Fight Brewing Over Trump New Fed Nominee Judy Shelton

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Fight Brewing Over Trump New Fed Nominee Judy Shelton

This document is being provided publicly in the following form. Please subscribe to FSInsight.com for more. Members Area Fed Watch Fight Brewing Over Trump New Fed Nominee Judy Shelton Fed Watch Fight Brewing Over Trump New Fed Nominee Judy Shelton February 7, 2020 Vito J. Racanelli SENIOR EDITOR & MARKET INTELLIGENCE ANALYST Just when you thought it would be a quiet time for the Federal Reserve, with the Fed Open Market Committee set to keep rates stable for a while, President Donald Trump stirs things up again. I’m referring to his recent nomination of economist Judy Shelton to the Fed’s board of governors. A recent Wall Street Journal story said it could turn on how she explains to lawmakers her heterodox views on policy issues including central-bank independence, interest rates and the gold standard. He also nominated St. Louis Fed economist Christopher Waller. Shelton, once U.S. envoy to the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and an informal Trump advisor to his 2016 campaign, has pushed for returning to some kind of gold standard, a relatively unorthodox view among economists. Shelton appears to be somewhat lukewarm on Fed’s independence from the executive branch and defended Mr. Trump’s call for lower interest rates, reversing her years of calls for higher rates, the WSJ reported. Both these ideas could be hard to get by her Senate confirmation. She has appeared to flip-flop on rates, being against moves to lower rates when Barack Obama was president but now in favor of Trump’s call for lower rates. Hmmm. Separately, the U.S. Treasury Dept. last week provided details about plans to auction 20-year bonds in the first half of 2020. They will be issued each quarter, in February, May, August and November. The government didn’t say when the first would be issued or the size. Remember, the Treasury had broached the subject of selling 50-year and 100-year bonds but the demand doesn’t seem to be there. The government spent $1.02 trillion more in 2019 than it took in, the Treasury said last month, the highest calendar-year deficit in seven years. I’ll add that’s not particularly auspicious for future generations. The NY Fed continues to add tens of billions of dollars in temporary liquidity to financial markets, through overnight repurchase agreements, or repo, and 14-day repo intervention. As a result, since September the Fed’s has risen back to $4.2 trillion from $3.8 trillion. The CME Fed futures market, historically a good indicator of rate trends, puts a 53% rate change probability (reduction) in July. The U.S. Treasury 10-yr note yield was around 1.58%, up from 1.51% last week. Upcoming: 3/17-18 – FOMC meeting. No action expected. Vito J. Racanelli SENIOR EDITOR & MARKET INTELLIGENCE ANALYST Disclosures (show).

Copy Link

Recommended publications

Congressional Record—Senate S7023
November 17, 2020 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — SENATE S7023 Sinema Tillis Young The result was announced—yeas 52, Member of the Board of Governors of Sullivan Toomey Thune Wicker nays 44, as follows: the Federal Reserve System for the un- [Rollcall Vote No. 232 Ex.] expired term of fourteen years from NAYS—44 YEAS—52 February 1, 2010, shall be brought to a Baldwin Hassan Rosen close? Bennet Heinrich Sanders Barrasso Gardner Portman The yeas and nays are mandatory Blumenthal Hirono Schatz Blackburn Graham Risch Blunt Hawley under the rule. Booker Jones Schumer Roberts Boozman Hoeven Brown Kaine Shaheen Romney The clerk will call the roll. Braun Hyde-Smith Cantwell King Smith Rounds The bill clerk called the roll. Cardin Klobuchar Burr Inhofe Rubio Mr. THUNE. The following Senators Stabenow Capito Johnson Carper Leahy Tester Sasse are necessarily absent: the Senator Casey Markey Cassidy Kennedy Scott (SC) Udall Collins Lankford from Tennessee (Mr. ALEXANDER), the Coons Menendez Shelby Van Hollen Cornyn Lee Cortez Masto Merkley Sinema Senator from Iowa (Mr. GRASSLEY), and Warner Cotton Loeffler Duckworth Murphy Sullivan the Senator from Florida (Mr. SCOTT). Warren Cramer Manchin Durbin Murray Thune Further, if present and voting, the Feinstein Whitehouse Crapo McConnell Peters Tillis Gillibrand Reed Wyden Cruz McSally Senator from Tennessee (Mr. ALEX- Daines Moran Toomey ANDER) would have voted ‘‘nay,’’ the Wicker NOT VOTING—4 Enzi Murkowski Senator from Florida (Mr. SCOTT) Young Alexander Harris Ernst Paul would have voted ‘‘yea,’’ and the Sen- Grassley Scott (FL) Fischer Perdue ator from Iowa (Mr. GRASSLEY) would The PRESIDING OFFICER. The yeas NAYS—44 have voted ‘‘yea.’’ are 52, the nays are 44.
[Show full text]
Washington Update
July 24, 2020 Washington Update This Week In Congress Senate – The Senate passed the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for FY2021 (S. 4049) and confirmed the nomination of Russell Vought to be Director of the Office of Management and Budget. House – The House passed its version of the NDAA for FY2021 (H.R. 6395), as well as the Great American Outdoors Act (H.R. 1957), the National Origin-Based Antidiscrimination for Nonimmigrants Act (H.R. 2214), and a “minibus” package of State & Foreign Operations, Military Construction & Veterans Affairs, Agriculture, and Interior & Environment appropriations bills (H.R. 7608). Next Week In Congress Senate – Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) announced that Senate Republicans will release their COVID-19 response proposal on Monday. Negotiations on the bill are expected to begin shortly thereafter. The Senate will continue its consideration of judicial and federal agency nominations. House – The House is expected to consider a “minibus” package of Defense, Commerce, Justice, and Science, Energy and Water Development, Financial Services and General Government, Homeland Security, Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, Transportation, Housing, and Urban Development appropriations bills (H.R. 7617). The House may also vote on the Water Resources Development Act of 2020 (H.R. 7575), the Child Care for Economic Recovery Act (H.R.7327), and the Child Care Is Essential Act (H.R. 7027). TAX Senate Republicans Set to Unveil COVID Package Next Week as Several CARES Act Provisions are About to Expire Key Points: . Provisions in the CARES Act are set to expire at the end of July, and Members of Congress have put forth a number of bills to address the expirations.
[Show full text]
Download the Full What Happened Collection [PDF]
American Compass December 2020 WHAT HAPPENED THE TRUMP PRESIDENCY IN REVIEW AMERICAN COMPASS is a 501(c)(3) non-profit organization, launched in May 2020 with a mission to restore an economic consensus that emphasizes the importance of family, community, and industry to the nation’s liberty and prosperity— REORIENTING POLITICAL FOCUS from growth for its own sake to widely shared economic development that sustains vital social institutions; SETTING A COURSE for a country in which families can achieve self-sufficiency, contribute productively to their communities, and prepare the next generation for the same; and HELPING POLICYMAKERS NAVIGATE the limitations that markets and government each face in promoting the general welfare and the nation’s security. www.americancompass.org [email protected] What Happened: The Trump Presidency in Review Table of Contents FOREWORD: THE WORK REMAINS President Trump told many important truths, but one also has to act by Daniel McCarthy 1 INTRODUCTION 4 TOO FEW OF THE PRESIDENT’S MEN An iconoclast’s administration will struggle to find personnel both experienced and aligned by Rachel Bovard 5 A POPULISM DEFERRED Trump’s transitional presidency lacked the vision and agenda necessary to let go of GOP orthodoxy by Julius Krein 11 THE POTPOURRI PRESIDENCY A decentralized and conflicted administration was uniquely inconsistent in its policy actions by Wells King 17 SOME LIKE IT HOT Unsustainable economic stimulus at an expansion’s peak, not tax cuts or tariffs, fueled the Trump boom by Oren Cass 23 Copyright © 2020 by American Compass, Inc. Electronic versions of these articles with hyperlinked references are available at www.americancompass.org.
[Show full text]
American Nephrology Nurses Association |
American Nephrology Nurses Association Daily Capitol Hill Update – Tuesday, February 11, 2020 (The following information comes from Bloomberg Government Website) Schedules: White House and Congress WHITE HOUSE President Trump has intelligence briefing at 1:45pm; participates in signing ceremony for S. 153, a Veterans career bill at 3:45pm CONGRESS House meets at 10am, first votes predicted 1:30pm-2pm Congressional, Health Policy, and Political News Trump Projects Medicare, Medicaid Savings: Trump’s proposed budget projects that taxpayers would save $920 billion for Medicaid and $756 billion for Medicare over 10 years. But there’s a catch: All the policies it proposes need to be implemented to achieve those savings. Many of those policies, however, are either tied up in court or facing other opposition. o For Medicaid, the Health and Human Services Department’s annual budget proposal presumes that expanded work requirements, tighter beneficiary eligibility screening, and capped or “block grant” state funding will all go into effect. Similarly, the HHS budget says taxpayers could save $756 billion in Medicare through 2030 by reducing fraud and waste and relying on lower payments to hospitals through “site- neutral” payment policies. Drug Pricing Executive Order: Trump is considering taking executive action to lower drug prices ahead of the 2020 election, officials familiar with the matter say, as he enters his re- election seeking to rebut Democratic criticisms that his policies have hurt U.S. health care. If he proceeds, he would force drugmakers to take lower payments from Medicare for treatments administered in doctors’ offices, such as Bristol-Myers Squibb’s immune- boosting Opdivo for cancer and Regeneron’s Eylea for eye conditions.
[Show full text]
Administration of Donald J. Trump, 2019 Digest of Other White House
Administration of Donald J. Trump, 2019 Digest of Other White House Announcements December 31, 2019 The following list includes the President's public schedule and other items of general interest announced by the Office of the Press Secretary and not included elsewhere in this Compilation. January 1 In the afternoon, the President posted to his personal Twitter feed his congratulations to President Jair Messias Bolsonaro of Brazil on his Inauguration. In the evening, the President had a telephone conversation with Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel. During the day, the President had a telephone conversation with President Abdelfattah Said Elsisi of Egypt to reaffirm Egypt-U.S. relations, including the shared goals of countering terrorism and increasing regional stability, and discuss the upcoming inauguration of the Cathedral of the Nativity and the al-Fatah al-Aleem Mosque in the New Administrative Capital and other efforts to advance religious freedom in Egypt. January 2 In the afternoon, in the Situation Room, the President and Vice President Michael R. Pence participated in a briefing on border security by Secretary of Homeland Security Kirstjen M. Nielsen for congressional leadership. January 3 In the afternoon, the President had separate telephone conversations with Anamika "Mika" Chand-Singh, wife of Newman, CA, police officer Cpl. Ronil Singh, who was killed during a traffic stop on December 26, 2018, Newman Police Chief Randy Richardson, and Stanislaus County, CA, Sheriff Adam Christianson to praise Officer Singh's service to his fellow citizens, offer his condolences, and commend law enforcement's rapid investigation, response, and apprehension of the suspect.
[Show full text]
Voters Approve Active Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Oppose Trump’S Fed Chair-In- Waiting
VOTERS APPROVE ACTIVE FISCAL AND MONETARY POLICY, OPPOSE TRUMP’S FED CHAIR-IN- WAITING Ethan Winter Sam Bell May 2020 The coronavirus pandemic has plunged the fiscal policy? And how much support is there for economy into recession. Unemployment has new Federal Reserve powers that would allow spiked and growth has stalled. direct support to households? In the meantime, nominees Judy Shelton and To test voters’ attitudes towards the Fed, Data Chris Waller are being considered for positions on for Progress conducted two surveys. The first the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. was of 2,427 likely voters and conducted from February 17 through February 18, 2020. The Shelton spent the worst years of the Great second ran from April 25, 2020 to April 26, 2020 Recession advocating for the gold standard and consisted of 1,741 likely voters. Questions and deriding low interest rates. Rather than ranged from specific policies the Fed could adopt, monetary flexibility, she advocates a global perceptions of the economy more generally, and common currency fixed to a tangible asset. She opinions about proposals that Judy Shelton, told Politico in 2017, “I would be in favor of a a President Trump appointee to the Fed, has very future-oriented, neutral reference point historically supported. that is universally accepted... It doesn’t have to be gold but I don’t know what would be better.” Her First, we asked voters about whether the Fed proposals would put monetary policy in the hands should have the power to provide money directly of speculators in gold, oil or foreign currencies.
[Show full text]
Post-Election Analysis November 9, 2020
1 RICH FEUER ANDERSON Post-Election Analysis November 9, 2020 INTRODUCTION Election Day turned into Election Week however, President-elect Joe Biden exceeded the 270-vote Electoral College threshold and received more than 75 million votes nationwide – the most ever – and is set to be sworn in as the 46th president of the United States on January 20th. Control of the Senate is still unclear (races were called in Michigan and Maine since our last update), since both races in Georgia are headed for runoffs on January 5th. As the Electoral College process to cast and certify electoral votes will occur over the next two months, we expect the Trump campaign to continue to pursue legal challenges and seek recounts over the results in the meantime. We’ve provided our initial analysis on what to expect in the coming weeks and months with an incoming President-elect Biden and a likely divided Congress. OVERVIEW OF Here are our key takeaways from this week: • Despite election night results favoring President Trump, once mail-in and absentee LECTION ESULTS E R ballots were counted, Biden prevailed in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nevada with all major news outlets calling the race on Saturday. Biden is also ahead in Arizona and Georgia – Arizona has been called by some news outlets but not others, and Georgia is headed to a recount. • The Senate majority will come down to the two runoff elections in Georgia on January 5th after both Republican incumbents Sens. Perdue and Loeffler did not meet the required 50% vote threshold. The Senate makeup is currently 48-48 and we expect Republicans to hold onto seats in Alaska (Sullivan) and North Carolina (Tillis).
[Show full text]
1 | Page Velocity Update December 4
Velocity Update December 4, 2020 Congressional Schedule. Both the Senate and House are in session. (More below.) 2020 Election and Transition While there are a handful of states still in the process of certifying the election outcome, all the states in which President Trump’s campaign has tried to overturn or prevent the official certification of the results have certified Joe Biden as the winner. Last week, even as the president called the leaders of the Michigan legislature to the White House for a meeting and amid some last-minute drama with the state canvassing board, Michigan certified its election results. The Trump campaign paid for a recount in two Wisconsin counties, which was completed on Nov. 29 and confirmed that Biden won the state by over 20,000 votes (Biden’s lead actually increased by 87 votes). Georgia completed their second recount, and once again affirmed that Biden won the state. Challenges to the outcome. So far, the Trump campaign has offered 42 court challenges related to the election. They’ve lost 41 of those challenges (the one win was related to the time voters could cure, or fix, mailed in ballots). On Thursday, the Wisconsin Supreme Court declined to hear a challenge to the election results, and the Pennsylvania Supreme Court unanimously denied a request to stay its dismissal of a lawsuit seeking to overturn Biden’s victory there. Attorney General Bill Barr also said publicly this week that he has “not seen fraud on a scale that could have effected a different outcome in the election.” However, many Republicans continue to call the election undecided, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, who responded to a reporter’s policy question by saying “Let’s wait until who’s sworn in, and we can discuss that.” Rep.
[Show full text]
Biden Chooses Yellen to Lead U.S. Treasury
P2JW329000-6-A00100-17FFFF5178F ****** TUESDAY,NOVEMBER 24, 2020 ~VOL. CCLXXVI NO.124 WSJ.com HHHH $4.00 DJIA 29591.27 À 327.79 1.1% NASDAQ 11880.63 À 0.2% STOXX 600 388.84 g 0.2% 10-YR. TREAS. g 9/32 , yield 0.857% OIL $43.06 À $0.64 GOLD $1,837.80 g $34.80 EURO $1.1842 YEN 104.55 The Face of Hong Kong Activism Awaits Jail What’s Biden Chooses News Ye llen to Lead Business&Finance U.S. Treasury iden plans to nominate B former FedChairwoman Janet Yellen, an economist at President-elect JoeBiden firstwoman to lead the Fed, the forefront of policy-making plans to nominateformer Fed- would become the firstperson forthree decades,tobecome eral ReserveChairwoman Janet to have headed the Treasury, the next Treasurysecretary. A1 Yellen, an economist at the the central bank and the forefront of policy-making for WhiteHouse Council of Eco- TheU.S.economy contin- three decades,tobecome the nomic Advisers. ues to recoverfromthe pan- next Treasury secretary, ac- Ms.Yellen declined to com- demic-induced downturn, ac- cording to people familiar with ment on Monday. cording to businesssurveys the decision. Separately,Mr. Biden’s tran- that showservices and manu- sition team said he would nom- facturing activity growing By Nick Timiraos, inateAlejandroMayorkas to despiterising infections. A2 Kate Davidson lead the Department of Home- U.S. stocks rose, with and Ken Thomas land Security and Avril Haines theDow,S&P 500 and Nas- as director of national intelli- daq advancing 1.1%, 0.6% If confirmed by the Senate, gence.
[Show full text]
Administration of Donald J. Trump, 2020 Digest of Other White House
Administration of Donald J. Trump, 2020 Digest of Other White House Announcements December 31, 2020 The following list includes the President's public schedule and other items of general interest announced by the Office of the Press Secretary and not included elsewhere in this Compilation. January 1 In the morning, the President traveled to the Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, FL. In the afternoon, the President returned to his private residence at the Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, FL, where he remained overnight. The President announced the designation of the following individuals as members of a Presidential delegation to attend the World Economic Forum in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland, from January 20 through January: Steven T. Mnuchin (head of delegation); Wilbur L. Ross, Jr.; Eugene Scalia; Elaine L. Chao; Robert E. Lighthizer; Keith J. Krach; Ivanka M. Trump; Jared C. Kushner; and Christopher P. Liddell. January 2 In the morning, the President traveled to the Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, FL. In the afternoon, the President returned to his private residence at the Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, FL, where he remained overnight. During the day, President had a telephone conversation with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey to discuss bilateral and regional issues, including the situation in Libya and the need for deescalation of the conflict in Idlib, Syria, in order to protect civilians. January 3 In the morning, the President was notified of the successful U.S. strike in Baghdad, Iraq, that killed Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran, commander of the Quds Force.
[Show full text]
Breakfast Club
Wednesday, 18 Nov 2020 Breakfast Club Good morning, we have another good news from the U.S. Reuters reported the House of Representatives unanimously approved legislation to reform the Federal Aviation Administration’s aircraft certification process after two fatal Boeing 737 MAX crashes in Indonesia and Ethiopia which killed 346 people. The bill requires an expert panel to evaluate Boeing Co’s safety culture and to recommend improvements, and mandates that aircraft manufacturers adopt safety management systems and complete system safety assessments for significant design changes. In addition, the bill would extend airline whistleblower protections to U.S. manufacturing employees, require FAA approval of new workers who are performing delegated certification tasks, and impose civil penalties on those who interfere with the performance of FAA-authorized duties. The 737 MAX has been grounded since March 2019 but the FAA is set on Wednesday to approve the plane’s return to service after a lengthy review, new software safeguards and training upgrades. Moving on to another interesting issue, Bloomberg reported the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is pushing ahead with a plan that threatens to kick Chinese companies off U.S. stock exchanges, setting up a late clash between Washington and Beijing as the Trump administration winds down. The SEC move is unusual because most agencies stop issuing major new policies after a presidential election, especially when a new party is taking power. In addition, it’s unlikely the rule will be finalized before President Donald Trump’s term ends on Jan. 20. Clayton, who plans to step down by the end of the year, will also be gone before any regulation is finished.
[Show full text]
Problem Credits Climb
MONDAY JULY 27, 2020 VOL. 185 No. 143 AMERICANBANKER.COM Follow us on Twitter @AmerBanker Lenders fear mass defaults 5 unless unemployment benefits are extended Problem credits climb The CEOs of the credit card lenders Discover Nonperforming loans at Huntington have risen 43% since and Synchrony are urging Congress to come year-end. The energy sector is a major culprit. through with another round of government stimulus so that struggling households can See story on page 4 continue paying their bills. Page 5 $750M Romney says he will oppose 6 Shelton’s Fed confirmation $700M Republican Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah said he will vote against Judy Shelton, one of $650M two Trump administration nominees to the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. Page 6 $600M Trump rolls back fair housing 7 rule with executive order $550M The Trump administration’s executive order to terminate and replace federal $500M enforcement of anti-discrimination policies at the local level, citing the burden it put $450M on municipalities, enraged advocates of 2Q19 3Q19 4Q191Q202Q20 equitable housing practices. Page 6 Source: The company U.S. Bank rolls out 8 virtual assistant Voice and text banking will be embedded in the Minneapolis bank’s mobile app through dailybriefing Huntington aims to contain a chatbot assistant that also caters to users 3 energy exposure, ride with disabilities. Page 7 consumer lending ABA offers political lifeline on The Ohio company, which has beefed up its HSBC, ABN Amro join 1 masks, and banks are relieved loan-loss reserves, raised the possibility of 9 large funding round for Financial institutions want to protect more sales of oil and gas credits and talked AML software startup customers and employees from the up strong retail segments such as its marine Quantexa, which uses artificial intelligence coronavirus but are caught in the middle of a and RV loans.
[Show full text]