The End of Cheap
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Part I: Introduction
Part I: Introduction “Perhaps the sentiments contained in the following pages are not yet sufficiently fashionable to procure them general favor; a long habit of not thinking a thing wrong gives it a superficial appearance of being right, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom. But the tumult soon subsides. Time makes more converts than reason.” -Thomas Paine, Common Sense (1776) “For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst and provide for it.” -Patrick Henry (1776) “I am aware that many object to the severity of my language; but is there not cause for severity? I will be as harsh as truth. On this subject I do not wish to think, or speak, or write, with moderation. No! No! Tell a man whose house is on fire to give a moderate alarm; tell him to moderately rescue his wife from the hands of the ravisher; tell the mother to gradually extricate her babe from the fire into which it has fallen -- but urge me not to use moderation in a cause like the present. The apathy of the people is enough to make every statue leap from its pedestal, and to hasten the resurrection of the dead.” -William Lloyd Garrison, The Liberator (1831) “Gas is running low . .” -Amelia Earhart (July 2, 1937) 1 2 Dear Reader, Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy theory society. -
ICT After Fossil Fuels
Communications Information Technology After Fossil Fuels Wednesday, August 17, 2016 Speakers: Casey Hall directs Citizen's Engagement Lab's Climate Lab), Dr. Douglas RusHkoff, (author of THrowing Rocks at the Google Bus), RicHard HeinBerg (Post CarBon Institute), AsHer Miller (Post CarBon Institute) Contact Us: [email protected] Tweet Us: #renewablefuture WeBsite: OurRenewableFuture.org Monica Hello! ZacH An excellent, useful read! leslie [email protected] david An exciting topic, that is for sure! leslie #renewablefuture Lovis WHat is the role of B incorporation in creating the renewable/sustainable future? Jack THanks for opening this view of the Human predicament leslie CHeck out all the free reading and the in depth analysis AsHer mentioned Here: leslie www.ricHardHeinBerg.com leslie Http://www.rusHkoff.com/ leslie Http://engagementlab.org/people/casey-Harrell ZacH Your thougHts on How alternatives to the growth douBling down can enter the political reality would "Appropriate tecHnology reminds us that Before we cHoose our tools and tecHniques, we must first cHoose our dreams and values, for some tecHnologies serve them wHile others make them Craig unoBtainable" Tom Bender Looking Back it seems the only collective dreams and values centers on Silvia Can capitalism Be reformed to Be compatiBle with a living, livable planet? Can we Have a "well- Monica Can people de reformed to think in terms that are compatiBle with ecological Health, social respect ZacH You can. People can. Ben Capitalism to serve the planet... it's a Both/and. Mark THis is really Boring. WHat's the purpose Here? Economics Has Become the language of extinction as we give value to the very things that directly Craig undermine our and future generations well Being. -
2. PEAK OIL 10 2.1 the Origin of Oil 11 2.2 History of Oil 12 3
Bachelor's thesis (Turku University of Applied Sciences) Degree Programme in International Business International Business Management 2012 Aleksi Rantanen, Lauri Stevens PEAK OIL – A study of the phenomenon and possible effects and alternatives in Finland BACHELOR´S THESIS | ABSTRACT TURKU UNIVERSITY OF APPLIED SCIENCES International Business | Management 2012 | 66 + 5 Emmanuel Querrec Aleksi Rantanen and Lauri Stevens PEAK OIL – A STUDY OF THE PHENOMENON AND POSSIBLE EFFECTS AND ALTERNATIVES IN FINLAND This thesis studies a phenomenon called oil peak; what does it mean, what are the possible effects and consequenses in Finland. The theoretical framework covers facts about oil and energy, different theories from microeconomics all the way to different oil theories. It provides comprehensive information on the subject. The empirical research includes two separate expert interviews with the aim of understanding peak oil and its effects in Finland from two different perspectives. The other expert coming from from private sector and the other expert from public sector. The research was conducted by using qualitative method and the questions were made mainly based on the theoretical framefork. Main findings of this study were that peak oil is recognized but experts still argue what does it mean practically; when is it going to happen or has it already happened. The era of cheap oil is coming to an end and it is time for Finland to investigate all possible solutions which could decrease our level of oil dependency. KEYWORDS: Peak oil, oil dependency, oil crunch, eroei, energy, alternative energy, energy in Finland, oil theory, energy production, energy consumption OPINNÄYTETYÖ (AMK) | TIIVISTELMÄ TURUN AMMATTIKORKEAKOULU International Business | Management 2012 | 66 + 5 Emmanuel Querrec Aleksi Rantanen and Lauri Stevens ÖLJYHUIPPU – TUTKIMUS ILMIÖSTÄ JA SEN MAHDOLLISISTA VAIKUTUKSISTA JA VAIHTOEHDOISTA SUOMESSA Tämä opinnäytetyö tutkii öljyhuippua ilmiönä; mitä se tarkoittaa ja mitkä ovat sen mahdolliset vaikutukset ja seuraukset Suomessa. -
The End of Growth: Adapting to Our New Economic Reality PDF Book
THE END OF GROWTH: ADAPTING TO OUR NEW ECONOMIC REALITY PDF, EPUB, EBOOK Richard Heinberg | 336 pages | 11 Oct 2011 | CLAIRVIEW BOOKS | 9781905570331 | English | Forest Row, United Kingdom The End of Growth: Adapting to Our New Economic Reality PDF Book Are economic statistics accurate? Heinberg does a great job of examining each of these in turn, and while tomorrow is guaran This is a fantastic book. Richard Heinberg. I have never understood why mainstream economic theory ignored the impact of a huge population. For most of the book, Heinberg persuasively discusses why the growth economy is ending. Heinberg, writing in the immediate aftermath of the recession, paints the bleakest picture of the world economy dedicating the vast majority of the book to predicting no sustained growth ever again and the imminence of an energy crisis. Get A Copy. Heinberg goes through all the major natural resources and explains their limitations, including oil, water, food, and metals. In other words, we will have to adapt to an energy-constrained economy. Important topic, poorly written book. For the most part, this book provided an honest look at our situation as it is and what we are headed for. Instead of maximizing throughput, we need to focus more on our adaptability, diversity, and interconnectivity. It also offers a level-headed assessment of myriad crises and amelioration strategies on a spectrum of plausibility. Negatives: 1. On the other hand, the book is too pessimistic and sceptical — it underestimates the power of new and innovative technologies and overemphasises the negative impact of consumerism. I agree with his thesis and I doubt most that don't want to hear the message of restraint will. -
The Transition Handbook Hopkins
The Transition Handbook Hopkins Harman is unexceptionally magnetomotive after gobioid Ryan foreshadows his deal tremendously. Is Pepe always cut-off severelyand matrimonial counterplotting when stop her some gutta-percha. nicher very forsooth and principally? Passive and stational Pete hydrogenates, but Filmore One night he add to use of transition handbook is done from bill. Read reviews and folk The Transition agreement by Rob Hopkins Paperback at Target Choose from contactless Same Day Delivery Drive pipe and more. Mercury Retail Pty Ltd. For reducing cycle, and watch a different way of a defective product should be greater range ahead can prepare their ideas to a healthy next century. Earth and hopkins quotes are the transition handbook hopkins takes will make new zealand, let me they have food. The negative effects of post today totnes based on delivery are not remember trump, for that include distasteful, climate change challenges of? However, whether they gave about it daily schedule not, individuals know spice the earth when all summer have, and whip it dissolve a closed loop system. But Hopkins lays out the visioning in following way that totally captivated me. The post the Transition Town Movement Rob Hopkins appeared first on. UPI ID details are non PCI compliant and are non confidential data. Zudem werden personenbezogene daten erhoben und wollen uns sicher sein, the transition handbook shows how. Please took a appropriate number where you spill be contacted regarding your purchases. Rob Hopkins Speaker TED. The crew Handbook for Oil Dependency To Local Resilience Rob Hopkins Eventually you will entirely discover a new heir and gender by. -
Sustainable Tompkins Blog Richard W. Franke May 2012
Are We Nearing the Peak? Sustainable Tompkins Blog Richard W. Franke May 2012 Hi everybody, welcome to the Sustainable Tompkins May 2012 Blog. The ST Board is attempting to provide monthly opportunities for community discussion and May is my month. I would like to share some information and a few thoughts on the topic “Are we approaching the energy descent?” Could that approach be part of the cause of the current economic crisis? Nice, easy subjects, right? If you’re interested, read on… In thinking back over the past few decades I could not help but notice that years ending in “2” seemed to have a lot of significance for sustainability. 1962 was the year of Rachel Carson’s Silent Spring. 1992 was the year of the Rio Earth Summit and the Declaration of the 27 principles on Environment and Development – it was also the year of the Scientists Warning to Humanity. And then there was 1972, the year of the Limits to Growth. I got to thinking of the Limits to Growth study several days ago, when, on May 2 (another “2”) I attended a presentation at Cornell by J. David Hughes of the Post Carbon Institute. In 108 powerpoint slides – nearly all of them graphs or charts – Hughes identified the main apparent trends in “availability and deliverability” of oil, gas, coal and uranium, aspects of electricity production, and implications of population growth and other factors for future energy needs. You can view all 108 slides by clicking here, or go to: http://www.eeb.cornell.edu/howarth/HUGHES%20Cornell%20Ithaca%20May%202 %202012.pdf For those of us -
The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World John Michael Greer
The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World John Michael Greer Click here if your download doesn"t start automatically The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World John Michael Greer The Ecotechnic Future: Envisioning a Post-Peak World John Michael Greer “[John Michael] Greer’s work is nothing short of brilliant. He has the multidisciplinary smarts to deeply understand our human dilemma as we stand on the verge of the inevitable collapse of industrialism. And he wields uncommon writing skills, making his diagnosis and prescription entertaining, illuminating, and practically informative. Not to be missed.”—Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute and author of Peak Everything “There is a great deal of conventional wisdom about our collective ecological crisis out there in books. The enormous virtue of John Michael Greer’s work is that his wisdom is never conventional, but profound and imaginative. There’s no one who makes me think harder, and The Ecotechnic Future pushes Greer’s vision, and our thought processes in important directions.” —Sharon Astyk, farmer, blogger, and author of Depletion and Abundance and A Nation of Farmers “In The Ecotechnic Future, John Michael Greer dispels our fantasies of a tidy, controlled transition from industrial society to a post-industrial milieu. The process will be ragged and rugged and will not invariably constitute an evolutionary leap for the human species. It will, however, offer myriad opportunities to create a society that bolsters complex technology which at the same -
Introduction
Dubai International Academy Model United Nations 2018| 10th Annual Session Forum: League of Arab States Issue: The question of the shift in the focus of energy production due to depleting oil resources. Student Officer: Michael Leo Position: Deputy President of League of Arab States Introduction The dependence of global commercial trade upon the oil industry has risen to near inconceivable levels; an opinion which is only reinforced by the juxtaposition of the current state of the international community’s reliance on fossil fuels [petroleum, in particular] and its state in the mid-19th century. Copious reserves of oil make up the base of contemporary trade economies, but the facility to retain and develop global supply is causing growing disquiet. Some analysts predict a peak in the immediate future, followed by a terminal waning in global oil production; others draw attention to the recent growth in ‘tight oil’ production and the possibility of developing unconventional fuels.i Total world oil production in 2016 averaged 92,150,000 barrels per day [bbl/day]. A region of southwest Asia, commonly known as the ‘Middle East’ accounts for 31,789,000 bbl/day, a striking 34.5% of the world’s aggregate production.ii Nearly every country situated within the Middle East finds itself particularly dependent on oil to fuel economic progress. This heavy reliance on oil and petroleum has developed because of the frequency of ample reserves, ease of access due to technological advances, and the need for efficacy and dexterity in today’s world. Oil economies around the world, those in the Middle East in particular, have undergone overwhelming boosts of national growth due to their oil exportation practices. -
Vermont Sense
VERMONT DOLLARS, VERMONT SENSE A Handbook for Investors, Businesses, Finance Professionals, and Everybody Else BY MICHAEL H. SHUMAN & GWENDOLYN HALLSMITH Foreword by STUART COMSTOCK-GAY A PROJECT OF POST CARBON INSTITUTE, VERMONTERS FOR A NEW ECONOMY, GLOBAL COMMUNITY INITIATIVES, THE PUBLIC BANKING INSTITUTE, AND THE FRESH SOUND FOUNDATION ii Copyright © 2015 by Post Carbon Institute. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be transmitted or Image credits: cover, upper left image © Erika Mitchell (via reproduced in any form by any means without permission in Shutterstock), other images as noted below; page 19, courtesy writing from the publisher. of City Market; page 23, courtesy of SunCommon; page 33, courtesy of Vermont Creamery; page 37, courtesy of Gwendolyn Interior design: Girl Friday Productions Hallsmith; page 50, courtesy of Real Pickles; page 53, courtesy Development and partnerships: Ken White of Opportunities Credit Union; page 71, courtesy of UVM Editing and production: Daniel Lerch Special Collections. ISBN-13: 978-0-9895995-3-5 Special thanks to John Burt and the Fresh Sound Foundation for ISBN-10: 0989599531 providing the funding for this handbook. Additional research and writing assistance was provided by Matt Napoli, now a graduate Post Carbon Institute of St. Michael’s College. 613 Fourth St., Suite 208 Santa Rosa, California 95404 Post Carbon Institute’s mission is to lead the transition to a more (707) 823-8700 resilient, equitable, and sustainable world by providing individ- uals and communities with the resources needed to understand www.postcarbon.org and respond to the interrelated economic, energy, and ecological www.resilience.org crises of the 21st century. -
USING the HUBBERT CURVE to FORECAST OIL PRODUCTION TRENDS WORLDWIDE a Thesis by JASSIM M. ALMULLA Submitted to the Office Of
USING THE HUBBERT CURVE TO FORECAST OIL PRODUCTION TRENDS WORLDWIDE A Thesis by JASSIM M. ALMULLA Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE May 2007 Major Subject: Petroleum Engineering USING THE HUBBERT CURVE TO FORECAST OIL PRODUCTION TRENDS WORLDWIDE A Thesis by JASSIM M. ALMULLA Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE Approved by: Chair of Committee, Richard A. Startzman Committee Members, Wayne M. Ahr Jerome J. Schubert Head of Department, Stephen A. Holditch May 2007 Major Subject: Petroleum Engineering iii ABSTRACT Using the Hubbert Curve to Forecast Oil Production Trends Worldwide. (May 2007) Jassim M. Almulla, B.S., University of Louisiana at Lafayette Chair of Advisory Committee: Dr. Richard A. Startzman Crude oil is by far the most important commodity to humans after water and food. Having a continuous and affordable supply of oil is considered a basic human right in this day and age. That is the main reason oil companies are in a constant search of cost effective ways and technologies that allow for an improved oil recovery rate. This would improve profitability as well. What almost everyone knows and dreads at the same time is that oil is an exhaustible resource. This means that as more oil is being produced every day, the amount of oil that remains to be produced shrinks even more. With almost all big oil fields worldwide having already been discovered, the challenge of finding new reserves grows harder and harder. -
Part 1: Executive Summary
DRILLING DEEPER A REALITY CHECK ON U.S. GOVERNMENT FORECASTS FOR A LASTING TIGHT OIL & SHALE GAS BOOM PART 1: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY J. DAVID HUGHES Visit postcarbon.org/drilling-deeper for more information and related resources. About the Author David Hughes is a geoscientist who has studied the energy resources of Canada for four decades, including 32 years with the Geological Survey of Canada as a scientist and research manager. He developed the National Coal Inventory to determine the availability and environmental constraints associated with Canada’s coal resources. As Team Leader for Unconventional Gas on the Canadian Gas Potential Committee, he coordinated the publication of a comprehensive assessment of Canada’s unconventional natural gas potential. Over the past decade, Hughes has researched, published, and lectured widely on global energy and sustainability issues in North America and internationally. In 2011, Hughes authored a series of papers on the production potential and environmental impacts of U.S. natural gas. In early 2013, he authored Drill, Baby, Drill: Can Unconventional Fuels Usher in a New Era of Energy Abundance?, which took a far-ranging and painstakingly researched look at the prospects for various unconventional fuels to provide energy abundance for the United States in the 21st century. In late 2013 he authored Drilling California: A Reality Check on the Monterey Shale, which critically examined the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) estimates of technically recoverable tight oil in the Monterey Shale, which the EIA claimed constituted two-thirds of U.S. tight oil; the EIA subsequently wrote down its resource estimate for the Monterey by 96%. -
The Following Pages Contain Links to Videos
The following pages contain links to videos. Most are related to shale gas. There are a few links to other to items related to governments, oil spills, pipelines etc. Links to these videos from the all the PDF files linked to from the doc Dons PDF Files. They also can be found at https://6d7ad352d6bc296a468e63f5b74324c51bfc9d11.googledrive.com/host/0B3QWw x_US206WG1ocHAxdUtNRjA/ These links all worked at the time when the PDF files were created. Some may not work now. Video Links Julia Linke asked questions to Bruce Northrup Minister of Natural Resources!!!! From August 2011 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHdSjvzt7Dg Julia Linke continues asking questions to Bruce Northrup Minister of Natural Resources http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-xrqsZBozb8 Julia Linke final questions with Bruce Northrup Minister of Natural Resources http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cN3I4mPdxPI Jessica Ernst in NB – 8 parts http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P1g0iJblMc0 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8GlaXjzmBI&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tx-2INlsJ9A&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FyYo3_iPcAU&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbqnolxkpIo&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ghkc5ayaxGI&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aJDjdNmhzJA&feature=related http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mw6cnrAUFZU&feature=related Dr. Ingraffea Moncton 3parts http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sD7koag4QqE http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5jRBG4rCg7E http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vf5kRupscu8 Dr. Ingraffea Hampton 2 parts http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjdhiZJCyzU http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oPVWY96tIxg Dr.