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The Macroeconomic Effects of Universal Basic Income Programs
The Macroeconomic Effects of Universal Basic Income Programs Andre´ Victor Doherty Luduvice† University of Pennsylvania Job Market Paper This version: December 15, 2019 (click here for the latest version) Abstract What are the consequences of a nationwide reform of a transfer system based on means-testing towards one of unconditional transfers? I answer this question with a quantitative model to assess the general equilibrium, inequality, and welfare effects of substituting the current U.S. in- come security system with a Universal Basic Income (UBI) policy. To do so, I develop an overlap- ping generations model with idiosyncratic income risk that incorporates intensive and extensive margins of labor supply, on-the-job learning, and child-bearing costs. The tax-transfer system closely mimics the U.S. design. I calibrate the model to the U.S. economy and conduct coun- terfactual analyses that implement reforms towards a UBI. I find that an expenditure-neutral reform has moderate impacts on the labor supply response of agents but induces aggregate cap- ital and output to grow due to larger precautionary savings. A UBI of $ 1,000 monthly requires a substantial increase in the tax rate of consumption used to clear the government budget and leads to an overall decrease of the macroeconomic aggregates, stemming from a sharp drop in labor. In both cases, the economy has more disposable income but less consumption at the bottom of their distributions. The UBI economy constitutes a welfare loss at the transition if expenditure-neutral and results in a gain in the second scenario. Despite relative losses, a ma- jority of newborn households supports both UBI reforms. -
Ten Years of the Bolsa Família Program in Brazil and The
Ten years of the Bolsa Família Program in Brazil and the Perspectives of the Citizen’s Unconditional Basic Income in Brazil and in the World Eduardo Matarazzo Suplicy Eduardo Matarazzo Suplicy is currently a Brazilian Senator for the State of São Paulo, three times elected: in 1990, with 4.2 million or 30% of the valid votes; in 1998, with 7.6 million or 43% of the valid votes; and in 2006, with 8.986.803 or 47.8% of the valid votes. The Worker’s Party (PT) Direction in São Paulo, by unanimous vote, decided to indicate him again for a fourth mandate as Senator for the October 5 elections. The PT Convention that will officially nominate himwill be held in June 21. Suplicy was also a professor of Economics at the School of Business Administration of the Fundação Getúlio Vargas in São Paulo, from 1966 to 2012, when he retired. He received his MBA and PhD at Michigan State University. In 1971/2 he was a visiting scholar and a professor at Stanford University. Suplicy is the author of “The Effects of Mini devaluations in the Brazilian Economy”, his 1973 Ph.D thesis, published in 1974, by Fundação Getúlio Vargas; “International and Brazilian Economic Policies”, Editora Vozes, 1979; “Citizen’s Income. The exit is through the Door”, Editora Fundação Perseu Abramo and Cortez Editora 2002, 4th ed. in 2006 (Editions Calmann-Lévy, Editor of books of Marcel Proust and Celso Furtado, has just decided to publish this book in France); and “Citizen’s Basic Income. The Answer is Blowin´the Wind”, L&PM pocket, 2006, all of them in Portuguese. -
Universal Basic Income Versus Unemployment Insurance
IZA DP No. 8667 Universal Basic Income versus Unemployment Insurance Alice Fabre Stéphane Pallage Christian Zimmermann November 2014 DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit Institute for the Study of Labor Universal Basic Income versus Unemployment Insurance Alice Fabre Aix Marseille University (Aix Marseille School of Economics, CNRS & EHESS) Stéphane Pallage ESG UQAM and CIRPEE, Université du Québec à Montréal Christian Zimmermann Federal Reserve Bank of St-Louis, IZA, RCEA and CESifo Discussion Paper No. 8667 November 2014 IZA P.O. Box 7240 53072 Bonn Germany Phone: +49-228-3894-0 Fax: +49-228-3894-180 E-mail: [email protected] Any opinions expressed here are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but the institute itself takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in Bonn is a local and virtual international research center and a place of communication between science, politics and business. IZA is an independent nonprofit organization supported by Deutsche Post Foundation. The center is associated with the University of Bonn and offers a stimulating research environment through its international network, workshops and conferences, data service, project support, research visits and doctoral program. IZA engages in (i) original and internationally competitive research in all fields of labor economics, (ii) development of policy concepts, and (iii) dissemination of research results and concepts to the interested public. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. -
Kyle Davidson Colloquium 12/12/2019 Final Paper The
Kyle Davidson Colloquium 12/12/2019 Final Paper The Adverse Effects of Universal Basic Income as Proposed by Andrew Yang Every four years American politics see a plethora of innovative politicians testing their respective platforms as they run for the most prestigious political position in the world: The United States President. One seemingly reoccurring theme among recent leftist runner ups has been the radically socialist idea of universal basic income. In 2019, democratic entrepreneur and philanthropist Andrew Yang is promoting his campaign entirely based on such a proposal. Yang proposes the “Freedom Dividend” as a way to decrease poverty and increase prosperity within the States. Although, it’s hard to believe such a policy could be implemented in the United States recent trends in politics seem to indicate that this fate may be not as far away as we once thought. Yang believes it is time for the US to follow suit. However, upon further analysis universal basic income, as proposed by Andrew Yang’s campaign, will yields numerous glaring issues. The most prominent of these being funding issues, a decrease in labor force work incentive, and deadweight loss from taxation collection. It is best to first start with a basic definition of universal basic income. As defined by Yang’s campaign site, universal income is a form of social security that gives a predetermined amount of currency to every person within the desired population. No other requirement is necessary to receive the divided. For example, the person does not need to be actively searching for a job if they are unemployed. -
ELECTRONIC VIVANT- EUROPE N° 140 March 2017)
Rue de l’Escaille, 14 7070 Mignault (Belgium) EUROPE FR. Brasseur Jean-Paul 32 (0) 499 35 85 72 DE, FR, EN Meyer Joseph 32(0) 080-227689 [email protected] http://www.vivant-europe.eu Facebook : https://www.facebook.com/pages/Vivant- Europe/802200473187251 “Liberate work by removing its tax burden and finance social security by taxing the consumption of goods, which most often are produced by machine.” (+ unconditional Basic Income for all ) ELECTRONIC VIVANT- EUROPE N° 140 March 2017) Summary 0. Preliminary remark 1. The treaties of Rome are 60 years old Roger Van Campenhout 2. BenoÎt Hamon’s Presidential programme (France) A. Benoît Hamon’s rally in Paris January 2017 (extracts) B. Benoît Hamon’s rally in Lille on 27 January 2017 (extracts) C. Benoît Hamon’s speech at ‘La Mutualité’ (Paris) 3. Emmanuel macron*and the universal basic income 0. PRELIMINARY REMARK TO THIS ELECTRONIC LIVING-EUROPE NUMBER In their programme, Mr. François Fillon, Mr. Jean-Luc Mélanchon and Mr. Emmanuel Macron aim at restoring full employment. It is not the case for Mr. Benoît Hamon who justifies the need for a universal basic income by the fact that many jobs will disappear because of digitalisation. In fact, restoring full employment or not in France is still a problem for the future. Given this uncertainty Vivant-Europe believes that the universal basic income considered by Emmanuel Macron as an interesting idea is a prudential financial measure because it allows to avoid pauperisation of society, guarantees minimum purchasing power and does not condemn The unemployed to wait for the possible return of full employment. -
Concept of Freedom from the Socialist Perspectives of the Universal Basic Income แนวคิดเรื่องเสรีภาพจากมุมมองแบบสังคมนิยม ของทฤษฎีรายได้พื้นฐานสากล
วารสารปณิธาน Concept of Freedom from the Socialist perspectives Of the Universal Basic Income แนวคิดเรื่องเสรีภาพจากมุมมองแบบสังคมนิยม ของทฤษฎีรายได้พื้นฐานสากล Busara Rakphong1 บุศรา รักพงษ์ Abstract “Freedom” has always been a problem in Metaphysics. Humanity has been searching and fighting for it for a long time. It is not certain that freedom really exists. Surprisingly, restriction, as a contradiction of freedom, makes it possibly exist. “We are free,” does not seem to be completed until we state where or what we are free from. There are two main types of freedom: positive and negative freedoms. Positive freedom is freedom to do what one wants to do. Negative freedom is freedom from limitations. Humans are re- ally free when they are both positively and negatively free. Biopolitics and economic limitations are the main freedom 1Master student of Master of Arts in Philosophy, Faculty of Humanities, Chiang Mai University. This paper is a part of the thesis of “Concept of Freedom from the Socialist perspectives Of the Universal Basic Income” which Dr.Christopher Fisher is an advisor and Dr.Phisit Kotsupho is an co-advisor. 134 ปีที่ 13 ฉบับที่ 1 มกราคม - มิถุนายน 2560 Concept of Freedom from the Socialist perspectives Of the Universal Basic Income constraints people are confronted with today. People cannot be really free with these conditions and to unlock them we need to create tools to do so. The Universal Basic Income is a selected tool for unlocking to the real freedom. The result shows that it is possible for the Universal Basic -
The Citizen's Basic Income As an Instrument to Help the Transition to Democracy
The Citizen’s Basic Income to Build Democracy and Justice Essay presented to NOPOOR Project in Paris, June 12 2012 1 Eduardo Matarazzo Suplicy It is an honor for me to be invited to participate in this Kick-off Meeting of the NOPOOR Project, organized by the Development Institutions & Mondialization, DIAL, and the Institut de Recherche pour le Development, IRD, in Paris June 11th to 13th. It is, undoubtedly, a very relevant opportunity to exchange ideas about the experiences of so many countries, in the five continents, about how we can raise the level of justice in our societies, with freedom, by democratic means, so as to live with a sense of solidarity and peace. As a Brazilian Senator, member of the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores), author of Law 10.835/2004, that institutes a Citizen’s Basic Income to all residents of Brazil, including those foreigners who have lived in Brazil for five years or more, no matter the origin, race, sex, age or socioeconomic condition, and also Co-President of Honor of the Basic Income Earth Network – BIEN – I am happy to bring you information about what is going on in my country, and about the development of this proposal in other parts of the world. According to the law, approved by consensus of all parties, in December 2002 in the Federal Senate, and in December 2003, in the Chamber of Deputies, and then sanctioned by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in January 8th, 2004, the Citizen’s Basic Income will be an annual monetary benefit, equal to all, sufficient to attend the basic needs of each person. -
The Ethics and Economics of the Basic Income Guarantee
Georgetown University From the SelectedWorks of Karl Widerquist 2005 The thicE s and Economics of the Basic Income Guarantee Karl Widerquist Michael Lewis Steven Pressman Available at: https://works.bepress.com/widerquist/9/ 1 The Ethics and Economics of the Basic Income Guarantee This is an early version of a manuscript that was later published as: Karl Widerquist, Michael Anthony Lewis, and Steven Pressman (editors) The Ethics and Economics of the Basic Income Guarantee. Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2005 If you want to cite or quote it, please refer to the published version. If you have any questions, please contact me at: [email protected] v 2 The Ethics and Economics of the Basic Income Guarantee Contents List of Figures vii List of Tables viii List of Contributors x Preface xiii Acknowledgments 1 An Introduction to the Basic Income Guarantee 1 Michael Lewis, Steven Pressman, and Karl Widerquist Part One: History 2 In the Shadow of Speenhamland: Social Policy and the Old Poor Law 13 Fred Block and Margaret Somers 3 Inheritance and Equal Shares: Early American Views 55 John Cunliffe and Guido Erreygers 4 The Guaranteed Income Movement of the 1960s and 1970s 77 Robert Harris 5 A Retrospective on the Negative Income Tax Experiments: Looking 95 Back at the Most Innovate Field Studies in Social Policy Robert A. Levine, Harold Watts, Robinson Hollister, Walter Williams, Alice O’Connor, and Karl Widerquist Part Two: Debate 6 Basic Income in the United States: Redefining Citizenship in the 109 Liberal State Almaz Zelleke 7 Basic Income, Liberal Neutrality, Socialism, and Work 122 Michael W. -
Comparing Basic Income with Unemployment Benefits”, IZA Dp
A Basic Income Can Raise Employment and Welfare for a Majority Felix FitzRoy* Jim Jin** University of St. Andrews June 2015 JEL Classification Numbers: D30, D60, H20, Key Words: basic income, unemployment benefits, welfare Abstract With growing interest in a universal basic income (BI), we provide new results for a majority to benefit from replacing (some) unemployment benefits with BI. Given any income distribution and an extensive margin, such a replacement always benefits those remaining unemployed, raises utilitarian welfare, and benefits a poor - or even a working - majority. Similar results follow with involuntary unemployment, and joint distributions of wages and costs of work. Moreover, using quasi-linear utility with intensive margins, marginal introduction of BI can still benefit a large proportion of the poor whose productivities are below the average, without raising unemployment. Acknowledgements: Earlier versions were presented at the Royal Economic Society 2011 Conference, seminars at the Universities of Hamburg-HWWI, Dundee, St Andrews, and at the 15th BIEN Congress, 2014. Among many participants we are especially grateful to Ingrid Hohenleitner, Max Steinhardt, Thomas Straubhaar, Catia Montagna, Hassan Molana, David Ulph, Alan Sutherland, Tatiana Damjanovic, for their valuable comments and suggestions. The authors retain responsibility for errors and omissions. * School of Economics and Finance, University of St Andrews, St Andrews KY16 9AL, Scotland, UK, Tel. (01334)-462437, e-mail: [email protected] ** Corresponding -
The Effect of a Universal Basic Income on Life Decisions: Evidence from a Student Lab Experiment
University of South Dakota USD RED Honors Thesis Theses, Dissertations, and Student Projects Spring 2019 The Effect of a Universal Basic Income on Life Decisions: Evidence from a Student Lab Experiment Tyler Wenande University of South Dakota Follow this and additional works at: https://red.library.usd.edu/honors-thesis Recommended Citation Wenande, Tyler, "The Effect of a Universal Basic Income on Life Decisions: Evidence from a Student Lab Experiment" (2019). Honors Thesis. 69. https://red.library.usd.edu/honors-thesis/69 This Honors Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Theses, Dissertations, and Student Projects at USD RED. It has been accepted for inclusion in Honors Thesis by an authorized administrator of USD RED. For more information, please contact [email protected]. THE EFFECT OF A UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME ON LIFE DECISIONS: EVIDENCE FROM A STUDENT LAB EXPERIMENT by Tyler Wenande A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment Of the Requirements for the University Honors Program ________________________________________________________ Department of Political Science The University of South Dakota June 2019 ABSTRACT The Effect of a Universal Basic Income on Life Decisions: Evidence from a Student Lab Experiment Tyler Wenande Director: Shane Nordyke, Ph.D. A Universal Basic Income (UBI) is an unconditional cash transfer administered universally regardless of employment or economic status. A UBI, while typically thought of as a response to rising income inequality or threatening automation, has the potential to achieve a number of effects, only some of which are economic. And while a UBI could have positive effects, there are some critiques of UBI that warrant merit and will be examined in this paper after discussing the potential positive effects. -
Universal Basic Income Pilot Studies: CMS Report 3 |
REPORT OF THE COUNCIL ON MEDICAL SERVICE CMS Report 03-JUN-21 Subject: Universal Basic Income Pilot Studies (Resolution 236-A-19) Presented by: Lynda M. Young, MD, Chair Referred to: Reference Committee G 1 At the 2019 Annual Meeting, the House of Delegates referred Resolution 236, which was 2 sponsored by the Medical Student Section and asks that the American Medical Association (AMA) 3 support federal, state, local, and/or private Universal Basic Income pilot studies in the United 4 States that intend to measure health outcomes and access to care for participants. 5 6 This report provides background on Universal Basic Income (UBI) proposals, outlines potential 7 funding mechanisms for a UBI program, provides numerous examples of past and current UBI 8 pilot programs and, where available, any resulting outcomes, details relevant AMA policy, and 9 provides recommendations consistent with ongoing AMA advocacy efforts. 10 11 BACKGROUND 12 13 Some economists and policymakers argue that, although there was strong 3.4 percent growth in 14 gross domestic product (GDP) in 2019 and low rates of unemployment, those numbers conceal the 15 fact that many families are struggling financially. Wage growth remains stagnant, and nearly 1 in 16 10 employed adults work as contractors with limited job security and therefore employment 17 benefits such as health insurance and long-term financial security. Moreover, the novel coronavirus 18 (COVID-19) pandemic is severely exacerbating these health and economic issues. There have been 19 more than 48 million -
Universal Basic Income Proposals in Light of ILO Standards: Key Issues and Global Costing
ESS – EXTENSION OF SOCIAL SECURITY Universal Basic Income proposals in light of ILO standards: Key issues and global costing Isabel Ortiz Christina Behrendt Andrés Acuña-Ulate Quynh Anh Nguyen ESS ─ Working Paper No. 62 Social Protection Department INTERNATIONAL LABOUR OFFICE, GENEVA Copyright © International Labour Organization 2018 First published 2018 Publications of the International Labour Office enjoy copyright under Protocol 2 of the Universal Copyright Convention. Nevertheless, short excerpts from them may be reproduced without authorization, on condition that the source is indicated. For rights of reproduction or translation, application should be made to ILO Publications (Rights and Licensing), International Labour Office, CH-1211 Geneva 22, Switzerland, or by email: [email protected]. The International Labour Office welcomes such applications. Libraries, institutions and other users registered with a reproduction rights organization may make copies in accordance with the licences issued to them for this purpose. Visit www.ifrro.org to find the reproduction rights organization in your country. ISSN 1020-9581 ; 1020-959X (web pdf) The designations employed in ILO publications, which are in conformity with United Nations practice, and the presentation of material therein do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Labour Office concerning the legal status of any country, area or territory or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers. The responsibility for opinions expressed in signed articles, studies and other contributions rests solely with their authors, and publication does not constitute an endorsement by the International Labour Office of the opinions expressed in them. Reference to names of firms and commercial products and processes does not imply their endorsement by the International Labour Office, and any failure to mention a particular firm, commercial product or process is not a sign of disapproval.