Statutory Issue Paper No. 45 Repurchase Agreements, Reverse
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Repo Haircuts and Economic Capital: a Theory of Repo Pricing Wujiang Lou1 1St Draft February 2016; Updated June, 2020
Repo Haircuts and Economic Capital: A Theory of Repo Pricing Wujiang Lou1 1st draft February 2016; Updated June, 2020 Abstract A repurchase agreement lets investors borrow cash to buy securities. Financier only lends to securities’ market value after a haircut and charges interest. Repo pricing is characterized with its puzzling dual pricing measures: repo haircut and repo spread. This article develops a repo haircut model by designing haircuts to achieve high credit criteria, and identifies economic capital for repo’s default risk as the main driver of repo pricing. A simple repo spread formula is obtained that relates spread to haircuts negative linearly. An investor wishing to minimize all-in funding cost can settle at an optimal combination of haircut and repo rate. The model empirically reproduces repo haircut hikes concerning asset backed securities during the financial crisis. It explains tri-party and bilateral repo haircut differences, quantifies shortening tenor’s risk reduction effect, and sets a limit on excess liquidity intermediating dealers can extract between money market funds and hedge funds. Keywords: repo haircut model, repo pricing, repo spread, repo formula, repo pricing puzzle. JEL Classification: G23, G24, G33 A repurchase agreement (repo) is an everyday securities financing tool that lets investors borrow cash to fund the purchase or carry of securities by using the securities as collateral. In its typical transaction form, the borrower of cash or seller sells a security to the lender at an initial purchase price and agrees to purchase it back at a predetermined repurchase price on a future date. On the repo maturity date T, the lender (or the buyer) sells the security back to the borrower. -
Repurchase Agreements, Securities Lending, Gold Swaps and Gold Loans: an Update
SNA/M2.04/26 Repurchase agreements, securities lending, gold swaps and gold loans: An update Prepared by the IMF for the December 2004 Meeting of the Advisory Expert Group on National Accounts (For information) This paper is for the information of the members of the Advisory Expert Group (AEG), regarding the currently accepted treatment of repurchase agreements, securities lending without cash collateral1, gold loans, and gold swaps2. The paper also sets out areas where work is continuing by the IMF Committee on Balance of Payments (Committee) and on which the Committee will provide further reports in due course. Repurchase agreements and securities lending without cash collateral Background A securities repurchase agreement (repo) is an arrangement involving the sale of securities at a specified price with a commitment to repurchase the same or similar securities at a fixed price on a specified future date. Margin payments may also be made3. A repo viewed from the point of view of the cash provider is called a reverse repo. When the funds are repaid (along with an interest payment) the securities are returned to the “cash taker”4. The 1 The term securities (or stock or bond) lending is sometimes used to describe both types of reverse transactions described in this note. In order to distingush between those used involving the exchange of cash and those that do not involve the exchange of cash, this note uses the term “repurchase agreements” for those involving cash and “securities lending without cash collateral” for those not involving the exchange of cash. 2 A fuller description of repurchase agreements, securities lending, gold loans and gold swaps can be found at http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/bop/2001/01-16.pdf 3 “Margin” represents the value of the securities delivered that is in excess of the cash provided. -
DIVIDEND GROWERS DOMINATE OTHER DIVIDEND CATEGORIES June 7, 2021
DIVIDEND GROWERS DOMINATE OTHER DIVIDEND CATEGORIES June 7, 2021 Dividend growers outperformed all dividend categories for the past 48 1/4 years with less risk. This is our conclusion based on data provided by Ned Davis Research. The research focuses on dividend payers, non-dividend payers, and dividend cutters. Note that the pattern of dividend growers outperformance holds for both the entire period of analysis and each sub-period (First Table). It also holds that growers experienced lower volatility for both the entire period and each sub-period (Second Table). In this note, we address why we think this phenomenon exists and what it could mean to investors. RETURN BY DIVIDEND CATEGORY (ANNUAL) Period Increased Paid No Change Not Paid Cut 1973-79 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.7% -3.9% 1980-89 17.8% 16.3% 12.8% 8.6% 8.4% 1990-99 13.2% 12.0% 9.4% 10.3% 6.3% 2000-09 3.5% 2.4% 0.3% -6.5% -12.2% 2010-19 12.9% 11.6% 7.9% 9.3% -1.1% 1973-April 21 10.6% 9.5% 7.0% 4.8% -0.8% VOLATILITY BY DIVIDEND CATEGORY (ANNUAL) Period Increased Paid No Change Not Paid Cut 1973-79 19.2% 19.5% 20.7% 25.5% 23.7% 1980-89 17.3% 17.6% 18.9% 21.2% 21.5% 1990-99 13.9% 13.9% 14.4% 18.5% 17.1% 2000-09 15.9% 18.1% 20.1% 27.2% 31.8% 2010-19 12.7% 13.4% 15.8% 16.1% 21.9% 1973-April 21 16.1% 16.9% 18.5% 22.2% 25.1% Source: Ned Davis Research; WCA WHY DIVIDEND GROWERS GENERATE SUPERIOR RISK-ADJUSTED RETURNS We believe there are five main reasons why investors should prefer dividend growers based on years of research and study. -
Use of Leverage, Short Sales, and Options by Mutual Funds
Use of Leverage, Short Sales, and Options by Mutual Funds Paul Calluzzo, Fabio Moneta, and Selim Topaloglu* This draft: March 2017 Abstract We study the use of leverage, short sales, and options by equity mutual funds. Consistent with agency-induced motives for the use of these complex instruments, we find that they are often used by poorly monitored funds, and are associated with poor outcomes for investors such as lower performance, higher idiosyncratic risk, more negative skewness, greater kurtosis, and higher fees. Consistent with moral hazard, we also find that mutual funds that use these instruments hold riskier equity positions. Mutual funds attempt to use complex instruments to reduce the risk of their portfolios but in an imperfect and costly way. JEL Classification: G11, G23 Keywords: mutual funds, leverage, short sales, options, complex instruments, fees, performance, risk * Smith School of Business, Queen's University, 143 Union Street, Kingston, Ontario K7L 3N6, Canada. Emails: [email protected], [email protected], and [email protected]. We thank George Aragon, Laurent Barras and seminar participants at the 2nd Smith-Ivey Finance Workshop and the 2016 Telfer Annual Conference on Accounting and Finance for their helpful comments. Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2938146 I can resist anything except temptation. -Oscar Wilde 1. Introduction Over the past fifteen years there has been a rise in the complexity of mutual funds as more funds are given the authority to use leverage, short sales, and options. Over this period 42.5% of domestic equity funds have reported using at least one of these instruments. -
Leverage Networks and Market Contagion
Leverage Networks and Market Contagion Jiangze Bian, Zhi Da, Dong Lou, Hao Zhou∗ First Draft: June 2016 This Draft: March 2019 ∗Bian: University of International Business and Economics, e-mail: [email protected]. Da: University of Notre Dame, e-mail: [email protected]. Lou: London School of Economics and CEPR, e-mail: [email protected]. Zhou: PBC School of Finance, Tsinghua University, e-mail: [email protected]. We are grateful to Matthew Baron (discussant), Markus Brunnermeier (discussant), Adrian Buss (discus- sant), Agostino Capponi, Vasco Carvalho, Tuugi Chuluun (discussant), Paul Geertsema (discussant), Denis Gromb (discussant), Harald Hau, Zhiguo He (discussant), Harrison Hong, Jennifer Huang (discussant), Wenxi Jiang (discussant), Bige Kahraman (discussant), Ralph Koijen, Guangchuan Li, Fang Liang (discus- sant), Shu Lin (discussant), Xiaomeng Lu (discussant), Ian Martin, Per Mykland, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Carlos Ramirez, L´aszl´oS´andor(discussant), Andriy Shkilko (discussant), Elvira Sojli, and seminar partic- ipants at Georgetown University, Georgia Institute of Technology, London School of Economics, Michigan State University, Rice University, Southern Methodist University, Stockholm School of Economics, Texas Christian University, Tsinghua University, UIBE, University of Hawaii, University of Houston, University of Miami, University of South Florida, University of Zurich, Vienna Graduate School of Finance, Washington University in St. Louis, 2016 China Financial Research Conference, 2016 Conference on the Econometrics -
Leverage and the Beta Anomaly
Downloaded from https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109019000322 JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS COPYRIGHT 2019, MICHAEL G. FOSTER SCHOOL OF BUSINESS, UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, SEATTLE, WA 98195 doi:10.1017/S0022109019000322 https://www.cambridge.org/core Leverage and the Beta Anomaly Malcolm Baker, Mathias F. Hoeyer, and Jeffrey Wurgler * . IP address: 199.94.10.45 Abstract , on 13 Dec 2019 at 20:01:41 The well-known weak empirical relationship between beta risk and the cost of equity (the beta anomaly) generates a simple tradeoff theory: As firms lever up, the overall cost of cap- ital falls as leverage increases equity beta, but as debt becomes riskier the marginal benefit of increasing equity beta declines. As a simple theoretical framework predicts, we find that leverage is inversely related to asset beta, including upside asset beta, which is hard to ex- plain by the traditional leverage tradeoff with financial distress that emphasizes downside risk. The results are robust to a variety of specification choices and control variables. , subject to the Cambridge Core terms of use, available at I. Introduction Millions of students have been taught corporate finance under the assump- tion of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and integrated equity and debt markets. Yet, it is well known that the link between textbook measures of risk and realized returns in the stock market is weak, or even backward. For example, a dollar invested in a low beta portfolio of U.S. stocks in 1968 grows to $70.50 by 2011, while a dollar in a high beta portfolio grows to just $7.61 (see Baker, Bradley, and Taliaferro (2014)). -
Chapter 13 Lecture: Leverage
CHAPTERCHAPTER 13:13: LEVERAGE.LEVERAGE. (The use of debt) 1 The analogy of physical leverage & financial leverage... A Physical Lever... 500 lbs 2 feet 5 feet 200 lbs LIFTS "Leverage Ratio" = 500/200 = 2.5 “Give me a place to stand, and I will move the earth.” - Archimedes (287-212 BC) 2 Financial Leverage... $4,000,000 EQUITY BUYS INVESTMENT $10,000,000 PROPERTY "Leverage Ratio" = $10,000,000 / $4,000,000 = 2.5 Equity = $4,000,000 Debt = $6,000,000 3 Terminology... “Leverage” “Debt Value”, “Loan Value” (L) (or “D”). “Equity Value” (E) “Underlying Asset Value” (V = E+L): "Leverage Ratio“ = LR = V / E = V / (V-L) = 1/(1-L/V) (Not the same as the “Loan/Value Ratio”: L / V,or “LTV” .) “Risk” The RISK that matters to investors is the risk in their total return, related to the standard deviation (or range or spread) in that return. 4 Leverage Ratio & Loan-to-Value Ratio 25 20 1 LR = 1−LTV 15 LR 10 5 0 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% LTV 5 Leverage Ratio & Loan-to-Value Ratio 100% 90% 80% 70% 1 60% LTV =1− LR 50% LTV 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 LR 6 Effect of Leverage on Risk & Return (Numerical Example)… Example Property & Scenario Characteristics: Current (t=0) values (known for certain): E0[CF1] = $800,000 V0 = $10,000,000 Possible Future Outcomes are risky (next year, t=1): "Pessimistic" scenario (1/2 chance): $11.2M CF1 = $700,000; V1 = $9,200,000. -
NCUA IRPS 85-2 -- Repurchase Agreements of Depository Institutions with Securities Dealers and Others 11/85
NCUA IRPS 85-2 -- Repurchase Agreements of Depository Institutions with Securities Dealers and Others 11/85 NCUA-IR - 85-2 REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS 11/85 NATIONAL CREDIT UNION ADMINISTRATION Repurchase Agreements of Depository Institutions with Securities Dealers and Others Interpretive Ruling and Policy Statement Number 85-2 AGENCY: National Credit Union Administration (NCUA) ACTION: Interpretive Ruling and Policy Statement Number 85-2. SUMMARY: The NCUA Board has adopted as its statement of general policy for Federal credit unions the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council ("FFIEC") Supervisory Policy entitled "Repurchase Agreements of Depository Institutions with Securities Dealers and Others." EFFECTIVE DATE: November 14, 1985. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Donald W. Sorrels, Office of Examination and Insurance, or Steven R. Bisker, Assistant General Counsel, NCUA, 1776 G Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20456, or telephone (202) 357-1065 (Mr. Sorrels) or (202) 357-1030 (Mr. Bisker). SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: On October 21, 1985, the FFIEC approved a recommendation to each of the participating Federal financial institution regulatory agencies to adopt its Supervisory Policy entitled "Repurchase Agreements of Depository Institutions with Securities Dealers and Others." The NCUA Board, at its November 14, 1985, meeting, adopted the Supervisory Policy as its general policy for Federal credit unions. For the most part, the Supervisory Policy elaborates on what is already required of FCU's under NCUA's Rules and Regulations, Part 703 -- Investment and Deposit Activities. The Supervisory Policy sets out guidelines which are recognized to be safe and sound practices when engaging in repurchase and reverse repurchase transactions. FCU's involved in these transactions should follow the guidelines. -
The Great Leverage 2.0? a Tale of Different Indicators of Corporate Leverage Falk Bräuning and J
Research Department April 2, 2020 Current Policy Perspectives The Great Leverage 2.0? A Tale of Different Indicators of Corporate Leverage Falk Bräuning and J. Christina Wang Many policymakers have expressed concerns about the rise in nonfinancial corporate leverage and the risks this poses to financial stability, since (1) high leverage raises the odds of firms becoming a source of adverse shocks, and (2) high leverage amplifies the role of firms in propagating other adverse shocks. This policy brief examines alternative indicators of leverage, focusing especially on the somewhat disparate signals they send regarding the current state of indebtedness of nonfinancial corporate businesses. Even though the aggregate nonfinancial corporate debt-to-income ratio is at a historical high, these firms’ ability to service the debt, as measured by the interest coverage ratio, looks healthy. A simple model shows that this pattern can be consistent with firms’ optimal choice of leverage in response to an exogenous decline in interest rates. On the other hand, the model also reveals that the fall in the interest coverage ratio due to a given yield increase is magnified when interest rates are at low levels. The implication is that the elevated nonfinancial corporate debt-to-income ratio that has been present in recent years raises the downside risk of firms becoming unable to service their debt following any adverse shock, such as a decline in income or an increase in risk premia. 1. Introduction In recent years, US policymakers have repeatedly expressed concerns about the rising leverage of nonfinancial corporate businesses and the risks this poses to financial stability and the real economy. -
1 Solving the Present Crisis and Managing the Leverage Cycle John Geanakoplos We Are at the Acute Crisis Stage of a Leverage
Solving the Present Crisis and Managing the Leverage Cycle John Geanakoplos1 We are at the acute crisis stage of a leverage cycle, a very big cycle. I write to propose a plan with concrete steps that the government could take to address the severe financial condition that we now find ourselves in. It is critical that any rescue plan be clear and transparent, implementable and not subject to fraud, and comprehensive enough to succeed and to convince the public it will succeed. The law already enacted by Congress was admittedly an emergency measure designed to staunch further immediate hemorrhaging. What to do next is the question; understanding how we got here will help us find the right set of answers. The leverage cycle is a recurring phenomenon in American financial history. Most recently, one ended in the derivatives crisis in 1994 that bankrupted Orange County, and another ended in the Emerging Markets-mortgage crisis of 1998 that bankrupted Long Term Capital. A proper understanding of the origins of the cycle shows the way to manage it and to deal with the final crisis stage. A critical aspect of the leverage cycle is that collateral margin rates change. Two years ago a home buyer could make a 5% downpayment on a house, and borrow the other 95%. Now he must put 25% down. Two years ago a mortgage security buyer could put 3% or 10% down, borrowing the rest. Now he must pay 100% in cash. All leverage cycles end with (1) bad news creating more uncertainty and disagreement, (2) sharply increasing collateral margin rates, and (3) losses and bankruptcies among the leveraged optimists. -
New Trends in Repurchase Agreements Frequently Asked Questions
New Trends in Repurchase Agreements Frequently Asked Questions Q&A | February 2020 The market for repurchase agreements (repos) made headlines in September 2019 after an unexpected spike in overnight rates sparked Federal Reserve (Fed) intervention. Repos are a critical part of the plumbing of the short- term investment markets, but may be less familiar to public funds investors. For many, the impact of the repo market is felt through investments in money market funds and local government investment pools (LGIPs). In an effort to provide better insight into the repo market, and to answer some of the more frequently asked questions regarding this topic, we conducted the following Q&A session with Jeffrey Rowe, CFA, Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Manager with oversight of 16 PFM-managed LGIPs and Chris Blackwood, Managing Director and Administrator of Colorado Statewide Investment Pool (CSIP), a PFM-managed LGIP. What is a repurchase agreement? How are repos used by investors? Blackwood: Although the mechanics differ, a repo is Blackwood: Many repo users are entities with large similar to a collateralized loan. A repo is a funding tool amounts of cash to invest, such as money market used by large financial institutions, such as commercial funds, LGIPs and corporations. Repos are attractive banks, insurance companies and investment banks. because they are typically transacted with high credit Many of these institutions have assets, such as quality counterparties and are typically collateralized Treasuries and agencies, they want to own long term, at a minimum of 102% of the amount invested. Thus, but they also have short-term funding needs. -
Pacer Metaurus Dividend Multiplier Series
FAQ Pacer Metaurus Dividend Multiplier Series What are the Pacer Metaurus US Large Cap Dividend Multiplier 300 ETF (Ticker: TRPL) & Pacer Metaurus US Large Cap Dividend Multiplier 400 ETF (Ticker: QDPL) funds? A series of passive ETFs designed to provide exposure to approximately 300% or 400%, respectively, of the dividends these funds would normally have received from a direct investment in the S&P 500’s constituent companies, while also providing uncapped, long-term Index price appreciation potential. Dividend distributions are paid quarterly. TRPL QDPL is designed to provide approximately “triple” (~300%) of the ordinary is designed to provide approximately “quadruple” (~400%) of the dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index in exchange for reduced exposure ordinary dividend yield of the S&P 500 Index in exchange for reduced to the price appreciation/depreciation of the S&P 500 Index exposure to the price appreciation/depreciation of the S&P 500 Index (~92%1 S&P 500 price exposure). (~88%1 S&P 500 price exposure). (1)As of June 1, 2021. The ETFs are driven by the Dividend Multiplier Strategy–how does that work? The Dividend Multiplier Strategy first separates the S&P 500 into two components: (1) a Dividend Component comprised of the next three years of expected ordinary dividends, and (2) a Price Component representing exposure to the SPX Index (S&P 500 Price Return Index). The Strategy then determines the relative weightings of the two components, the Dividend Component and the Price Component, aiming to deliver a multiple (triple or quadruple) of the S&P 500 ordinary dividend yield in exchange for reduced exposure to the price return of the S&P 500 Index.