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Pre-Feasibility Study Inland Water Based Transport Project (Phase I) Western Province Sri Lanka

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Pre-Feasibility Study Inland Water Based Transport Project (Phase I) Western Province Sri Lanka GOVERNMENT OF THE DEMOCRATIC SOCIALIST REPUBLIC OF SRI LANKA Ministry of Megapolis and Western Development Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation in collaboration with Western Region Megapolis Planning Project Draft Report Pre-Feasibility Study Inland Water Based Transport Project (Phase I) Western Province Sri Lanka April 2017 1 PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY TEAM Name Designation Institute Dr. N.S. Wijayarathna Team Leader, Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Deputy General Development Corporation Manager (Wetland Management) Dr. Dimantha De Silva Deputy Team Leader, Western Region Megapolis Planning Transport Specialist, Project Senior Lecturer Transportation Engineering Division, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Moratuwa Mr. R.M. Amarasekara Project Director, Ministry of Megapolis and Western Transport Development Development Project Dr. W.K. Wimalsiri Infrastructure Department of Mechanical Specialist Engineering Head of the University of Moratuwa Department Dr. H.K.G. Punchihewa Safely Specialist, Department of Mechanical Senior Lecturer Engineering University of Moratuwa Sri Lanka Mr. Nayana Mawilmada Head of Investments Western Region Megapolis Planning Project Mr. Thushara Procurement Western Region Megapolis Planning Sumanasekara Specialist Project Ms. Disna Amarasinghe Legal Consultant Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Mrs. Ramani Ellepola Environmental Western Region Megapolis Planning Specialist Project Mr. Indrajith Financial Analyst Western Region Megapolis Planning Wickramasinghe Project Ms. Chantal Sirisena Investment Analyst Western Region Megapolis Planning Project Mr. Kaushan Transport Engineer Western Region Megapolis Planning Devasurendra Project i Eng. Mahinda Gamage Structural Engineer Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Ms. Ranoshi Siripala Ecologist Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Mr. Chanuka Suranjan Architect Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Mr. Wickramanayake Land Officer Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Mr Dilruk Wedage Surveyor Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation Mr. Hasitha Kalahe Civil Engineer Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation ii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This document presents the Final Report of the consultancy services for the „Pre-Feasibility Study of the Inland Water Based Transport Project, Western Province, Sri Lanka (Phase I)‟. The report is the result of a three-month consultancy project which involved meetings between the consultants and officials of the Sri Lanka Land Reclamation and Development Corporation (SLLRDC) and Western Region Megapolis Planning Project (WRMPP) as well as the review and analysis of relevant documents and available secondary data. This study was undertaken to identify the pre-feasibility of proposed Inland Water Transport Lines, Wellawatte-Battaramulla (IW1) along the Wellawatte and Kotte Canal and Fort-Union Place (IW2) in the Beira Lake by the Western Region Megapolis Transport Master Plan. The average speed of the vehicles in the major transport corridors has fallen below 10 kmph during peak hours and the existing public transportation system is unable to cater for the mobility requirements of the people, hence its modal share is decreasing gradually. Therefore, the need has arisen for an alternative transportation mode, which does not use the existing road structure. In this regard, inland water transportation has been identified as a low cost, minimal pollution, sizeable capacity, pleasant and a safe transportation medium. Forming the basis of this study, existing data on the Wellawatte-Battaramulla canal stretch and Beira Lake was documented and data gaps were identified. The Initial Transport Demand Assessment is taken from the JICA STRADA (System for Traffic Demand Analysis) transport demand model which was used for demand estimation of the Transport Master Plan developed for the Western Region Megapolis Planning Project. Field surveys were carried out to address the identified data gaps; bed levels in the canal, horizontal clearance at bridges and vertical clearance between water level and soffit level of the overhead structures. Locations of the stations were identified considering the demand availability, land availability, inter-connectivity with other transport modes and access to those stations. Nine stations were proposed for Wellawatte-Battaramulla Line and four stations were proposed for Fort-Union Place Line. Vessels were designed according to canal specifications; single hull boats are recommended for IW1 and catamaran double hull boats for IW2. Environmentally- friendly vessels with minimum pollution are encouraged. Vessels with adjustable roofs are suitable to address the limit of overhead clearance at certain sections. Safety concerns regarding design and operation, project risks related to political, economic, iii social, legal, environmental and technological aspects were considered. From the financial feasibility study, it was identified that it is possible to achieve an Equity IRR of 20%. In this scenario, additional revenues are modeled at less than 10% of the total revenue generation. The core business case is the operation of the passenger ferry transportation system. Other potential revenues generated through additional uses of the canal system (such as ecotourism or other services deemed appropriate) will enhance this business case. The project is feasible to implement through a Public Private Partnership where the government of Sri Lanka will contribute assets; namely the jetties. The GOSL should also undertake the initial dredging of the waterways and maintenance of this throughout the contract period. The vessel operation service and maintenance facility construction should be awarded to a selected private party through a competitive two-stage tender process. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. introduction 1 1.1 Project Background 1 1.2 Scope 3 1.3 Objectives 3 1.4 Justification to the selected routes IW1 and IW2 4 1.4.1 Battaramulla- Wellawatta Line (IW1) 5 1.4.2 Fort-Union Place Line(IW2) 7 1.4.3 Mattakkuliya-Hanwella Line 8 2. approach and Methodology 10 2.1 Transport Demand Assessment 10 2.1.1 Initial Demand Assessment 10 2.1.2 Updated Demand Assessment 23 2.2 The Ferry Requirement 29 2.3 Start-up Demand for 2017 30 3. Structural Capacity Identification of Related Water Bodies 32 3.1 Current Infrastructure Status of Wellawatte- Battaramulla Line (IW1) 32 3.2 Land availability for boat stations and other development 33 3.2.1 IW1 33 3.3 Suggestions for an effective transport solution along IW1 38 3.4 Initial Environmental and Social Assessment 38 3.4.1 Environmental impacts of Inland water based passenger transportation 38 3.4.2 Social impacts of Inland water based passenger transportation project 42 3.5 Preliminary ferry designs and specifications 42 3.5.1 Boat Design 43 3.5.2 Design approach to boat‟s capacity estimation 43 3.5.2.1 Preliminary dimensions 43 3.5.2.2 Design and Construction of the boat 45 3.5.2.3 Engine and Propelling System 46 3.5.3 Resistance and Power calculations 49 4. Initial Safety Audit of the Canal Route 53 4.1 Health and Safety 53 4.1.1 Regulations 53 4.2 Designing for safety 53 v 4.3 Operational Safety 59 4.3.1 Water Safety 63 4.3.2 Fuel Safety 65 4.3.3 Security 66 5. Project Risk 67 5.1 Political Risk 67 5.2 Economic Risk 68 5.3 Social Risk 69 5.3.1 External 69 5.3.2 Internal 70 5.4 Legal 70 5.5 Environmental Risk 71 5.6 Technological Risk 71 6. Financial Viability 72 6.1 Demand Data 72 6.2 Financial modeling 73 6.3 Ticketing Revenue 74 6.3.1 Price Sensitivity 75 6.3.2 Boat Price Sensitivity 75 7. Investment through Public Private Partnership 76 7.1 Build, Operate, Transfer (BOT) 76 7.2 Build, Operate, Own, Transfer (BOOT) 76 8. Status of Legal and Institutional Arrangements 77 8.1 Assess Current Laws, policies and Institutional Assessment 77 9. Key Recommendations 79 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Parameters for IW1 and IW2 25 Table 2: Fare for IW1 26 Table 3: Daily bi-directional passenger volume for Wellawatte-Battaramulla Line (IW1) for Scenario 2,5 & 11 31 Table 4: Daily bi-directional passenger volume for Fort-Union Place Line (IW2) for Scenario 2,5 & 11 31 Table 5:Aggregate Outputs of Demand Model for Megapolis Project Scenarios 33 Table 6: Daily bi-directional Passenger Volumes for IW1 at an average speed of 18km/h 38 Table 7: Daily bi-directional Passenger Volume for IW2 at an average speed of 18km/h 38 Table 8: Station to Station Demands for IW1 for Years 2020, 2025 and 2035 for updated demand analysis 39 Table 9: Station to Station Demands for IW2 for Years 2020, 2025 and 2035 for updated demand analysis 40 Table 10: Fleet Requirement for IW1 40 Table 11: Fleet requirement for IW2 41 Table 12: Year 2017 Demand for IW1 42 Table 13: Year 2017 Demand for IW2 42 Table 14: Soffit levels of overhead structures along the IW1 43 Table 15: Summary of land ownership of proposed jetty locations 45 Table 16 Flood level frequency 48 Table 17: Proposed commercial developments along IW1 50 Table 18:Boat Specifications for IW1 60 Table 19:Final calculations of resistance and power by Mercier and Savitsky's method 61 Table 20: Preliminary Design of Catamaran Passenger Boat 62 Table 21: Resistance and Power calculations 63 Table 22 : Peak Demand Hour-Single Direction 72 Table 23 : Off-Peak Demand Hour-Single Direction 72 Table 24 : Usage Trend Projection 73 Table 25 : Results of financial modeling 74 Table 26 : Baseline Analysis 74 vii Table 27 : Price Sensitivity
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