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CHURCHILL DOWNS Saturday 05/02/2015 CHURCHILL DOWNS Saturday 05/02/2015 Post: 10:30 AM WAGERS: * Trifecta box 1 entry-6-7-8 = $24 for a $2 wager 1 Selections 1A - 6 - 8 - 7 - 1 Post: 11:01 AM The Wizard's Crystal Ball Best Bet WAGERS: * Win bet on (3) YOCKEY'S WARRIOR * Exactas (3) YOCKEY'S WARRIOR over (1-1a) ROLL TIDE ROLL / 2 TOUGH CUSTOMER & (5) DEFONDO, reverse both for 1/3 as much Selections 3 - 1 - 1A - 5 - 7 * Trifecta 3 over 1-5-7 over ALL = $18 for a $1 wager * Trifecta 3 over 1-5-7 over 1-4-5-7-8 = $12 for a $1 wager * Trifecta 1-5 over 3 over 1-4-5-7-8 = $8 for a $1 wager Post: 11:31 AM WAGERS: * Win bet on (4) WEST VILLAGE * Exacta box (2) THATCHER STREET, (4) WEST VILLAGE, (7) UNDER 3 THE TABLE & (9) REACH FOR A KITTEN = $24 for a $2 wager Selections 4 - 9 - 2 - 7 Post: 12:04 PM The Wizard's Crystal Ball Best Bet WAGERS: * Win bet on (3) CARVE. * Exactas (3) CARVE over (4) ROCKET TIME, (6) CAT BURGLAR & (7) 4 JESSICA'S STAR, reverse each for 1/2 as much. Selections 3 - 6 - 4 - 7 Post: 12:38 PM WAGERS: * Exacta (6) COMPETITIVE EDGE over (5) LORD NELSON, reverse for 1/2 as much * Smaller exacta (6) COMPETITIVE EDGE over (2) GIMME DA LUTE, 5 reverse for 1/4 as much Selections 6 - 5 - 2 Post: 1:19 PM WAGERS: * Win & Place bet on (8) CONQUEST TYPHOON * Exacta box (1) LUCK OF THE KITTEN, (7) NUN THE LESS, (8) 6 CONQUEST TYPHOON & (11) DIVISIDERO = $24 for a $2 wager Selections 8 - 1 - 7 - 11 Post: 2:08 PM WAGERS: * Trifecta 8 over 1-3-7 over ALL = $18 for a $1 wager 7 * Trifecta 8 over 1-3-7 over 1-3-7 = $12 for a $2 wager Selections 8 - 3 - 1 - 7 Post: 2:59 PM WAGERS: * Begin a PICK 4 play, 4 suggested tickets = $131.50 NOTE: Because of the huge amount of money being bet into this Pick 4 pool ending in the Kentucky Derby, I have constructed 4 tickets. 8 ******************************** Selections 8 - 4 - 5 - 1 Ticket 1: 4-5-8 / 2-5 / 5-7-8-9-10-11/ 8-18 = $36 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 2: 4-5-8 / 2 / 5-7-8-10 / 6-8-15-18 = $24 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 3: ALL / 2-5 / 5-7-8-10 / 18 = $52 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 4: ALL / 2-4-5 / 8 / 18 = $19.50 for a $0.50 wager Late changes may cause updated wagers to conflict with original Selections. Page 1 of 2 Copyright © 2015 Daily Racing Form, Inc. and Equibase Company, all rights reserved Any questions or comments can be sent to: [email protected] CHURCHILL DOWNS Saturday 05/02/2015 Post: 3:43 PM WAGERS: * NO suggested wagers for this race 9 Selections 2 - 5 - 4 Post: 4:44 PM WAGERS: * Win & Place bet on (8) STEPHANIE'S KITTEN 10 Selections 8 - 5 - 7 - 10 - 11 Post: 6:34 PM The Wizard's Crystal Ball Best Bet WAGERS: I am not going to suggest making a win bet on American Pharoah as the 5-2 morning line favorite. I will instead attack the Exactas and Trifecta's and one Superfecta play if you want to take a shot for a potential score. 11 Selections 18 - 8 - 15 - 6 - 10 ********************************** * Exactas (18) AMERICAN PHAROAH over ALL = $38 for a $2 wager * Exacta (18) AMERICAN PHAROAH over (8) DORTMUND, reverse for 1/2 as much * Smaller exactas (18) AMERICAN PHAROAH over (6) MUBTAAHIJ, (10) FIRING LINE, & (15) FROSTED, reverse each for 1/4 as much ********************************* TRIFECTAS: . Ticket 1: BOX: 6-8-10-15-18 = $30 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 2: 8-18 over 6-8-10-15-18 over 2-3-4-5-6-8-9-10-12-14-15-18-19 = $44 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 3: 18 over 6-8-10-15 over ALL = $36 for a $0.50 wager Ticket 4: 18 over 6-8-10-15 over 2-3-4-5-6-8-9-10-12-14-15-19 = $22 for a $0.50 wager Total Trifectas = $132 ******************************************* Superfecta: 18 over 6-8-15 over 6-8-10-15 over 2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-12-14-15-19-20 = $108 for a $1 wager Post: 7:35 PM WAGERS: * Win bet on (12) COMFORT * Exacta box (4) GUAPO MAN, (12) COMFORT & (13) UNBRIDLED JUAN = $12 for a $2 wager 12 * Daily Doubles (4) GUAPO MAN, (12) COMFORT & (13) UNBRIDLED Selections 12 - 4 - 13 - 3 JUAN with (6) BENT ON BOURBON Post: 8:05 PM The Wizard's Crystal Ball Best Bet WAGERS: * Exactas (6) BENT ON BOURBON over (4) WILD AND UNBRIDLED, (9) COACHES CHALLENGE & (12) MUNTIJ, reverse each for 1/2 as 13 much Selections 6 - 9 - 4 - 12 * Trifecta 6 over 4-9-12 over ALL = $30 for a $1 wager * Trifecta 6 over ALL over 4-9-12 = $15 for a $0.50 wager Late changes may cause updated wagers to conflict with original Selections. Page 2 of 2 Copyright © 2015 Daily Racing Form, Inc. and Equibase Company, all rights reserved Any questions or comments can be sent to: [email protected] CHURCHILL DOWNS Saturday 05/02/2015 Forecast High Partly Sunny 75 F Low Precip: 12% 54 F THE WIZARD'S CRYSTAL BALL # 3 YOCKEY'S WARRIOR (Race 2) He apparently was still feeling the effects of his monstrous victory at first asking on April 4 at Keeneland, finishing second that day. Yockey's Warrior was a mere shell of himself at Keeneland last month, setting the pace over a track surface that was extremely unkind to frontrunners and/or runners racing towards the rail. Regardless, Yockey's Warrior held on well in the stretch to salvage the place once displaced on the front end by the winner, and he was clearly second best. He projects to compete over a fairer surface today, switching to Churchill Downs while getting a huge upgrade in riders to Joel Rosario. He looms the controlling speed once again, drawing an a beneficial inside post. #3 CARVE (Race 4) He has had the misfortune of competing against Race Day not once, but twice in both of his starts off a layoff in Arkansas. In their second go-round on April 11, he gave the aforementioned runner all he could handle past midstretch, but was unable to match strides with that dual graded stakes winner when it mattered in the final yards, settling for a sharp second place finish. Carve profits immeasurably from some class relief today and the absence of Race Day as well, running in a high-end optional claiming contest. A drop in class to face similar rivals at a flat mile resulted in a going away victory as the post time favorite over this track in 2014. Pace pressing tactics are expected to be the order of the day, sporting a bullet breeze last Sunday. Castanon gets on board once again, the pilot for four of Carve's last five victories. #18 AMERICAN PHAROAH (Race 11) American Pharoah began his career in a maiden race at Del Mar over the Polytrack in August. This was the same surface his trainer and owner had maligned in years past for its inconsistency, initially leading to Ahmed Zayat moving the majority of his stable to the east coast. His west coast presence has gradually increased in recent years. Among his stableís stars were 2012 Arkansas Derby winner and Kentucky Derby and Preakness runner-up Bodemeister and 2012 Haskell winner Paynter. Bet down to 7/5 in his debut, American Pharoah chased the pace and tired late to split the field in a group of nine. Based on his impressive showings in the morning, and the quality of the maiden race in which he debuted, Baffert was willing to try this colt in the Del Mar Futurity on closing day of the boutique meet. Dispatched at 3-1, he grabbed control shortly after the start and never looked back. It was a polished and complete effort from a lightly raced colt and quickly vaulted him up the list of best 2 year-olds in the country. A routine win in the Frontrunner 24 days later at Santa Anita only cemented that status. It also set him up as a likely heavy favorite in the Breedersí Cup Juvenile over the same oval in early November. An injury suffered in preparation for the Juvenile sidelined this colt, and his status for the Triple Crown was unknown when the calendar turned to 2015. While preparing for the Rebel, American Pharoah drew continued rave reviews regarding his training, as clockers and observers regularly stood mouths agape with incredulity at the site of the bay colt. He ran to his training in the aforementioned Rebel, dominating from start to finish, en route to a six length score. American Pharoah overcame several obstacles that afternoon. It was reported after the race, that he had lost a shoe soon after the start. He was also racing on a sloppy track for the first time and outside the confines of southern California at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs Arkansas. Even after the Rebel rout, many doubted American Pharoah's ability to rate off the pace and to handle more legitimate competition. A return engagement in the Natural State would include a meeting with Southwest winner Far Right and a good bit more speed was entered in the Arkansas Derby.
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