..………………………………………………………. 22 3. Progress on Key Result Area 3 .….……………………………………………………. 26 4. Progress on Key Result Area 4 .….……………………………………………………. 27 5. Progress on Key Result Area 5 .….……………………………………………………. 32 6. Progress on Key Result Area 6 ………………………………………………………... 34 7. Progress on Key Result Area 7 ………………………………………………………... 44 III. Resource Mobilization Activities ..………………………………………………………….. 49 IV. Update of Member’s Working Groups representatives …………………………………. 49 Summary ..………………………………………………………………………………………….. 50 3 I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area in 2009 1. Meteorological Assessment (highlighting forecasting issues/impacts) No typhoon landed in the Korean peninsula during the 2009 typhoon season. However, several typhoons presented typhoon forecasters with a greater challenge than in previous years. One of them was typhoon Lupit (0920), which showed a very complicated track and extratropical transition process. The typhoon was formed at 1800UTC 15 October 2009, about 630km west of Guam, and first moved northwestward before changing course for the first time on 17 October 2009. It changed course once again on 23 October, after which it sped up northeastward. Track errors multiplied whenever the track displayed such irregularity (Figs 1 and 2). The extratropical transition (ET) time was computed as the typhoon moved northeastward. -
ANNUAL GLOBAL CLIMATE and CATASTROPHE REPORT Impact Forecasting — 2009
ANNUAL GLOBAL CLIMATE AND CATASTROPHE REPORT Impact Forecasting — 2009 reDEFINING Capital | Access | Advocacy | Innovation Impact Forecasting Impact Forecasting LLC is a catastrophe modeling center of excellence within Aon Benfield Analytics whose seismologists, meteorologists, hydrologists, engineers, mathematicians, GIS experts, finance, risk management and insurance professionals analyze the financial implications of natural and man-made catastrophes around the world. Impact Forecasting’s experts are redefining the software tools and models that help clients understand underlying risks from hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, floods, wildfires and terrorist attacks on property, casualty and crop insurers and reinsurers. Impact Forecasting is the only catastrophe modeling firm integrated into a reinsurance intermediary. To find out more about Impact Forecasting, please visit www.impactforecasting.com. About Aon Benfield As the industry leader in treaty, facultative and capital markets, Aon Benfield is redefining the role of the reinsurance intermediary and capital advisor. Through our unmatched talent and industry-leading proprietary tools and products, we help our clients to redefine themselves and their success. Aon Benfield offers unbiased capital advice and customized access to more reinsurance and capital markets than anyone else. As a trusted advocate, we provide local reach to the world’s markets, an unparalleled investment in innovative analytics, including catastrophe management, actuarial, and rating agency advisory, and the right professionals to advise clients in making the optimal capital choice for their business. With an international network of more than 4,000 professionals in 50 countries, our worldwide client base is able to access the broadest portfolio of integrated capital solutions and services. Learn more at www.aonbenfield.com. -
Minnesota Weathertalk for Friday, January 2, 2009
Minnesota WeatherTalk for Friday, January 2, 2009 HAPPY NEW YEAR To: MPR's Morning Edition From: Mark Seeley, Univ. of MN Extension, Dept of Soil, Water, and Climate Subject: Minnesota WeatherTalk for Friday, January 2, 2009 Headlines: -Jet Streaming podcast this week -December climate summary -Special Edition...the weather of 2008 national and international review... -Almanac for January 2nd -Past weather features -Outlook Topic: Jet Streaming Podcast this week..... In a special year-ending segment this week Mark and Paul Huttner discuss the weather headlines of 2008, continued evidence for our societal vulnerability to weather extremes, and signs of climate change. Perhaps you have some weather memories from 2008 you would like to share. If so, email us........ To listen to the entire Jet Streaming podcast online, please go to.... http://minnesota.publicradio.org/radio/programs/morning_edition/ or http://minnesota.publicradio.org/radio/podcasts/jet_streaming/ Topic: Climate Summary for December of 2008 It was the 14th coldest December statewide since 1895. Most observers reported mean monthly temperatures that were 5 to 10 degrees F colder than normal, the coldest since December of 2000. Extremes were 48 degrees F at Redwood Falls on the 3rd and Winona on the 28th, and -35 degrees F at Babbitt and Brimson on the 17th. Minnesota reported the coldest temperature in the 48 contiguous states 12 times during the month. It was a wet December as well, the 8th wettest historically on a statewide basis. Most observers reported above normal precipitation, including Marshall and Aitkin where observers reported over 3 inches. It was very snowy as well.