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Program PACES II Research Field Earth and Environment Proposal for a Helmholtz Research Programme Marine, Coastal and Polar Systems (PACES II: Polar regions and coasts in the changing earth system) for the third funding period, 2014 – 2018 November 2012 Volume I Participating Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Centres: Research (AWI) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research (HZG) Programme Prof. Dr. Heinrich Miller (AWI) Speaker: Prof. Dr. Thomas Jung (AWI) Helmholtz Association Mission Statement We contribute to solving grand challenges which face society, science and industry by performing top-rate research in strategic programmes in the fields of Energy, Earth and Environment, Health, Key Technologies, Structure of Matter, Aeronautics, Space and Transportation We research systems of great complexity with our large-scale facilities and scientific infrastructure, cooperating closely with national and international partners. We contribute to shaping our future by combining research and technology development with perspectives for innovative applications and provisions for tomorrow’s world. Host Centre: Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Prof. Dr. Heinrich Miller Research (AWI) Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Am Handelshafen 12 D-27570 Bremerhaven Tel.: +49-471 4831-1210 Fax: +49-471 4831-1271 e-mail: [email protected] Prof. Dr. Thomas Jung Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research Bussestrasse 24 D-27570 Bremerhaven Tel.: +49-471 4831-1761/60 Fax: +49-471 4831-1797 e-mail: [email protected] Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Prof. Dr. Kay-Christian Emeis Materials and Coastal Research (HZG) Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research Max-Planck-Straße 1 D-21502 Geesthacht Telefon: +49-4152 87-1548 Telefax: +49-4152 87-2332 e-mail:[email protected] Contents THE RESEARCH FIELD EARTH AND ENVIRONMENT IN THE HELMHOLTZ AS S OCIATION – MISSION, VISION & STRATEGY ....................................................... I P ROGRAMME: MARINE, COAS TAL AND P OLAR S YS TEMS (PACES II: POLAR REGIONS AND COASTS IN THE CHANGING EARTH SYS TEM) ........... 1 PART 1: Overview .................................................................................................................. 1 Programme: Challenges, Objectives and Strategy .............................................................................. 1 Research Environment ......................................................................................................................... 4 Profiles of the Participating Centres ..................................................................................................... 8 Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research ................................................................................. 8 Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht Centre for Materials and Coastal Research ................................................... 8 Contribution to Cross-programme Activities and Initiatives ............................................................................ 10 Planned Resources ............................................................................................................................ 12 PART 2: Programme Development and Organisation ........................................................... 13 Challenges .......................................................................................................................................... 13 Development and Environment .......................................................................................................... 15 Development of the Programme ..................................................................................................................... 15 Utilization potential and commercial application ............................................................................................. 19 Strategic Partners, Cooperation and Competition .......................................................................................... 21 Infrastructures ..................................................................................................................................... 24 Existing Infrastructures ................................................................................................................................... 24 Planned Infrastructures .................................................................................................................................. 25 Management ....................................................................................................................................... 28 Organisation and Cooperation ........................................................................................................................ 28 Planning and Controlling ................................................................................................................................ 28 Talent Management ........................................................................................................................................ 28 PART 3: Programme Content ............................................................................................... 31 Topic 1: Changes and regional feedbacks in Arctic and Antarctic ..................................................... 31 Workpackage 1: The polar atmosphere, interaction with sea ice, ocean and frozen land .............................. 34 Workpackage 2: Ice sheet dynamics and mass balance ................................................................................ 39 Workpackage 3: Degrading permafrost landscapes; carbon, energy and water fluxes .................................. 43 Workpackage 4: Arctic sea ice and its interaction with ocean and ecosystems ............................................. 47 Workpackage 5: Southern Ocean physics, biodiversity, and biogeochemical fluxes in a changing climate ... 51 Workpackage 6: Large scale variability and change in polar benthic biota and ecosystem functions ............ 55 Topic 2: Fragile coasts and shelf sea ................................................................................................. 59 Workpackage 1: Coastal shifts and long-term trends ..................................................................................... 64 Workpackage 2: Species interactions in changing and exploited coastal seas .............................................. 67 Workpackage 3: Evolution and adaptation to climate change and anthropogenic stress in coastal and shelf systems .......................................................................................................................................................... 71 Workpackage 4: Biogeochemical provinces of sea floors in the German North Sea sector ........................... 75 Workpackage 5: Interface processes and physical dynamics of the coastal ocean........................................ 79 Topic 3: The earth system from a polar perspective: Data, modelling and synthesis .................. 84 Workpackage 1: Circumpolar climate variability and global teleconnections at seasonal to orbital time scales ....................................................................................................................................................................... 88 Workpackage 2: Earth system on tectonic time scales: From greenhouse to icehouse world ........................ 92 Workpackage 3: From process understanding to enabling climate prediction ................................................ 96 Topic 4: Research in science-stakeholder interactions .................................................................... 100 Workpackage 1: Operational analyses and forecasting ................................................................................ 104 Workpackage 2: Channelling research data to enhanced data products...................................................... 107 Workpackage 3: Providing information – enabling knowledge ..................................................................... 112 Service Topic: Climate Service Center ............................................................................................. 123 Workpackage 1: Networking, Synthesis of Existing Knowledge and Expert Judgement .............................. 127 Workpackage 2: Determination of Stakeholders’ Needs .............................................................................. 130 Workpackage 3: Development of Demand-Oriented Products and Services ............................................... 132 Workpackage 4: Establishment of Target Group-Oriented Communication ................................................. 136 Workpackage 5: Capacity Development ...................................................................................................... 138 Workpackage 6: Institutionalization of Climate Services (inter-/national level) ............................................. 140 Coverpage description: Photo 1: Recovery of the gravity corer in heavy weather conditions during RV POLARSTERN cruise ANT-XXVI/2 Topic 3 to the Pacific Southern Ocean (Photo: Y. N. Kim, KOPRI – former PhD student at AWI) Photo 2: Anthropogenic footprint in the Wadden Sea (Photo: I. Frings, HZG) Topic 2 Photo 3: Field camp on the margin of a continental ice sheet to collect ice samples in Northeast Greenland Topic 1 (Photo: H. Oerter, AWI) Photo 4: Knowledge transfer
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