Allocation of Scarce Critical Resources Under Crisis Standards of Care
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Novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic: Increased Transmission in the EU/EEA and the UK – Sixth Update 12 March 2020
RAPID RISK ASSESSMENT Novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: increased transmission in the EU/EEA and the UK – sixth update 12 March 2020 Summary On 31 December 2019, a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown aetiology was reported in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China. On 9 January 2020, China CDC reported a novel coronavirus as the causative agent of this outbreak, which is phylogenetically in the SARS-CoV clade. The disease associated with the virus is referred to as novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). As of 11 March 2020, 118 598 cases of COVID-19 were reported worldwide by more than 100 countries. Since late February, the majority of cases reported are from outside China, with an increasing majority of these reported from EU/EEA countries and the UK. The Director General of the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on 11 March 2020. All EU/EEA countries and the UK are affected, reporting a total of 17 413 cases as of 11 March. Seven hundred and eleven cases reported by EU/EEA countries and the UK have died. Italy represents 58% of the cases (n=10 149) and 88% of the fatalities (n=631). The current pace of the increase in cases in the EU/EEA and the UK mirrors trends seen in China in January-early February and trends seen in Italy in mid-February. In the current situation where COVID-19 is rapidly spreading worldwide and the number of cases in Europe is rising with increasing pace in several affected areas, there is a need for immediate targeted action. -
Measuring the Compensatory Reserve to Identify Shock
REVIEW ARTICLE Measuring the compensatory reserve to identify shock Victor A. Convertino, PhD and Alicia M. Schiller, PhD, Fort Sam Houston, Texas hock is classically defined as inadequate tissue perfusion,1–4 interventions.8 The applications include damage control or goal- S and associated with clinical markers such as low systolic directed resuscitation in trauma and septic patients,9–13 blood blood pressure (<90 mm Hg), elevated heart rate (>120 bpm), in- components in patients with severe hemorrhage,9,14,15 place- creased respiration rate (>20 breaths per minute), decreased ment of tourniquets in extremity injury,16 and renal replacement pulse pressure, cold and clammy skin, altered mental state therapy in burn patients.17 Unfortunately, one of the most chal- (e.g., disorientation, confusion), and elevated blood lactate lenging aspects of providing effective treatment of shock is an (>2–3 mmol/L) or base deficit (< −4mmol/L).5,6 However, these inability to recognize its early onset. Various attempts at apply- signs do not change until the later stages of hemorrhage and thus ing advanced computational algorithms by many of the leading waiting until a clinically significant change can impede early di- clinical investigators in trauma and emergency medicine have agnosis of shock when interventions could be most effective. failed to produce early and accurate assessment tools for identi- The tendency for measuring these traditional vital signs that fying shock18–22 because they rely on measurements of “legacy” are easy to obtain and understand -
The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios*
The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios* Warwick McKibbin† and Roshen Fernando‡ 2 March 2020 Abstract The outbreak of coronavirus named COVID-19 has disrupted the Chinese economy and is spreading globally. The evolution of the disease and its economic impact is highly uncertain, which makes it difficult for policymakers to formulate an appropriate macroeconomic policy response. In order to better understand possible economic outcomes, this paper explores seven different scenarios of how COVID-19 might evolve in the coming year using a modelling technique developed by Lee and McKibbin (2003) and extended by McKibbin and Sidorenko (2006). It examines the impacts of different scenarios on macroeconomic outcomes and financial markets in a global hybrid DSGE/CGE general equilibrium model. The scenarios in this paper demonstrate that even a contained outbreak could significantly impact the global economy in the short run. These scenarios demonstrate the scale of costs that might be avoided by greater investment in public health systems in all economies but particularly in less developed economies where health care systems are less developed and popultion density is high. Keywords: Pandemics, infectious diseases, risk, macroeconomics, DSGE, CGE, G-Cubed JEL Codes: * We gratefully acknowledge financial support from the Australia Research Council Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research (CE170100005). We thank Renee Fry-McKibbin, Will Martin, Louise Sheiner, Barry Bosworth and David Wessel for comment and Peter Wilcoxen and Larry Weifeng Liu for their research collaboration on the G-Cubed model used in this paper. We also acknowledge the contributions to earlier research on modelling of pandemics undertaken with Jong-Wha Lee and Alexandra Sidorenko. -
Ch2 Ethical Principles of Research
2-1 Chapter 2. Ethical Principles of Research Historical Examples of Research With Ethical Concerns Tuskegee Syphilis Study The Milgram and Zimbardo Studies Research With Human Participants: Ethical Guidelines Ethical Principles and Code of Conduct Informed Consent: The Right to Know Sample Consent Form for a Student Research Project On the Use of Deception Field Research and Ethics Regulation of Human Research Research With Children and Mentally Challenged: Ethical Guidelines Thinking Critically About Everyday Information Research With Nonhumans: Ethical Guidelines Professional Behavior of the Investigator Testing Participants Integrity of the Data Plagiarism and Publication Case Analysis General Summary Detailed Summary Key Terms Review Questions/Exercises 2-2 Historical Examples of Research With Ethical Concerns Tuskegee Syphilis Study On the afternoon of May 16, 1997, President Clinton made a formal apology to Mr. Shaw, Mr. Pollard, Mr. Howard, Mr. Simmons, Mr. Moss, Mr. Doner, Mr. Hendon, and Mr. Key. These eight African American men were the remaining survivors of a medical research study sponsored by the United States government. In the words of President Clinton, the rights of these citizens and 391 others were “neglected, ignored and betrayed.” Syphilis is a venereal disease caused by the invasion of the body by a spirochete, Treponema pallidum. In its early stages, the infection is usually benign. A painless lesion develops at the site of the infection with secondary inflammatory lesions erupting elsewhere as the tissues react to the presence of the spirochetes. If untreated, an early syphilitic infection characteristically undergoes a secondary stage, during which lesions may develop in any organ or tissue throughout the body, although it shows a preference for the skin. -
Clinical Management of Severe Acute Respiratory Infection (SARI) When COVID-19 Disease Is Suspected Interim Guidance 13 March 2020
Clinical management of severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) when COVID-19 disease is suspected Interim guidance 13 March 2020 This is the second edition (version 1.2) of this document, which was originally adapted from Clinical management of severe acute respiratory infection when MERS-CoV infection is suspected (WHO, 2019). It is intended for clinicians involved in the care of adult, pregnant, and paediatric patients with or at risk for severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) when infection with the COVID-19 virus is suspected. Considerations for paediatric patients and pregnant women are highlighted throughout the text. It is not meant to replace clinical judgment or specialist consultation but rather to strengthen clinical management of these patients and to provide up-to-date guidance. Best practices for infection prevention and control (IPC), triage and optimized supportive care are included. This document is organized into the following sections: 1. Background 2. Screening and triage: early recognition of patients with SARI associated with COVID-19 3. Immediate implementation of appropriate IPC measures 4. Collection of specimens for laboratory diagnosis 5. Management of mild COVID-19: symptomatic treatment and monitoring 6. Management of severe COVID-19: oxygen therapy and monitoring 7. Management of severe COVID-19: treatment of co-infections 8. Management of critical COVID-19: acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) 9. Management of critical illness and COVID-19: prevention of complications 10. Management of critical illness and COVID-19: septic shock 11. Adjunctive therapies for COVID-19: corticosteroids 12. Caring for pregnant women with COVID-19 13. Caring for infants and mothers with COVID-19: IPC and breastfeeding 14. -
Robin Cook's Abduction
Robin Cook’s Abduction: Sources of the Novel Alena Kolínská Bachelor Thesis 2013 ABSTRAKT Cílem této bakalářské práce je analýza románu Planeta Interterra (2000) spisovatele Robina Cooka z hlediska intertextuality. Uvede pojem intertextualita a stručně podá názory na vnímání intertextuality. Poté následuje rozbor dané knihy a hledání jejích možných zdrojů, které mohly spisovatele ovlivnit či inspirovat při psaní pro něj netypického románu. Z rozboru knihy vyplývá, že hlavními zdroji byly knihy Utopie (1516) Thomase Mora, Lidé jako bozi (1923) Herberta George Wellse, Konec civilizace: aneb Překrásný nový svět (1932) Aldouse Huxleyho a také řecká mytologie a historie všeobecně. Klíčová slova: Americká literatura; Robin Cook; intertextualita; Planeta Interterra; utopie; dystopie; fikce; dutozemě ABSTRACT The aim of this bachelor thesis is to analyze the novel Abduction (2000) by Robin Cook in the view of intertextuality. The term intertextuality is introduced, followed by a brief list of views on intertextuality. Subsequently the novel is analyzed, searching for the possible sources which might have influenced or inspired the author when writing a type of novel not typical for him. The analysis shows that the main sources for the novel were four: Utopia (1516) by Thomas More, Men like Gods (1923) by Herbert George Wells, Brave New World (1932) by Aldous Huxley, and Greek mythology as well as the history itself. Keywords: American literature; Robin Cook; intertextuality; Abduction; utopia; dystopia; fiction; hollow earth ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to express my deepest gratitude to my supervisor, Mgr. Roman Trušník, Ph.D., for his invaluable advice, patience, guidance and support. I also owe a great thanks to Mgr. -
Medical Thrillers
Medical Thrillers Ablow, Keith Cell 18. Port Mortuary Frank Clevenger Charlatans 19. Red Mist 1. Denial Coma 20. The Bone Bed 2. Projection Death Benefit 21. Dust 3. Compulsion Fatal Cure 22. Flesh & Blood 4. Psychopath Fever 23. Depraved Heart 5. Murder Suicide Genesis 24. Chaos 6. The Architect Godplayer Cotterill, Colin Baden, Michael Harmful Intent Thirty-Three Teeth Manny Manfreda Host Crichton, Michael 1. Remains Silent Invasion Andromeda Strain 2. Skeleton Justice Mindbend The Terminal Man Bass, Jefferson Mortal Fear Cuthbert, Margaret Body Farm Mutation Silent Cradle 1. Carved in Bone Nano Darnton, John 2. Flesh and Bone Pandemic The Experiment 3. The Devil’s Bones Seizure Mind Catcher 4. Bones of Betrayal Shock Delbanco, Nicholas 5. The Bone Thief Sphinx In The Name of Mercy 6. The Bone Yard Terminal Dreyer, Eileen 7. The Inquisitor’s Key Toxin Brain Dead 8. Cut to the Bone Jack Stapleton & Laurie Sinners and Saints 9. The Breaking Point Montgomery With a Vengeance 10. Without Mercy 1. Blindsight Follett, Ken Becka, Elizabeth 2. Contagion The Third Twin Evelyn James 3. Chromosome 6 Whiteout 1. Trace Evidence 4. Vector Gerritsen, Tess 2. Unknown Means 5. Marker Bloodstream Benson, Ann 6. Crisis The Bone Garden Plague Tales 7. Critical Gravity 1. The Plague Tales 8. Foreign Body Harvest 2. The Burning Road 9. Intervention Life Support 3. The Physician’s Tale 10. Cure Jane Rizzoli & Maura Isles Blanchard, Alice 11. Pandemic 1. The Surgeon Life Sentences Marissa Blumenthal 2. The Apprentice Bohjalian, Christopher 1. Outbreak 3. The Sinner The Law of Similars 2. Vital Signs 4. -
Summer Assignments – AP Biology Vincent J. Benitez [email protected]
Summer Assignments – AP Biology Vincent J. Benitez [email protected] http://www.vbbiology.weebly.com 1. Reading Assignment o Choose a book by Robin Cook to read. A list of medical thriller novels is listed below. Dr. Robin Cook is considered to be the master of the medical thriller! He does an enormous amount of research, so all of his books contain good, exciting biology. After reading the book, write a 1-2 page paper containing the following: o Concise summary of the plot. o Highlight the biological aspect(s) of the novel. How does/do the biological aspect(s) play a role in the novel. What technologies/procedures/concepts were used in the novel? o Link the biological aspect(s) of the novel to chapters in the AP Biology textbook. For example, if the book were about a virus, where would you find that topic in the textbook? What other connections can be associated with viruses? Perhaps the immune system, or cells, or biotechnology, etc. List those chapters as well. o Your opinion of the novel. Did you like the book? Did the plot seem too farfetched, or perhaps very plausible? What did you think about how the author used biology to develop interest and carry the story line throughout the book? Book Review Coordinating Instructions o Before writing your book review, read: The Basics of Scientific Writing in APA Style, by Pam Marek. You can find this article at: http://www.macmillanlearning.com/catalog/uploadedfiles/content/worth/custom_solutions/psychology_forew ords/marek_ch04_apastyle_color.pdf. A link to this document is on my website under AP Biology – Articles. -
Medicine and Literature, Unofficial Bedfellows
Academic year 2016-2017. Opening ceremony Medicine and literature, unofficial bedfellows Inaugural Lecture given by Dr. Amàlia Lafuente Flo Full Professor of Pharmacology at the School of Medicine and Health Sciences Of the University of Barcelona Barcelona, September 7th, 2016 © Edicions de la Universitat de Barcelona Adolf Florensa, s/n, 08028 Barcelona, tel.: 934 035 430, fax: 934 035 531, [email protected], www.publicacions.ub.edu Cover photograph: Patio de Letras (Historical building) Legal Deposit: B-3,845-2017 Printed by Graficas Rey Typography: Janson Medicine and Literature, unofficial bedfellows The pleasure of writing is only comparable to the pleasure of healing. Julio Cruz Hermida Doctor, Professor at the Universidad Complutense de Madrid and Correspondent Member of the National Royal Academy of Medicine Honourable President of the Generalitat de Cataluña, Distinguished Rector of the Universidad de Barcelona, Honourable Councillor of Business and Expertise, Dist inguished Rectors of the Catalan Universities, Mr President of the Board of Directors, Academic and Civil Dignitaries, professors, students, administration and service staff, ladies and gentlemen: First of all, I would like to thank the Universidad de Barcelona, my university, for doing me the honour of inviting me to give this inaugural class, particularly this year when we are sharing the event with all the universities in the country in our beautiful auditorium. Addressing the relationship between medicine and literature is both an exciting challenge and a pleasure, especially for me: a doctor, a professor at the Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, and a dedicated writer of novels with medical themes. It is also an excellent opportunity to explore our experience as readers. -
Pandemic 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 S31 N32
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Pandemic 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 S31 N32 9780525535331_Pandemic_TX.indd i 8/8/18 2:28 PM 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 Titles by Robin Cook 11 12 Charlatans Contagion 13 Host Acceptable Risk 14 Cell Fatal Cure 15 Nano Terminal 16 Death Benefit Blindsight 17 Cure Vital Signs 18 Intervention Harmful Intent 19 Foreign Body Mutation 20 21 Critical Mortal Fear 22 Crisis Outbreak 23 Marker Mindbend 24 Seizure Godplayer 25 Shock Fever 26 Abduction Brain 27 Vector Sphinx 28 Toxin Coma 29 Invasion The Year of the 30 Intern S31 Chromosome 6 N32 9780525535331_Pandemic_TX.indd ii 8/8/18 2:28 PM 9780525535331_Pandemic_TX.indd iii 8/8/18 2:28 PM 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Pandemic 14 15 16 17 Robin Cook 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 G. P. PUTNAM’S SONS 27 NEW YORK 28 29 30 S31 N32 9780525535331_Pandemic_TX.indd iv 8/8/18 2:28 PM 9780525535331_Pandemic_TX.indd v 8/8/18 2:28 PM 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 G. P. PUTNAM’S SONS Publishers Since 1838 18 An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC 375 Hudson Street 19 New York, New York 10014 20 21 22 Copyright © 2018 by Robin Cook Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, 23 promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. -
ADB Brief – the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak On
The Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak on Developing Asia NO. 128 6 MarCH 2020 ADB BRIEFS KEY MESSAGES The Economic Impact of the COVID-19 • The ongoing COVID-19 1 outbreak affects the PRC Outbreak on Developing Asia and other developing Asian economies through numerous channels, including sharp declines in domestic demand, lower tourism and business travel, trade and production WHat IS COVID-19? linkages, supply disruptions, A new coronavirus disease, now known as COVID-19, was first identified in Wuhan, and health effects. People’s Republic of China (PRC), in early January 2020. From the information known at this point, several facts are pertinent. First, it belongs to the same family of • The magnitude of coronaviruses that caused the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak in the economic impact will 2003 and the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) outbreak in 2012. Second, the depend on how the outbreak evolves, which remains highly mortality rate (number of deaths relative to number of cases), which is as yet imprecisely uncertain. Rather than focusing estimated, is probably in the range of 1%–3.4%—significantly lower than 10% for SARS on a single estimate, it is and 34% for MERS (Table 1, first column), but substantially higher than the mortality 2 important to explore a range rate for seasonal flu, which is less than 0.1%. Third, even though it emerged from of scenarios, assess the impact animal hosts, it now spreads through human-to-human contact. The infection rate of conditional on these scenarios COVID-19 appears to be higher than that for the seasonal flu and MERS, with the range materializing, and to update the of possible estimates encompassing the infection rates of SARS and Ebola (Table 1, scenarios as needed. -
Simple and Efficient Generation of Marked Clones in Drosophila
Simple and efficient generation of marked clones in Drosophila Douglas A. Harrison and Norbert Perrimon” Harvard Medical School, Department of Genetics, and *Howard Hughes Medical Institute, 200 Longwood Avenue, Boston, Massachusetts 02115, USA. Background: Cell lineage analysis and mosaic analy- recombinase, under the control of a heat shock-in- sis of mutations are important techniques that are used ducible promoter, efficiently catalyses mitotic recombi- to study the development of many organisms. Unforhl- nation specifically at the site of a FLP recombination nately, the methods employed for such analyses are usu- target (FRT). In this system, recombination fuses the ally inefficient, technically demanding or labor intensive. a-tubulin promoter to the luGgene, allowing transcrip- In Drosophila, the most common methodology used for tion of the marker. Recombinant cells and their progeny the generation of mosaic animals is mitotic recombina- can, therefore, be detected by standard assays for p- tion, which is induced by X-rays. Although this technique galactosidase. Of particular importance is the fact that is simple, it has the undesirable characteristics of a low only the cells of interest stain, thus allowing their simple efficiency and a high rate of cell death. Furthermore, although a large number of marker systems has been detection in any tissue. employed to detect mitotic recombinants, none allows Conclusions: We demonstrate that, by intermolecular easy identification of clones for all cell types. recombination, we can use FLY recombinase to generate Results: A system is described here that allows a marked clones efficiently in embryonic, larval and adult highly efficient generation of clones with the concomi- tissues.