Partially Premixed Combustion (PPC) for Low Load Conditions in Marine Engines Using Computational and Experimental Techniques

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Partially Premixed Combustion (PPC) for Low Load Conditions in Marine Engines Using Computational and Experimental Techniques Aalto University School of Engineering Department of Energy Technology Kendra Shrestha Partially Premixed Combustion (PPC) for low load conditions in marine engines using computational and experimental techniques Espoo, May 31, 2013 Supervisor: Professor Martti Larmi Instructor: D.Sc. (Tech.) Ossi Kaario Aalto University, P.O. BOX 11000, 00076 AALTO www.aalto.fi Abstract of master's thesis Author Kendra Shrestha Title of thesis Partially Premixed Combustion (PPC) for low load conditions in marine engine using computational and experimental techniques Department Department of Energy Technology Professorship Internal Combustion Engine Code of professorship Kul-14 Thesis supervisor Professor Martti Larmi Thesis advisor(s) D.Sc. (Tech.) Ossi Kaario Date 31.05.2013 Number of pages 68 Language English Abstract Diesel Engine has been the most powerful and relevant source of power in the automobile industry for decades due to their excellent performance, efficiency and power. On the contrary, there are numerous environmental issues of the diesel engines hampering the environment. It has been a great challenge for the researchers and scientists to minimize these issues. In the recent years, sev- eral strategies have been introduced to eradicate the emissions of the diesel engines. Among them, Partially Premixed Combustion (PPC) is one of the most emerging and reliable strategies. PPC is a compression ignited combustion process in which ignition delay is controlled. PPC is intended to endow with better combustion with low soot and NOx emission. The engine used in the present study is a single-cylinder research engine, installed in Aalto Univer- sity Internal Combustion Engine Laboratory with the bore diameter of 200 mm. The thesis presents the validation of the measurement data with the simulated cases followed by the study of the spray impingement and fuel vapor mixing in PPC mode for different injection timing. A detailed study of the correlation of early injection with the fuel vapor distribution and wall impingement has been made. The simulations are carried out with the commercial CFD software STAR CD. Different injection parameters have been considered and taken into an account to lower the wall impingement and to produce better air-fuel mixing with the purpose of good combustion and reduction of the emissions. The result of the penetration length of the spray and the fuel vapor distribution for different early injection cases have been illustrated in the study. Comparisons of different thermodynamic proper- ties and spray analysis for different injection timing have been very clearly illustrated to get insight of effect of early injection. The parameters like injection timing, injection period, injection pres- sure, inclusion angle of the spray have an influence the combustion process in PPC mode. Exten- sive study has been made for each of these parameters to better understand their effects in the com- bustion process. Different split injection profiles have been implemented for the study of better fuel vapor distribution in the combustion chamber. The final part of the thesis includes the study of the combustion and implementation of EGR to control the temperature so as to get more prolonged ignition delay to accompany the PPC strategy for standard piston top and deep bowl piston top. With the injection optimization and implementa- tion of EGR, NOx has been reduced by around 44%, CO by 60% and Soot by 66% in the standard piston top. The piston optimization resulted in more promising result with 58% reduction in NOx, 55% reduction in CO and 67% reduction in Soot. In both cases the percentage of fuel burnt was increased by around 8%. Keywords PPC, CFD, Split Injection, Ignition delay, EGR Acknowledgement This master’s thesis has been carried out in Aalto University, Internal Combustion Engine Research Laboratory. This work has been carried out for Wärtislä as a research project to obtain optimal point using the PPC mode of combustion in the existing engine. I would like to express my gratitude to my Master’s thesis instructor D.Sc. (Tech) Ossi Kaario for his continuous support and guidance. I would also like to thank my thesis supervisor Prof. Martti Larmi for providing me the opportunity to work on this topic. Beside this, I would also like to thank Star CD support for answering my queries. I acknowledge Olli Ranta for his technical support to keep my computers and accessories updated. Furthermore, I would like to thank Matteo, Karri and Ville for their cooperation and constant assist. I would like to thank entire combustion research group for their invariable motivation and inspiration. I would like to thank my parents and all the family members for their continuous encouragement, love and care. Finally, I would like to share my thanks to Anju, Kendip, Santosh and the entire Nepalese community at the Aalto University for their continuous support and motivation. Special thanks to people of Finland for making life in Finland interesting and exciting. Espoo, May 31 2013 Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................. 1 1.1 Motivation ....................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Hercules C Project ........................................................................................... 2 1.3 Overview of the Document .............................................................................. 3 2. BACKGROUND.................................................................................................... 4 2.1 Literature Review ............................................................................................ 4 3. COMPUTATIONAL MODEL ............................................................................... 8 3.1 Engine Specification........................................................................................ 8 3.2 Computational Grid ......................................................................................... 8 3.3 Turbulence Model ........................................................................................... 9 3.4 Nozzle Flow Model ....................................................................................... 10 3.5 Atomization and Break-up Model for spray ................................................... 11 3.6 Spray Impingement Model ............................................................................ 12 3.7 Combustion Model ........................................................................................ 13 3.8 Emission Modeling ....................................................................................... 15 3.9 Computational Technique .............................................................................. 16 3.10 Initial Condition ............................................................................................ 17 3.11 Boundary Conditions ..................................................................................... 17 4. VALIDATION OF THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL ...................................... 19 5. SPRAY-WALL IMPINGEMENT AND FUEL VAPOR DISTRIBUTION ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................. 24 5.1 Current EVE Injection system ....................................................................... 24 5.2 Effect of Increased Injection Pressure ............................................................ 31 5.3 Sweep of Inclusion Angle with increased injection pressure .......................... 35 5.4 Spray-wall impingement and fuel vapor analysis in various piston bowl shapes 40 6. COMBUSTION MODE STUDY FOR PPC STRATEGY .................................... 43 6.1 Combustion Analysis in standard piston top .................................................. 43 6.2 Combustion Analysis in Deeper bowl piston top............................................ 51 7. CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................. 61 7.1 Fuel Vapor and Spray-Wall Impingement Analysis ....................................... 61 7.2 Combustion Analysis .................................................................................... 61 8. RECOMMENDATION FOR FUTURE WORK ................................................... 64 9. BIBILIOGRAPHY ............................................................................................... 65 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1 Motivation Diesel Engines have been the most relevant source of power in the automobile industries from decades because of their excellent performance, efficiency and power which is extensively used in transportation. The capability of energy conversion efficiency of diesel engines from the fuel combustion to mechanical output has been very high. On the other hand, the emissions produced by the engines are hampering the environment, causing global warming, greenhouse effect, acid rain and climate change. This has been the major environmental issue for researchers and scientists. Numerous studies focusing on the reduction of these negative impacts of diesel engines are evolving. In the recent years, several strategies and methods have been introduced to eradicate the emission of diesel engines in order to protect the earth from such environmental issues. The major sources of emission inhibiting the pollution are nitrogen oxides (NOx), carbon monoxide (CO), hydrocarbons (HCs) and the particulate
Recommended publications
  • Engine Components and Filters: Damage Profiles, Probable Causes and Prevention
    ENGINE COMPONENTS AND FILTERS: DAMAGE PROFILES, PROBABLE CAUSES AND PREVENTION Technical Information AFTERMARKET Contents 1 Introduction 5 2 General topics 6 2.1 Engine wear caused by contamination 6 2.2 Fuel flooding 8 2.3 Hydraulic lock 10 2.4 Increased oil consumption 12 3 Top of the piston and piston ring belt 14 3.1 Hole burned through the top of the piston in gasoline and diesel engines 14 3.2 Melting at the top of the piston and the top land of a gasoline engine 16 3.3 Melting at the top of the piston and the top land of a diesel engine 18 3.4 Broken piston ring lands 20 3.5 Valve impacts at the top of the piston and piston hammering at the cylinder head 22 3.6 Cracks in the top of the piston 24 4 Piston skirt 26 4.1 Piston seizure on the thrust and opposite side (piston skirt area only) 26 4.2 Piston seizure on one side of the piston skirt 27 4.3 Diagonal piston seizure next to the pin bore 28 4.4 Asymmetrical wear pattern on the piston skirt 30 4.5 Piston seizure in the lower piston skirt area only 31 4.6 Heavy wear at the piston skirt with a rough, matte surface 32 4.7 Wear marks on one side of the piston skirt 33 5 Support – piston pin bushing 34 5.1 Seizure in the pin bore 34 5.2 Cratered piston wall in the pin boss area 35 6 Piston rings 36 6.1 Piston rings with burn marks and seizure marks on the 36 piston skirt 6.2 Damage to the ring belt due to fractured piston rings 37 6.3 Heavy wear of the piston ring grooves and piston rings 38 6.4 Heavy radial wear of the piston rings 39 7 Cylinder liners 40 7.1 Pitting on the outer
    [Show full text]
  • Small Engine Parts and Operation
    1 Small Engine Parts and Operation INTRODUCTION The small engines used in lawn mowers, garden tractors, chain saws, and other such machines are called internal combustion engines. In an internal combustion engine, fuel is burned inside the engine to produce power. The internal combustion engine produces mechanical energy directly by burning fuel. In contrast, in an external combustion engine, fuel is burned outside the engine. A steam engine and boiler is an example of an external combustion engine. The boiler burns fuel to produce steam, and the steam is used to power the engine. An external combustion engine, therefore, gets its power indirectly from a burning fuel. In this course, you’ll only be learning about small internal combustion engines. A “small engine” is generally defined as an engine that pro- duces less than 25 horsepower. In this study unit, we’ll look at the parts of a small gasoline engine and learn how these parts contribute to overall engine operation. A small engine is a lot simpler in design and function than the larger automobile engine. However, there are still a number of parts and systems that you must know about in order to understand how a small engine works. The most important things to remember are the four stages of engine operation. Memorize these four stages well, and everything else we talk about will fall right into place. Therefore, because the four stages of operation are so important, we’ll start our discussion with a quick review of them. We’ll also talk about the parts of an engine and how they fit into the four stages of operation.
    [Show full text]
  • A Method of Fuel Testing in a CFR Engine
    Scholars' Mine Masters Theses Student Theses and Dissertations 1960 A method of fuel testing in a CFR engine George R. Baumgartner Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarsmine.mst.edu/masters_theses Part of the Mechanical Engineering Commons Department: Recommended Citation Baumgartner, George R., "A method of fuel testing in a CFR engine" (1960). Masters Theses. 5575. https://scholarsmine.mst.edu/masters_theses/5575 This thesis is brought to you by Scholars' Mine, a service of the Missouri S&T Library and Learning Resources. This work is protected by U. S. Copyright Law. Unauthorized use including reproduction for redistribution requires the permission of the copyright holder. For more information, please contact [email protected]. A METHOD OF FUEL TESTING IN A CFR ENGINE BY GEORGE R. BAUMGARTNER ----~--- A THESIS submitted to the faculty of the SCHOOL OF MINES AND METALLURGY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI in partial fulfillment of the work required for the Degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Rolla, Missouri 1960 _____ .. ____ .. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT The author would like to express his appreciation to Dr. A. J• Miles, Chairman of tho Mechanical Engineering Department, and Professor G. L. Scofield, Mechanical Engineering Department, for their guidance and interest in this investigation. Thanks are also dua Mr. Douglas Kline for his constant assistance while conducting the tests. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS Acknowledgement •••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• ii Contents•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••o••••••••••
    [Show full text]
  • Within the Industry
    GROWING GALLONS WITHIN THE INDUSTRY Propane autogas is the leading alternative fuel in world — powering more than 25 million vehicles worldwide. The U.S. propane-autogas-powered vehicle market lags in acceptance with just over 200,000 vehicles. The propane industry fleet accounts for a small, but growing, percentage of the overall population. Thanks to recent improvements in propane autogas fuel system technology, a growing number of propane marketers are choosing propane autogas rather than diesel and gasoline powered engines when they specify and purchase vehicles. The original objective of this paper was to define the status of converting the propane industry’s fleet to our fuel and identify barriers that were obstructing growth in this industry and others. In this edition, we want to share an industry status update as well as recent successes in the expansion of propane autogas. Today, more marketers are choosing propane autogas for their fleets. As this report outlines, propane autogas is providing significant overall total cost-of-ownership (TCO) savings that translates into profits for all marketers regardless of fleet size. PROPANE AUTOGAS VEHICLES of the current propane vehicles requires an investment, but that Like other transportation markets, the propane industry follows investment is paying off in many ways. Pickup trucks, manager and standard practices when specifying and purchasing class 1-8 service vehicles, bobtails, and cylinder rack trucks all are available vehicles to safely transport payload, optimize vehicle performance, from multiple brands in both dedicated and bi-fuel models. These and provide the highest possible returns for their stakeholders. options provide comparable performance to conventional fuels with Propane autogas is becoming the choice for many marketer fleets a much lower TCO and much quicker ROI.
    [Show full text]
  • Overview of Materials Used for the Basic Elements of Hydraulic Actuators and Sealing Systems and Their Surfaces Modification Methods
    materials Review Overview of Materials Used for the Basic Elements of Hydraulic Actuators and Sealing Systems and Their Surfaces Modification Methods Justyna Skowro ´nska* , Andrzej Kosucki and Łukasz Stawi ´nski Institute of Machine Tools and Production Engineering, Lodz University of Technology, ul. Stefanowskiego 1/15, 90-924 Lodz, Poland; [email protected] (A.K.); [email protected] (Ł.S.) * Correspondence: [email protected] Abstract: The article is an overview of various materials used in power hydraulics for basic hydraulic actuators components such as cylinders, cylinder caps, pistons, piston rods, glands, and sealing systems. The aim of this review is to systematize the state of the art in the field of materials and surface modification methods used in the production of actuators. The paper discusses the requirements for the elements of actuators and analyzes the existing literature in terms of appearing failures and damages. The most frequently applied materials used in power hydraulics are described, and various surface modifications of the discussed elements, which are aimed at improving the operating parameters of actuators, are presented. The most frequently used materials for actuators elements are iron alloys. However, due to rising ecological requirements, there is a tendency to looking for modern replacements to obtain the same or even better mechanical or tribological parameters. Sealing systems are manufactured mainly from thermoplastic or elastomeric polymers, which are characterized by Citation: Skowro´nska,J.; Kosucki, low friction and ensure the best possible interaction of seals with the cooperating element. In the A.; Stawi´nski,Ł. Overview of field of surface modification, among others, the issue of chromium plating of piston rods has been Materials Used for the Basic Elements discussed, which, due, to the toxicity of hexavalent chromium, should be replaced by other methods of Hydraulic Actuators and Sealing of improving surface properties.
    [Show full text]
  • Swampʼs Diesel Performance Tips to Help Remove and Install Power
    Injectors-Chips-Clutches-Transmissions-Turbos-Engines-Fuel Systems Swampʼs Diesel Performance Competition Parts For Your Diesel 304-A Sand Hill Rd. La Vergne, TN 37086 Tel 615-793-5573 or (866) 595-8724/ Fax 615-793-5572 Email: [email protected] Tips to help remove and install Power Stroke injectors. Removal: After removing the valve covers and the valve cover gaskets, but before removing any injectors, drain the oil rails by removing the drain plugs inside the valve cover. On 94-97 trucks theyʼre just under where the electrical connectors are on the gasket. These plugs are very tight; give them a sharp blow with a hammer and punch to help break them loose, then use a 1/8" Allen wrench. The oil will drain out into the valve train area and from there into the crankcase. Donʼt drop the plugs down the push rod holes! Also remove one of the plugs on top of each oil rail, (beside where the lines from the High Pressure Oil Pump enter) for a vent to allow air to enter so the oil can drain. The plugs are 5/8”. Inspect the plug O-rings and replace if necessary. If the plugs under the covers leak, it will cause a substantial loss of performance. When removing the injectors, oil and fuel from the passages in the cylinder head drains down through the injector bore into the cylinders. If not removed, this can hydro-lock the engine when cranking. There is a ~40cc dish in the center of each piston. Fluid accumulates in it, as well as in the corner on the outside of the piston between the piston top and the cylinder wall, due to the 45* slope of the cylinder bank.
    [Show full text]
  • A Review of Performance-Enhancing Innovative Modifications in Biodiesel Engines
    energies Review A Review of Performance-Enhancing Innovative Modifications in Biodiesel Engines T. M. Yunus Khan 1,2 1 Research Center for Advanced Materials Science (RCAMS), King Khalid University, PO Box 9004, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia; [email protected] 2 Department of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, King Khalid University, Abha 61421, Saudi Arabia Received: 1 August 2020; Accepted: 24 August 2020; Published: 26 August 2020 Abstract: The ever-increasing demand for transport is sustained by internal combustion (IC) engines. The demand for transport energy is large and continuously increasing across the globe. Though there are few alternative options emerging that may eliminate the IC engine, they are in a developing stage, meaning the burden of transportation has to be borne by IC engines until at least the near future. Hence, IC engines continue to be the prime mechanism to sustain transportation in general. However, the scarcity of fossil fuels and its rising prices have forced nations to look for alternate fuels. Biodiesel has been emerged as the replacement of diesel as fuel for diesel engines. The use of biodiesel in the existing diesel engine is not that efficient when it is compared with diesel run engine. Therefore, the biodiesel engine must be suitably improved in its design and developments pertaining to the intake manifold, fuel injection system, combustion chamber and exhaust manifold to get the maximum power output, improved brake thermal efficiency with reduced fuel consumption and exhaust emissions that are compatible with international standards. This paper reviews the efforts put by different researchers in modifying the engine components and systems to develop a diesel engine run on biodiesel for better performance, progressive combustion and improved emissions.
    [Show full text]
  • And Heavy-Duty Truck Fuel Efficiency Technology Study – Report #2
    DOT HS 812 194 February 2016 Commercial Medium- and Heavy-Duty Truck Fuel Efficiency Technology Study – Report #2 This publication is distributed by the U.S. Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, in the interest of information exchange. The opinions, findings and conclusions expressed in this publication are those of the author and not necessarily those of the Department of Transportation or the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. The United States Government assumes no liability for its content or use thereof. If trade or manufacturers’ names or products are mentioned, it is because they are considered essential to the object of the publication and should not be construed as an endorsement. The United States Government does not endorse products or manufacturers. Suggested APA Format Citation: Reinhart, T. E. (2016, February). Commercial medium- and heavy-duty truck fuel efficiency technology study – Report #2. (Report No. DOT HS 812 194). Washington, DC: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. TECHNICAL REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE 1. Report No. 2. Government Accession No. 3. Recipient's Catalog No. DOT HS 812 194 4. Title and Subtitle 5. Report Date Commercial Medium- and Heavy-Duty Truck Fuel Efficiency February 2016 Technology Study – Report #2 6. Performing Organization Code 7. Author(s) 8. Performing Organization Report No. Thomas E. Reinhart, Institute Engineer SwRI Project No. 03.17869 9. Performing Organization Name and Address 10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS) Southwest Research Institute 6220 Culebra Rd. 11. Contract or Grant No. San Antonio, TX 78238 GS-23F-0006M/DTNH22- 12-F-00428 12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address 13.
    [Show full text]
  • Instructions Pro-Stage Ii ™ Throttle Control System
    K+R Performance Engineering, Inc. INSTRUCTIONS PRO-STAGE II ä THROTTLE CONTROL SYSTEM Congratulations on your selection of the Pro-Stage II ä Throttle Control System. This top quality unit utilizes twin precision pneumatic actuators for smooth, consistent throttle control, round after round. The use of two actuators allows you to set two different throttle settings, one near idle setting for staging with the Pro-Stage ä system, and another partial throttle setting for down-track E.T. control. Speed controls on the solenoid/valve body assembly give you precise control of throttle opening and closing rates to solve engine stumble and tire spin problems. All components of the system have been carefully selected for corrosion-resistance and long service life with very little maintenance. The Pro-Stage ä system1 is designed to improve driver concentration and reaction time consistency on both Pro and Full (bracket) trees. Control for this system is included in our complete line of Pro-Cubeâ delay box/timer units. BEFORE YOU BEGIN 1. Read all instructions and make sure you understand the operation of the control before you modify your throttle linkage or change any settings or adjustments on the control. 2. Your car MUST have a positive throttle pedal stop such as a bolt or tubular brace fastened to the chassis. Lack of a solid pedal stop could result in consistency problems. 3. SPECIAL NOTE: Factory type throttle cables will NOT work. These cables were not designed for race applications. This system requires a quality after-market “Morse” style cable or solid “rod type” linkage.
    [Show full text]
  • Diesel Engine Starting Systems Are As Follows: a Diesel Engine Needs to Rotate Between 150 and 250 Rpm
    chapter 7 DIESEL ENGINE STARTING SYSTEMS LEARNING OBJECTIVES KEY TERMS After reading this chapter, the student should Armature 220 Hold in 240 be able to: Field coil 220 Starter interlock 234 1. Identify all main components of a diesel engine Brushes 220 Starter relay 225 starting system Commutator 223 Disconnect switch 237 2. Describe the similarities and differences Pull in 240 between air, hydraulic, and electric starting systems 3. Identify all main components of an electric starter motor assembly 4. Describe how electrical current flows through an electric starter motor 5. Explain the purpose of starting systems interlocks 6. Identify the main components of a pneumatic starting system 7. Identify the main components of a hydraulic starting system 8. Describe a step-by-step diagnostic procedure for a slow cranking problem 9. Describe a step-by-step diagnostic procedure for a no crank problem 10. Explain how to test for excessive voltage drop in a starter circuit 216 M07_HEAR3623_01_SE_C07.indd 216 07/01/15 8:26 PM INTRODUCTION able to get the job done. Many large diesel engines will use a 24V starting system for even greater cranking power. ● SEE FIGURE 7–2 for a typical arrangement of a heavy-duty electric SAFETY FIRST Some specific safety concerns related to starter on a diesel engine. diesel engine starting systems are as follows: A diesel engine needs to rotate between 150 and 250 rpm ■ Battery explosion risk to start. The purpose of the starting system is to provide the torque needed to achieve the necessary minimum cranking ■ Burns from high current flow through battery cables speed.
    [Show full text]
  • Analysis of a Single Cylinder Combustion Engine Using CFD
    International Journal of Innovative Technology and Exploring Engineering (IJITEE) ISSN: 2278-3075, Volume-2 Issue-5, April 2013 Analysis of a Single Cylinder Combustion Engine using CFD G.SureshBabu, S.D.V.S.Jagadeesh, U.B.Saicharan, P.R.S.Praneeth Abstract -If we consider the reasons for the Environmental Constructional details of I.C. Engines Pollution from the last few decades, it is clear that most of the A cross-section of an air-cooled I.C. engine with principal pollution is because of the hike in the usage of “Fossil fuels” in parts is shown in the transportation. Our attempts to build much energy efficient Fig. (Air-cooled I.C. engine). vehicles and demand for these vehicles are increasing accordingly. A. Parts common to both Petrol and Diesel engine: From the practical observations we can clearly understand that 1. Cylinder, the UN-burnt fuels in the combustion chamber of an automobile engine causes the pollution and this UN-burnt fuels (carbon 2. Cylinder head, particles) will come out through muffler present to the 3. Piston, automobile, which causes the pollution in the environment by 4. Piston rings, releasing them. Our project is to understand these effects in a 5. Gudgeon pin, much more meticulous way and suggest few developments that 6. Connecting rod, can be made in this particular field. 7. Crankshaft, For this we would like to take up the case study of the single 8. Crank, cylinder spark ignition engine of 4 stroke and their current 9. Engine bearing, efficiency level and the major drawbacks of them.
    [Show full text]
  • Shifting Gears: the Effect of a Future Decline in Diesel Market Share On
    WHITE PAPER JULY 2017 SHIFTING GEARS: THE EFFECTS OF A FUTURE DECLINE IN DIESEL MARKET SHARE ON TAILPIPE CO2 AND NOX EMISSIONS IN EUROPE Sonsoles Díaz, Josh Miller, Peter Mock, Ray Minjares, Susan Anenberg, Dan Meszler www.theicct.org [email protected] BEIJING | BERLIN | BRUSSELS | SAN FRANCISCO | WASHINGTON ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors thank the reviewers of this report for their guidance and constructive comments, with special thanks to Anup Bandivadekar, John German, Uwe Tietge, Dan Rutherford and two anonymous reviewers. For additional information: International Council on Clean Transportation Europe Neue Promenade 6, 10178 Berlin +49 (30) 847129-102 [email protected] | www.theicct.org | @TheICCT © 2017 International Council on Clean Transportation Funding for this work was generously provided by the ClimateWorks Foundation and Stiftung Mercator. SHIFTING GEARS: THE EFFECTS OF A FUTURE DECLINE IN DIESEL MARKET SHARE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Diesel vehicles currently account for more than half of new light-duty vehicle registrations in Europe. Previous ICCT analyses of the costs of attaining more stringent CO2 emission standards assumed a constant diesel market share in future years. However, the diesel market share in Europe could decrease in future years as a result of a combination of forces, including changing consumer choices in the wake of the defeat device scandal; vehicle manufacturers shifting away from diesel technology in response to tighter NOX emission standards and real-driving emissions testing; availability of cheaper and more powerful electric and hybrid cars; and government programs to discourage diesel vehicle use (e.g., by restricting their circulation, or increasing taxes on diesel fuel). A decreasing market share of diesel passenger cars could have broad implications for the cost of attaining CO2 emission targets and the magnitude of fleetwide NOX emissions.
    [Show full text]