Partnership Crime and Disorder Strategic Assessment 2011

1. Introduction

1.1 The aim of this docum ent is to provide a view of crim e, disorder and substance misuse that has an impact on the well being of the people in the administrative area of Shropshire Council. This view when considered alongside national and local government priorities will identify objectives, including performance gaps and form a control strategy to reduce crim e, disorder and substance misuse in the a dministrative area of Shropshire Council.

1.2 The Unitary Authority of Shropshire is policed by 1 West Mercia Constabulary Basic Command Unit, has a shared Fire and Rescue servic e and 1 Community Safety Partnership (CSP).

Data Sources

1.3 Data used for this assessm ent is depe rsonalised and has been obtained under the Crime and Disorder (Prescribed Inform ation) Regulations (2007), complies with the requirements of the Dat a Protection Act, the Home Office: Infor mation sharing for community safety: g uidance an d practi ce advice, L ocal Inform ation Sharing Agreements and other guidelines.

1.4 The sources of data are

 Crime (including type and property stol en where applicab le) – W est Mercia Police Crime recording system.

 Victim / Offenders depersonalised data from W est Mercia Police crim e recording system.

 Anti social behaviour from West Mercia Police command and control system

 West Mercia Police Crime & Community Safety Survey

 Statistical d ata on crim e sourced fr om iQuanta (Hom e Of fice Polic ing Performance Analysis).

 Fire data sourced from Shropshire Fire and Rescue Serv ice comm and and control system and fire event recording system

 West Mercia Probation Service – depers onalised data on offenders subject to probation supervision.

Sensitivity of Report

1.5 This Strategic Assessm ent forms the basis for annual community safety agreem ents between CSP partners and the CSP Partner ship Plan, which will im plement priorities identified in the s trategic ass essment, se ts o ut the community stra tegy f or th e reduction of crime and disorder and for combating substance misuse.

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1.6 This report is a worki ng actionable docum ent and by nature is classified as ‘RESTRICTED’ and should not be circulated outside the Safer Shropshire Partnership without the express permission of the chairman of the PMCG.

Report Constraints

1.7 This report represents the latest inform ation available at the tim e of writing in the evolving environm ent of comm unity safety partnership working, current relevant legislation and government guidance.

1.8 Previously certain central governm ent initiatives, the public se rvice agreements and the national indicator sets, have influenced decisions and target settin g. There are indications that certain nati onal in dicator se ts in the com munity saf ety aren a will continue and cognisance of this will be recognised.

1.9 The indicators that appear to continue are1

 Serious Violent Crime Rate  Serious Acquisitive Crime Rate  Assault less serious injury  ASB - dealing with local concerns  ASB - understanding local concerns

Changes to Community Safety Delivery

1.10 Following the April 2009 changes for local government in Shropshire a new structure for Community Safety was put in place bas ed on 3 Area Partnerships. The structure was further enhanced by the introduction of Bronze Tasking to give a more localised operational, problem solving structure and focus.

1.11 However, there is an indication that Shr opshire Council will move to a m arket town focus in th e near f uture, which m ay af fect the way d ata are p resented to the partnership.

Description of Shropshire2

1.12 Shropshire is a diverse, large, predominantly rural, inland county, situated in the . With a population of just 290,900 a nd at only 0.91 persons per hectare, the County is one of the most sparsely populate d. Shropshire sits on the far western edge of the West Midlands region and borders Wales and the North West region.

1.13 The County has several s mall market towns; only four of these have a population of over 10,000 (Census 2001). is the County town and has the status of sub- regional foci in the adopted Regional Sp atial Strategy (RS S) and is developing a Growth Point Strategy. In the emerging RSS Shrewsbury is defined as a ‘settlement of significant development’. The town is home to around a quarter of the population and

1 Source: http://www.lgcplus.com/5022569.article 2 Source: Shropshire 2008 LAA Evidence Base Version December 2008

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is a key employment, shopping and cultural centre for Shropshire and mid-Wales, and a popular destination for tourists and visitors.

Population distribution and density

1.14 Shrewsbury is the largest settlem ent in Shropshire with a population of 67,126 i n 2001, representing 24% of the total population at that tim e. The other m ain market towns are much s maller: Oswestry w ith 16,660, Bridgnorth with 11,891, Market Drayton with 10,407, Ludlow with 9,250 and Whitchurch with 8,067. The population of these market towns represents 20% of the total for Shropshire.

1.15 The 2001 Census shows that only 6% of the County’s land area is urban but is occupied by 64% of the County’s p opulation. The remaining 102,850 people (36%) live in rural areas distributed widely and sparsely across a large geographical are a with m any sm all settlem ents. Any clusters of population outside the m ain m arket towns are few and also very sm all. This population distribution together with a low population density, m akes delivering servic es effectively and efficiently m ore difficult.

Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007 – overall index

1.16 Overall Shropshire County is a relativel y undeprived area and ranked as being the 106th most deprived county of 149 county and unitary authorities. In there are 32,482 Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LLSOAs) of these four LLSOAs i n Shropshire fall within the m ost deprived 5 th of LLSOAs in England. These areas are located with in the areas of Harlescott, Meole Brace and Monkm oor in Shrewsbury and Castle in Oswestry. These LLSOAs make up 2% of the Shropshire population. In contrast, 13% of Shropshire’s po pulation f all with in th e lea st d eprived f ifth of LLSOAs in England.

1.17 Although the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) is an important overall measure of deprivation, poverty and social exclusion it must be stated however, that not all deprived people live in deprived areas and not everyone who is living in the deprived area is deprived. Conversely it is not a m easure of affluence, a lack of deprivation does not necessarily equate to affluence th erefore those areas that are ranked high are not necessarily affluent, just less deprived.

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2. Crime and Disorder overview and performance

Since the last strategic assessment a number of initiatives have been introduced

2.1 Bronze Tasking / Problem Localities

These are more focused operational groups th an the Area Partnership structure that they replace. The concentration is on local problem solving and is geographically loosely based on the pre unitary distr ict stru cture. Sup porting this are loca lised performance and crim e / asb concentration reports iden tifying changes to priority crime density, together with ‘Problem Localities’ iden tified by th e Perf ormance Management and Commissioning Group.

Problem localities are d efined as th ose loca tions (streets or prem ises) that have a higher occurrence of crime and disorder events over a 6 m onth period. The localities should be persistent, of concern, unlikel y to go away on its own and suitable for partnership intervention.

Of particular note are the issues with Anti So cial Behaviour around Shrewsbury. The inst allation of a CCTV cam era and police an d partnership diversionary ac tivities r esulted in a substan tial reduc tion in repor ted events. Th e location went f rom being t op o f the Proble m Locality list to hard ly appearing at all.

2.2 Anti Social Behaviour:

In order to be able to respond to the whole range of an ti-social behaviour types it i s proposed th at a m ulti-disciplinary team woul d be created in Shropshire and draw officers from the Police; Local A uthority; and Registered Provi ders (housing) to complete interrelated tasks. The team/unit would be able to respond to reports of anti- social behaviour m ade to the single repor ting number when the issue being reported spans service area/organisational boundaries and no single agency response can be identified.

The team/unit could also case m anage particularly complex cases requiring a m ulti- agency resp onse, callin g in partner agencies where necessary and if appropriate referring cases to or picking up cases from case conferen ces following bronze-level tasking. In addition the team /unit could co-o rdinate information for perpetrators of anti-social behaviour and take a lead on a pplying for anti-social behaviour tools and powers, when there is no single agency to do so.

The advantages of this approach include: Sh ropshire meeting the requirement to have a dedicated team available to report anti-social behaviou r to. Other ad vantages are real-time multi-agency infor mation sharing, problem solving and action; and a single team to develop action plans to sup port pe rpetrators to change their behaviour and where this does not occur, take action against the ongoing anti-social behaviour.

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2.3 Domestic Abuse

Shropshire has developed strong partnership workin g that has supported the implementation of the b oth the Specialist Domestic Violence Court (SD VC) and the Multi Agen cy Risk Assessm ent Conf erence (MARAC). The SDVC of fers a specialised way of dealing w ith domestic violence in the magistrates courts, and aim to put domestic violen ce victim s at the hear t of the process. Partnership working ensures that the MARAC is able to support those victims who are m ost at risk. The Shropshire MARAC continues to deliver outco mes for high risk victim s and in doing so reduces repeat victim isation. The MA RAC process facilita tes and enables the sharing of infor mation and th e value of this interagency information sharing and co- operation cannot be underestimated.

A Sanctuary Schem e was launched in Shr opshire in November 2010. The Schem e is an initia tive which will allow and em power people experiencing dom estic abuse to continue living at hom e in safety, rather than move house to escape harassm ent. This maintains social and support m echanisms, e.g. social and family contacts and school attendance. It is additio nally more cost e ffective than refuge provision or tem porary accommodation. Finally it is a m eans ensuring that the perp etrator remains excluded rather than the targeted family.

2.4 Integrated Offender Management (IOM)

IOM is being introduced in Shropshire. The program builds upon and expands the Prolific and other Priority Offenders (PPO); Mu lti-Agency Public Pro tection Arrangements (MAPPA); and Drug Intervention Programme (DIP).

The project, known locally as Route7, ai ms to reduce crim e and re-offending, raise public confidence in th e crim inal justice system; tackle the social exclusion of offenders and their families; address overlaps and gaps in existing programmes; align services more effectively; and simplify and strengthen governance.

The team which is co lo cated, includes Police Officers, Probation Officers, Probation Case Adm inistrator, Drug Intervention W orkers, YSS IOM Pathways Key W orker, IOM Co-ordinator and IOM Adm inistrator and aims to achieve an integ rated service, provide co-ordinated and seam less support for statutory and non-st atutory supervised offenders

The initial cohort includes PP O’s and t hose subject to Drug Rehabilitation Requirements as well as those recently removed from PPO status, sho rt-sentence ex- prisoners, young adult offenders (particularly those who were previously on the Deter Young Offenders programme) and offenders iden tified as a local pr iority due to the harm they cause in the community,

The project will initially run until the end of March 2012.

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2.5 S30 Dispersal Order Raven Meadows Shrewsbury

Following issues raised at publ ic meetings and other soft intelligence it was decided that there was sufficient grounds to i mplement a Dispersal Order under S30 Anti- social Behaviour Act 2003 in the Bus Station in Raven Meadows Shrewsbury.

The background being that groups of yout hs aged betw een 17 & 23 years w ere regularly lo itering in th e area of the Bus Station at various tim es of the day being obstructive and presenting both an oppressive and intim idating dem eanour to bus passengers or oth er p edestrians utilis ing th e f acilities. T he group o ften verba lly challenged and were aggressive towards vulnerable people incl uding the elderly and young scho ol children. On occasions the gro ups were also observed scream ing, shouting, swearing, spitting and ru nning around rough play fighting in a manner that caused re asonable peo ple to f eel intim idated and frightened by the displayed behaviour. The Bus Station was also experiencing issues with drug abuse in the public toilets and the abuse of the facilities by the homeless.

A large nu mber of tradition al po licing t actics and m ulti agency m ethods had b een undertaken at the Bus Station in an attempt to stem the unacceptable behaviour but all had failed. The Section 30 Dispersal order wa s seen a s the last available option an d was im plemented in conjunction with con tinuing m ulti agency in volvement and strategies co-ordinated through Shrewsbury’s Bronze Tasking process.

This area remains a f ocus with reg ards to altering features of the location and other matters which makes this an ASB genera tor. These features include relocation of the smoking bi n, and possible redesign options for the ‘overhang’; to discuss possible options for the issue of FPNs once the sm oking bins are rem oved; and for greater, more effective liaison between the local pol icing team, the youth policing officer and Shropshire Youth Service regarding identified problem individuals.

2.6 Street Lighting

In conjunction with a num ber of other local authorities Sh ropshire Council intend to switch off c ertain street lights in order to reduce carbon em issions. The project is being piloted in three small Shropshire market towns.

Improved street lighting is one of t he te nants of Situational Cri me Prevention and Crime Prevention through Environm ental De sign. Numerous studies have been conducted both here and abroad w hich have concluded that im proved street lighting does reduce crime and disorder in small areas.

Other studies notably the relighting of the entire London Borough of W andsworth concluded that im proved street lighting in sm all areas redu ces crim e whereas area wide long term relighting projects were unlikely to reduce crime.

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However, there have been no studies regard ing the reduction or elim ination of street lighting on crime and disorder. Conjecture3 has it that

as general improvements in street lighting has no im pact on crime, so general diming of street lights will have no impact on crime, with one exception ...

As street lighting improvement in hot spots leads to a reduction in crime, retaining good street lig hting in the night-ti me crime hotspots is recommended, whilst dimming or turning th em off in the small hours in low crime areas will unlikely lead to a rise in crime.

There is also an issue with the perception (fear) of crime and disorder, there is at least one study which states that over use of street lighting can increase this.

Continuous monitoring of the towns will take place to respond to any increases in crime and disorder events.

2.7 Community Alcohol Project

Underage drinking and alcohol related harm to young people has long been a concern in Shropshire, becom ing the focus of a Local Area Agreem ent in 2006. W hilst projects have m et with a num ber of su ccesses, new national policies and unitary authority organisation provided new opportunitie s to ‘do things di fferently’. It w as proposed that the Community Alcohol Project Model could be an effective way in which to continue to address the issue of underage drinking and alcohol related harm to young people in Shropshire.

The Community Alcoh ol Proje ct Model wa s devised by Ca mbridgeshire T rading Standards and who ran the in itial Community Alcohol Proj ect pilot in the m arket town of St Neots, Cambridgeshire, as a m eans of tackling underage drinking and related anti-social behaviour within the town.

The project aim ed to bring about a culture change by im proving information sharing between of f-trade re tailers, the loc al poli ce an d Trading Standards. It com bined enforcement, education and comm unity involvement to tackle undera ge drinking in a holistic way . One of the projec ts m ain purposes was to break down the barriers between shopkeepers and the police, it aim ed to i mprove recognition a mongst enforcement authoritie s and the wider comm unity tha t re tailers c an of ten be the victims of attem pted underage purchasing a nd should be seen as the ‘front line’ of enforcement rather than a cause of the problem.

The project initia lly was launched in Lud low and subject to evaluation will be extended to Oswestry to address recurrent seasonal issues there.

3 Spencer Chaine y, Director of Geographical Infor mation Scienc e, University Colleg e London Jill Dando Institute of S ecurity and Crime Science reply to a post in the Home Office Community Safety Information Systems Network

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2.8 Linx Accident and Emergency Assault Database

A significant num ber of victim s of assaul t who seek tre atment in the A&E do not report the incident to the Police (50-75% by som e estim ates). This has been recognised for some years as a gap in the CSP knowledge regarding violent crime and efforts over the years to obtain acces s to depersonalised data on assaults has met with little success.

Following early adoption by som e hospita ls the Linx Accident and Em ergency Assault Database was introduced in both the main Shropshire Hospitals in June. This database is currently being delivered across the West Midlands region and Devon and Cornwall. It has been recognised as good practice both regiona lly in the W est Midlands and by the Department of Health.

This database includes gathering information on the locations of incidents, including licensed premises, time of incident, weapons used and the relationship of the patient to the assailant. Early indications are that it will prove a useful tool in contributing to violence reduction.

2.9 Taxi Marshal Scheme

A taxi m arshal pilot took place between 27 March 2010 and 08 May 2010 in Lower Claremont Bank, Shrewsbury. Two security personnel were em ployed between the hours of 11.30pm and 03:30am on Friday a nd Saturday nights and for Sunday and Monday evenings on the Easter and May Day Bank Holiday weekends.

The scheme was well supported from the hackney carriage trade who m aintained a sufficient number of vehicles on the rank to en sure that customers were not waitin g too long for a vehicle. The presence of the m arshals m eant that only hackney carriages parked on the rank. Prior to the in troduction of the schem e the private hire vehicles and the general public would park there, making it dif ficult to dif ferentiate between vehicles that were available for hire, and those that had been pre-booked. The scheme made it easier for drivers to pick up their pre-booked custom ers and also that there had been an im provement in safety for drivers as the m arshals m oved quickly to deal with disruptive people.

Managers from praised the schem e stating tha t their customers were aware of where to go to get a vehicle if they had not pre-booked a private hire car to get hom e. The intr oduction of the schem e had also raised awareness of the difference between hackney carriage and private hire.

The scheme was extended to Oswestry where there was a similar issue. The schem e seems to have accelerated the departure of the pub goers out of town. It seems that the public see the queue for taxis and feel the urge to join it rather than just milling round aimlessly and this in tu rn means that they are in taxis and o n their way hom e more quickly. The taxis generally seem to have accepted the sch eme and queue diligently and patiently. I have seen them turn away fares and direct them to the queuing system. That said, they are not univ ersally in favour and there ha s been a couple of dissenting

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voices, but no m ore than that have com e to our a ttention. No disorder has been reported to us in the queues.

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3. Crime

3.1 Crime has been falling over the past few years, as the following performance table for the last 12 months shows.4

Shropshire North Central South Total Crime -9.79% -4.11% -12.62% -10.54%

Serious Aquisitive Crime (NI16) -1.22% 3.40% 0.59% -5.72% Burglary Dwelling -5.45% 0.51% -15.35% -0.93% Theft from vehicle 12.17% 21.93% 18.75% -5.94% Theft of vehicle -21.64% -29.68% -9.33% -17.73% Robbery -41.46% -38.46% -45.28% -6.67%

Burglary Non Dwelling -19.50% -15.54% -23.47% -21.03%

Assault Less Serious Injury (NI20) -13.81% 7.30% -12.32% -13.00%

Criminal Damage -17.89% -14.32% -17.29% -21.03% Table 1 - Statistical performance to Priority Crimes

3.2 Notable reductions were achieved by the Partnership in all ar eas especially with Burglary Non Dwelling, Assault less serious injury and Crim inal Damage. However despite bes t efforts Theft from a Motor Vehicle saw an increase except in th e Southern Area where a small reduction was achieved. . 3.3 An assessment m atrix based on volum e of c rime, perform ance, projected trend, seriousness, priority, public concern and the ability of the commission of the crim e to be a generator for other crime was used to determine priority crimes.

3.4 Large increases have been noted in T heft Other, which has been attributed to the rise in metal thefts, and in Making Off without Payment from Service Stations, due to the increasing prices of petrol. This trend is expected to continue into the current year.

4 Source data iQuanta from West Merica Police Crimsec 3 returns to the Home Office and is to the Home Office Counting Rules re crime aggregation.

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Shropshire Northern Area Central Area Southern Area Crime Type Rate/100 Rate/100 Rate/100 Rate/100 Volume % Vol ume % Vol ume % Vol ume % population population population population Criminal Damage 2746 9.41 20.61% 990 9.82 21.60% 1114 11.59 18.27% 642 6.77 18.27% Theft Other 1660 5.69 12.46% 563 5.59 12.28% 554 5.76 10.60% 543 5.72 15.46% Burglary, Other Than A 1258 4.31 9.44% 497 4.93 10.84% 311 3.24 5.95% 450 4.74 12.81% Dwelling. Theft From Motor 1104 3.78 8.29% 410 4.07 8.95% 417 4.34 7.98% 277 2.92 7.88% Vehicles Assault Less serious injury 1002 3.43 7.52% 332 3.29 7.24% 437 4.55 8.36% 233 2.46 6.63% Shoplifting 996 3.41 7.48% 323 3.20 7.05% 489 5.09 9.36% 184 1.94 5.24% Burglary In A Dwelling 577 1.98 4.33% 194 1.92 4.23% 170 1.77 3.25% 213 2.24 6.06% Public Order 521 1.79 3.91% 156 1.55 3.40% 273 2.84 5.22% 92 0.97 2.62% Common Assault Etc 460 1.58 3.45% 168 1.67 3.67% 194 2.02 3.71% 98 1.03 2.79% Drugs Possess 452 1.55 3.39% 120 1.19 2.62% 224 2.33 4.29% 108 1.14 3.07 Theft Pedal Cycle 284 0.97 2.13% 92 0.91 2.01% 152 1.58 2.91% 40 0.42 1.14% Making Off without 283 0.97 2.12% 94 0.93 2.05% 64 0.67 1.22% 125 1.32 3.56% Payment Theft of Motor Vehicle 278 0.95 2.09% 105 1.04 2.29% 65 0.68 1.24% 108 1.14 3.07% Table 2 Crime events by volume

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Shropshire Northern Area Central Area Southern Area Volume Volume Volume Volume Current % Current Current Current previou previous % Change previous % Change previous % Change Volume Change Volume Volume Volume s year year year year All Crime5 13 321 14464 -7.90% 4583 4 617 -0.74% 5225 5 739 -8.96% 3513 3 808 -7.75% Criminal Damage 2746 3306 -16.94% 990 11 48 -13.76% 1114 1 341 -16.93% 642 81 7 -21.42% Theft Other 1660 1480 12.16% 563 46 2 21.86% 554 56 2 -1.42% 543 45 6 19.08% Burglary, Other Than A 1258 1 531 -17.83% 497 56 0 -11.25% 311 40 3 -22.83% 450 56 8 -20.77% Dwelling. Theft From Motor Vehicles 1104 964 14.52% 410 33 2 23.49% 417 34 6 20.52% 277 28 6 -3.15% Assault Less serious injury 1 002 1100 -8.91% 332 40 2 -17.41% 437 43 9 -0.46% 233 25 9 -10.04% Shoplifting 99 6 1094 -8.96% 323 34 8 -7.18% 489 55 0 -11.09% 184 19 6 -6.12% Burglary In A Dwelling 577 600 -3.83% 194 18 9 2.65% 170 20 5 -17.07% 213 20 6 3.40% Public Order 521 403 29.28% 156 10 1 54.46% 273 18 8 45.21% 92 11 4 -19.30% Common Assault Etc 460 460 0.00% 168 16 2 3.70% 194 20 1 -3.48% 98 97 1.03% Drugs Possess 452 493 -8.32% 120 10 3 16.50% 224 22 3 0.45% 108 16 7 -35.33%6 Theft Pedal Cycle 284 351 -19.09% 92 10 8 -14.81% 152 20 6 -26.21% 40 37 8.11% Making Off without 283 16 8 68.45% 94 43 118.60% 64 44 45.45% 125 81 54.32% Payment7 Theft of Motor Vehicle 278 353 -21.25% 105 14 8 -29.05% 65 73 -10.96% 108 13 2 -18.18%

Table 3 Top Crime events by volume

5 The data in this table is crime occurrence data from West Mercia Police Crime system. The data is then geocoded and as not all crimes (about 3 to 4%) can be geocoded with certainty, investigations into the crime which may result in it being ‘no crimed’ and that the counts are obtained via a GIS system it will not correlate with the statistical data from iQuanta or Home Office aggregations of crime will lead to a variance with official statistics. 6 Change due to Staffordshire Police assuming primacy for all crimes concerned with the Shropshire / Staffordshire Border 7 These are ‘Drive Outs’ from petrol stations (filling a motor vehicle with fuel and driving off without paying). There are an additional 36 offences classified as ‘Theft Other’ due to obscured / false / stolen VRM Plates which makes on the balance of probabilities that there was an intent to steal the fuel before the actual offence took place.

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Anti social behaviour

3.5 Anti social behaviour is classified under the Hom e Office / Police Natio nal Incident Recording Standards. The number of events classified by police as ASB is as follows.

Year Shropshire Northern Area Central Area Southern Area 1/10/2008 to 18855 6345 8194 4316 30/09/2009 1/10/2009 to 16001 5483 6638 3880 30/09/2010 % Change -15.14% -13.59% -18.99% -10.10% Table 4 - Anti Social Behaviour volumes 3.6 The year has seen a substantial drop in the number of Anti Soci al Behaviour events, the potential explanation is that the decrease is probably due to the snow and adverse weather in January and February 2010 a nd the rains experienced in the summe r months particularly in August and September.

3.7 Targets are not set for ASB as the sim plistic use of quantitative targets based on incident data is not recommended. In many instances the number of incidents reported and recorded m ight rise, as with certain notifiable crim es, as a result of action by service providers or im proved engagement with the public. In such cases an increase in incident num bers should not be used in isolation to indicate deterioration or improvement in performance. It m ight actually reflect improved public performance and/or a change in operational focus. As with all statistics, care should be taken when interpreting such trends.

Domestic Violence

3.8 Domestic violence is a business classification for a number of offences that fall within the Home Office and ACPO definition of Domestic Violence. Shropshire has adopted a Multi Agency Risk Assessm ent Conf erence (MARAC) approach to dealing Domestic Violence with the em phasis on he lping the victims from becoming repeat victims and therefore the perform ance is based on the number of repeat victims being considered at MARAC.

Year Target Actual 1/10/2008 to 21% 19.15% 30/09/2009 1/10/2009 to 20% 9.45% 30/09/2010 Table 5 - MARAC % of repeat cases considered

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3.9 Offender

Cohort size (combining Previous % four Actual rate Predicted % difference Probation Local difference Region quarters of of re- rate of re- from Trust Authority from probation offending offending baseline baseline caseload data)

West 75899 7.94% 8.98% -11.57% -1 0.29% Midlands West 11 531 9.67% 9.76% -0.95% -4.51% Mercia Herefordshire 1648 10.98% 10.88% 0.93% -2.76% Shropshire 2137 9.36% 9.46% -1.08% -12.46% Telford and 1888 8. 63% 9.23% -6.50% -12.37% Wrekin Worcestershire 5854 9.74% 9.66% 0.76% 0.00% Table 6a - Adult reoffending rate April 2009 to March 2010

30-Jun-10 30-Sep-10 31-Dec-10 31-Mar-11 Percentage change in convictions for national -12.73% -12.55% -12.38% -12.22% cohort Percentage change in number of convictions -22.22% -22.73%

Table 6b – PPO reoffending rate to September 2010

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3.10 Fire Service Data

Shropshire Fire and Rescue Service currently provide data as follows

 Primary Fires of doubtful origin

 Secondary fires of doubtful origin

 Accidental domestic fires.

Year Year Ending Ending Description % Change Sept 2009 Sept 2010 Number of accidental fires in dwellings 181 155 -14.36% Number of deaths from accidental fires in dwellings 2 0 -100.00% Number of injuries (excluding precautionary checks) 9 10 11.11% arising from accidental fires Number of deliberate primary fires (ARSON) 131 122 -6.87% Number of deliberate secondary fires (ARSON) 269 216 -19.70% Table 7 Fire Service Performance There has b een a welco me decrease in fires esp ecially with no deaths aris ing from Accidental Domestic fires.

3.11 Recommendations

That the partnership concentrates on reducing high and medium priority crimes, these are

 Priority Crime

Theft from motor vehicle

Other Serious Acquisitive Crime

Assault less serious injury

 Other Crimes

Theft other in relation to metal and fuel theft

Making off without payment.

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4. Location

4.1 Changes in Crime Density – All Crime

The fall in recorded crim e has continued th e downward trend of recent years desp ite the econom ic circum stances, however there are substantially m ore areas that have shown an increase in crime density than those in the previous assessment. These are

 Northern Area

Weston Rhyn – general increase in burglary

Gledrid – m ainly at the Gledrid A5 Services and the Sh ell Se rvice Station A5 through ‘drive out’s’ making off without payment for fuel.

St Martins – General increase in crime

Gobowen –

Oswestry Mile End S ervice Area “drive out’ s” making off without paym ent for fuel.

The area bounded by in the north, to the e ast, to the South and in the west. A general mix of offences.

The area bounded by in the North, in the east, to the south and to the west.

The area around W illow Street / Cro ss Street shows a substantial decrease in relative crime density.

Llanymyech – Mainly Assault and Burglary

Wem –

Whitchurch – the entire town.

Grindley Brook – Grindley Brook Ga rage – “drive out’s” m aking off without payment for fuel.

Market Drayton Town Centre and . The area centred around to .

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 Central Area

Shrewsbury Lancaster R oad Business Park, Lit tle Har lescott Lane inc luding

Greenfields and Coton Hill Area including

Radbrook – Bank Farm Road, including the Community Centre and Store.

A5 Bayston Hill Se rvice Area - the E sso Filling Station “driv e out’ s” making off without payment for fuel.

Lower Clarem ont Bank / The Quarry / Frankw ell area, including and The Quarry Park.

Bicton Heath especially the 6 Burglaries in year.

Bayston Hill – and surrounding Streets

 Southern Area

Church Stretton – the area around .

Chirbury and Newcastle (having none in the previous year).

Ludlow The area bounded by

The area around Temeside,

Cleobury Mortimer – .

Alveley - the are between ,

Bridgnorth

The area from south to .

Cosford – Jay Services Newport Road – drive outs.

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Tong – Tong Service Station – Drive outs.

Shifnal – M54 Services drive outs

Sutton Maddock - Shell Filling Station drive outs

Vulnerable Localities

4.2 The Vulnerable Localities Index (VLI) using the Office for National Statistics Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LLSOA) is recalculated each year, only tho se LLSOAs with an index score over 200 are consider ed. An index score of over 200 is an indication that the area m ay be e xperiencing com munity breakdown and fragmentation or that the area is experien cing continual problems, recurring problems or an increasing problem.

4.3 This is the second year that the numbe r of Lower Layer Super Output Areas have decreased there are only 2 with this iteration these are:

4.4 of Shrewsbury index score 236 (previously ranked 2) this area is ranked as the most deprived area of Shropshire.

4.5 of Market Drayton index score 227 (previously ranked 3)

4.6 Previous high areas of of Shrewsbury and the of Oswestry have fa llen below the index score of 200 due to interventions initiated by the appropriat e Bronze Tasking Groups. (See m inutes of PMCG meetings, Bronze Level Tasking Reports)

Problem or Risky Locations

4.7 In addition to the areas classified as vul nerable localities there are a number of other locations th at are problem atical for crim e and disorder. Crim e concentrates, som e locations are attractors of crim e, ot hers ge nerate crim e, locations (either streets or premises) th at have had the m ost crim e a nd anti social behaviour are presented to monthly PCMG and Area Partnerships meetings for action.

4.8 Assault Less Serious Injury – Risky Premises

Premises Total ,,SHREWSBURY 18 ,SHREWSBURY 13 ,OSWESTRY 8 HARMER HILL,SHREWSBURY 6 ,THE QUARRY,,,,SHREWSBURY 6 ,BUS STATION,,RAVEN MEADOWS,,SHREWSBURY 5 SHAWBURY,SHREWSBURY 5 SHREWSBURY 5 Table 8 Risky Facilities Assault less serious injury

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Most problem locations are Licensed Prem ises, 3 of the ones in Shrewsbury are situated within 100 y ards of each other.

Furthermore 2 clubs in Shrewsbury that were closed during the last strategic assessment have now re opened under new managem ent. Although they have not been considered for this strategic asse ssment watch should be m ade in the com ing year for the potential effect on assaults and general crime and disorder.

Although assaults in general have decreased both the have increased with potentia l indications that some of the clien tele from the closed may have migrated to these premises.

4.9 Burglary

There were 13 reside ntial prem ises tha t were burgled m ore than once, 3 in Shrewsbury, 3 in W hitchurch and 2 in Ma rket Drayton. A further 2 in the Bronze Tasking area of Bridgnorth.

Highest concentrations of domestic burglary are noted as follows

Northern Area Central Area Southern Area Oswestry Shrewsbury Shifnal Weston Rhyn Harlescott Grange Cleobury Mortimer

Whitchurch Sundorne Area Bridgnorth Market Drayton Greenfields area Ludlow Higher Heath Frankwell Church Stretton Shawbury Cherry Orchard Little Stretton Belle Vue Radbrook Meol e Brace Table 9 Domestic Burglary Concentrations by Area Repeat victim isation is more common in bu rglary classed as non residential, the following table shows this repeat victimisation.

No of times burgled No of premises No of commercial % Commercial premises8 repeats 6 times 1 1

4 times 6 4 3 times 15 12

2 times 68 49

8 Commercial premises are those premises which are non residential. Locations of burglaries that appear to be residential can, where a building is not connected to the residential premise or is not connected by a connecting door, be classed as non residential.

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Total repeats 90 66 73% Table 10 - Repeat Non Residential Burglaries Highest concentrations are noted in

Northern Area Central Area Southern Area Oswestry Town Centre Shrewsbury Shifnal Town Centre and Springhill Trading Estate Oswestry – Battlefield Enterprise Park Bridgnorth Town Centre

Ellesmere Sundorne Trade Park Ludlow Town Centre Whitchurch Lancaster Road Business Park / Centurion Park Market Drayton Monkmoor Trading Estate/ Hartley Business Park / Maverick Business Park Shrewsbury Town Centre Bicton Heath Shopping Centre Table 11 Non Residential Burglary Concentrations 4.10 Theft from a motor vehicle

This is ano ther crime area where a sm all number of locations are responsible for a greater proportion of crime than others.

Northern Area Central Area Southern Area Oswestry Town Centre Shrewsbury No concentrations of note. Whitchurch Mount Pleasant Area Market Drayton Castlefields

Belle Vue Area Table 12 Theft from motor vehicle concentrations

Street Total ,,WHITCHURCH 12 ,,WHITCHURCH 10 MEOLE BRACE RETAIL PARK,,SHREWSBURY 9 ,,SHREWSBURY 8 ,MARKET DRAYTON 8 ,WHITCHURCH 8 ,SHREWSBURY 7 ,OSWESTRY 7 ,,SHREWSBURY 6 ,SHREWSBURY 6 ,MARKET DRAYTON 6

9 This is a repeatable pattern seen previously although on a small scale.

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Table 13 - Theft from motor vehicle highest streets

Location Total ,WHITCHURCH 9 ,,SHREWSBURY 6 LILLESHALL,NEWPORT 5 SHREWSBURY 5 SHREWSBURY 4 ,WHITCHURCH 4 ,SHIFNAL 4 ,SHIFNAL 4 ,PREES 4 HEATH,WHITCHURCH ,SHREWSBURY 4 Table 14 Theft from motor vehicle repeat premises Shrewsbury this has featured for the last few years i n having multiple repeats.

4.11 Making off without payment – Drive outs

It is an offence under the S3 Theft Act 1978 to dishonestly m ake off without having paid for goods or services, knowing that paym ent on the spot was required and expected, for example, driving away from a petrol forecourt after refuelling a vehicle, without paying for the fuel.

Of the 283 offences recorded in the review period 226 can be attributed to petrol service stations, the others being from re staurants and taxis. An additional 36 offences are classed as Theft Other due to obscured / false / stolen VRM plates which makes on the balance of probabilities that ther e was an inte nt to steal th e fuel before the actual offence took place.

Most offences occur at service stations on the main arterial routes through the county.

4.12 Metal Thefts.

Metal thefts are more predominant in the North and Bridgnorth Bronze Tasking areas particularly around Whitchurch and Market Drayton. In the Bridgnorth area it tends to be in th e m ore rural area s and the is particular ly vulnerable.

The issue of metal thefts will continue to be a problem for the foreseeable future.

4.13 Domestic Violence

The main concentrations are in Oswestry, Whitchurch and Shrewsbury

4.14 Anti Social Behaviour.

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The main hotspots do not tend to change vastly these are:-

 Oswestry – Town Centre and area

 Whitchurch

 Market Drayton

 Shrewsbury – Town Centre, Monkm oor, Spring Gardens and Harlescott areas.

 Bridgnorth Town Centre

 Ludlow Town Centre

 It has been noted that si nce the last assessm ent there has been and still is increasing ASB issues in Craven Arms.

Seasonal va riations i.e. f rom April to October occur in the m ain public pa rks in Shropshire’s Market Towns, Oswestry – Cae Glass Park; Whitchurch – Jubilee Park, Market Drayton – Buntingsdale Park, Shrewsbury – The Quarry, Bridgnorth – Severn Park.

Increases in density are also noted in the following areas

 Northern Area

 Weston Rhyn  Oswestry -  Llanymynech  Ellesmere - Town centre /   Whitchurch  Manor Place, Higher Heath  Prees - Turnpike Rise  Market Drayton –

 Central Area

 Shrewsbury Harlescott Grange Mount Pleasant / Greenfields The Quarry / / Frankwell Radbrook Cherry Orchard Mereside

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 Cross Houses

 Southern Area

 Ludlow – Sandpits area  Cleobury Mortimer  Craven Arms  South East  Much Wenlock  Bridgnorth - Town Centre and

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Problem or Risky Areas. These streets represent 10.98% of all ASB in the county

Grand Streets Total ,SHREWSBURY 212 ,WHITCHURCH 109 ,SHREWSBURY 107 ,OSWESTRY 100 ,OSWESTRY 96 ,OSWESTRY 95 ,BRIDGNORTH 95 WHITCHURCH 94 ,SHREWSBURY 89 ,SHREWSBURY 87 ,SHREWSBURY 7 5 ,SHREWSBURY 74 ,SHREWSBURY 72 ,SHREWSBURY 68 ,SHREWSBURY 68 WEM,SHREWSBURY 66 ,OSWESTRY 66 ,,LUDLOW 62 ,SHREWSBURY 62 SHREWSBURY 6 0 Table 15 ASB Problem Streets Problem Premises

Premises Total ,,WHITCHURCH 88 ,SHREWSBURY 86 ,SHELTON HOSPITAL,,,BICTON HEATH,SHREWSBURY 54 ,BUS STATION,,RAVEN MEADOWS,,SHREWSBURY 45 ,SHREWSBURY 45 ,SHREWSBURY 38 ,SHREWSBURY RAILWAY STATION,,CASTLE FOREGATE,,SHREWSBURY 37 ROYAL SHREWSBURY HOSPITAL NORTH,,,MYTTON OAK ROAD,,SHREWSBURY 36 BATTLEFIELD,SHREWSBURY 33 ,SHREWSBURY 31 WHITCHURCH 29 ,SHREWSBURY SPORTS VILLAGE,,SUNDORNE ROAD,,SHREWSBURY 29 ,THE QUARRY,,,,SHREWSBURY 28 ,SHREWSBURY 26 ,BRIDGNORTH 25 ,OSWESTRY 24 ,WHITCHURCH 23 OSWESTRY 21 ,SHREWSBURY 21 ,SHREWSBURY 21 Table 16 ASB Problem Premises

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The four private residences shown in the table above are subject to Bronze Tasking initiatives.

4.15 Fires

The m ain concentration of fires as would be expected o ccur in areas that h ave th e greatest concentration of buildings.

 Oswestry - This area has also been a hotspot in Oswestry for fly tipping.

 Whitchurch - Town Centre including Jubilee Park

 Market Drayton

 Shrewsbury Harlescott Grange ( )

Monkmoor

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5. Target / Victim

5.1 Metal Thefts.

The rising global demand for m etals such as copper and lead has resulted in an increase in this type of theft both locally and nationally. It accounts for 25% (431 out of 1660 re corded crimes) of the Hom e Office crim e category ‘Theft Other’ in Shropshire and the increase not ed in Table 3 in this category can be attributed to th is rise in metal thefts.

A further 104 m etal theft offence have been classified as Non Residential Burglaries together these 535 crim es have a declared property loss valu e in excess of £500,000. The breakdown of metals is as follows

Classified Classified as Non Metal Type as Theft Residential Other Burglary Iron / Steel 245 23 Lead 85 9 Copper 53 52 Lead - Batteries 49 14 Aluminium 17 4 Metal 15 Brass 11 1 Alloy 10 Bronze 1 Magnesium 1 Table 17 Metal Thefts - Type of Metal stolen Within the metal types the most stolen items of property made from a particular metal are

Wire

Pipes Copper Hot Water cylinders

Domestic Appliances

Farm Gates Iron / Steel Farm electric fences

Domestic Gates

Roofing material Lead Batteries

Table 18 Metal Thefts - property type

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Churches, Farm buildings and Farm s, ne w builds, property re novations, industrial metal processors (including scrap yards), schools, village halls, Local Authority Recycling Sites and utility companies are a mong specific prem ises that are vulnerable.

5.2 Criminal Damage

Relatively little change is seen in th e types and classifications of property targ eted in Criminal Damage Dwelling / Non Dwelling these are mainly windows, with Criminal Damage to Other Property, boundary fences an d with Crim inal Damage to Vehicles, car bodywork and trims.

5.3 Burglary

Whilst cash and jewellery remain the items of choice in Burglary Dwelling a number of flat screen and plasma TVs, MP3 type players, laptops and c onsoles have seen a rise as well as the number of car keys and associated cars stolen.

Non Domestic Burglary – Power tools including lawn mowers, chain saws, strimmers, a number of Quad bikes from farms and other rural locations, as well as pedal cycles and laptop computers. Whilst 284 pedal cycles were stolen off the street or driveways in a further 110 non dom estic burglary events pedal cycles were being stolen along with other property.

5.4 Vehicle Crime

Theft from motor vehicle - Satellite Navi gation Equipment remains the most popular item to steal. A substantia l number are lef t visible attached to the windscreen when the owner leaves th e vehicle. Entr y to the vehicle is ga ined either by sm ashing the driver’s door window or where the owner leaves the vehicle unlocked either by choice or by thinking that they have operated the vehicle’s remote locking device.

Vehicle Audio equipment is showing a renaissance through modern technology, MP3 / iPod and Radio / CD players. In add ition though slightly down on last year are Vehicle Registration Plate thefts used to f acilitate amongst other crimes ‘Drive outs’ / theft of petrol and possibly vehicle cloning.

5.5 Fuel Thefts

Fuel thefts are another area where th e higher the price of the comm odity leads to an increase in fuel being stolen. They can be classified into, Drive Outs, Agricultural Diesel, Heating oil and siphoning from vehicle.

.

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Service Station No of crimes M54 Services 38 HERMITAGE SERVICE STATION 20 Cosford Garage 20 OSWESTRY SERVICE STATION 20 Shell Sutton Maddock 17 Table 19 Top Service Stations for 'Drive Outs' These 5 service stations represent 52% of all drive outs whilst forming just 17% of all service stations that reported drive outs. The commonality of these 5 are that they are located on the main arterial routes in Shropshire

Repeat Victimisation / Targeting.

5.6 Burglary

Compared with the previous year the num ber of domestic premises that were repeat targeted has increased from 8 to 13 wh ilst the num ber of non dom estic burglary repeats has decreased slightly from 94 to 90.

No of No of No of % times premises commercial Commercial burgled premises repeats 6 times 1 1 4 times 6 4 3 times 15 12 2 times 68 49 Total repeats 90 66 73%

Table 20 Repeat Targeting Non Residential Burglary

Of particular note is the , this w as burgled 3 times in the previous y ear and 6 times in the current year. 73% of Non Dom estic Burgalry repeats are to commercial premises rather than ‘shed’ type burglaries.

5.7 Domestic Violence

Shropshire has adopted a Multi Agency Risk Assessm ent Conference (MARAC) approach to dealing with Domestic Violence with the emphasis on helping the victims from becoming repeat victim s. Les s than 10% of all cases considered by MARAC have been through the MARAC process more than once.

The following table shows the assessment of possible causes for domestic violence

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Event Aggravating Factor Total Domestic Violence - Separation or Child Contact Dispute 333 Domestic Violence - Controlling Behaviour, Jealousy, Stalking & Harassment 304 Domestic Violence - Escalation & Severity of Violence 281 Domestic Violence - Substance Misuse, Mental Ill Health of The Suspect 222 Domestic Violence - Afraid of Suspect 172 Domestic Violence - Attempts/Threats of Suicide/Homicide 115 Domestic Violence - Isolation/Barriers to Help-Seeking 50 Domestic Violence - Pregnancy/Recent Birth 45 Domestic Violence - Child Abuse 30 Table 21 Domestic Violence aggravating factors

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6. Offender

6.1 Crime - Police

Similar to previous years 15% of person ar rested for committing offences within th e administrative area of Shropshire C ouncil reside in the surrounding urban concentrations of Telford, Wolverhampton, and Welshpool.

In previous years, crimes and arrests occurring on campsites during the annual August ‘V’ Festival on the Shropshire / Stafford shire border have been counted but they distorted the crime / arrest data. Staf fordshire Police have now assum ed primacy for all crimes and arrest at this festival.

Peak re offending age remains at 14 to 25 years.

Persons Arrested Age Profile

100

90

80

70

60

50 Count

40

30

20

10

0 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 73 74 75 76 77 80 82 83 Age in years

Graph 1 Person Arrested by Police Age Profile

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Residents Offence Profile

500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Murder Blackmail Shoplifting Other Theft Other Harassment Public Order Public Threats to Kill Common Assault Dangerous Driving Dangerous Proceeds of Crime of Proceeds Actual Bodily Harm Bodily Actual Other Drug Offences Drug Other Theft From A Vehicle From Theft Burglary in a Dwelling Possession Cannabis Possession Theft By An Employee Handling Stolen Goods Stolen Handling Other Criminal Damage Criminal Other Exposure and Voyeurism Exposure and Aggravated Vehicle Taking Vehicle Aggravated Dishonest Use of Electricity of Use Dishonest Arson Not Endangering Life Endangering Not Arson Robbery Of Business Property Business Of Robbery Trafficking In Controlled Drugs Possession of Other Weapons Other Possession of Criminal Damage To A Vehicle To Damage Criminal Interfering with a Motor Vehicle Criminal Damage To A Dwelling To A Damage Criminal Criminal Damage Other Building Building Other Damage Criminal Possession of Firearms Offences Going Equipped For Stealing Etc. Possession Drugs (not Cannabis) (not Drugs Possession Absconding From Lawful Custody Lawful From Absconding Cruelty To And Neglect Of Children Of Neglect And To Cruelty Causing Death By Dangerous Driving By Dangerous Death Causing Assault Without Injury on a Constable on a Injury Without Assault Possession Of Articles For Use In Fraud Possession of Article with Blade or Point or Blade with Article of Possession Burglary in a Building other than a Dwelling Theft From An Automatic Machine Or Meter Preserved Other Fraud And Repealed Fraud Repealed And Fraud Other Preserved Threat Or Possession With Intent To Commit Inflicting Grievous Bodily Harm Without Intent Other Offences(Against State & Public Order) Fraud By False Representation - Other Frauds Other - Representation By False Fraud Making Or Supplying Articles For Use In Fraud Use In For Articles Supplying Making Or Racially or Religiously Aggravated Public Fear, Public Aggravated Religiously or Racially Theft Or Unauthorised Taking Of A Pedal Cycle Pedal A Of Taking Unauthorised Or Theft Other Indictable Or Triable Either Way Offences Fraud By False Representation - Cheque, Plastic Cheque, - Representation By False Fraud Theft Or Unauthorised Taking Of A Motor Vehicle Obscene Publications, Etc. And Protected Sexual Protected And Etc. Obscene Publications, Wounding or Carrying Out an Act Endangering Life Endangering Act an Out Carrying or Wounding Theft In A Dwelling Other Than From An Automatic Attempting To Pervert The Course Of Public Justice

Graph 2 - Person arrested by police Resident population offence profile

Shoplifting is once again the m ost popular offence to get caught for, followed by Possession of Drugs, S4 & S5 Public Order Act offences, Assault Less Serious Injury and Assault without Injury. These account for 64% of all offences.

Many Shropshire resident offenders live in the vulnerable localities with the add ition of Meole Estate, Shrewsbury & Highley that seem to have a highe r concentration of offenders.

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6.2 Crime – Probation

Persons under Probation Service Supervision Age at Assessment

60

50

40

30 Count

20

10

0 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 66 67 73 78 Age in Years

Graph 3 Person under probation supervision age profile The age profile is consistent to that found previously and in national studies.

OFFENCE DESCRIPTION Total Shoplifting 74 Common assault 71 ABH 40 Burglary Non Dwelling 23 Criminal Damage 21 Burglary in a dwelling 17 Driving whilst disqualified 17 Driving Whilst unfit through drink or drugs 16 Taking of a Vehicle 14 GBH 12 Harassment 12 Other Offences 12 Table 22 Person under supervision by Probation - Offence profile

27% of the persons under probation supervisio n were assessed as being at Very Hig h or High Risk of reoffending. Only 5% of th ese were screened as being at risk of doing serious harm to others as well.

When offenders are ass essed regarding issues that would affect offending behaviour over 50% are assessed to having a Drug and /or Alcohol issue, and over 60% have

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Thinking and Behaviour, Attitude and Lifest yle issues that would place them at a higher risk of reoffending

Issue Related to Offending Behaviour % age ACCOMMODATION 23.91% EDUCATION, TRAINING 25.70% EMPLOYABILITY FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT & INCOME 41.09% RELATIONSHIPS 48.26% LIFESTYLE 66.96% DRUG MISUSE 54.80% ALCOHOL MISUSE 57.83% EMOTIONAL WELLBEING 35.22% THINKING AND BEHAVIOUR 98.08% ATTITUDES 63.72% Table 23 Person under Probation supervision issues relating to offending behaviour However no data was availab le that indicates the scoring of each ca tegory, each of which employs a different weighted scale. It is the total of these weighted scores that indicates a high risk of reoffending and which is sues need to be addressed to assist in reducing a person’s propensity to reoffend.

6.3 ASB Persons

West Mercia Police record details of all people that receive a warning letter regarding anti social behaviour. The same system records person who are subj ect to anti social behaviour orders. During th e period under review change s and upgrades were m ade to the database that precludes comparison with some previous data.

Age profiles rarely change from the 13 to 19 year group and 22% of interventions in this age group are for underage drinking.

Person subject to police asb interventions te nd to concentra te in the f ollowing locations.

 Oswestry

 Whitchurch

 Shrewsbury

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 Ludlow

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7. Temporal

7.1 All crime

Crime has a greater probability of occu rring throughout the week in the 1600 to 2359 period, peaking Friday night / Saturday m orning, Saturday night / Sunday m orning in association with the night time economy.

7.2 Metal thefts

There appears to be two distinct tim e periods in where the possibility o f these thef ts occurring are the greatest, nam ely 1100 – 1700 Tuesdays to Saturdays and 2200 to 0600 Tuesdays to Saturdays with a greater tendency towards W ednesday night to Thursday morning and Friday night to Saturday mornings.

7.3 Burglary

Non domestic burglary tends to be an ove rnight crime between the hours of 2000 to 0600 throughout the week. W hilst dom estic burglary tends to be m idday to 2000 Wednesday, Thursday, Friday as peak days of the week.

7.4 Assault less serious injury

Temporal analysis still indicates that a ssaults are asso ciated with the nightim e economy.

7.5 Domestic Violence

Most events show a higher frequency in the 2100 to 2359 tim e bands throughout the week peaking Friday, Saturday and Sunday.

7.6 Criminal Damage

Shows a similar temporal distribution as assaults

7.7 ASB Events

Seasonality is noted from April to September with a further peak in October attributed to the school half term holiday.

The peak tim e for ASB is consistent th roughout the week from rising from 1500 to 2200 except for Friday and Saturday nights where peak starts at 2100 and carries through to 0200 associated with the night-time economy.

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8. Perception of Crime and Disorder

8.1 Community Engagement

During the period under revi ew 178 separate community engagem ents have been initiated under Partners and Community T ogether (PACT) arrangem ents, 65 in the Northern Area, 52 in the Southern A rea and 61 in the Central Area. These vary from full PACT meetings to Environmental Visual Audits.

This is down slightly from the previous a ssessment as some PACT m eetings are now combined with Local Joint Committee Meetings.

The top 3 recurring issues are as follows.

Shropshire North Area Central Area South Area VEHICLE RELATED - VEHICLE RELATED - YOUTH RELATED - VEHICLE RELATED - SPEEDING TRAFFIC SPEEDING TRAFFIC YOUTHS SPEEDING TRAFFIC INAPPROPRIATE GATHERING YOUTH RELATED - VEHICLE RELATED - VEHICLE RELATED - YOUTH RELATED - YOUTHS CARS PARKED SPEEDING TRAFFIC YOUTHS INAPPROPRIATE ILLEGALLY / INAPPROPRIATE GATHERING INCONVENIENTLY GATHERING ASB OTHER YOUTH RELATED ASB OTHER ASB OTHER YOUTHS INAPPROPRIATE GATHERING VEHICLE RELATED - VEHICLE RELATED - CARS PARKED CARS PARKED ILLEGALLY / ILLEGALLY / INCONVENIENTLY INCONVENIENTLY Table 24 PACT Meetings recurring issues These are showing very little year to year changes.

8.2 Perception of crime and anti social behaviour

Public perception of crim e and anti social behaviour is m easured by survey, the annual West Mercia Police Crime and Safety Partnership Survey.

The following tab le shows the top three issu es from the W est Mercia Police Crime and Safety Partnership Survey for the past five years. .

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Rank 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 1 Speeding Speeding Speeding Speeding Speeding Speeding Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic Traffic 2 Under Age Under Age Under Age Under Age Groups of Vandalism Drinking Drinking Drinking Drinking people or damage loitering or to property hanging around in public places 3 Groups of Groups of Groups of Vandalism Under Age Under Age people people people or damage Drinking Drinking loitering or loitering or loitering or to property hanging hanging hanging around in around in around in public places public public places places Table 25 West Mercia Community Survey issues raised comparison with previous years The common theme running through each year’s survey is that people consistently put speeding traffic as their number one priority.

Confidence that the local authority seek people’s views about the anti-social behaviour and crim e issues that m atter was 30.8% down from 32.3% (35.9% down from 39.7% for police).

Top Reasons (for not reporting the crime(s) to the Police): Police would not have taken it seriously / would not have been interested Thought it was unlikely that anyone would get caught Police couldn't have done anything Didn't think court would do anything as they are too lenient Fear of revenge attacks or intimidation by offenders Table 26 Reasons given for not reporting crime to police Confidence m ay become an issue when the scale of public spending cuts is fully announced; a decrease in confidence may conversely not lead to an automatic increase in crime.

There are certain areas within the county that, although they have relatively little crime, have very low confidence in police, these in the main are very rural areas.

There are 4 key driv ers to inc rease pub lic confidence in crim e and antisocial behaviour (Metropolitan Police Confidence Model)

 Effectiveness in dealing with crim e, crime has been reduce s ignificantly since 2005,

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 Engagement with the comm unity, Br onze Tasking and the PACT process together with the Local Joint Committees (LJC) are well placed on this aspect.

 Fair Treatment - This is already in place through the Equalities Forum.

 Alleviating local ASB – The introduc tion of a single ASB reporting num ber and the m ulti agency team to respond to reports of ASB should address this issue.

In 2011 eight police forces incl uding West Mercia will ch ange the way they respond to ASB calls, introduce a new system to log complaints and improve their IT systems in a seven-month pilot project designed to help quickly identify and protect vulnerable victims. This will result in the c lassifications being reduced and may well r esult in a rise in events classed as ASB. The effect on public confidence is as yet unknown.

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9. Control Strategy

9.1 The recommended control strategy is

 Increase public confidence by a multi agency approach to the prev ention of High and Medium priority crim es and anti social behaviour especially in vulnerable / problem localities

 Reduce offending through an integrated offender management framework.

 Identify and protect vu lnerable communities es pecially vic tims of domestic abuse and hate crime.

 Ensure the effect on Crim e and Disorder is c onsidered b y all r esponsible authorities in Shropshire in the exercise of their functions. (S17 Crime and Disorder Act 1998).

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