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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Financials Conference 2019

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Financials Conference 2019 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Financials Conference 2019 Sergio P. Ermotti Group Chief Executive Officer September 24, 2019 Important information Forward Looking Statements: This presentation contains statements that constitute “forward-looking statements”, including but not limited to performance targets, expectations and ambitions, as well as management’s outlook for UBS’s financial performance and statements relating to the anticipated effect of transactions and strategic or business initiatives on UBS’s business and future development. While these forward-looking statements represent UBS’s judgments and expectations concerning the matters described, a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially. For a discussion of the risks and uncertainties that may affect UBS's future results please refer to the "Risk Factors" and other sections of UBS’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F, quarterly reports and other information furnished to or filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 6-K, and the cautionary statement on the last page of this presentation. UBS is not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaims any obligation to) update or alter its forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Non-GAAP Financial Measures: In addition to reporting results in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), UBS reports adjusted results that exclude items that management believes are not representative of the underlying performance of its businesses. Such adjusted results are non-GAAP financial measures as defined by US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations and may be Alternative Performance Measures as defined under the guidelines published the European Securities Market Authority (ESMA). Please refer to pages 7-10 of UBS's Quarterly Report for the second quarter of 2019 and to its most recent Annual Report for a reconciliation of adjusted performance measures to reported results under IFRS and for definitions of adjusted performance measures and other alternative performance measures. Disclaimer: This presentation and the information contained herein are provided solely for information purposes, and are not to be construed as a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in Switzerland, the United States or any other jurisdiction. No investment decision relating to securities of or relating to UBS Group AG, UBS AG or their affiliates should be made on the basis of this document. No representation or warranty is made or implied concerning, and UBS assumes no responsibility for, the accuracy, completeness, reliability or comparability of the information contained herein relating to third parties, which is based solely on publicly available information. UBS undertakes no obligation to update the information contained herein. Available Information: UBS's Annual Report, Quarterly Reports, SEC filings on Form 20-F and Form 6-K, as well as investor presentations and other financial information are available at www.ubs.com/investors. UBS’s Annual Report on Form 20-F, quarterly reports and other information furnished to or filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Form 6-K are also available at the SEC's website: www.sec.gov Basel III RWA, LRD and capital: Basel III numbers are based on the BIS Basel III framework, as applicable for Swiss Systemically relevant banks (SRB). Numbers in the presentation are based on the revised Swiss SRB rules as of 1.1.20 that became effective on 1.7.16, unless otherwise stated. Basel III risk-weighted assets in this presentation are calculated on the basis of Swiss SRB rules as of 1.1.20 unless otherwise stated. Our RWA under BIS Basel III are the same as under Swiss SRB Basel III. Leverage ratio and leverage ratio denominator in this presentation are calculated on the basis of Swiss SRB rules as of 1.1.20, unless otherwise stated. Refer to the “Capital management” section in the 2Q19 report for more information. Currency translation of monthly income statement items of operations with a functional currency other than the US dollar are translated with month-end rates into US dollar. Definitions: "Earnings per share" refers to diluted earnings per share. "Litigation" refers to net additions/releases to provisions for litigation regulatory and similar matters reflected in the income statement for the relevant period. "Net profit" refers to net profit attributable to shareholders. Rounding: Numbers presented throughout this presentation may not add up precisely to the totals provided in the tables and text. Percentages, percent changes, and adjusted results are calculated on the basis of unrounded figures. Information on absolute changes between reporting periods, which is provided in text that can be derived from figures displayed in the tables, is calculated on a rounded basis. Tables: Within tables, blank fields generally indicate that the field is not applicable or not meaningful, or that information is not available as of the relevant date or for the relevant period. Zero values generally indicate that the respective figure is zero on an actual or rounded basis. Percentage changes are presented as a mathematical calculation of the change between periods. © UBS 2019. The key symbol and UBS are among the registered and unregistered trademarks of UBS. All rights reserved 1 UBS at a glance › Clients are at the center of everything we do Outstanding › Unique position as the only truly global wealth manager › Leading universal bank in Switzerland with focused client franchises Investment Bank and Asset Management franchises › Strong brand and global reach › Positioning businesses for growth Leading to Managing for › Investing while remaining disciplined on costs strong financial › Optimizing for evolving operating environment growth and efficiency performance › Developing leading digital capabilities to improve efficiency and client experience › Disciplined resource usage; focus on sustainable growth Balance sheet strength › Prudent deployment of risk with a focus on stress resilience for all seasons › Return excess capital to shareholders 2 Delivering high quality revenue growth and returns Underpinned by disciplined resource management and risk control Operating income 14.4 14.7 +0.8% CAGR Transaction- driven 6.1 6.1 ~40% revenues1 +1.4% CAGR Recurring 8.3 8.7 ~60% revenues2 1H16 1H19 Reported 11.7% 14.6% RoCET1 CET1 capital 31.0 34.9 Numbers in USDbn and adjusted unless otherwise indicated. 1 Transaction-based income, other income and CLE in GWM and P&C, performance fees in AM, all IB operating income and all Corporate Center operating income; 2 Recurring net fee income and NII in GWM and P&C, and management fees in AM 3 Clients entrusting us with their assets have supported our growth Record GWM invested assets of 2.5trn; 90bn in net inflows since 2016; invested asset CAGR of 8% Americas APAC, EMEA, and Switzerland Invested asset growth in line with US peers Net new money CAGR of 4.6% Total invested asset growth of 21.1% US peer average2 growth: 17.5% 16.8% 114 (21) 1,321 73 (9) 29 147 1,131 31 55 31.12.16 Market Dividend NNM Other 30.6.19 FY17 FY18 1H19 Total growth and FX and from NNM interest1 Implementation of US operating model change completed Numbers in USDbn unless otherwise indicated; excludes minor function with 3bn of invested assets as of 30.6.19 and 3bn of net new money outflows over the period shown. 1 Relates to former WMA only, for the remainder of the Americas region, dividend and interest income is included in the "Market and FX" category; 2 Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo. Excluding loans and leases 4 Strong growth prospects in APAC #1 wealth manager and leading IB franchise AM IB 1H19 Strong invested assets growth Well positioned to capture future growth PBT1 GWM APAC invested assets Leading foreign wealth, asset GWM 10% CAGR management and IB franchises in China >400bn GWM APAC invested assets, Extending our lead with >70% above the #22 411 entrepreneurs through collaboration 270 Named best IB in China, Hong Launched strategic partnership Kong and Singapore3 with SuMi Trust 31.12.14 30.6.19 #1 Foreign Asset Manager in China4 Numbers in USDbn and adjusted unless otherwise indicated. 1 Excluding Corporate Center; 2 Asian Private Banker 2018 league table; 3 Global Finance, February 2019; 4 Z-Ben Advisors, April 2019 5 Making progress on our strategic initiatives Management actions to capitalize on structural growth opportunities Selected strategic levers Spotlight on Global Family Office Group (GFO) Institutional coverage for most sophisticated clients yields significant revenue uptick › Strengthen GFO & UHNW, esp. in Americas GWM › Increase mandate penetration Clients ~15% revenue CAGR1 › Drive lending and deposit growth › Most sophisticated, institutional-like GWM clients following GFO onboarding › High trading activity, seeking a strategic dialogue › Sustain strong business growth › Requiring coverage across countries and booking centers P&C › Enhance digital lead Set-up › Increase market share with entrepreneurs › A global joint venture between GWM and IB › Dedicated institutional specialists coverage › Capture wholesale opportunity › Rolled out in 8 hubs across EMEA, APAC and the US Year 0 Year 3 AM › Grow indexed, sustainable and impact investing (prior to GFO (3rd year of › Extend presence in key APAC growth markets onboarding)
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