February 2012 Volume 8 Issue 02 What Really Wins Money

***** An Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems *****

i and welcome to the, now traditional, February Each-Way Staking HCheltenham Festival newsletter. We kick off this edition with Andrew David, Cheltenham 2012 – who bagged a 34-point profit from his each-way tips in February 2011s newsletter. The guys Can We Repeat Last at www.bettertipster.co.uk once again offer up a Year’s Decimation select group of horses their insider information points to for this year’s festival. of the Bookies? And, for all you layers out there, the new Statman, Sean Trivass, makes a compelling argument for sta- Here’s Hoping! tistically laying certain favourites this year. By Andrew David Heck, even the Patriarch has caught Cheltenham fever and, as part of his article, brings you a five- Andrew David, professional each-way tipster, step plan to plunder the National Hunt races, not just attempts to repeat last year’s heroics and win us at the Festival, but throughout the National Hunt some more Guinness tokens for this year’s Festival. Season. Over to Andrew... I update January’s home-grown betting systems, Well here we are again – Cheltenham just around with another newbie to add to the roster, one charac- the corner and the Flat season starting shortly after – terised by profitability and ease of implementation. marvellous! And, as usual, Graham Laurie brings you all of the Yes, last year we managed to batter the bookies recent Systems and Tipsters to follow and avoid. to the tune of around 34 points over the four action- Have a great , and remember it packed days of the Cheltenham Festival. I’ve no starts on my birthday (13th March) and I must thank doubt many a festival goer would settle for half that the horse racing community for putting this Festival come the last race on the final day this year. on during my birthday week – most kind of them! First, a bit of preamble on why I feel each-way bet- ting has to be taken seriously as a staking option. If there is ever a meeting in which each-way bet- ting has to be strongly considered then it’s the Chel- Inside this issue: tenham festival. Generous prices as a result of strong market liquidity, big field handicap races, extended Two Exclusive Selections from the Pros place terms from many bookies, all adds up to great BetterTipster Cheltenham Preview ...... 6 value for the punter. On the downside, of course, is The Statman Presents: the extremely competitive nature of the event, with Look to Lay This Cheltenham Festival ...... 7 the crème de le crème of the National Hunt scene The Patriarch Presents competing for each prize. The Patriarch Takes on Cheltenham ...... 10 This can make pinpointing likely winners a com- Betting Strategies plex maze for punters, with very few horses clear There’s More to Stakes Than Level Stakes ...... 11 on the ratings. All the more reason for us to hedge Reviews our options and bet each way. Each-way staking will The Cash Master’s Systems and give us an increased chance of our chosen selection/s Tipsters Update ...... 13 being captured in the placing spread, with some

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WRWM0212.indd 1 22/02/2012 16:57 bookies paying on up to five places on some feature Cinder & Ashes looks to have a great chance with races! the form working out well, is unbeaten over his last three starts and for me is a big danger. Regular readers of WRWM will know I am a great advocate of each-way staking, even at prices as Another I like is Darlan who really could be any- low as 2/1 you will receive 75% of your total stake thing and who at the time of writing is due to run in returned in Handicaps, and 70% in Non Handicaps if the rearranged Betfair Hurdle at Newbury on Friday your horse gets placed. 17th February. Darlan has shown some class, win- ning all three starts this year, and it will be interest- These regular returns flowing back to your betting ing to see how he performs in the Betfair Hurdle bank are great for your betting confidence. More against better opposition. Pending a good account in importantly, they keep you in the game for another the Betfair Hurdle, I will take a chance on him in this throw. race at the current price of 12/1. So my three against If you wish to read my previous articles in WRWM, the field are: then follow the link below. I give a perfect illustration STEPS TO FREEDOM – 101 – Each Way of why I use each-way based on a night at the dogs with a friend of mine. Put simply, I went home with CINDER & ASHES – 12/1 – Each Way my wedge virtually intact, my friend went home out DARLAN – 12/1 – Each Way of pocket! Yet we both backed the same dogs! Festival Handicap Chase There is also an interesting article on why you should squeeze your toothpaste from the very bottom We had the winner in the race last year with “Ben- up, and NOT from the middle. No, I haven’t gone salem” and apart from “Joe’s Edge” in 2007, most mad! You will see the relevance once you read. of the winners from this race come in around the 5/1 Here’s that link: http://bit.ly/opmfreearticles – 8/1 mark. In fact, in the last 10 runnings, 8 of the PLEASE NOTE: Many horses I have listed at the time of writing winners have come from the first 4 in the betting and have dual entries with decisions likely to be made much closer to I think this year could be no different. the race. Therefore, just simply follow and “back” all my selections below in whichever race they are entered for on the day. I trust the At the time of writing the Alan King-trained horse trainer’s judgement on what race they are finally declared in. I have listed 2 or 3 selections in some races and if they all end up going Hold On Julio is market leader at 7/1. Alan King for the same race then back them all each way. The prices on offer has a decent record at the Festival over the years and make the backing of several selections in one race viable. could be there or thereabouts again with Hold On DAY 1 – 13th March Julio who will gallop all day. If the ground doesn’t dry out too much, and pending a clear round of jump- 1.30 – Supreme Novices Hurdle ing, he will go very close on the day. was all the rage for this race last year I’m also going to bet each way on Galaxy Rock but could only manage 4th with Al Ferof taking the who has already won around Cheltenham in Novem- spoils at 10/1. This year the race looks far more wide ber, and I feel he is worth another chance after his open and for that reason I am going for three against 4th place at Doncaster in his latest race. So my two the field due to the generous prices on offer. against the field are: The Irish generally have a strong record in this race HOLD ON JULIO – 7/1 – Each Way with six out of the last 10 winners trained in Ireland and again this year they have a strong hand. GALAXY ROCK – 14/1 – Each Way The Jessica Harrington-trained Steps To Freedom Champion Hurdle passed his trial for this race with a gutsy win in the The feature race on the first day, and one of my Energy Novices Hurdle at the Paddy Power Open favourites where we managed a 3rd last year with Meeting in November. He held off the challenges of Oscar Whiskey. The ability to travel at speed, and both “Prospect Wells” and “Ericht” up the Chelten- jump without losing momentum, are crucial compo- ham Hill and is sure to go well again. nents in this race. It is my intention to be as accurate in fact, detail and comment as possible. However, the publishers and their representatives cannot be held responsible for any error in detail, accuracy or judgement whatsoever. What Really Wins Money is sold on this understanding. ISSN: 1741 9018 All subscription correspondence to: What Really Wins Money, Subscription Office, Unit 3, Hainault Works, Hainault Road, Little Heath, Romford, RM6 5NF. Tel: 0208 597 0181 Fax: 0208 597 4040. Registered office: Canonbury Publishing Ltd. Curzon House, 24 High Street, Banstead, Surrey, SM7 2LJ. Registered in England No. 4765425 Vat Reg No. 811 5700 64 © Copyright What Really Wins Money 2012

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This year we again have Hurricane Fly at the head be targeted towards this race after he won at Naas of the market priced around the 4/5 mark, a deserv- recently. The horse has won all of his three races ing favourite after winning the race last year, and this season with his last effort in the Slaney Novice also winning his prep race at Leopardstown on 29th Hurdle particularly taking as he quickened in style to January. take the win on slow ground. Sure to be placed, and the current 16/1 on offer by Ladbrokes is too good to It’s very hard to oppose “The Hurricane” so this bet miss! really is a horse that’s sure to get a place, and with a slight chance of winning. Here I’m going each-way BOSTON BOB – 7/1 – Each Way on Oscars Well who finished 2nd to Hurricane Fly MONKISLAND – 16/1 – Each Way in the above race at Leopardstown. Oscars Well is a 1 definite 2 /2 mile horse with a high cruising speed. RSA Chase Given a strongly run race and good ground, he Grand Crus is expected to go for this race and if he should go very close and may cause an upset. does he could well be the one to beat with a current OSCARS WELL – 14/1 – Each way best price of 11/4. He won on his fences debut at the DAY 2 – 14th March Paddy Power Open meeting in November. National Hunt Chase However, this year I’m going to stick my neck out and go for a horse further out in the betting. Join Chicago Grey won this for us last year at 6/1. Together looks the current value for me at 10/1. The Paul Nicholls-trained horse looked top class when Jonjo O’Neill is the master of this race over recent he won the Ryman Novices Chase at the Chelten- years, and no other trainer comes close to his record. ham International Meeting. Running in the Denman The betting market may reveal a lot about the confi- colours he beat a good field that day and looks a top- dence behind his entries on the run-up to the race. At class stayer in the making who will relish the three the time of writing Sir Alex Ferguson’s horse “Harry miles. He could give Grand Crus a real run for his the Viking” heads the market and in fairness has money on the day. done nothing wrong and deserves his place at the top. JOIN TOGETHER – 10/1 – Each Way However, for me there is only one horse to back, and that is Fist of Fury. He will stay every yard of Queen Mother Champion Chase the four miles and beyond, and also has a nice touch of class that is sure to see him at the business end of Last year we had the winner with Sizing Europe at the race. I do hope the talented apprentice Andrew 12/1 who beat Big Zeb into second and justified my Macnamara is on-board and, for me, the current 14/1 reasons for going outside the first two in the betting. is just too good to miss! Again both are in the race with Sizing Europe 9/4 favourite and Big Zeb second favourite at 4/1. FIST OF FURY (14/1) Each-Way As I write, Sizing Europe has again just beaten Neptune Hurdle Big Zeb at Punchestown on 4th Feb and the 9/4 has quickly gone and is now best priced at 6/4. He is a Here we have a race where 9 out of the last 10 win- very worthy favourite even at this short price and is ners have finished 1st or 2nd last time out, but where the one they all have to beat. only one pre-race favourite has actually won. I’m targeting three horses in with a big shout if they go to Having said that, I’m going to take a chance with post. “Finian’s Rainbow”. He has youth on his side and wasn’t disgraced when finishing second to Somersby Fingal Bay heads the market having been backed in the Grade 1 Victor Chandler chase at Ascot on 21st into 4/1 favourite from 12/1 at the time of writing. January. I feel the current 6/1 price is just about right Boston Bob (second favourite) has also been backed for a knocking each-way punt and with a smidgen of in from 16/1 – 7/1. Out of the two I am going with a chance of winning, as you never know in this game! Boston Bob, who kept on well to win his Hurdle race at Leopardstown on 29th January. His pedigree FINIAN’S RAINBOW – 6/1 Each Way suggests he will prefer better going – which he didn’t DAY 3 – 15th March have that day but still came home first. Jewson Novice Chase My second selection is for “Monkisland”. Noel Meade has confirmed his star novice hurdler will The ante-post market for this race can be very

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WRWM0212.indd 3 22/02/2012 16:57 tricky with many trainers leaving it late before SOMERSBY – 6/1 – Each Way deciding what races to take with their charges. Some NOBLE PRINCE – 7/1 – Each Way decide to step up to three miles for the RSA chase, or even step down in distance for the Arkle. DAY 4 – 16th March Last year we were on the second, Wishful Think- Triumph Hurdle ing, at an early 10/1 and who went on to win bigger Again, another of those races where it’s wise to races since. Peddlers Cross heads the market this shortlist those in the first four or five in the betting. year and has slightly drifted out to 5/1 after his 2nd In fact, no winner has returned at an SP greater than to on 27th December at Kempton. I 6/1 since 2004. This year I think the winner will like Peddlers Cross and am going to stick with him come from outside this price parameter and it’s for as one of my selections for this event. that reason why I am opting for three against the My second pick is on Sir Des Champs trained by field, especially with the prices on offer. Irish Champion trainer Willie Mullins. If Fist of Fury I’ve already advised Grumeti to members of my wins the National Hunt Chase on Day 2 it will frank OPM each-way service at around the 14/1 mark (now the form nicely for this one’s chances. best priced at 8/1). I will stick with Grumeti who PEDDLERS CROSS – 7/1 – Each Way was not disgraced when finishing 2nd to Pearl Swan SIR DES CHAMPS – 13/2 – Each way here at Cheltenham on 28th January. My second selection is Hinterland. He was an impressive winner in the first Triumph Hurdle Trial This is a race I’ve liked since it was first introduced race at Cheltenham in November where he beat in 2005 with six out of the seven winners coming Hollow Tree into 2nd. That was his first run in Brit- from the first three in the betting. Albertas Run will be ain and he certainly looks the type to progress further going for his 3rd successive win but I can’t see him and will be “match ready” come March. winning again although he could be in the placings. Baby Mix is another on my shortlist and will be Paul Nicholls dominates this race with two win- my third selection. ners, a 2nd, and a 3rd place in the seven runnings so He beat Hinterland into 2nd at Cheltenham on far. This year I am opting for two selections. 10th December. The Tom George-trained horse My first pick here is Somersby who was entered simply hacked up to put his name into the frame and for this race last year but instead opted for the Queen he looks a real star of the future based on that run at Mother. This year Henrietta Knight’s charge has to be Cheltenham. a major contender. Connections have struggled to find GRUMETI – 10/1 – Each Way the ideal distance with Somersby, complicated further by the horse himself giving no clues as to what would HINTERLAND – 25/1 – Each Way be his ideal trip. His latest run this season was at BABY MIX – 20/1 – Each Way Ascot where he beat Finian’s Rainbow in the Victor Chandler Chase over 2m 1f. He then came 4th in the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle King George Chase over three miles at Kempton on We could have potentially four bets in this race but Boxing Day, and then ran over 2m 3f in the Amlin most likely three with Boston Bob entered for the Chase in November only to be beaten three lengths Neptune Hurdle on Day 2 as well as for this. Wher- by Master Minded which still looks like decent form. ever Boston Bob ends up I will be on him. Somersby never runs a bad race and I feel he might be able to do it again over the 2m 1f distance. I’m also keen on the Paul Nicholls-trained Rocky Creek who won at Doncaster on 28th January. Cur- My other selection is for Noble Prince who won rently priced at 12/1 and sure to be up there at the the Jewson Novice chase here last season. I do like business end for the Nicholls’ camp, he could be one horses that are proven at Cheltenham, and Noble of Nicholls’ quieter fancies at the Festival. Prince looks a knocking each-way bet this year. He has been mixing it with the best over in Ireland on The Charles Byrnes-trained Sea Of Thunder was soft ground, and his trainer is confident of further going well clear in his trial for this race at Chelten- improvement on the usual good ground we see at ham’s December meeting when falling at the last, but Cheltenham. I feel this horse should definitely be given another

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chance especially at 16/1. cash. He could easily make a place with the prospect of edging victory for a major shock this year. Yes, Mount Benbulben touted strictly on form as the shocks do happen sometimes you know! best bumper horse in Ireland, has a great chance. He didn’t have a great start to his career when slipping Weird Al is another I feel could run into a place up at Galway. Connections have high hopes for this at a biggish price. The horse was running for his horse which will relish the three mile trip at Chelten- new trainer Donald McCain Jnr for the first time in ham based on past observations. October and he duly won well, holding off a gal- lant charge from Time For Rupert at Wetherby. Both BOSTON BOB – 6/1 – Each Way (Likely to go horses were beaten easily in the behind for the Neptune on Day 2) and Kauto, but Time For Rupert went on ROCKY CREEK – 12/1 – Each Way to to claim the Graduation Chase at Newbury on 14th SEA OF THUNDER – 16/1 – Each Way December. Connections are quietly confident about a big run from Weird Al. MOUNT BENBULBEN – 12/1 Each Way WEIRD AL – 20/1 – Each Way Cheltenham Gold Cup MIDNIGHT CHASE – 16/1 – Each Way Now on to the centrepiece of the great Cheltenham The Foxhunters Chase Festival. As ever, this could be a real show-stopper with a staggering £500,000 in prize money up for I must admit I do like the Foxhunters race. A race grabs! for amateur riders only who would normally race in Last year Long Run took the honours but I’m not point-to-points. An interesting fact is that a stagger- confident of a repeat this year. ing 21 of the past 26 winners of the Foxhunters have won on their last appearance! Zemsky won this last Finishing 2nd in his last two races and both times year at 33/1, and again takes his place but as 7/1 joint beaten by none other than Kauto Star, both in the favourite. King George on Boxing Day, and the month before in the Grade 1 Betfair Chase. Long Run just couldn’t This race requires a decent amateur jockey and this quite get the measure of Kauto in both races. year I am going for three against the field. My first Although he may get the better of “Kauto” around is Chapoturgeon who looks interesting with some Cheltenham, I can’t see him winning. good money already for the Paul Nicholls-trained horse over the last couple of months. Now on to Kauto Star. A truly awesome animal guided by a master trainer, but can he do the unthink- My second selection is for Monkerty Tunkerty. able and win again? An impressive winner at Warwick on 26th January. He only had one real challenger that day and brushed It certainly would be nice to see. him aside with ease. I know I’m taking a chance here Can you imagine the roar up that Cheltenham Hill with the form being hard to assess on what he beat at if he is leading coming to the last! As I write, he has Warwick, but there could be a lot more to come from been backed into 4/1 from 12/1 to take the honours. this lightly-raced horse that could see him go close. Money I feel is more in hope than expectation, and My third and final selection is forSalsify who won I feel this could be a different kettle of fish around at Leopardstown on 12th Feb beating both Saddlers Cheltenham where the fences can be very unforgiv- Storm and On The Fringe. The timing of his prep ing. could be ideal if he now goes straight for the Fox- With Grand Crus likely to go for the RSA Chase hunters. He is currently priced at 25/1 and I feel this on Day 2, this year I am going to go for two outsid- is too big a price for the Irish Raider. ers that I feel could cause an upset. The first is for CHAPOTURGEON – 8/1 Each Way Midnight Chase. MONKERTY TUNKERTY – 12/1 – Each Way Midnight Chase could be interesting. I know I am being a bit speculative this year and do hope for- SALSIFY – 25/1 – Each Way tune favours the brave with a winner in the double Well, that’s my thoughts on the 2012 Cheltenham figure price bracket. There was some hefty money Festival. Don’t forget to shop around for enhanced for Midnight Chase last year so obviously there prices and extended place terms, with some bookies are those that think a lot of this horse to warrant that paying up to five places on certain races. So wrap up

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WRWM0212.indd 5 22/02/2012 16:57 warm if you are attending, I have no doubt that even access to the BetterTipster service for two weeks; if it’s sunny and warm where you’re travelling from, the week before Cheltenham and, of course, the as soon as you hit Prestbury Park you will be greeted Cheltenham week itself. Follow the link to claim this by that biting Gloucestershire wind! So it’s wax jack- exclusive offer: ets and hip flasks at the ready, and the best of luck! www.bettertipster.co.uk/cheltenham-special Andrew David: (OPM) Other People’s Money In the meantime, please see the below analysis for Each-Way Selection Service. For further info please the horses we feel What Really Wins Money readers go to www.other-peoples-money.co.uk should be supporting at this stage: World Hurdle W/O Big Bucks Market Two Exclusive Selections from the Pros Dynaste 5/1 E/W BetterTipster You don’t need us to tell you that Big Bucks will be one of the major NAPs for the Cheltenham Cheltenham Preview Festival. The horse does look unbeatable and surely another World Hurdle Crown will be won next Again, my thanks go to the guys at www.bettertipster. month. However, the market that appeals to us at this co.uk for allowing us a sneaky peek into some of stage is betting without Big Bucks. their insider information for this year’s Cheltenham The horse we suggest backing is the David Pipe- Festival. trained Dynaste who currently trades at 5/1. The best week of the racing calendar is on the Dynaste is a very much up-and-coming long dis- horizon and whilst still a month away we are already tance hurdler. The horse has run against Big Bucks busy gathering information for our members. This twice and most recently he really made the current includes visiting Cheltenham preview nights and champion work hard. Thankfully, in the market that dining with the trainers and jockeys and is certainly we’re betting in, we don’t have to worry about the the most effective way to avoid the hype and get only current champion. the best information. For this bet to produce a nice profit we needDyn - Evidence of this is visible in the fact that we are yet aste to either win the World Hurdle or finish 2nd in to have a losing Cheltenham. As a reminder, just a the race behind Big Bucks. However this does look few of our past Cheltenham winners are listed below: a bet to nothing; if Big Bucks does win as expected, – Peddlers Cross 3pts E/W @ 9/1 WON providing our selection finishes 2nd 3rd or 4th – Imperial Commander 2pts E/W @ 10/1 WON behind the champion, we get our stake money back. – Sizing Europe 2pts E/W @ 10/1 WON With a clear round Dynaste looks, at worst, a good thing to be placed in this race. We believe he will – Kilty Storm 1pt E/W @ 16/1 2nd finish 2nd and land a nice 5/1 winner. – Big Bucks 8pts Win @ 11/0 WON The only horses that could possibly finish ahead of – Bensalem 2pts E/W @ 7/1 WON our runner come in the shapes of Oscar Whiskey, – Rite Of Passage Lay @ 7/2 Maximum lay Thousand Stars & Mikeal D’haguenet. We just advised can’t see any other horses that could force Dynaste In the build-up to the 2012 festival, BetterTipster out of a place position. has so far advised just two ante-post bets at odds of Oscar Whiskey is currently the second favourite; 33/1 & 16/1. Both of these horses are now trading priced at 7/4 in the W/O Big Bucks market. The at 10/1. We have plenty more selections to support horse has been quite impressive this season, how- in the next few weeks once the NRNB (Non Runner ever, we feel trainer Nicky Henderson is running No Bet) offers become available. One selection is Oscar Whiskey in this race as he knows the horse particularly exciting; the horse is currently 100/1 and can’t win the Champion Hurdle. Only back in Janu- the trainer informs us that the horse will be the best ary did the trainer state Aintree would suit the horse handicapped animal running at the entire meeting! far better than Cheltenham. And, in the run-up to the meeting, we will offer Oscar Whiskey has also never run beyond two What Really Wins Money readers the same special miles four furlongs. The horse has been staying on in offer as in past years. Just £10 will give you full his races but come three furlongs out Oscar Whiskey

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may be looking for the line, unlike Dynaste who is not yet fully fit and would improve further. Mr King battle-hardened over the trip already. likes to leave a bit to work on for Cheltenham whilst jockey Wayne Hutchinson said the horse hated the As for Thousand Stars and Mikeal D’haguenet, we sticky going and it blunted his speed. could go into details about these runners but simply don’t think they will beat our selection. At the cur- No doubt Pearl Swan will also improve but Gru- rent price of 5/1 Dynaste looks worth a strong E/W meti looks to have more scope and was the better of bet in the W/O Big Bucks market. the two on the flat. Triumph Hurdle The price of 10/1 each way looks a nice bet at this stage. Grumeti 10/1 E/W We hope you have a great Cheltenham Festival and Grumeti is held in the highest regard by trainer our two selections prove fruitful, and don’t forget to Alan King who feels this horse could be one of the claim your exclusive BetterTipster special offer at: best young hurdlers he’s trained for a long time. www.bettertipster.co.uk/cheltenham-special The King stable has come back to form after two poor seasons where the trainer lost quite a few horses A 26.5 points profit for www.bettertipster.co.uk on and a virus hit the yard badly. This season it’s pleas- their account bets for 2012 to date, reinforces my sup- ing to see owners like Alan King returning to the port for this tipping service since its inception. Trans- limelight. parent and consistently profitable year on year, www. bettertipster.co.uk are very worthy of your attentions. At first glance the Triumph Hurdle looks an impos- sible race to place a confident bet in, but by breaking the form down and working on some information we The Statman Presents: have, Grumeti is a stand-out selection at a nice price. Look to Lay This The market is quite compact with just a couple of points difference between the top six in the betting. Cheltenham Festival One of these horses is the unraced Minsk, priced at 8/1, who has not yet been seen over hurdles. The In this article our new Statman, Sean Trivass, goes price is built on reputation alone and is madness. on the hunt for a profitable angle into the Festival. We’re happy to take the favourite Sadler’s Risk on And his conclusion? Laying favourites has been the as we know connections feel the horse may find this most profitable angle over the years. trip a bit sharp. This is reinforced by the way Richard When looking for race angles, I never ever go in Johnson rode the horse first time out; kicking-on well with a predetermined attitude as to what will or will from home ensuring the race turned into a stamina not work, as I believe it spoils the fun for me as well test at Kempton. as you! Although this race will likely have 20 runners there Next month we have the little matter of the Chel- does not seem to be a lot of strength in depth, unless tenham Festival, and as that is the centre of the Minsk’s jumping debut is something special. The racing world for most of us, it would be churlish to Triumph in our eyes looks to be between Grumeti provide you with something about all-weather sellers and Pearl Swan. These two runners met not long ago or Ascot! at Cheltenham so the course form is already proven. The best way to find answers seems to me to be to Pearl Swan won in a photo-finish but lost the race ask questions, and I also agree with keeping things in the steward’s room after hanging on in the battle to simple wherever possible, so my first stop was based the line. on a “light bulb” moment I had and a “what if” sce- Grumeti was awarded the race but did not come nario. into Cheltenham with ideal preparation as the horse From the beginning an assumption of some kind ran only 10 days before when taking a very unlucky has to be made, and I wondered if the weight of fall at Newbury. The Cheltenham race was a big “ignorant punter” money that I expect to be regularly afterthought and more of a confidence booster. wagered during Cheltenham is more than enough We spoke with the connections of Grumeti after to counterbalance the professionals and bookmak- the Cheltenham race who informed us the horse was ers that we need to look to beat. I have guessed that

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WRWM0212.indd 7 22/02/2012 16:57 as well as the likes of A P McCoy, Richard Johnson extra money from the bookmakers or exchanges! , Barry Geraghty, and the other leading Firstly, I painstakingly recorded the statistics for riders, that the top trainers will be backed almost to 10 years of Cheltenham Festivals in an Excel spread- the exclusion of everyone else, but will that provide sheet but I was shocked by the first set of unrefined value anywhere and how hard will I have to look? results. Despite winners at all odds up to 66/1, the Sadly, the sort of details I was looking for don’t fact is there are too many of them, with the main grow on trees, so starting from scratch was the only stables dominating the trophy cabinet. option, but I pride myself on refusing to distort the Blindly backing every runner in every race trained facts so only time would tell what my investigation by any handler outside of the top 10 trainers list from uncovered – and how we can all use it to make some the previous season:

Year Number Number of Number of % of Profit or Return on of races bets winners winners Loss at investment SP to 1pt stakes 2002 20 248 12 5% -88.12 -35.55% 2003 20 212 10 4.7% -142.75 -67.33% 2004 20 186 6 3.2% -90.50 -48.65% 2005 24 276 12 4.3% -144.50 -52.35% 2006 24 309 14 4.5% -87.00 -28.15% 2007 24 294 8 2.7% -178.5 -60.71% 2008 25 270 13 4.8% -5.00 -1.85% 2009 26 292 12 4.1% -189.75 -64.98% 2010 26 294 13 4.4% -58.50 -19.90% 2011 26 284 15 5.3% -86.92 -30.61% TOTALS 235 2665 115 4.3% -1071.54 -40.21%

That tactic simply doesn’t work and although we handicaps. My thought was that the top-class events could have decreased the losses via the exchanges will naturally be dominated by the top trainers BUT with the longer-priced winners, there is no way on maybe, just maybe, the handicapper gives the better Earth it could ever show a profit. No, we need to yards’ horses a touch more weight,so maybe we can look in a bit more depth, starting by seeing what the make money in the handicaps? results would be if we split in to handicaps and non- Non-handicaps only Year Number Number of Number of % of Profit or Return on of races bets winners winners Loss at investment SP to 1pt stakes 2002 13 164 9 5.5% -50.12 -30.56% 2003 12 115 5 4.35% -100.25 -87.17% 2004 13 115 5 4.35% -37.5 -32.61 2005 14 161 6 3.73% -99.5 -61.8% 2006 15 189 8 4.23% -64.75 -34.25% 2007 14 157 3 1.9% -95.5 -60.83% 2008 15 153 5 3.27% -72.5 -47.38% 2009 14 151 7 4.64% -108.5 -71.85% 2010 14 155 8 5.16% -33.5 -21.61% 2011 16 149 8 5.37% -70.42 -47.26% TOTALS 140 1509 64 4.24% -732.54 -48.54%

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WRWM0212.indd 8 22/02/2012 16:57 For more great money-making ideas, reviews and blueprints go to www.whatbizopp.com Handicaps only Year Number Number of Number of % of Profit or Return on of races bets winners winners Loss at investment SP to 1pt stakes 2002 7 84 3 3.57% -50 -59.52% 2003 8 97 5 5.15% -52 -53.60% 2004 7 71 1 1.41% -59 -83.1% 2005 10 109 6 5.5% -51 -46.78% 2006 9 120 6 5% 24.5 +20.42% 2007 10 132 5 3.78% -86 -65.15% 2008 10 117 8 6.84% 54.5 +46.58% 2009 12 141 5 3.55% -91 -64.54% 2010 12 139 5 3.59% -38 -27.34% 2011 10 135 7 5.19% -31.5 -23.33% TOTALS 95 1145 51 4.45% -379.5 -33.14

Well, I was sort of right in that the losses are less Prestbury Park with a profit of some kind. in the handicaps than the non handicaps, but still no While typing ream after ream of details (I couldn’t sign of a statistic that will make us a profit so we find what I was looking for anywhere else), I thought move on to the next option. Looking through the I spotted a trend whereby when horses trained by figures as I typed them all out I thought I did spot handlers not in the top 10 were sent off favourite a negative trend that may well be able to be used they very rarely landed the odds – so, time to look at on the exchanges to lay certain horses and leave the stats once again! Year Number Number of Results Profit or Return on of races bets Loss at SP Investment to 1pt LAY Stakes 2002 20 6 7/4, L, L, L, L, 13/8, L 1.625 +27.08% 2003 20 11 2/1, L, L, 7/4, 3/1, L, 9/4J, 11/4, L, 5/4, L -6.875 -62.5% 2004 20 10 7/2, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L 5.5 +55% 2005 24 15 L, L, L, L, 1/2, L, L, 7/2, L, L, L, L, L, 3/1, L 5 +33.33% 2006 24 15 L, L, L, 7/2J, L, L, 9/2, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L 7.25 +48.33% 2007 24 8 L, 5/2, L, 13/2, L, L, L, L -3 -37.5% 2008 25 11 L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, L 11 +100% 2009 26 9 L, L, Evens, 7/2, 9/4, L, L, L, L -0.75 -8.33% 2010 26 12 L, L, L, L, 1/2, L, L, L, L, L, L, L 10.5 +87.5% 2011 26 13 L, 11/4, L, 5/6, 4/1, L, L, L, L, L, L, L, 9/2 -3.08 -23.69% TOTALS 209 110 27.17 +24.7%

Now we have something to work on and use this Nigel Twiston-Davies March at Prestbury Park in the shape of a very Alan King simple laying system as follows... Jonjo O’Neill Evan Williams In each and every race lay the favourite if it is not Tim Vaughan trained by anyone on the following list: Looking at earlier results, this tactic would have Paul Nicholls shown you a profit in six of the last 10 years, and a Nicky Henderson very impressive 24.7% return on investment over the Donald McCain 10 years which is better than I expected and I think it Philip Hobbs could be even more effective if we remove the Irish David Pipe

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WRWM0212.indd 9 22/02/2012 16:57 favourites from our plans – but then that’s something of winners over the years with prices of 25-1, 20-1, for another day... 16-1 and downwards. There were also dual forecasts and exactas at huge prices. But the snag was, and still The Patriarch Presents is, that it could give too many selections in the same race, and left you with work to do yourself to find a The Patriarch Takes selection or selections. That original idea was to use Topspeed and the RP on Cheltenham ratings from the Racing Post. Using the Topspeed and Ratings charts you looked for horses whose or this special Cheltenham edition I have a special latest Topspeed figure, OR latest Ratings figure was FCheltenham bet. It’s so special that you’ll prob- the highest that they had ever recorded. That would ably have to approach a number of bookmakers surely indicate a horse on the upgrade, exactly what before they’ll offer you odds on it, and then I can’t we’re looking for at Cheltenham. guarantee what these odds might be. If you can get evens or above then take the bet at once. It’s a bet that What I’m now going to suggest will reduce the some old-timers used to make when the Festival was number of possible selections very considerably, and a three-day meeting, and now that it spreads over four although I have no figures to support my expectations, days you have an even better chance. It’s this: there should still be plenty of good winners. Here is the change. In the relevant sentence we change the Bet that there will be at least one winner at the word OR to AND so that it now reads – using the meeting with odds of 40-1 or higher. If you’d done Topspeed and Ratings charts you look for horses it in 2010 you wouldn’t have had long to wait for whose latest Topspeed figure AND latest Ratings your winnings – I think it was the third race on the figure are the highest that they have ever recorded. first day. Last year, however, you were made to sweat That is, they have to qualify on both counts – not on before you collected, for it was the very last race of one or the other. Let’s wait and see how it works. the Festival that produced the goods. I wonder when it will come this year? The Patriarch’s 5-step National Hunt plan The Patriarch’s banker Our old system this month is for NH maximum Staying with Cheltenham, I’m going to do some- bets, so can very well be used for Cheltenham and thing now that I really don’t like doing – suggesting other good jumps meetings. It started life as a rather a horse to back at the meeting. Writing this, as I am expensive selection service, and then the vendor early in February, it is far too soon to be making decided to sell the system itself. It was expensive predictions. There are important trial races still to be too. In those days it used the Whitford ratings in the run, we don’t know what the going will be like and Sporting Life, long since gone, but we’ll use the RP anything can happen to any horse between now and ratings from the Racing Post. The rules are few and mid-March. However, I’m going to put forward a simple: horse for the Arkle Trophy on the Tuesday, and that horse is Peddlers Cross. If you’re a trends follower 1. The horse must have run at least three times you’ll like him because he ticks nearly all the rel- and at least once in the current season. evant boxes, and his price at the moment of around 2. There must be at least two wins in its last three 5-1 is double that of the current favourite, Sprinter runs. The third run can be anything. Sacre. Now I know that many experts consider 3. It must be clear top rated on RP ratings. Sprinter Sacre to be a good thing, the banker of the 4. In the Tipster Selection Box it must be napped meeting, but I’m not so sure. I’d be a little doubt- by at least two of the tipsters. This will be ful about his stamina for the long uphill finish when shown by a star beside the horse’s name. you remember how quickly he folded there in the Supreme last year. That final punishing stretch could 5. There will be occasional special Banker Bets. catch him out, so that’s why I’m suggesting Peddlers These are selections which have been napped Cross. And I haven’t even mentioned Al Ferof! by three or more of the tipsters. Three years ago I put forward an idea for Chelten- ham that helped narrow the big fields down to more manageable proportions, but still came up with lots

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WRWM0212.indd 10 22/02/2012 16:57 For more great money-making ideas, reviews and blueprints go to www.whatbizopp.com

Betting Strategies The best staking plan to use for this selection system is a % of betting bank staking plan. Whereby There’s More we bet a predetermined % of the betting bank on a rolling basis, i.e. £100 betting bank, 10% of bank to Stakes Than staking plan. First stake £10. Level Stakes That bet wins at 2/1. New betting bank £120, 10% of bank staking plan. Next stake £12 ( £12 is 10% of betting bank). here’s a piece of conventional wisdom doing the rounds which goes a little something like this: This staking plan outperforms level stakes at pres- T ent, although level stakes is profiting. “If you can’t make a profit to level stakes, then you’ll never be able to make a profit long term with I hope the strike rate will continue. A small sample any other staking plan – it’s a mathematical fact.” of bets, but simple to find selections – place bets, forget and let the bank grow gradually. And do you know what? £100 betting bank has turned into £239, making It’s absolute BLEEPING BLEEP! our new stake £24 for the next bet. Slowly, profits Ah, the joys of conventional wisdom. I think I will increase as stakes increase and hopefully the made a cogent argument for using other staking plans snowball effect will come into play. in January’s edition of WRWM, and although this is a Cheltenham-based article, I thought I would update 2) RP Journos you on the best performers from January, performers I argued in January’s WRWM that when the Racing which have one thing in common! Post journalists pulled in one direction, the inference They all profit using staking plans where, in some was that that horse had a good chance of winning. cases, level staking does not make a profit. (I love So, we shortlist top Topspeed rated, top RPR rated, proving conventional wisdom wrong – I only wish the Betting forecast favourite and the Spotlight selec- those who so vehemently enthuse their “wisdom” tion. If one horse has been chosen by all four of these would follow it up with rock-solid reasoning.) independent entities, then that becomes an RP Journo There are three home-grown systems I want to selection (see the accompanying video here: focus on, originally featured in January’s WRWM so www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk/resourcepage). please use January’s newsletter as a refresher, and a A 52% strike rate currently after 246 bets and aver- 4th new member into the family, a lay system which, age win odds of 2.02 should ensure a profit. Level while profiting to level stakes, makes huge gains stakes is profiting, but only just. using another staking plan. Away from level stakes, Fibonacci staking is pro- 1) Tips 12/13 ducing a reasonable profit without stakes becoming uncomfortably high as a percentage of the betting Quite simply, we select only horses who have been bank. chosen by 12 or 13 of the journalists who post their bets in the SELECTION BOX at the Racing Post for A £100 betting bank has turned into £281.04. The each race meeting. If there are horses on a given day initial stake is 2% of the betting bank. The Fibonacci with 12 and 13 selections, the horse with 13 selec- sequence used is 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34 (quite simply tions becomes the bet for the day. add up the two previous numbers (e.g.1+2 ) to come up with the next number in the sequence (3). See January’s WRWM and the accompanying video for a clearer picture (www.whatreallywins- A degree of promise from this selection strategy. money.co.uk/resourcepage). Loss retrieval really skyrockets profits but is not suited to all. However, if you want to take a higher It’s simple, it’s boring and the prices are short (yes risk, email me. I’m giving it the hard sell folks!) but it’s making money. 3) Price Gapper Eighty-eight bets so far. Sixty-eight winners for a With this method of selecting, we are looking for 78% strike rate at average winning odds of 1.48 (just horses in the Racing Post betting forecast only, with under 1/ 2). the following profile:

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WRWM0212.indd 11 22/02/2012 16:57 450 mr In the race title, shortlist all races which are novice hurdles such as the 2.00pm Carlisle above. BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 New Year´s Eve, 4/1 Hi George Your job now will be to lay the 3rd favourite in the live betting market. If the 3rd favourite is a joint Here we see a “price gap” between the market favourite, lay both horses. leader in the Betting forecast (New Year’s Eve at 5/4) and the 2nd favourite (Hi George at 4/1). If you see races where there are co-favourites of three (i.e. three favourites all the same price in the A discernible price gap. And quite simply we lay same race), or as has happened in the 425 Sandown, New Year’s Eve. A 55% strike rate as a lay system which had 6/1 joint favourites, 7/1 joint 2nd favou- and solid profits to level stakes (albeit unexciting) rites and 8/1 joint 3rd favourites, just ignore these has turned £100 into £390 profit after 573 bets. races. We want a clear 3rd favourite, or at least an Slowly but surely, but one for the patient. easily recognisable 3rd favourite. Looking elsewhere, there are very exciting lay The key to success with this laying system, for staking plans which skyrocket profits, albeit with a me, is to control your liability. So rather than look- little more risk attached. ing to win a certain amount, we look to lose a certain One particular staking plan has turned £100 into amount, or rather, control our losses. (clears throat), £37,271 with highest lay stake of The reason? Well, this 3rd favourite lay system £979. Not realistic staking but quite superb return; sees some horses who are at very high prices. And and let’s face it, if you start with £100 surely a high- if we lay to win a certain stake, our liability will be risk, high-return strategy should form some part of huge in some instances and far too risky. your betting portfolio? Low downside, huge upside. Level stakes has produced a profit of £157 if using A more realistic staking plan is called the Lay £10 fixed liability stakes. Unexciting yes, risk man- Hipro86 staking plan which forms part of the staking aged most certainly, but slow-and-sure profits. There plans used at www.stakingmachine.com have been 25/1, 14/1, 10/1 3rd favourites and by This staking plan has outperformed level stakes fixing our liability, we are not risking huge liability and turned a £100 starting bank into £1,372. payouts. If one of these horses loses, we only lose a For me, 500+ bets is a long enough period for me tenner. This severely curtails our payouts but is built to say that the other-than-level-stakes staking plans for long-term profit and conservation of the betting are working and should continue to work into the bank. near future. Betting 10% of our betting bank as fixed liability 4) And the newbie... laying 3rd favs only slightly increases the profit to £182. novice hurdles It is high-risk players who make the cash. A loss retrieval staking plan, again using fixed liability, has And here is a new lay system which retains the turned £100 starting bank into £900. simplicity I look for with betting systems and has distinct promise. One hundred and sixty bets and a 91.3% strike rate is good for a lay system. It’s making money and is Here’s what you do: another to add to the roster. View the accompanying Go through the Racing Post racecards at Jumps video (www.whatreallywinsmoney.co.uk/resourcep- venues only and make note of all Novice Hurdle age) for a more in-depth discussion regarding staking. races. Bottom line You will see a title like the one below: Although in some instances level stakes is profit- ing, level staking plans are not the be all and end all. I believe that there should be room in some betting portfolios for a very high-risk staking plan. The potential returns if hitting a good profitable run can be truly mouth-watering. Spreading our risk with short odds plodders and higher risk strategies could pay off long term.

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WRWM0212.indd 12 22/02/2012 16:57 For more great money-making ideas, reviews and blueprints go to www.whatbizopp.com

Reviews wrong. This particular strategy exploits a little- known loophole between the two primary betting The Cash Master’s services. The concept really is quite genius, to say the least! Systems and The system is clearly explained in sufficient detail Tipsters Update for most, however, you will need to be relatively competent with simple arithmetic to benefit from this method. There is the standard method and the E-book s ever, all current system tests and all past also goes on to describe an advanced method that reviews can be found on the blog here: enables you to take on viable trading opportunities Awww.cash-master.com/blog that, at first glance, may not have presented them- Russell Gibbs selves as such. Yet another profitable month for this service with I took the time to create a spreadsheet to do the 8.8 points on the back bets or £88 profit with £10 number-crunching for me and one negative of this stakes, plus another £420 profit on the lay tips at package is that for the money, perhaps a spreadsheet £100 level liabilities at early prices, or £290 at BSP. should really have been included in the deal to make this strategy more widely appealing to those who feel This service continues to do well and last week I that mental arithmetic is not their strong point. heard from one of my readers who has been using Russell’s service since last April. This chap started Refreshingly, this system does not discriminate and with a £2,000 bank and bet 5% of his bank as a allows the user to work with UK and Irish racing all liability just on each lay bet. He re-calculated the week, every week – bank holiday, Ascot and Chel- new stake at the beginning of each month based on tenham race meets included. the current bank. There should be plenty of opportunities to make a As of last week his bank stands at just over few quid here but for the fact that the system does £12,000 which is pretty good going for placing a few primarily target one specific type of race/pricing lay bets each day. structure. This is a good, solid, racing service that brings In the last few weeks that I have been following home the bacon. this method, the racing scene has been a little incon- sistent with cancelled meetings and many of the You can try it here: www.russellgibbs.net required races haven’t presented themselves to me Risk Free Trader too frequently. So much so that I was only able to place trades on the days shown below: I am particularly keen on this one myself. When I 26/01/12 first started reading the manual I didn’t think it was GowP 13.35 Zaidpour 5.1 anything new, but as I got further into it I realised Newc 16.15 Arizona River -2 that this is actually, well, brilliant. Warw 13.25 EasyDoesIt NR When you buy it, watch the video on the download GowP 13.35 Zaidpour 7.92 page of a live trade and you’ll soon understand why 13.15 Arnaud -2 this is something special. I definitely recommend this 16.15 Arizona River -2 one if you don’t have it already. You really can make Warw 16.25 Whiskey Yankee 5.13 regular, substantial, profits without risking your bank 16.25 Whiskey Yankee 4.48 at all, and I know this would appeal to a lot of people. 30/01/12 Ayr 12.50 Jet Master 9.68 Risk Free Trader is a risk-free trading system avail- Plumpton 13.10 Edlomand 10.08 able from the well-respected Steve Davidson school 31/01/12 of betting strategies. Folkestone 14.50 Opening Batsman -2 On first inspection you may think that this particu- 01/02/12 lar system offers nothing new to the concept of risk- Newcastle 15.20 Falcun 3.8 free betting, where your betting liability is covered 03/02/12 with an appropriate stake on either the bookies or at Wolv 15.50 Source of Light -2 the betting exchange. However, you would be quite 15.50 Captivity 2.76

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WRWM0212.indd 13 22/02/2012 16:57 17.20 Songbird Blues 3.61 least half a dozen bookies accounts because you are 17.20 Angel Warrior -2 looking for the best price on offer. Don’t forget, if 04/02/12 you use a BOG (Best Odds Guarantee) bookies and Punchestown 15.55 Garde Champetre 5.16 the selection drifts and takes first place your potential 16.25 Big Phil 5.44 profit on the deal is increased further (regrettably, 09/02/12 this didn’t happen for me during the trial!). Wolv 16.35 Superplex -2 10/02/12 So, if you are prepared to make the effort and keep Kempton 14.40 Gores Island -2 good accounts of your transactions day to day, this 17.25 Milgen Bay 33.5 method will stand you in good stead, (for the pres- 17.25 Sir Harry Ormesher 51.28 ent time, at least – you will understand this when you read the manual). The only limiting factor in the As you can see, my last day was the most profitable profit-making capability of this system is the amount day with two of the three selections making good of money available to lay at the time you decide to returns, but it should be noted that these selections take your selections. were at the higher end of the odds range. You will also note that I took the opportunity on the 26th to The initial price may put many off, but this a real place three separate trades on Whiskey Yankee; If the gem of a method to make profits, and I would sug- money is available on the exchange at the right price, gest that the only real time expended in its use being you can keep putting on your trades! sensible money management of your accounts at the end of the day. Once you get your mind tuned into what to look for, choosing the selections is a doddle and with the I only wish there were more systems like this that aid of a simple spreadsheet, as I mentioned earlier, actually matched up to the bold claims others make selections can be made in a few moments. How- on their (generally speaking), over-indulgent and ever, you will have probably already guessed this excessively hyped websites. being a trading system you will have to place your So with a reasonably smug grin it is a positive bets between the exchange and your chosen bookie thumbs up from me, APPROVED. Great method account within a few minutes otherwise your profit and unless you are making some serious mistakes or in the trade could be reduced (or increased!) as the completely misunderstand the system (in which case prices can move in an instant. But with the stakes perhaps you should question why you are playing the matched, you have the reassuring comfort that you betting game at all), you can’t help but profit with the are in a favourable position knowing that the only Risk Free Trader system. loss you will incur at the very most, will be equiva- lent to the exchange commission only on the trade. NOTE: This particular system, like others from Steve Davidson’s catalogue, does not offer a money So, my foray into the risk-free arena over for now, back option. But I am sure that those serious about I am happy to say I met with no unexpected surprises (almost) risk-free money-making trades will not have and I managed to bag a tidy profit of £134.80 at £20 an issue with this, as it will pay for itself in a rela- stakes over eight days. tively short period of time. However, one thing that became apparent was that You can get Risk Free Trader here: some of the horses that I deemed as qualifiers were www.riskfreetrader.org at the higher end of the odds range. Whilst this is not a problem from the laying perspective provided Beaumonts Bets you have sufficient funds to meet the laying liabil- January was a testing month for Beaumonts Bets, ity requirement in your exchange account, you will not helped in the least by Betfair crashing on the 13th. need to consider the relatively infrequent occurrence Since the recommended method is to back the selec- of your selection taking first place at the post. The tions in the morning and lay off 75% of the bets on way this method is structured means that your lay Betfair before the off using a bot, this meant that the stake will lose and you will need to consider moving lay side of the bets on that day couldn’t be placed. further funds into your exchange account to make good the difference in order to maintain a reasonable As is the way with these things, it wasn’t a profit- balance for future trades in your exchange account. able day just backing and they lost 19.05 points. This, of course, would have been offset with the lay Additionally, in order to make the most of the bets, just as they normally are on any other day, had betting opportunities you will need to work with at 14

WRWM0212.indd 14 22/02/2012 16:57 For more great money-making ideas, reviews and blueprints go to www.whatbizopp.com

Betfair been up and running. After 51 days of trial the profit to £25 stakes is a mere £4.80. OK, I missed some days during Decem- Fortunately, this is a rare occurrence; just imagine ber which would have added 17 points. However, I how much money Betfair lost that afternoon in com- don’t believe that this is a credible total for 57 days of missions! betting. Normally I would categorise this as a FAIL, The good news, however, is that despite that set- but some further analysis makes different reading. back, the Beaumonts Bets service still returned an Firstly, the result contains an apparently “freak” impressive 23.1 points for January using the Back/ loss of 16.05 points in one result. I assume that a loss Lay 75% method, which is in line with the target 24 of this size had not been encountered before. Had points per month profit on an 80 point bank, or 30% this result not occurred, the overall figures would a month. look very much better. More on this later. This brings the total points profit since August to a Secondly, look at the following table, which is whopping 477.52 points. That’s an average monthly profit/loss by course: profit of 79.58 points which is, near as dammit, 100% return a month. Course Points Total Muss 8.81 August: 88.98 Newc 6.53 September: 95.55 Chelt 5.78 October 117.69 Donc 5.32 Font 5.01 November: 97.10 Hunt 4.64 December: 55.10 Tow 4.24 January: 23.10 Ayr 3.00 Total: 477.52 Plump 3.00 Bang 2.70 This is totally unprecedented in horse racing, espe- Catt 2.34 cially when you consider the risk on the majority of Folk 2.07 bets is only one quarter of one point. Lud 1.86 There are also some videos on the site covering Warw 1.50 Gamblers Mentality, How to make Insurance Bets, Sedge 1.41 and general introduction into why his method works Taunt 1.20 so well. Here 0.93 Utt 0.65 You can have a look here: www.beaumontsbets.com Plum 0.51 Profitable Lays Kel 0.50 Winc 0.04 Profitable Lays is a system selling for £97 by Chris Ascot 0.01 Adams. As the name suggests, this is a horse racing Newb -0.21 laying system with three very simple rules. The Weth -0.28 system is very mechanical, and is fire-and-forget, so Ex -0.85 if you had access to a suitable bot, you could place Sand -1.53 the bets before work in the morning and relax for the Fak -1.63 rest of the day. Taun -1.90 One caveat though: selections are made using the Ling -2.53 Racing Post. Because the RP Website can remove MR -2.72 non-runners if declared early enough and adjust the South -3.50 forecast odds on the remaining horses, the racecard Wolv -4.88 can differ between the online and printed versions. Hay -5.25 Selections are taken from the printed version (so Kemp -25.49 you may need to purchase the RP), or just use Chris’ You will note that the four All-Weather courses selections site. I suspect that, if you subscribe to RP occupy most of the worst courses. Even removing online and you make your selections the night before the “freak” result mentioned above will still put you won’t have too many variations with the printed Kempton at the bottom. I won’t be recording results version.

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WRWM0212.indd 15 22/02/2012 16:57 from now on, so won’t be continuing with this analy- but not necessarily getting the same odds. The recom- sis, but this data suggests that AW should be avoided. mendation, if using a bot, is to take the lay price at 20 An extra nearly 40 points on top of the 17 I missed seconds before the start but since this is a time when makes this system look a great deal better. prices can be changing rapidly, occasionally a horse is missed. This gives me some misgivings in the case of Odds analysis is as follows: those who are operating manually, it’s quite possible Odds less than 6 659 bets 265 losers for them to be laying or missing horses which may or Between 6 and 7 8 bets 1 loser may not be a valid selection at the official time. Between 7 and 8 3 bets 1 loser Between 8 and 9 3 bets No losers In other respects, this is a well-operated service: Between 9 and 10 2 bets No losers the emails arrive well in time, there is a results page Over 10 5 bets 1 loser on the website and also instructions for setting up the GHB, if you happen to have it. Like all laying sys- From this you can see that the “freak” loss is quite tems, it will always have its bad days. For this month unusual, but an odds filter of, say, not greater than 6, at least it managed to survive them without loss. My will remove some 13 winning bets but will pay divi- recommendation has to be a Neutral in light of this. dends if those bets then lose. However, the freak loss is only slightly more than the number of winning bets You can try Best Lays here: www.bestlays.com you would not have made. Something to think about. Publisher Recommends Now, before we get all excited, an extra 40 points at £25 per point IS NOT (40* 25) £1,000 because Busy Mum Discovers a it’s not the net gain of 40 points that is subject to 5% commission, it’s the total winning bets that are sub- Simple Trading Plan That ject to that. Therefore, the profit total stated on the sales page is incorrect. It is difficult to calculate what Gives “Ordinary People” the true figure should be though. The Chance to Make £50 To conclude then, 11 points over 51 days is not a brilliant return. An extra 40 points was available by – £400 Per Week not betting AW. A sensible odds filter would have saved us from a big loss but also lost some winning hat were you doing at eight o’clock this morn- bets which more or less balanced out. Add another 17 Wing? points for the six days I missed in December and a Maybe you were still in bed... points total of 67 points in 57 days does not look too bad. Therefore, I cannot simply FAIL this but I cannot Or just out of the shower, or making breakfast. see this as a PASS either as the filters discussed above Or maybe you were heading off to work, or taking are not part of the system. NEUTRAL it is then. the kids to school? You can get Profitable Lays here: Juliette Colby is like most of us. At eight o’clock in www.profitracing.com the morning she’ll either be packing her daughter off Best Lays to school, or clearing away the breakfast things, or heading to work herself... After some considerable ups and downs along the way, we have ended the month 2.6pts in profit. This Except in-between doing all this, she could have may not seem much of a return for a month of betting banked an easy £120. but we have come through some very poor condi- And the same thing happens at work... tions, cancelled meetings, etc. and many systems are She can even draw down this money when she’s on showing losses. So I don’t intend to Fail this service, a train, stuck in traffic or queuing up at a supermar- though with such a result it hardly justifies a Recom- ket checkout. mended either. Want to find out how she’s doing this? The official results show just about a break- Her secret is a simple strategy called Code 10. even situation for this period, the difference being accounted for by my bot not being the same as the Find out how it works in your enclosed insert or official one. I feel a bit like Eric Morecambe with go straight to www.trycode10.co.uk now. Andre Previn here, because I was following the rules 16

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