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Election 2007 V2

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Election 2007 V2 Constituency Seats Candidate Party Bet Probability Ranking Elected Dead Cert Carlow Kilkenny 5 John McGuinness (FF) FF 1 - 25 96% 1 YES DEFINITE Carlow Kilkenny 5 Bobby Alyward (FF) FF 1 - 16 94% 2 YES DEFINITE Carlow Kilkenny 5 Phil Hogan (FG) FG 1 - 16 94% 2 YES DEFINITE Carlow Kilkenny 5 Mary White (Green) Green 1 - 12 92% 4 YES DEFINITE Carlow Kilkenny 5 Fergal Browne (FG) FG 1 - 2 67% 5 YES CLOSE CALL Carlow Kilkenny 5 M.J Nolan (FF) FF 10 - 11 52% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Carlow Kilkenny 5 John Paul Phelan (FG) FG 1 - 1 50% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Carlow Kilkenny 5 Jim Townsend (Lab) Lab 4 - 1 20% 8 NO CLOSE CALL Carlow Kilkenny 5 Michael O'Brien (Lab) Lab 6 - 1 14% 9 NO UNLIKELY Carlow Kilkenny 5 Kathleen Funchion (SF) SF 40 - 1 2% 10 NO UNLIKELY Carlow Kilkenny 5 Walter Lacey (PD) PD 40 - 1 2% 10 NO UNLIKELY CavMon 4 Caoimhghín Ó Caoláin (SF) SF 1-50 98% 1 YES DEFINITE CavMon 4 Brendan Smith (FF) FF 1-50 98% 1 YES DEFINITE CavMon 4 Seymour Crawford (FG) FG 1-6 86% 3 YES CLOSE CALL CavMon 4 Margaret Conlon (FF) FF 1-5 83% 4 YES CLOSE CALL CavMon 4Paudge Connolly (Ind) Ind 11-10 48% 5NO CLOSE CALL CavMon 4 Joe O'Reilly (FG) FG 5-4 44% 6 NO CLOSE CALL CavMon 4 Vincent P Martin (Green) Green 16-1 6% 7 NO UNLIKELY CavMon 4Des Cullen (Lab) Lab 40-1 2% 8NO UNLIKELY CavMon 4 TJ Fay(Ind) Ind 66-1 1% 9 NO UNLIKELY Clare 4 Tony Killeen (FF) FF 1 - 20 95% 1 YES DEFINITE Clare 4 Pat Breen (FG) FG 1 - 10 91% 2 YES DEFINITE Clare 4 Timmy Dooley (FF) FF 1 - 5 83% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Clare 4 James Breen (Ind) Ind 8 - 15 65% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Clare 4 Joe Carey (FG) FG 4 - 5 56% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Clare 4 Brendan Daly (FF) FF 9 - 4 31% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Clare 4 Tony Mulcahy (FG) FG 4 - 1 20% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Clare 4 Brian Meaney (Green) Green 6 - 1 14% 8 NO UNLIKELY Clare 4 Madeline Taylor Quinn (FG) FG 12 - 1 8% 9 NO UNLIKELY Clare 4 Pascal Fitzgerald (Lab) Lab 25 - 1 4% 10 NO UNLIKELY Clare 4 Anna Prior (SF) SF 25 - 1 4% 10 NO UNLIKELY Clare 4 Murt Collins (PD) PD 40 - 1 2% 12 NO UNLIKELY Cork East 4 Ned O'Keeffe (FF) FF 1 - 20 95% 1 YES DEFINITE Cork East 4 David Stanton (FG) FG 1 - 8 89% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Cork East 4 Michael Ahern (FF) FF 1 - 6 86% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Cork East 4 Paul Bradford (FG) FG 1 - 4 80% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Cork East 4 Sean Sherlock (Lab) Lab 2 - 5 71% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Cork East 4 Sandra McLellan (SF) SF 6 - 1 14% 6 NO UNLIKELY Cork East 4 John Mulvihill Snr (Lab) Lab 8 - 1 11% 7 NO UNLIKELY Cork East 4 Sarah Iremonger (Green) Green 25 - 1 4% 8 NO UNLIKELY Cork East 4 Christy Carr (FRR) FRR 50 - 1 2% 9 NO UNLIKELY Cork East 4 John Cronin (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 10 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Bernard Allen (FG) FG 1 - 25 96% 1 YES DEFINITE Cork NC 4 Billy Kelleher (FF) FF 1 - 20 95% 2 YES DEFINITE Cork NC 4 Kathleen Lynch (Lab) Lab 1 - 12 92% 3 YES DEFINITE Cork NC 4 Noel O'Flynn (FF) FF 1 - 6 86% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Cork NC 4 Gerry Kelly (FG) FG 11 - 4 27% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Cork NC 4 Jonathan O'Brien (SF) SF 4 - 1 20% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Cork NC 4 Chris O'Leary (Green) Green 5 - 1 17% 7 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Dave McCarthy (Ind) Ind 8 - 1 11% 8 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Mick Barry (SP) SP 12 - 1 8% 9 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Ted Tynan (WP) WP 33 - 1 3% 10 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 John McCarthy (Ind) Ind 50 - 1 2% 11 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Niall Brennan (Ind) Ind 50 - 1 2% 11 NO UNLIKELY Cork NC 4 Stephen Saleh (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 13 NO UNLIKELY Cork NW 3 Michael Creed (FG) FG 1 - 10 91% 1 YES DEFINITE Cork NW 3 Batt O' Keeffe (FF) FF 2 - 7 78% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Cork NW 3 Gerard Murphy (FG) FG 4 - 11 73% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Cork NW 3 Michael Moynihan (FF) FF 1 - 2 67% 4 NO CLOSE CALL Cork NW 3 Donal Moynihan (FF) FF 2 - 1 33% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Cork NW 3Martin Coughlan (Lab) Lab 25 - 1 4% 6NO UNLIKELY Cork NW 3Caroline Robinson (Green) Green 50 - 1 2% 7NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 Micheál Martin (FF) FF 1 - 200 100% 1 YES DEFINITE Cork SC 5 Dan Boyle (Green) Green 1 - 33 97% 2 YES DEFINITE Cork SC 5 Simon Coveney (FG) FG 1 - 14 93% 3 YES DEFINITE Cork SC 5 Michael McGrath (FF) FF 1 - 7 88% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Cork SC 5 Deirdre Clune (FG) FG 1 - 2 67% 5 YES CLOSE CALL Cork SC 5 John Dennehy (FF) FF 4 - 6 60% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Cork SC 5 Jerry Buttimer (FG) FG 7 - 4 36% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Cork SC 5 Ciarán Lynch (Lab) Lab 5 - 2 29% 8 NO CLOSE CALL Cork SC 5 Henry Cremin (SF) SF 22 - 1 4% 9 NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 John Minihan (PD) PD 33 - 1 3% 10 NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 Ted Neville (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 11 NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 Maurice Fitzgerald (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 11 NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 Gerard Linehan (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 11 NO UNLIKELY Cork SC 5 Morgan Stack (Ind) Ind 100 - 1 1% 14 NO UNLIKELY Cork SW 3 Jim O'Keeffe (FG) FG 1 - 8 89% 1 YES CLOSE CALL Cork SW 3 Denis O'Donovan (FF) FF 1 - 7 88% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Cork SW 3 PJ Sheehan (FG) FG 1 - 4 80% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Cork SW 3 Christy O'Sullivan (FF) FF 11 - 10 48% 4 NO CLOSE CALL Cork SW 3 Michael McCarthy (Lab) Lab 7 - 4 36% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Cork SW 3 Cionnaith O'Suilleabhain (SF) SF 16 - 1 6% 6 NO UNLIKELY Cork SW 3 Quentin Gargan (Green) Green 33 - 1 3% 7 NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3 James McDaid (FF) FF 1 - 6 86% 1 YES CLOSE CALL Donegal NE 3 Joe McHugh (FG) FG 1 - 5 83% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Donegal NE 3 Cecelia Keaveney (FF) FF 1 - 4 80% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Donegal NE 3Padraig MacLochlainn (SF) SF 4 - 7 64% 4NO CLOSE CALL Donegal NE 3 Niall Blaney (FF) FF 11 - 10 48% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Donegal NE 3 Jimmy Harte (Ind) Ind 18 - 1 5% 6 NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3 Ian McGarvey (Ind) Ind 33 - 1 3% 7 NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3Siobhan McLaughlin (Lab) Lab 40 - 1 2% 8NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3 Frank Gallagher (Green) Green 40 - 1 2% 8 NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3 Mary Doherty (CS) CS 66 - 1 1% 10 NO UNLIKELY Donegal NE 3 Arthur McGuinness (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 10 NO UNLIKELY Donegal SW 3 Mary Coughlan (FF) FF 1 - 25 96% 1 YES DEFINITE Donegal SW 3 Dinny McGinley (FG) FG 1 - 5 83% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Donegal SW 3 Pat 'The Cope' Gallagher (FF) FF 1 - 5 83% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Donegal SW 3 Pearse Doherty (SF) SF 8 - 15 65% 4 NO CLOSE CALL Donegal SW 3Seamus Rogers (Lab) Lab 33 - 1 3% 5NO UNLIKELY Donegal SW 3 Sean O Maolchallann (Green) Green 50 - 1 2% 6 NO UNLIKELY Donegal SW 3 John Doherty (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 7 NO UNLIKELY Dublin Central 4 Bertie Ahern (FF) FF 1 - 1000 100% 1 YES DEFINITE Dublin Central 4 Tony Gregory (Ind) Ind 1 - 8 89% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4 Mary Lou McDonald (SF) SF 1 - 6 86% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4Joe Costello (Lab) Lab 4 - 6 60% 4YES CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4Paschal Donohoe (FG) FG 4 - 5 56% 5NO CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4 Cyprian Brady (FF) FF 15 - 8 35% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4 Mary Fitzpatrick (FF) FF 7 - 2 22% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4 Patricia McKenna (Green) Green 7 - 2 22% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin Central 4 Cieran Perry (Ind) Ind 33 - 1 3% 9 NO UNLIKELY Dublin Central 4Alan Beirne (FRR) FRR 100 - 1 1% 10NO UNLIKELY Dublin Central 4 Patrick Talbot (Ind) Ind 100 - 1 1% 10 NO UNLIKELY Dublin Central 4Paul O' Loughlin (CS) CS 100 - 1 1% 10NO UNLIKELY Dublin Central 4 Tom Prenderville (Ind) Ind 100 - 1 1% 10 NO UNLIKELY Dublin MW 4 John Curran (FF) FF 1 - 14 93% 1 YES DEFINITE Dublin MW 4 Paul Gogarty (Green) Green 1 - 6 86% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin MW 4 Frances Fitzgerald (FG) FG 1 - 6 86% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin MW 4 Mary Harney (PD) PD 1 - 5 83% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin MW 4Joanna Tuffy (Lab) Lab 1 - 1 50% 5NO CLOSE CALL Dublin MW 4 Joanne Spain (SF) SF 6 - 4 40% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin MW 4 Derek Keating (Ind) Ind 6 - 1 14% 7 NO UNLIKELY Dublin MW 4 Luke Moriarty (FF) FF 7 - 1 13% 8 NO UNLIKELY Dublin MW 4 Mick Finnegan (WP) WP 40 - 1 2% 9 NO UNLIKELY Dublin MW 4Colm Callanan (Ind) Ind 40 - 1 2% 9NO UNLIKELY Dublin MW 4 Gino Kenny (Ind) Ind 40 - 1 2% 9 NO UNLIKELY Dublin NC 3 Richard Bruton (FG) FG 1 - 33 97% 1 YES DEFINITE Dublin NC 3 Seán Haughey (FF) FF 1 - 10 91% 2 YES DEFINITE Dublin NC 3 Ivor Callely (FF) FF 1 - 5 83% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin NC 3 Finian McGrath (Ind) Ind 11 - 8 42% 4 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NC 3 Bronwen Maher (Green) Green 7 - 2 22% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NC 3Derek McDowell (Lab) Lab 4 - 1 20% 6NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NC 3 Peter Lawlor (SF) SF 40 - 1 2% 7 NO UNLIKELY Dublin NE 3 Martin Brady (FF) FF 1 - 7 88% 1 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3 Tommy Broughan (Lab) Lab 4 - 11 73% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3 Larry O'Toole (SF) SF 4 - 6 60% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3 Brody Sweeney (FG) FG 10 - 11 52% 4 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3 Terence Flanagan (FG) FG 2 - 1 33% 5 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3 Michael Woods (FF) FF 9 - 4 31% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin NE 3David Healy (Green) Green 10 - 1 9% 7NO UNLIKELY Dublin NE 3Keith Redmond (PD) PD 66 - 1 1% 8NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4 Trevor Sargent (Green) Green 1 - 50 98% 1 YES DEFINITE Dublin North 4 James O'Reilly (FG) FG 1 - 5 83% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4 Clare Daly (Soc) Soc 2 - 5 71% 3 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4 Michael Kennedy (FF) FF 8 - 11 58% 4 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4Brendan Ryan (Lab) Lab 10 - 11 52% 5NO CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4 John O'Leary (FF) FF 11 - 8 42% 6 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4 Darragh O'Brien (FF) FF 2 - 1 33% 7 NO CLOSE CALL Dublin North 4David O'Connor (Ind) Ind 6 - 1 14% 8NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4 Joe Corr (Green) Green 6 - 1 14% 8 NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4 Tom Morrissey (PD) PD 14 - 1 7% 10 NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4 Matt McCormack (SF) SF 16 - 1 6% 11 NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4John Donnelly (Ind) Ind 66 - 1 1% 12NO UNLIKELY Dublin North 4Cathal Loftus (CS) CS 66 - 1 1% 12NO UNLIKELY Dublin NW 3 Noel Ahern (FF) FF 1 - 20 95% 1 YES DEFINITE Dublin NW 3 Dessie Ellis (SF) SF 1 - 7 88% 2 YES CLOSE CALL Dublin NW 3Roisin Shorthall (Lab) Lab
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