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The Cheltenham Festival 2019: BIG RACE Stats/Trends/ Pointers

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The Cheltenham Festival 2019: BIG RACE Stats/Trends/ Pointers The Cheltenham Festival 2019: BIG RACE Stats/Trends/ Pointers Tuesday 12 March 2019 – Champion Day 13:30 The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+, 2m 110y) 14:10 The Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+, 2m) 14:50 The Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+, 3m 110y) 15:30 The Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 110y) 16:10 The OLBG Mares’ Hurdle Race (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (4yo+, 2m 4f) 16:50 The JT McNamara National Hunt Chase (Listed Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Chase) (5yo+, 4m) 17:30 The Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase (0-140) (5yo+, 2m 4f 110y) Wednesday 13 March 2018 – Ladies Day 13:30 The Ballymore Novices’ Hurdle (Registered As The Baring Bingham Novices’ Hurdle) (Grade 1) (4yo+, 2m 5f) 14:10 The RSA Steeple Chase (Novices’ Grade 1) (5yo+, 3m 110y) 14:50 The Coral Cup Hurdle (Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle) (4yo+, 2m 5f) 15:30 The Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+, 2m) 16:10 The Glenfarclas Handicap Chase (Cross Country Chase) (5yo+, 3m 7f) 16:50 The Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (4yo, 2m 110y) 17:30 The Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Grade 1 Standard Open NH Flat Race) (4-6yo, 2m 110y) Thursday 14 March – St Patrick’s Thursday 13:30 The JLT Novices’ Chase (Registered As The Golden Miller Novices’ Chase) (Grade 1) (5yo+, 2m 4f) 14:10 The Pertemps Network Final (Listed Handicap Hurdle) (5yo+, 3m) 14:50 The Ryanair Chase (Registered As The Festival Trophy Chase) (Grade 1) (5yo+, 2m 5f) 15:30 Sun Bets Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+, 3m) 16:10 The Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Grade 3 Handicap Chase) (5yo+, 2m 4f) 16.50 The Trull House Stud Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2) (2 miles 1f) 17:30 The Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amateur Riders) (5yo+, 3m 1f 110y) Friday 15 March – Gold Cup Day 13:30 The JCB Triumph Hurdle (Juvenile Grade 1) (4yo, 2m 1f) 14:10 The Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (5yo+, 2m 1f) 14:50 The Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Registered As The Spa Novices’ Hurdle) (Grade 1) (4yo+, 3m) 15:30 The Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+, 3m 2f 110y) 16:10 The St James’ Place Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup (5yo+, 3m 2f 110y) 16:50 The Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle (4yo+, 2m 4f 110y) 17:30 The Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) (5yo+, 2m 110y) Tuesday 12 March 2019 – Champion Day 13:30 The Sky Bet Supreme Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+, 2m 110y) 14:10 The Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+, 2m) 14:50 The Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+, 3m 110y) 15:30 The Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1) (4yo+, Class 1, 2m 110y) 16:10 The OLBG Mares’ Hurdle Race (Registered As The David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle) (Grade 2) (4yo+, 2m 4f) 16:50 The JT McNamara National Hunt Chase (Listed Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Chase) (5yo+, 4m) 17:30 The Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase (0-140) (5yo+, 2m 4f 110y) 14:50 The Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (5yo+, 3m 110y) 10/218, 40p 10/10 had 0-1 WINs in handicap chases (2+: 0/81, 7p) 10/10 DID NOT run at G3 or Listed level LTO (did: 0/86, 10p) 10/10 had 0-2 runs in this class (Grade 3) (10/135, 32p) (3+ : 0/83, 8p) 10/10 had 3+ runs in this class or higher class (0-2: 0/66, 10p) 10/10 had 0-3 Chase runs at track (4+ 0/60, 5p) 10/10 had 0-3 chase WINS (4+: 0/60, 6p) 10/10 had all RUN at G1 or G2 Level (Had not: 0/59, 7p) 10/10 had 14 or fewer chase RUNS • 15+ : 0/62, 5p • 3-6: 7/58, 16p 10/10 had 9 or fewer handicap chase RUNS • 10+ : 0/52, 4p • 0-3 : 8/75, 22p 10/10 had 4+ runs in the last 365 days (0-3: 0/47, 5p) 10/10 had RUN at the track (0 track runs: 0/34,5p) 10/10 had been ridden by jockey previous (had not: 0/29,1p) ) 10/10 top 6 LTO (7th or lower but completed – 0/37, 5p) (PU: 0/28,3p) 9/10 ran LEFT handed LTO: (RH: 1/80, 10p.. last year’s winner) 9/10 ran 16-45 days ago (9/134, 27p) 9/10 had placed at least once on last 3 runs (had not: 1/49,7p) 8/10 Irish Bred (8/129,23p) • GB: 1/42,11p • FR: 1/39,5p 8/10 Aged 6-8 (8/116,26p) • 9: 1/53,9p • 10: 1/28,3p • 11+: 0/21,2p 8/10 were moving Up 2/3/4 classes from last run (8/85, 13p) • Same Class (G3) or Up 1: 0/85, 10p • Drop 1: 3/24,9p 8/10 sent off 14/1 or shorter SP • 5/1< : 3/6,5p • 16/1-25/1: 0/64, 7p • 28/1-33/1: 2/40,6p • 40/1+ : 0/38,0p 8/10 had run over 24 or 24.5f LTO (8/101, 21p) • 25f+ LTO: 0/52, 7p 8/10 ran in said race type LTO: • Hurdle -non hncp/graded)/ Novice Chase/Handicap Hurdle/Handicap Novice Chase • Ran in ‘handicap chase’ LTO: 2/133, 20p 7/10 had 13-17 career runs (7/56, 20p) 7/10 had 1-2 wins at track (7/83, 17p) Other • Headgear: Blinkers + CP : 6/64, 12p • Top 4 in the weights (exc claims): 1/49, 7p (winner 11-12) • Yet to run over further than 24f in career: 0/25,3p • Had WON over 26f or further: 0/35, 3p • 0-1 runs this season: 0/19, 4p • Had won at Festival before: 3/20,5p • Ran over hurdles LTO: 4/23, 6p • Irish Trained: 0/18,6p Track LTO • Chelt: 3/40, 10p • Donc: 2/19, 4p • Haydock: 2/17,4p • X1: Exeter / Chepstow/ Warwick • Ascot: 0/17,1p / Newbury: 0/19,2p / Kempton: 0/25, 1p Trainers (21 years) • D Pipe: 3/18,6p • Jonjo O’Neill: 3/21,6p • A King: 2/15,3p • X1: Tony Martin/C Roche/F Doumen/N Williams/ C Tizzard/K Bailey/J Moffatt/H Morrison/ N Mulholland/N Henderson • V Williams: 0/21,1p • P Nicholls: 0/23,4p • NTD: 0/27,2p • P Hobbs: 0/11,1p 16:50 The JT McNamara National Hunt Chase (Listed Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Chase) (5yo+, 4m) 10/174, 30p 10/10 sent off 16/1 or shorter SP (18/1+ : 0/85, 5p) 10/10 had 0-2 runs prev 90 days (3+ : 0/50, 12p) 8/10 had RUN at G1/G2 Level (8/103,22p) (had not: 2/71, 8p) 8/10 had RUN at track previously (8/90 17p) (had not: 2/84, 13p) 8/10 had 2+ runs at this class or higher (8/72,16p… 0-1: 2/102, 14p) 7/10 had 1+ chase runs at track (7/45, 12p) Other • 1-2 chase runs: 0/22,3p • Ran in a handicap chase LTO: 0/47, 3p (exc novice handicap chase) Track LTO • Leop: 3/6, 4p • X1: Wexford/Ascot/Chelt/Gowran/Catt/Warw/Chep Trainers (21 years) • Jonjo O’Neill: 5/23,6p +63 • G Elliot: 3/7, 3p • X2: W Mullins/A King • X1: R Curtis / M Hourihan/I Duncan/H Daly/NTD • P Nicholls: 0/19,2p Jockeys • Derek O’Connor: 2/9,5p • P Mullins: 2/8,4p • X1: S Waley Cohen/Lisa O’Neill/Josh Newman/JJ Codd Owners (2012-) • JP McManus: 2/5,2p • Gigginstown: 1/8,3p 17:30 The Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase (0-140) (5yo+, 2m 4f 110y) 10/198, 40p 10/10 sent off 16/1 or shorter SP (18/1+ : 0/98, 10p) 10/10 had yet to win above C2: (had: 0/38,6p) 10/10 had max 3 runs at this class or higher class (4+ : 0/37, 6p) 10/10 ran 16-45 days ago (10/122,30p) • 1-15: 0/10,2p (don’t dismiss those) • 46+ : 0/66, 8p) 9/10 had 7-12 career runs (outside this: 1/114, 21p) 9/10 had 1+ runs at track (0: 1/74,7p) • 1 run: 7/62, 18p 9/10 had 3 or 4 chase RUNS (9/112, 29p) (Hunt Ball in 2012 the anomaly) 8/10 Official Rating was higher than last run • Same: 1/62, 11p • Lower: 1/36, 6p) 6/10 had raced once over fences at track previously (6/36,10p) 6/10 WON LTO (6/69,19p) • 8/10 Top 3: 8/131, 31p Other • Top weights: 3/17,4p • 0 runs prev 90 days: 0/18,0p • 1 handicap chase run only: 0/41,7p Track LTO • Chelt: 3/24,5p • Kempton: 2/15,5p • X1: Donc/Exet/Navan/Ascot/Muss • Leop: 0/17,3p Jockeys • B Hughes: 2/5,3p Trainers (14 renewals) • X1: A Fleming/K Burke/K Snowden/R Curtis/M Channon/I Williams/T Taffe/P Nicholls/P Hobbs/N Henderson/M Bradstock • V Williams: 0/14,1p .
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