“Righteousness and Justice”: Latino Catholics and Protestants, Barack Obama, and the 2008 Election Gastón Espinosa
[email protected] The 2004 Election confirmed what scholars called a growing Democratic “God Gap” in the American electorate wherein Catholics, Protestants, Evangelicals, and other traditional people of faith were beginning to move solidly into the Republican column. Even Catholics and Latino Evangelicals, normally strong Democratic supporters switched over and voted for Bush. Obama knew this was a serious problem not only because traditional Catholics and Protestants have more children than more secular-minded Americans, but also because – in the words of Bill Clinton – even though the electorate may be theoretically and operationally progressive, it is nonetheless “moderately conservative.” He also knew from experts in the party that if they Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Religion Volume 3, Issue 5 (September 2012) ©Sopher Press (contact
[email protected]) Page 1 of 45 couldn’t keep the national Latino Republican vote below 40 percent, they would not win future election because of their growing share of the Democratic electorate and their location in must- win swing states.1 Obama had good reason to worry. As a pro-life political moderate, border senator, Vietnam vet, and the most outspoken Republican supporter of Latinos on Capitol Hill, McCain was poised to match or surpass Bush’s 44 percent Latino support in 2004.2 The signature mark of McCain’s loyalty was his 2005 McCain-Kennedy S.1033 Secure America and Orderly Immigration Act, which provided a pathway to citizenship for millions of undocumented Latin American immigrants. These advantages along with Latinos trending Republican over the past three election cycles from 19 to 44 percent made McCain a potentially formidable candidate.