Pension Risk Bulletin Readiness paid off in a turbulent year Volume 2 | Issue 1 | January 2021 Editorial Team Morneau Shepell publishes original content Marc Drolet, FCIA, FSA, CFA that provides insights for pension plan Principal, Asset & Risk Management sponsors and pension plan administrators 514 293-1571 on the topic of pension risk.
[email protected] Our goal is to draw upon our research and our experience to advance the conversation Véronique Lauzière, FCIA, FSA on a spectrum of topics related to pension Principal, Asset & Risk Management risk management and transfer. 514 231-3352
[email protected] Benoît Labrosse, FSA, CERA Partner, Asset & Risk Management 514 641-4556
[email protected] Key points • Overall, the Canadian Group Annuity Market was resilient in 2020 • Buy-in group annuities are becoming more popular, reinforcing the notion that they can produce a superior net risk adjusted return than LDI strategies • Market dislocations offer pension risk transfer opportunities • Level of pension risk transfer activities is expected to be high for 2021 and beyond 2020: Anatomy of the group annuity market In the face of the public health crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Canadian group annuity market, sponsors and insurers, has proven to be strong and resilient with an estimated volume of $4.5 billion, a figure not too far from 2019’s record-breaking year for Canada. Figure 1 – Canadian Pension Risk Transfer Market Evolution 5.5 $5.2B +13% 5.0 $4.6B ≈$4.5B $ Billions +25% 4.5 -13% 4.0 $3.7B +35% 2,630 3.5 1,759 1,700 3.0 $2.7B $2.5B $2.6B +6% 1,123 +11% +4% 2.5 $2.2B 2.0 1,120 694 1,194 733 1,070 1.5 1,474 2,269 1,280 717 659 1.0 871 1,342 595 332 178 693 0.5 1,020 580 705 379 935 457 435 0 180 356 47 260 108 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 The economic uncertainty and some regulatory restrictions introduced as a result of the crisis led to a volume of only $540M (12% of the 2020 volume) to be transacted during the first two quarters, which is a noticeable drop compared to prior years.