Cultural Dynamics in the Syrian Uprising
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Cults of Personality, Preference Falsification, and the Dictator's
Cults of personality, preference falsification, and the dictator's dilemma Charles Crabtreex, Holger L. Kerny, and David A. Siegelz Abstract: We provide a novel rational explanation for why cults of personality exist: they solve the dictator's adverse selection problem in assigning subordinates to roles within the regime. Participation in a cult of personality is psychologically costly whenever it involves preference falsification, with the costs varying across individuals. Importantly, low psychological costs of preference falsification are correlated with traits the dictator values, such as unscrupulousness and ruthlessness, which we collectively term disposition-based competence. Under a wide variety of circumstances, this correlation makes participation in cults of personality informative from the dictator's point of view, allowing him to hire loyal and competent subordinates for the most important regime positions. In contrast to earlier formal work, our model implies that dictators can use cults of personality to avoid the loyalty-competence trade-off when promoting subordinates. We thank Quintin Beazer, Jens Grosser, Timur Kuran, Andrew Little, Eddy Malesky, Melanie Manion, Arturas Rozenas, Rory Truex, Nils Weidmann, and participants at the 2017 MPSA Conference and the 2017 ESTA workshop at Konstanz University for their very helpful feedback. x PhD cand., Department of Political Science, University of Michigan. y Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Florida State University. z Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Duke University. In 2001, Saparmurad Niyazov, who ruled Turkmenistan from 1985 to 2006, announced the publication of his first book. Called Ruhnama (The Book of the Soul), it contained answers to \all of life's questions" and became required reading in all schools, universities, and workplaces. -
Reading Arendt's on Revolution After the Fall of the Wall
Keeping the Republic: Reading Arendt’s On Revolution after the Fall of the Wall Dick Howard Introduction: From where do you speak, comrade? Two decades after the fall of the Wall seemed to announce – by default, as an unexpected gift – the triumph of democracy, optimism appears at best naïve, at worst an ideological manipulation of the most cynical type. The hope was that the twin forms of modern anti-politics – the imaginary planned society and the equally imaginary invisible hand of the market place – would be replaced by the rule of the demos; citizens together would determine the values of the commonwealth. The reality was at first the ‘New World Order’ of George H.W. Bush; then the indecisive interregnum of the Clinton years; and now the crass take over of democratic rhetoric by the neo-conservatives of George W. Bush. ‘Man is born free, yet everywhere he is in chains,’ wrote Rousseau at the outset of The Social Contract; how this came about was less important, he continued, than what made it legitimate: that was what needed explanation. So it is today; what is it about democracy that makes it the greatest threat to its own existence? In this context, it is well to reread Hannah Arendt’s On Revolution, published in 1963. On returning recently to my old (1965) paperback edition, I was struck by the spare red and black design of the cover, which was not (as I thought for a moment) a subtle allusion to the conflict of communism and anarchism for the realization of ‘true’ democracy, but simply the backdrop against which the editor stressed these sentences: ‘With nuclear power at a stalemate, revolutions have become the principal political factor of our time. -
Bashar Al-Assad's Struggle for Survival
Bashar al-Assad’s Struggle for Survival: Has the Miracle Occurred? Eyal Zisser The summer of 2014 marked the beginning of a turn in the tide of the civil war in Syria. The accomplishments of the rebels in battles against the regime tilted the scales in their favor and raised doubts regarding Bashar al-Assad’s ability to continue securing his rule, even in the heart of the Syrian state – the thin strip stretching from the capital Damascus to the city of Aleppo, to the Alawite coastal region in the north, and perhaps also to the city of Daraa and the Druze Mountain in the south. This changing tide in the Syrian war was the result of the ongoing depletion of the ranks of the Syrian regime and the exhaustion of the manpower at its disposal. Marked by fatigue and low morale, Bashar’s army was in growing need of members of his Alawite community who remained willing to fight and even die for him, as well as the Hizbollah fighters who were sent to his aid from neighboring Lebanon. The rebels, on the other hand, proved motivated, determined, and capable of perseverance. Indeed, they succeeded in unifying their ranks, and today, in contrast to the hundreds of groups that had been operating throughout the country, there are now only a few groups operating – all, incidentally, of radical Islamic character. Countries coming to the aid of the rebels also included Turkey, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, who decided to topple the Assad regime and showed determination equal to that of Bashar’s allies – Iran, Hizbollah, and Russia. -
Somaly Mam, Nick Kristof, and the Cult of Personality | Jacobin 6/16/14 4:20 PM
Somaly Mam, Nick Kristof, and the Cult of Personality | Jacobin 6/16/14 4:20 PM jacobinmag.com 6.16.14 A couple of self-promoting showoffs pale beside proliferating government machinery that now churns out salaries and prestige for thousands worldwide caught up in a movement based on fraud. A Cambodian activist against sex slavery, Somaly Mam, recently resigned from her foundation after an outside investigation confirmed she had lied to attract donors and supporters. The revelations of Mam’s fraudulence are old news, however — Simon Marks’s reports have been appearing in the Cambodian Daily since 2012, and many other debunkings and doubts circulated much earlier among institutions, researchers, and activists trying to reverse unfounded sensationalism about CC-BY-SA-3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons sex trafficking. Newsweek published some of Marks’s work on May 21, provoking outrage in the New York media establishment — less towards Mam than one of her greatest fans, self-styled slave rescuer Nicholas Kristof. He is accused of hoodwinking liberal-identifying readers and letting down the cause of journalism. Both accusations miss the point. An editor from this media in-group asked if I would write for them about Somaly Mam’s resignation, having seen tweets indicating I don’t consider it significant. She suggested I write about problems of “accountability” with institutions like Mam’s, along with the “history and failures of the organization and others like it.” I asked if she was acquainted with my work, mentioning my research on projects to help and save women who sell sex, documented in Sex at the Margins, which originatedthe concept of a “rescue industry.” Since my analysis rarely gets into the mainstream, the focus of anything I do for such outlets would have to explain the basics about that industry. -
State-Led Urban Development in Syria and the Prospects for Effective Post-Conflict Reconstruction
5 State-led urban development in Syria and the prospects for effective post-conflict reconstruction NADINE ALMANASFI As the militarized phase of the Syrian Uprising and Civil War winds down, questions surrounding how destroyed cities and towns will be rebuilt, with what funding and by whom pervade the political discourse on Syria. There have been concerns that if the international community engages with reconstruction ef- forts they are legitimizing the regime and its war crimes, leaving the regime in a position to control and benefit from reconstruc- tion. Acting Assistant Secretary of State of the United States, Ambassador David Satterfield stated that until a political process is in place that ensures the Syrian people are able to choose a leadership ‘without Assad at its helm’, then the United States will not be funding reconstruction projects.1 The Ambassador of France to the United Nations also stated that France will not be taking part in any reconstruction process ‘unless a political transition is effectively carried out’ and this is also the position of the European Union.1 Bashar al-Assad him- self has outrightly claimed that the West will have no part to play 1 Beals, E (2018). Assad’s Reconstruction Agenda Isn’t Waiting for Peace. Neither Should Ours. Available: https://tcf.org/content/report/assads-recon- struction-agenda-isnt-waiting-peace-neither/?agreed=1. 1 Irish, J & Bayoumy, Y. (2017). Anti-Assad nations say no to Syria recon- struction until political process on track. Available: https://uk.reu- ters.com/article/uk-un-assembly-syria/anti-assad-nations-say-no-to-syria- reconstruction-until-political-process-on-track-idUKKCN1BU04J. -
Putin's Macho Personality Cult*
Communist and Post-Communist Studies xxx (2015) 1e11 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Communist and Post-Communist Studies journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/postcomstud Putin's macho personality cult* Valerie Sperling Department of Political Science, Clark University, United States article info abstract Article history: Masculinity has long been Russian President Vladimir Putin's calling card. At the center of Available online xxx Putin's macho aura is his image as a tough leader who will not allow Western countries to weaken Russia or dictate what Russia's domestic and foreign policies should look like. This Keywords: article draws attention to the role of masculinity in the Putin regime's legitimation Vladimir Putin strategy, and how it became more obvious during the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine Russia in 2014 and the Russian annexation of Crimea. To the extent that there is a “personality Ukraine cult” in contemporary Russia, the personality at the center of it is defined in highly Crimea Barack Obama gendered terms, shaping the tenor of both domestic and foreign policy. © Masculinity 2015 The Regents of the University of California. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights Gender reserved. Legitimacy Domestic politics Foreign policy Since his third ascension to the Russian presidency, Vladimir Putin has attracted more attention than any other contemporary state leader. From the jacket of Time Magazine in September 2013, to the front pages of newspapers detailing Russia's annexation of Crimea in March 2014, there has been no shortage of coverage of Putin in the international press. Putin's omnipresence in the Russian media is even more striking. -
Cultic Revelations
SPECTRUM HUNGAROLOGICUM Cultic Revelations: Studies in Modern Historical Cult Personalities and Phenomena Edited by Anssi Halmesvirta Spectrum Hungarologicum Vol. 4. 2010 JYVÄSKYLÄ – PÉCS Cultic Revelations: Studies in Modern Historical Cult Personalities and Phenomena Edited by Anssi Halmesvirta Spectrum Hungarologicum Vol. 4. 2010 SPECTRUM HUNGAROLOGICUM VOL. 4. Editors-in-chief: Tuomo Lahdelma Beáta Thomka Editorial board: Pál Deréky (Wien) Jolanta Jastrzębska (Groningen) Pál Pritz (Budapest) Ignác Romsics (Budapest) Tõnu Seilenthal (Tartu) György Tverdota (Budapest) Publisher: University of Jyväskylä, Faculty of Humanities, Hungarian Studies (www.jyu.fi/hungarologia) Technical editing by Gergely Dusnoki and Kristóf Fenyvesi CONTENTS Contents .............................................................................................. 3 Preface ................................................................................................. 5 Authors ............................................................................................... 7 Editor's Introduction ...................................................................... 13 Gábor Gyáni: The Creation of Identity Through Cults ............. 19 Balázs Apor: Communist Leader Cults in Eastern Europe: Concepts and Recent Debates .............................................. 37 Árpád Welker: The Kossuth Commemoration Year and its Impact on Hungarian Historiography ................... 63 Orsolya Rákai: Chameleon Cult: The History of Cult of Queen Elizabeth ................................................... -
United Arab Republic 1 United Arab Republic
United Arab Republic 1 United Arab Republic ةدحتملا ةيبرعلا ةيروهمجلا Al-Gumhuriyah al-Arabiyah al-Muttahidah Al-Jumhuriyah al-Arabiyah al-MuttahidahUnited Arab Republic ← → 1958–1961 ← (1971) → ← → Flag Coat of arms Anthem Oh My Weapon[1] Capital Cairo Language(s) Arabic [2] Religion Secular (1958–1962) Islam (1962–1971) Government Confederation President - 1958–1970 Gamal Abdel Nasser United Arab Republic 2 Historical era Cold War - Established February 22, 1958 - Secession of Syria September 28, 1961 - Renamed to Egypt 1971 Area - 1961 1166049 km2 (450214 sq mi) Population - 1961 est. 32203000 Density 27.6 /km2 (71.5 /sq mi) Currency United Arab Republic pound Calling code +20 Al-Gumhuriyah al-Arabiyahةدحتملا ةيبرعلا ةيروهمجلا :The United Arab Republic (Arabic al-Muttahidah/Al-Jumhuriyah al-Arabiyah al-Muttahidah), often abbreviated as the U.A.R., was a sovereign union between Egypt and Syria. The union began in 1958 and existed until 1961, when Syria seceded from the union. Egypt continued to be known officially as the "United Arab Republic" until 1971. The President was Gamal Abdel Nasser. During most of its existence (1958–1961) it was a member of the United Arab States, a confederation with North Yemen. The UAR adopted a flag based on the Arab Liberation Flag of the Egyptian Revolution of 1952, but with two stars to represent the two parts. This continues to be the flag of Syria. In 1963, Iraq adopted a flag that was similar but with three stars, representing the hope that Iraq would join the UAR. The current flags of Egypt, Sudan, and Yemen are also based on Arab Liberation Flag of horizontal red, white, and black bands. -
Democracy to the Rescue
AJT-10 MIDDLE EAST Andrew Tabler is an Institute Fellow based in Damascus and Beirut studying Lebanese ICWA affairs and Syrian reform. Democracy to the Rescue LETTERS By Andrew Tabler MARCH 2006 DAMASCUS, Syria–As I approached the demonstration, I realized that the more Since 1925 the Institute of things change in Syria, the more the state’s reaction stays the same. It was March Current World Affairs (the Crane- 9, the 43rd anniversary of the declaration of “emergency law” in Syria. For the Rogers Foundation) has provided second year in a row, members of the Syrian Students’ National Union (SSNU) long-term fellowships to enable were busy beating up and chasing off opposition figures staging a sit-in in front outstanding young professionals of the old Ministry of Justice — a stone’s throw away from the radio station where to live outside the United States martial law was declared in 1963 the morning after the Ba’ath Party seized power and write about international in a military coup. Multi-party politics in Syria was suspended that day, all in the areas and issues. An exempt operating foundation endowed by the late Charles R. Crane, the Institute is also supported by contributions from like-minded individuals and foundations. TRUSTEES Bryn Barnard Joseph Battat Mary Lynne Bird Steven Butler Sharon F. Doorasamy Peter Geithner Gary Hartshorn Katherine Roth Kono Cheng Li Peter Bird Martin Dasa Obereigner A mob from the Syrian Students’ National Union (SSNU) abuse and assault a member David Z. Robinson of Syria’s opposition protesting 43 years of “Emergency Rule” in Syria on March 9. -
North Korea Under Kim Il-Sung" (2015)
Arcadia University ScholarWorks@Arcadia Senior Capstone Theses Undergraduate Research Spring 2015 Cult of Personality: North Korea under Kim Il- Sung Tyler Lutz Arcadia University, [email protected] Arcadia University has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits ouy . Your story matters. Thank you. Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarworks.arcadia.edu/senior_theses Part of the History Commons, and the Political Science Commons Recommended Citation Lutz, Tyler, "Cult of Personality: North Korea under Kim Il-Sung" (2015). Senior Capstone Theses. Paper 10. This Capstone is brought to you for free and open access by the Undergraduate Research at ScholarWorks@Arcadia. It has been accepted for inclusion in Senior Capstone Theses by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@Arcadia. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Tyler Lutz History Senior Seminar Senior Thesis Paper Cult of Personality: North Korea under Kim Il-Sung Lutz 1 North Korea, The Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, or “The Hermit Kingdom” as it is occasionally referred to, is the most isolated country in the world today. Its people have lived under the dictatorial rule of the world’s only dynastic communist regime, that of the Kim family for over half a century. The country is highly militaristic, highly idealistic, and always appears to be on the edge of instigating a new conflict in the region. The country itself is relatively young, having only split from the South immediately following World War II. Up until that point, Korea had been a unified nation for over 1100 years. Their history was for the most part peaceful and stable, until the late 19 th century when increasing pressures from the West and the Japanese forced Korea to open up to the world. -
Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring
Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring By Carsten Wieland Syria—A Decade of Lost Chances Repression and Revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring © 2012 By Carsten Wieland Cune Press, Seattle 2012 Hardback ISBN 978-1-61457-001-1 $34.95 Paperback ISBN 978-1-61457-002-8 $19.95 eBook ISBN 978-1-61457-003-5 $4.95 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Wieland, Carsten. Syria--a decade of lost chances : repression and revolution from Damascus Spring to Arab Spring / by Carsten Wieland. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-61457-001-1 (hardback : alk. paper) ISBN 978-1- 61457-002-8 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN 978-1-61457-003-5 (ebook) 1. Syria--Politics and government--2000- 2. Syria- -Social conditions--1971- 3. Political persecution--Syria- -History--21st century. 4. Protest movements--Syria- -History--21st century. 5. Assad, Bashar, 1965- I. Title. DS98.6.W528 2012 956.9104’2--dc23 Photo Credits for Cover: Picture-Alliance Syria Cross Road Select titles in the Syria Cross Road Series: Steel & Silk: Men and Women Who Shaped Syria 1900 - 2000 - by Sami Moubayed A Pen of Damascus Steel: The Political Cartoons of an Arab Master - by Ali Farzat The Road from Damascus: A Journey Through Syria - by Scott C. Davis Syria - Ballots or Bullets? Democracy, Islamism, and Secularism in the Levant - by Carsten Wieland www.cunepress.com | www.cunepress.net Contents Foreword 10 1 Hariqa: The Fire Spreads 16 2 Regime Reflexes & Reactions 28 3 A Decade of Lost Chances -
How Narratives and Evidence Influence Rumor Belief in Conflict Zones: Evidence from Syria
1 How narratives and evidence influence rumor belief in conflict zones: Evidence from Syria Justin Schon, Postdoctoral Researcher Department of Anthropology, University of Florida [email protected] Turlington Hall, 330 Newell Drive, Gainesville, FL 32611 (352) 392-2253 fax (352) 392-6929 Word count: 10,728 Forthcoming in Perspectives on Politics Abstract: Armed conflict creates a context of high uncertainty and risk, where accurate and verifiable information is extremely difficult to find. This is a prime environment for unverified information—rumors—to spread. Meanwhile, there is insufficient understanding of exactly how rumor transmission occurs within conflict zones. I address this with an examination of the mechanisms through which people evaluate new information. Building on findings from research on motivated reasoning, I argue that elite-driven narrative contests—competitions between elites to define how civilians should understand conflict—increase the difficulty of distinguishing fact from fiction. Civilians respond by attempting thorough evaluations of new information that they hope will allow them to distinguish evidence from narratives. These evaluations tend to involve some combination of self-evaluation, evaluation of the source, and collective sense-making. I examine this argument using over 200 interviews with Syrian refugees conducted in Jordan and Turkey. My findings indicate that people are usually unable to effectively distinguish evidence from narratives, so narrative contests are powerful drivers of rumor evaluation. Still, civilian mechanisms of rumor evaluation do constrain what propaganda elites can spread. These findings contribute to research on civil war, narrative formation, and information diffusion. 2 Introduction On a Friday in August 2012 in a Damascus suburb called Bloudan, Mohamed’s father went to the mosque while Mohamed went to school.